Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 14:18

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾❌🏴 — SDF says Syrian government forces are renewing attempts to take over al-Atqan prison in northern Raqqah, despite earlier reports that SDF had withdrawn from it.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 14:11

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾❌🏴 — SDF official statement about al-Hol:

Due to the indifferent international stance towards the ISIS organization and the international community's failure to assume its responsibilities in addressing this dangerous issue, our forces were forced to withdraw from Al-Hol camp and redeploy to the vicinity of cities in northern Syria, which are subject to increasing risks and threats.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:50

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾❌🏴 — Syrian Arab Army says SDF abandoned al-Hol camp, and government forces will enter it to secure it and make sure no one escapes.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:35

🇺🇸🇸🇾❌🏴 — US and Syrian government forces reportedly take control of al-Hol camp following the SDF withdrawal.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:23

🇸🇾 ❌🇸🇾 — SDF forces claim to have successfully defended against an attack on the village of "Tal Baroud" south of Al-Hasakah.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:19

⬛❌🇸🇾 — Breaking: SDF ambushed by suspected IS fighters as they withdraw from Al-Hol.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:03

🇹🇷🇸🇾❌🇸🇾❌🏴 — Turkish fighter jet active over al-Hasakah city.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 12:48

⬛❌🇸🇾 — The SDF have fled from Al-Hol Camp, a camp built to imprison women and children who used to live under IS.

➡️ The camp residents have reportedly set fire to the Red Prison, a prison within the camp where camp detainees were held and tortured.

➡️ The camp is completely made up of women and children.

➡️ Gunfire is being sprayed in the camps direction to prevent women from escaping.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 07:16

👀 THROWBACK: Trump rustles classified Iran strike plans on tape, claims peace

A 2021 audio recording that has surfaced on social media captures then former President Donald Trump admitting he kept a classified Pentagon document outlining a potential attack on Iran.

👉 Trump is heard saying, “These are the papers,” while audibly rustling documents and noting that they are “secret” and “confidential.”

On the tape, Trump also rejects Gen. Mark Milley’s assertion that he wanted to attack Iran, insisting instead that it was Milley’s plan from the outset.

After the bombing of Iran in 2025—and with talk of renewed strikes—who will he shift the blame to next?

👍 @geopolitics_prime | Follow us on X

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 06:30

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 — Russian "Rubicon" drone operator strikes a US-supplied HIMARS multiple rocket launcher in Novobakhmetyevo, Donetsk Oblast near Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 06:10

🇷🇺🇺🇦 — Ukrainian airspace is clear of Kh-101 cruise missiles.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 06:04

🇺🇦❌🇷🇺 — A very good night for Ukrainian air defense, earlier the Patriot air defense system shot down eleven Iskander-M ballistic missiles en route to Kyiv, a very high amount shot down.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 03:53

Another large-scale combined Russian missile and drone attack is underway on Ukraine.

So far, at least 18 Iskander-M ballistic missiles have been used, with around 15 targeting energy infrastructure in Kyiv and 3 targeting Dnipro.

~11 (!) Iskanders were shot down in three waves near Kyiv due to new patriot deliveries. 2 impacted the CHP-6 power plant, 2 impacted CHP-4 power plant.

All the Iskanders that targeted Dnipro impacted their targets.

Additionally, 2 Iskander-I ballistic missiles (Iskander-M with a 1,000 km range) launched from near Novorossiysk, Krasnodar Krai, impacted a target southeast of Vinnytsia City, Vinnytsia Oblast.

As for strategic aviation, at least 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are airborne from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, flying to their launch lines in Engels District, Saratov Oblast, where they will likely launch Kh-101 cruise missiles in the next 2.5 hours.

2-3 Buyan-M corvettes from Kaspiysk Naval Base are equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles in the Caspian Sea. They may launch missiles later on too.

I likely wont cover the rest of this attack today as I will be busy for most of the time, but I aim to post a full summary + the consequences afterwards.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 02:40

🇮🇱🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — Israel told the U.S. it could absorb even a worst-case Iranian retaliation of roughly 700 ballistic missiles if it led to regime collapse in Tehran, arguing the cost would be acceptable given the performance of Israel’s air defenses in the 12-day war, Ynet reports.

