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DD Geopolitics

Fwd from @dva_majors
Morning Summary for May 14, 2025

▪️ The enemy reported 50 "Geran" UAVs striking rear targets in Ukraine overnight. Enemy monitoring channels wrote about explosions in Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Pavlohrad, and Starokostiantyniv, in the Ternopil, Rivne, Zhytomyr, Zaporizhia, Sumy, and Poltava regions.

▪️ Fighting continued in the Tyotkin direction of the Kursk Region. Yesterday, enemy infantry groups, armored personnel carriers, and motorcycle-mounted motorized infantry were destroyed while trying to break through the border. In the Pavlovka - Novy Put direction, enemy engineer-sapper groups were destroyed.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, our forces are constantly striking drones against enemy equipment and manpower in Myropolie. In the Loknya area, our forces are expanding the control zone, breaking through from the settlement of Belovody to the village of Vodolag.

▪️ At the Belgorod section of the border, against the settlements of Popovka and Demidovka, there is ongoing activity on the enemy's territory. The region suffers from Nazi strikes on civilians. In the village of Bohun-Horodok of the Borisovsky district, a man was wounded by a strike of an FPV drone on a cargo truck. In the village of Voznesenivka of the Shebekino district, a UAV of the AFU struck a GAZelle, injuring the driver. In the village of Novaya Tavolzhanka of the Shebekino district, four fighters of the "Orlan" unit were wounded by the detonation of a drone. In Shebekino, an EW system caused a drone to detonate in the air, injuring a civilian. In the village of Shamino of the Shebekino district, as a result of a drone attack on a private house, a man suffered barotrauma. Three medics were injured in a repeat drone attack. Earlier, a young man was also wounded in Shebekino. In Novaya Tavolzhanka, a woman was wounded as a result of a drone strike.

▪️ In the Konstantinovka direction, there are reports of battles on the approaches to Romanovka: the Russian Army is creating conditions to close the "pocket" southwest of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk).

▪️ East of Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk), the Central Group of Forces liberated the settlement of Myrolubiivka in the DPR, and our flags were also demonstrated from the settlement of Malinivka (Ulyanovka) in the DPR. Southwest of Pokrovsk, there are reports of assault actions by Russian Armed Forces units in the village of Novoserhiivka, located a couple of kilometers from the Dnipropetrovsk Region border.

▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, the success of our troops in the settlement of Bogatyr is developing, the preparation for the assault of which took a long time. The "pocket" of the AFU defense near the settlement of Bogatyr-Oleksiyivka is being closed.

▪️ In the Orikhiv direction of the Zaporizhia front, positional battles are ongoing in the area of Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Shcherbaky, Stepove, and Kamianske. The enemy struck the city market of Tokmak at night.

Summary compiled by: Two Majors Original msg

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🇷🇺💬The Kremlin has not yet disclosed the composition of the Russian delegation at the talks in Istanbul, Peskov told Rossiya 1 journalist Pavel Zarubin

The Russian delegation will be in Istanbul on Thursday and will wait for the Ukrainian side, Peskov said

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🇷🇺💬Maria Zakharova: The same countries that previously admitted that they used the Minsk agreements to stall for time in Ukraine’s favor are now seeking a 30-day ceasefire to restore the Kiev regime’s combat capability.
The West is seeking a 30-day ceasefire to give Kiev a breathing space to restore its military potential and continue the confrontation with Russia.

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🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦 Trump insists that the meeting between Russia and Ukraine, scheduled for Thursday in Istanbul, should go ahead. However, he made no mention of the so-called "Coalition of the Butthurt" and their demand for a 30-day ceasefire.

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❗️"You can't talk to Russia this way, this language is not acceptable to us"

Peskov comments on Zelensky's ultimatums

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🇺🇸 White House announces China Trade Deal.

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🇷🇺 Putin to Hold Press Briefing After Midnight

Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to meet with the press after midnight, Moscow time. Both Russian and foreign media will be present, including CNN, NBC, and the BBC.

The main focus is expected to be the 30-day ceasefire proposal backed by Ukraine and its Western allies. The Kremlin sees the proposal as a one-sided ultimatum, with Russia expected to accept the terms without raising its own conditions.

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🇩🇪🇷🇺German Chancellor Friedrich Merz supported the EU countries’ initiative to create a “tribunal for Putin.”

"It goes without saying. Russia under Putin's leadership is committing the gravest war crimes. And, of course, they must be punished."
, Merz said in an interview with BILD upon his arrival in Kiev.


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❗️ Russian servicemen who are taking part in the Victory Day Parade talk about their family members who fought against Nazis 🙌

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🇮🇷 Iran’s IRGC Navy Showcases Another Underground Base, Featuring Advanced Combat and Reconnaissance Drones

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy has revealed yet another of its underground military bases in Iran—this time emphasizing its growing fleet of unmanned aerial vehicles.

The facility hosts a variety of drones, including the Mohajer-6 and Ababil-5, both capable of conducting reconnaissance and precision strikes.

Also stationed at the base are Ababil-3 surveillance drones and Bavar-5 loitering munitions—kamikaze drones based on the Ababil-2 design.

