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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East. If you want to help support my reporting: https://buymeacoffee.com/amk_mapping. All links to my interactive maps, twitter account, etc: https://linktr.ee/AMK_Mapping
In addition to the strikes in and around Kharkiv City, Geran-2 drones also attacked targets in other parts of Kharkiv Oblast.
The following was hit:
- "Bohodukhiv" 110 kV electrical substation in the city of Bohodukhiv by several drones. Widespread power outages were reported [Media 2].
- Unknown target in the city of Izyum by at least 2 drones [Media 1].
- Unknown target in the city of Zlatopil.
- Unknown target in the area of the city of Merefa.
- Unknown target in the town of Pechenihy by multiple drones.
- Unknown target in the city of Lyubotyn.
- Unknown target in the town of Velykyi Burluk by at least 3 drones.
I'm aware of Deepstate's update on Kupyansk, and quite frankly I don't care.
Those who map UKRAINIAN advances based off a UKRAINIAN source who is under constant pressure from the SBU are naive at best, and propagandists at worst.
I'm not saying this map isn't correct, as the situation is indeed critical for Russian forces in the city, but we will need a lot more to say for certain that this is true.
This was Russian S-300/400 air defence targeting Ukrainian fighter jets
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The launch maneuvers were carried out 10 minutes ago.
If they were real, Kh-101 cruise missiles should enter Ukrainian airspace in the next 40 minutes.
Remember, last time there was a missile attack, additional launches were carried out at around this time.
1 Tu-95MS strategic bomber just carried out a launch maneuver over Penza Oblast while redeploying from Olenya Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase.
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Russian forces have captured the village of Synkivka, Kupyansk direction, Kharkiv Oblast.
Pre-war population: ~389.
Total land area: ~1.64 km².
The fighting for Synkivka lasted approximately 2 years, 5 months.
🇹🇭🇰🇭⚡- Cambodian forces also launched a counterattack in the village of Trakoun, Poi Pet direction.
Footage shows Cambodian troops crossing a recently planted Thai barbed wire point, as well as taking down the Thai flag, replacing it with a Cambodian one. Most of the village is under Cambodian control.
Overnight, around 8 Russian Geran-2 drones attacked energy infrastructure in Odesa City.
The target was likely the "Centrolit" 220 kV electrical substation (46.61796, 30.82342). A large fire subsequently broke out, resulting in power outages for parts of northern Odesa.
Another tanker of the Russian “Shadow fleet” has been hit in the Black Sea by Ukrainian surface drones.
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Russian forces have captured the village of Pazeno, southwestern flank of Siversk, Donetsk Oblast.
Pre-war population: ~16.
Total land area: ~0.43 km².
The fighting for Pazeno lasted approximately 8 days.
I want to be clear with this now: I want nothing to do with betting or gambling on the war in Ukraine.
Recently, following the ISW fraud controversy with Polymarket, I keep seeing people suggest that my maps and reports should be used as a deciding factor for determining the outcome of bets. One of those such posts got over 1.6 million views.
I even had the "Pentagon Pizza Watch" account reach out to me asking if my map could be embedded in his external betting service. He proceeded to get angry at me when I pointed out how immoral and scummy it was, and how when he used Deepstate's API, it ultimately got their service temporarily taken down, leaving many people - including humanitarian aid workers - in the dark.
Betting on a war where hundreds of thousands of people are dying and millions are suffering is immoral and disgusting, and I will never support it or take part in any of it. Your actions on the internet have real life consequences, even if they aren't immediately apparent and obvious to you.
Cambodian T-55 tanks can be seen being transported to the frontline.
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Yemen: 🇾🇪
On 4 December, the STC entered the oil fields of Masila Oil Field in Hadramaut and reached positions in Shabwah, from where they attempted to enter the governorate of Marib via Areen Heights. Further north, South Yemeni forces reached Al-Abr, from where they withdrew a few hours after the arrival of YNA reinforcements from Saudi Arabia, with the aim of creating a buffer zone near the border. On 6 December, South Yemeni forces took control of key positions and cities in the governorate of Mahrah, awaiting the arrival of military forces, which began to enter on 8 December. In addition, the STC began to expel Yemeni government authorities and their allies from Aden, a city that aims to become the capital of a new South Yemen.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1k_5mC2oHM9Lj4I5irFA0pkXbqKQ&ll=15.82906164772039%2C47.54899267263452&z=7 ]
The Ukrainian GUR reports that Russia has added a new anti-air modification to their Geran-2 drones.
These Geran-2 drones can be equipped with a "Verba" anti-aircraft missile. All drones equipped with Verba missiles are directly controlled by drone operators in real time, using an optical camera in the nose of the drone.
This allows the drone operator to remotely launch the "Verba" missile in the event of a Ukrainian aircraft being detected.
Geran-2 drones recently gained the ability to be equipped with R-60 anti-aircraft missiles, however the main difference with this new drone is that they still have their usual 90 kg warhead. This means that even after firing its missile, the drone can still carry out its primary task of striking a target. This action can also be controlled by the drone operator.
No missiles have been detected in Ukrainian airspace. The launch maneuvers were simulated with electronic warfare.
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Flying to Poltava on a ballistic trajectory. Could be EW.
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I wrote about this during the previous attack, and I am doing it again now because its become clear. In recent strikes, Russia has clearly changed its tactics for carrying out large scale missile attacks on Ukraine involving Tu-95MS/Tu-160M strategic bombers.
For the past 3 to 4 years, Olenya Air Base served as the main base for combat flights, with bombers taking off from there ahead of any strike. Dyagilevo and Engels 2 were also used in combat strikes.
