3575178
📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
The Polymarket for Musk forming his own party by end of year are soaring.
Читать полностью…
U.S. money supply hits record high — again
In May, the U.S. M2 money supply rose 4.5% YoY to a new all-time high of $21.94 trillion — marking 19 straight months of growth.
Inflation-adjusted M2 is also up 2.1% — the biggest jump since early 2022.
Since 2020, the money supply has grown by nearly $7 trillion.
The result? The U.S. dollar keeps losing long-term buying power.
Global stock rally hits 10-year high
About 55% of markets in the MSCI ACWI just hit 52-week highs — the most in a decade. No market hit a new low.
Nearly 90% are trading above key moving averages, showing strong momentum.
Risk appetite is global right now.
Big Tech is driving the market rally
Since the April 7 market bottom, the S&P 500 is up ~20% — but it’s large-cap tech that’s doing the heavy lifting:
– Microsoft and Meta: +40%
– Netflix: +50%
– Nvidia: +60%
This surge shows the current rally is heavily concentrated in a few major tech names.
JUST IN: Powell stated that 2025 is evidently a significant year with many events occurring.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: President Trump on electric cars just now:
"Who wants an electric car? I don't want an electric car. There's one problem with it, it explodes."
Trump bought a Tesla at the White House less than 3 months ago.
JUST IN: The Euro has reached its highest value against the US Dollar since 2021.
Читать полностью…
Speculators sharply raise Brent crude short bets
Short positions on Brent crude jumped by the most in a year, signaling growing bearish sentiment in the oil market.
JUST IN: Trump comments on Elon Musk and electric vehicle subsidies.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: The S&P 500 has closed above 6,200 for the first time in its history.
Читать полностью…
You can’t make this up:
President Trump just issued a handwritten note to Fed Chair Powell.
The note calls Powell “too late” and shows how US rates “should be here,” pointing at other countries’ rates.
Trump says “we should be paying 1% interest, or better.”
Are 1% rates coming?
JUST IN: Bessent warns that nations should be prepared for a potential return to April 2 tariff levels. If countries remain uncooperative, tariffs might increase again.
Читать полностью…
Julius Baer: Fed may start cutting rates in October
– The Swiss bank expects 4 rate cuts of 25 bps starting in October.
– By March 2026, the rate could fall from 4.5% to 3.5%.
– After that, the Fed is likely to pause.
– The main reason is easing inflation, not recession or rising unemployment.
– Inflation is projected to stay around 3%, above the Fed’s 2% target.
Buy Bitcoin in seconds
Speed Wallet
Think Bitcoin’s out of reach? Get started wtih as little as $5!
Ad. 18+
The S&P 500 has been positive in July every year for the last decade
Average return of +3.35%
Second best month of the year.
Gold demand shifts East as Western appetite fades
Retail gold demand is falling in North America and Western Europe — now down three years in a row.
Meanwhile, Asia, South America, and Africa are steadily buying more. In Q1 2025, this created the widest East-West gold demand gap on record, driven by a U.S. sell-off.
– Asia-Pacific demand rose +3%
– China: +12%
– South Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia: +30%
– U.S. Mint gold coin sales: –70% YoY in May
Gold flows are clearly heading East.
The Telegraph: Fed independence is already dead — Trump will get his way
The Fed is acting like a “shadow government” with little democratic oversight, the article argues.
While Trump’s approach may be questionable, he’s right about one thing: central banks shouldn’t hold unchecked power.
The Fed has effectively lost its independence and seems ready to bend to Trump’s agenda.
JUST IN: Tesla shares fell to a three-week low, declining by 7.1%.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: U.S. Treasury Secretary:
A vote on the tax bill (Big Beautiful Bill) is expected today.
Trump:
I hope the “BBB” gets passed today.
JUST IN: JPMorgan reports that Tesla's demand likely remained weak in the second quarter, projecting 360,000 deliveries, which is a 19% decrease year-over-year and below the 392,000 consensus. The firm identifies a significant risk to Tesla's full-year delivery targets as the second half would need an unusually strong recovery. Challenges include affordability concerns and possible reductions in EV credits. JPMorgan reduced its 2025 earnings per share forecast to $1.75 from $2.07 and its 2026 projection to $2.40 from $2.85, anticipating further declines in estimates.
Читать полностью…
Speculators bet big against the U.S. Dollar
Short positions on the U.S. Dollar have surged to over $20 billion — the largest bearish bet in more than two years.
Sugar plunges to lowest price in more than 4 years
Читать полностью…
The S&P 500’s $SPY 24% surge from the edge of a bear market just gave the US equity benchmark its best quarter since December 2023.
Читать полностью…
Markets hit new highs, but risks are rising
Worries like Deepseek and tariffs are now in the rearview mirror as stocks keep climbing.
But with markets looking overheated, the chance of a short-term pullback is growing. Stay cautious.
Greed is back on Wall Street
Bloomberg’s Fear/Greed gauge hit 298 — the highest since March 2024 — after jumping ~800 points in 10 weeks.
CNN’s index is at 65, nearing “extreme greed,” while $VIX is down 73% from April, now at 16.3.
The S&P 500 has recently hit new all-time highs
But the % of stocks above their 200-day moving average is still around 51%
Indicating that the current rally has not seen broad market participation, increasing the risk of a pullback
JUST IN: The dollar is experiencing its sharpest first-half decline in at least 40 years. The ICE Dollar Index has decreased by over 10% in 2025, and the WSJ Dollar Index has fallen by 8%, marking the worst performance since 2002.
This drop is attributed to worries about Trump's tariffs, the independence of the Federal Reserve, and increasing U.S. debt, which are impacting the primary global trade currency.
Some analysts believe the selloff may be exaggerated and foresee a rebound, while others caution about a potential deeper decline as more investors protect against further dollar weakening.
The chances of a rate cut at the September FOMC meeting have jumped to 94%.
Читать полностью…