➡️ According to U.S. sources, Israel’s real objection to the proposed strike was not a lack of interceptors or fear of air-defense failure, but the belief that the plan on the table would not have toppled the Iranian regime.

➡️ As a result, Washington is now intensifying preparations, pairing military options with efforts to identify internal pressure points within Iran that could enable a governing alternative.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 02:19

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 — Takeoff of four Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Oleyna Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 14:15

#BREAKING
🇸🇾❌🇸🇾❌🏴 — Women from the foreigner side of al-Hol camp reportedly broke though the barrier between their side and the Syrian and Iraqi side.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:58

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾❌🏴 — Footage from inside al-Hol camp these moments.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:49

#BREAKING
🇸🇾❌🇸🇾❌🏴 — SDF says clashes are ongoing between them and Syrian government forces in the direct vicinity of al-Hol camp.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:28

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — Sarrin, south of Ain Al-Arab (Kobani, or Ain Al-Islam), was captured by the Syrian Army.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:20

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — General Situation in Syria as of midnight (19/1/26 - 20/1/26)

➡️ SDF has been largely reduced to the YPG core areas that they controlled since 2013, with some extra buffer areas. In the Kobani region, the SAA continued its sweep of the southern areas of the Kobani pocket until reaching Sarrin and Abu Sirra, with clashes occurring along the way.

➡️ In the Hasakah region, the SAA advanced on Jabal Abdulaziz from the western direction, with clashes recorded to the south of the mountain. SAA units also approached Hasakah city from the west, with reports of SDF shelling on SAA units approaching the city. Meanwhile, SAA units advanced towards the Iraqi Border and established control over the Syrian side of the Tel Safok border crossing and reaching the outskirts of al-Hawl.

➡️ Meanwhile, in Hasakah city, the SAA reached the roundabout at the southernmost edge of the city before stopping, likely to prepare for an upcoming battle for the city and wait for reinforcements to arrive. At the same time, US forces positioned themselves around al-Sina prison to prevent any kind of release of IS prisoners by outside forces. A curfew was declared in ash-Shaddadi due to the release of IS prisoners the previous day, and Syrian security forces have already arrested at least 90 IS prisoners in the area.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:11

🇸🇾❌🇹🇷🇸🇾 — Pro-SDF protests at the Turkish-Syrian border.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 13:00

⬛❌🇸🇾 — Footage showing SDF convoys withdrawing from al-Hol camp, while gunfire is heard in the outskirts of the camp.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 10:37

🇺🇸🤝🇸🇾 – According to Al-Monitor sources, President Trump reached out to Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa to demand an immediate end to the ongoing hostilities in northern Syria.

➡️During this exchange, al-Sharaa provided a formal "pledge" that Syrian government forces will stay out of Hasakah, effectively preventing a direct confrontation with U.S.-backed forces in the region.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 06:32

🇮🇷 — Internet access is being restored in Iran right now.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 06:13

All clear there was second launch let’s see if that was simulated or real one. It should enter the airspace of Ukraine within 20mins.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 06:07

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 — One group of Kh-101 cruise missiles is flying towards Vinnytsia Oblast.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 04:42

🗳 🇺🇸 OpenAI is in the red and, at this rate, will run out of money by 2027, having overestimated the profitability of AI.

Recent analyses and internal projections indicate annual losses of around $14 billion in 2026, following roughly $8 billion in 2025.

This stems from overestimating near-term profitability, as high inference and data center expenses continue to dominate despite strong user adoption and billions in revenue.

Without repeated massive funding rounds, analysts warn the company could face a cash shortfall as early as mid-27

📎 Pirat_Nation

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 03:50

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 — Takeoff of two Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Dyagilevo Air Base, Ryazan Oblast.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 02:24

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 — Left bank of Kyiv is entirely without power due to drone and ballistic missile impacts against CHP-5 and CHP-6. There are also problems with water in the left bank of Kyiv.

Geopolitics Watch

20 January 2026 00:25

🇺🇸🇸🇾❌🏴 — US Special Forces reportedly deployed to al-Sina prison to prevent a new mass evasion of Islamic State terrorists, the prison hosts the most IS prisoners in the world.