Now the pattern has changed. Bombers take off directly from the Far East already ready for combat and fly towards launch zones in western Russia, where they launch cruise missiles at Ukraine. After that, the aircraft land at Engels 2 to refuel and rearm before returning to the Far East.
Russian forces have captured the village of Lyman, Bilyi Kolodyaz direction, Kharkiv Oblast.
Pre-war population: ~542.
Total land area: ~1.93 km².
The fighting for Lyman lasted approximately 16 days.
No missiles have been detected in Ukrainian airspace. Possibly the work of Russian air defence.
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The last Ukrainian defences in the besieged city of Myrnohrad are being breached by Russian forces, who have now entered the city centre.
The parts of the pocket still under firm Ukrainian control have decreased to around 2.8 km², compared to ~36 km² at the beginning of the siege.
Nevertheless, Russian FAB glide-bombs continue to strike the remaining blocks still under Ukrainian control. This video shows a FAB-1500 strike on a high-rise apartment building.
Over the last few days, the defence of Siversk has completely collapsed.
A fortress city that the Russians couldn't reach for nearly 4 years is about to be captured after just a week of fighting.
If this isn't a sign of how bad Ukraine's manpower shortages have got, I don't know what is.
Last night, another combined missile and drone attack was carried out on the city of Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast.
Among the targets hit were the main power plant and the oil refinery. NASA FIRMS picked up a large fire burning at the refinery, despite heavy cloud cover over the city.
3 Iskander-M ballistic missiles were launched from the vicinity of Kursk City, Kursk Oblast - one of which was equipped with a cluster warhead. The Iskanders likely targeted the refinery.
Approximately 50 Geran-2 drones were also used. They likely primarily targeted energy infrastructure.
(Credit to "intelcamslive">Intel Cams | OSINT" on YouTube for the first clip)
New satellite imagery reveals that Russia has installed a large number of new hangars for storing Geran-2 drones at Donetsk International Airport. Each of these hangars fits one drone and are used for storage right before launches are carried out.
Additionally, a total of 4 static ramp launchers are visible, along with one lane for vehicle-based launches. These upgrades are part of a larger effort observed at various launch points aimed at facilitating for increased production rates of drones, allowing for increased numbers to be used during large-scale attacks.
Image credit
The Thai military reports that Cambodia has launched more than 3,160 BM-21 Grad rockets and carried out 125 drone strikes so far during the renewed conflict.
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Update on the situation in Kupyansk:
The situation continues to deteriorate for the Russian garrison in the western part of the city, which remains operationally encircled. An information blackout has been imposed by the Russian command, with information sharing resulting in severe punishments. This makes it difficult to determine the exact situation, however based on satellite imagery, geolocations, and reports from various sources, we can draw up a somewhat accurate representation of how things are currently playing out.
As I wrote in my last post, Ukrainian forces have managed to block the last supply route for Russian forces in western Kupyansk, which runs along the western bank of the Oskil River. As a result, all supply to the garrison has to be conducted by drones, although this isn't a new phenomenon for this sector. Nevertheless, the Ukrainians failed to consolidate, and Russia has largely repelled the attacks on this area.
The Ukrainian command has brought up additional reserves to Kupyansk, including mercenaries, which are continuing the counterattacks, despite heavy losses. However, they are encountering increasing difficulties in securing key areas, despite many instances of poor Russian coordination. Russian FAB glide-bomb strikes have remained unusually low, but are currently focusing on striking the logistical routes into the city. As a result of this, and other Russian strikes, as well as the attack on the dam in Pechenihy, supply for Ukrainian assault groups is becoming increasingly difficult.
Moreover, Russian forces have begun attempts at eliminating the Ukrainian presence to northeast and north of Radkivka, which has long been a "thorn" for Russia which decreased their logistical potential. The outcome of these attacks is unknown, but if successful, they will likely consolidate and reinforce the whole area and attempt to advance south and cut off the Ukrainian spearhead in the northern part of Kupyansk.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces continued making incremental progress within Kupyansk. Control over a number of high-rise buildings and nearby houses in the north was confirmed, although this likely occurred more than two weeks ago. They also managed to recapture the grain elevators just west of the city centre (which the Russians subsequently dropped at least one FAB on) as well as the residential streets to the west. Additionally, despite recent Russian counterattacks in the southwestern Yuvileynyi high-rise micro-district which saw them recover control over the rest of the apartment buildings there, Ukrainian forces were able to consolidate in approximately half of the low-rise residential area to the west.
The situation in other parts of western Kupyansk remains very fluid and dynamic. Ukrainian and Russian soldiers continue to hold positions overlapping each other, leading to a complicated mess of small groups of soldiers from each side maneuvering through urban areas and constantly being targeted by drones and artillery. However, the initiative remains firmly with Ukraine, and the first cases of Russian soldiers attempting to cross the Oskil River via the area of the destroyed highway overpass into the eastern part of the city have been recorded.
Meanwhile, east of the Oskil River, Russian forces continue their assault operations in Petropavlivka. Currently, it appears they are trying to "save" the situation in western Kupyansk by securing this key village, eliminating the Ukrainian control in the area of Synkivka, and swinging west to "link up" with the garrison via the southeastern suburbs of Kupyansk. However, the Ukrainian defence east of the river is very strong, and Russian advances and consolidation has proven difficult and costly.
🇹🇭🇰🇭⚡️- A Thai KB-5E loitering drone (knockoff of the Iranian Shahed-136) flying into Cambodian territory for a strike.
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