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🇰🇬A military parade dedicated to the 80th anniversary of the Victory in the Great Patriotic War was held on the central Ala-Too Square in Bishkek, a RIA Novosti correspondent reports.

The Victory Day celebration and parade in Kyrgyzstan were held on May 8 for the first time this year, due to the fact that the country's president Sadyr Japarov will take part in the ceremonial events in Moscow on May 9.

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🇮🇳🇵🇰 7:30 AM: Smoke rises over Poonch, India-controlled Kashmir, after sustained Pakistani artillery strikes. Reports of ongoing heavy fighting across the Line of Control.

Live coverage stills show the impact zone as hostilities continue into the morning.

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🇺🇸 Foreign embassies have been disinvited from an annual Washington event commemorating the end of World War II in Europe this week, after a group of European embassies protested the organizers’ decision to include ambassadors from Russia and its close ally Belarus.

The invitation to the Russians and Belarusians marked the first time since 2022 that the two nations were invited to the May 8 ceremony, which is organized by the Friends of the National World War II Memorial, a non-profit organization.

Organizers sent an email Tuesday telling embassies that the event — which this year marks the 80th anniversary of the end of the conflict — is now an America-only ceremony.

A copy of the original invitation obtained by Politico lists Australia, Belarus, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, France, Greece, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Russia, Slovak Republic, Ukraine and the U.K.

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🇷🇺💥🇺🇦 Missile strike in Dnepropetrovsk!

Ballistic missile strikes were reported also in several other regions of Ukraine.

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🇮🇱💥🇾🇪 Scenes from Sana'a International Airport after an Israeli strike.

The Airport is basically destroyed.

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🇦🇫 The Taliban flag was publicly displayed for the first time at a forum in Kazan since Russia suspended its ban on the group.

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🇺🇸💬🇷🇺🇺🇦 With analysis like this, no wonder things are the way they are

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🇺🇸🛫🇸🇦Grandpa Donald on his way to Saudi Arabia with a possible technical pit stop in Germany.
The time is present.

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🇷🇺🇸🇮🇺🇦 Slovenia Offers Venue for Russia–Ukraine Talks; Lula Offers to Mediate

Slovenia has proposed its territory as a site for negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.

"Slovenia would be honored if both sides accepted the invitation to hold peace talks in Slovenia in the spirit of our foreign policy commitment to peace, which we have followed since independence," the Slovenian cabinet press service quoted PM Robert Golob as saying.


The prime minister also compared the possibility of holding talks in Slovenia to the first meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his US counterpart George W. Bush Jr. on Slovenian territory in 2001.

🇧🇷 Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva also offered to act as a mediator, addressing his proposal to Vladimir Putin.

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🇺🇦 Zelensky to Travel to Istanbul for Talks, Even Without Russian Ceasefire

According to Axios, Zelensky plans to arrive in Istanbul for negotiations with Russia—even if Moscow does not initiate a ceasefire starting Monday.

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They should send him.

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🇷🇺🇵🇸 Vladimir Putin, in Meeting with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, Calls for Two-State Solution Based on International Law

“We have always been convinced that lasting peace in the region can only be achieved on the basis of universally recognized international law—specifically, through the creation of two states for two peoples,” said President Vladimir Putin.


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🇷🇺💬 Full clip of Dmitry Peskov explaining the obvious: Russia is not going to do what benefits Ukraine to please Trump

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🇺🇸 JUST IN: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has ordered the Pentagon to begin removing transgender service members starting June 6, per a memo obtained by Reuters.

Troops who do not voluntarily leave will face involuntary separation. Reservists have until July 7.

This follows months of legal wrangling and marks the first mass expulsion order based on gender identity since the Trump-era ban.

No official Pentagon comment yet.

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🇵🇸🇷🇺Palestinian President Abbas has arrived in Moscow to take part in events dedicated to Victory Day

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🇺🇦🚨 Air raid alarm in Kiev

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🇮🇳🇵🇰 INDIA–PAKISTAN ESCALATION

This map shows Indian missile strikes on 9 targets inside Pakistan during Operation Sandoor—a retaliation for the Pahalgam terror attack.

🔹 5 strikes in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir
🔹 4 inside Pakistan proper
🔹 Targets: camps of JeM & LeT leaders
🔹 No Pakistani military sites hit
🔹 PM Modi monitored the operation personally
🔹 Precision munitions used

Border still active:
🔸 Artillery fire and drone ops ongoing
🔸 Pakistan claims 5 IAF jets downed (unverified)
🔸 12 militants reportedly killed
🔸 Pakistan vows response under UN Article 51

India has briefed allies including USA & Russia. Trump’s NSA and Sec. of State Marco Rubio spoke to Pakistan’s top security officials.

Map via @detresfa_

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🇱🇹🇷🇸🇷🇺The Lithuanian authorities have banned the flight of Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic's plane through the country's airspace on its way to Russia to celebrate the 80th anniversary of the Victory on May 9.

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🇾🇪 A video of Children playing football during today's Israeli strikes on Sana'a International Airport.

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🇺🇸 A reporter asks Trump for more details on the agreement with the Houthis.

"They've said please don't bomb us anymore.

And where did you hear that?

"It doesn't matter where I heard it—a very good source."

🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

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