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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
Meme from Trump–Powell meeting
The U.S. President visited the Fed to “discuss” and criticize Powell.
During the meeting, he handed Powell a note claiming the Fed’s renovation budget was overstated by $500M.
On Twitter, people are joking about what the note might’ve actually said — for example, written in kidnapper-style block letters:
CUT RATES BY 0.5% OR YOU’RE GOING TO EL SALVADOR
JUST IN: Donald Trump mentioned that they will find out on Sunday whether a deal with the EU will be reached.
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📣 There are two types of traders:
➡️Those who chase fireworks
➡️And those who build a fire that never goes out
One burns fast. The other keeps you warm for years.
Build the fire.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump indicated that he perceived an inclination from Fed Chair Powell suggesting a possible readiness to lower rates.
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JUST IN: Thailand's air force has conducted bombings on multiple locations in Cambodia.
- Thailand deployed F-16 fighter jets.
- The bombings targeted sites within Cambodia.
This military action could heighten tensions between the two nations, potentially impacting regional stability and affecting investor confidence in Southeast Asia.Читать полностью…
🫱 Trump gives Powell a little “motivation” backstage
Trump tells Powell he'd love to see interest rates come down — then slaps him on the back.
Absolutely incredible…
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JUST IN: Trump arrives at the Federal Reserve building in Washington DC.
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JUST IN: The Trump administration has reportedly allowed Chevron to restart oil production in Venezuela, according to sources.
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Bitcoin still tracking the 4-year cycle
New ATH and price action continues to mirror 2013 and 2017 cycles.
Same structure. Same rhythm.
If history holds — the top isn’t in yet.
JUST IN: If a deal for the U.S. to control TikTok is not approved by China, TikTok will be shut down in the US.
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📉 Risk of Ruin — What Every Trader Should Know
The Risk of Ruin measures how likely you are to eventually lose your entire account. It depends on:
🔊 Win rate (% of profitable trades)
🔊 Risk per trade (% of capital at stake)
🔊 Length of losing streaks (drawdown probability)
Even with a strong system, a long losing streak can wipe you out if your risk per trade is too high.
✅ General rule: Risk 1–2% of your capital per trade.
✅ Aim for a win rate of 50–60% to reduce drawdown risks.
❓Ask yourself: Can I survive 10 losses in a row?
🔗 Try this calculator 👈
Because in trading, survival is the first edge.
⚡️Worth highlighting
Despite copper reaching new highs, it remains at one of its most undervalued levels relative to gold in history.
Notice that we are also approaching a potential major breakout in the copper-to-gold ratio.
Copper has officially entered a price discovery phase and this move is still in its early stages.
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Real wealth comes when you stop chasing shortcuts.
And start doing the boring stuff daily.
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JUST IN: President Trump is set to release a list of Epstein associates, per Fox News.
Two weeks ago, the DOJ said there was no Epstein "client list."
Odds of President Trump releasing any of the Epstein Files this year rise to 56%, per Kalshi.
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JUST IN: A European trade agreement with the US might be reached this weekend, according to EU officials and diplomats.
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JUST IN: Trump considers rebate checks for low-income Americans and maintains his desire for a strong dollar.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump announced that a deal framework has been reached with China.
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👆 This is a critical chart for metals
China’s solar capacity is surging.
The growth this year alone consumes about 11% of the world’s annual silver supply.
And that’s just China.
What happens if the US and other major economies follow suit with similar expansion?
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📃 Most traders lose not because of bad entries, but because they have no plan.
This checklist covers the real edge:
🔊 Clear exit rules
🔊 Position sizing limits
🔊 Context-based setups
🔊 Defined goals
Without these, you're not trading — you're gambling.
📊 Same game, different costs.
🟢 Scalping drains time, spikes stress, and demands precision
🟢 Day trading balances risk with constant screen time
🟢 Swing trading trades patience for peace — but needs conviction
Pick your poison. Just know what it costs you.
The moment you think a trade needs to work, you’ve already lost objectivity.
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📈 Break the neckline — shift begins here
This setup teaches a lot in one frame:
🔊 Lower highs confirm sustained bearish pressure
🔊 Trendline breaks often signal early structure shifts
🔊 Volume & follow-through matter more after the break
🔊 Retests of the neckline = common entry zone
🔊 It's not just about the break — it’s about what comes after
Structure leads price. Don’t chase candles — understand transitions.
JUST IN: The House panel is starting an investigation into the Federal Reserve's renovations, according to Punchbowl.
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JUST IN: Sales of new homes in the US increased by 0.6% in June, reaching 627,000 units.
• Consensus expected 645,000.
• May's sales were adjusted to 623,000.
• The supply of new homes in June stands at 9.8 months.
The lower-than-expected sales might influence market sentiment, potentially affecting homebuilders' stock prices and investor confidence in the housing market's recovery.Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Lutnick states that the EU is eager to make a deal while criticizing U.S. tech companies. He also highlights that South Korea is keen on reaching an agreement and stresses that TikTok should be removed from Chinese control.
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JUST IN: The ECB has maintained the deposit facility rate at 2.00%; no specific future rate path has been committed.
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📈 Daily Bias Cheat Sheet
Quick framework to define your high timeframe bias:
🔊 Narrative: Where is price coming from and going to?
🔊 Order flow: Bullish or bearish structure confirmed?
🔊 SMT divergence: Any clean mismatch with correlated pairs?
🔊 Liquidity: Are we targeting internal or external levels?
🔊 PDH/PDL: Any sweep or key rejection?
🔊 Weekly levels: Has the high or low of the week been set?
Keep it simple. Trade with intent.