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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @bobbyADS (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

Erdogan holds Macron’s finger — and owns the moment
Simple gesture, strong message.

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Traders be like

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REAKING: President Trump says Walmart, $WMT, “should stop trying to blame tariffs as the reason for raising prices.”

Trump says he “[will] be watching” to see what Walmart does.


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Michael Burry posts “Sell!” — again

The Big Short legend shared a snapshot of his top holdings with a one-word warning.

Top positions: $NVDA, $BABA, $PDD.

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Indexes post second-best week of the year

Here’s how the majors closed out the week:

• SPY +5.31%
• QQQ +6.88%
• DJI +3.41%
• IWM +4.54%

Momentum across the board — and the S&P 500 weekly heatmap seals it.

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This is REALLY bad for GOLD. Scientists can literally recreate Gold in a lab and this makes Gold no longer scarce.

For those that think I am being alarmist or dramatic, study the Diamond chart since the same thing happened and scientists created lab grown diamonds.

Neither the human eye nor with a mag glass can tell the difference and the cost is about 1% of the original.

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$NFLX | $NKE

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Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Associates opened up a $319 million position in Gold, $GLD

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Trump says U.S. will set new tariff rates in coming weeks

President Trump said the U.S. will unilaterally set tariffs for many countries soon.

All part of the Art of the Deal.

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Ray Dalio on the Tensions Between the U.S. and China

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JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon continues to warn of an upcoming recession

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Meta stock drops 3% after AI model delay

$META shares slipped after the company postponed the launch of its flagship AI model.
The delay raised concerns about Meta’s timeline in the race for AI dominance.

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FTX will distribute over $5B to creditors on May 30.

🚨 We already pointed out the setup on $FTT

If you paid attention — good.
If not — there’s still time.

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Bond yields surge past 5% — and nothing’s holding them back

Talks of trade deals and soft inflation aren’t enough anymore.
30-year yields are back above 5%, mortgage rates top 7%, and Powell’s sticking to “higher for longer.”

Even Trump and Bessent have reason to worry.

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Herd mentality is a wild thing

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Stephen Hemsley, the new CEO of UnitedHealth, $UNH, bought $25 million worth of the stock on Friday.

He is the latest of multiple insiders to begin buying shares amid the historic decline.

What does it tell you if insiders are buying here?

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$UNH: a steady compounder, but under a lot of pressure lately

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Expectation Vs Reality

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$276M long on Bitcoin just opened

Someone went in heavy — opening a $276 million long position on BTC.
What do they know that we don’t?

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The housing market has never been this unaffordable in U.S. history.

With inflation-adjusted home prices setting a record over the last three years.

We're now in the biggest housing bubble of all-time, and the only period that came close was 2006, before the big crash.

Many people like to tell you "home values will never drop". But those people conveniently don't show you this graph.

There is no historical precedent for how expensive today's housing market it is.

And homebuyers know it.

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Moody’s cuts U.S. credit rating to AA+ — should markets worry?

After markets closed on May 16, Moody’s became the third major agency to downgrade the U.S. long-term credit rating from AAA to AA+.
Traditional markets dipped ~1% in after-hours — a reflex rooted in 2011.

Back then, S&P’s first-ever downgrade triggered a panic selloff, with equities dropping up to 20% in the following months.
Why? Many contracts required AAA collateral — and Treasuries no longer qualified.

But things have changed.

Veteran analyst Jim Bianco explains:

In 2011, the fear was real — many derivatives, credit agreements, and mandates prohibited anything below AAA.
After that chaos, contracts were rewritten to refer simply to ‘U.S. government securities’ — not their rating.

When Fitch downgraded in 2023, markets barely flinched.
Moody’s move now makes the AA+ consensus unanimous — but it changes nothing mechanically.

No forced action, no shock to markets.
It’s symbolic — not structural.

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Long term mindset mixed with a relentless work ethic.

Put the work in and get it done.

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U.S. vs. EU: Trump slams Brussels over digital censorship

The Trump administration is ramping up pressure on the EU, accusing it of pushing censorship disguised as regulation.

At the heart of the clash is the Digital Services Act — which Washington claims threatens free speech and U.S. tech interests.

The State Department labels the EU part of a “global censorship-industrial complex” eroding digital freedoms.

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Bill Ackman’s Perishing Square has added $GOOGL, $HRZ, $BN and a new $UBER.

It has closed $NKE

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The selling pressure in UnitedHealth, $UNH, is almost unprecedented:

For the first time since 1998, a Dow 30 stock is down over -55% in 1 month.

The last time it happened?

Also $UNH in 1998, when the stock fell -55% in one month.

Not even 2008 or 2020 saw a Dow 30 component fall over -55% in a single month.

As a result, the daily RSI in $UNH just fell to 11 for the first time since 1998.

In other words, the daily RSI is now suggesting the stock is at its most oversold level in 27 years.

What will it take for a bottom?

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Michael Burry has sold every stock in his portfolio except for a new position in Estee Lauder, $EL.

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Buffett's performance since 1965 beat every investing popular strategy

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This is truly unprecedented:

UnitedHealth stock, $UNH, is now down ANOTHER -16% today, bringing 1-month losses to nearly -60%.

This is a Dow 30 component which just erased $400 BILLION of market cap in 1 month.

$UNH has now erased ~$18 billion of market cap PER TRADING DAY for the last month-straight.

As a result, the company has gone from being one of the top 15 largest public companies in the world to not even making the top 50 list.

Can it get any worse for UnitedHealth?

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🇨🇳🇺🇸 China criticises U.S. for restricting global use of Huawei AI chips, calls it an abuse of export controls.

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BREAKING: April PPI inflation FALLS to 2.4%, below expectations of 2.5%.

Core PPI inflation FALLS to 3.1%, in-line with expectations of 3.1%.

However, March PPI inflation was revised HIGHER, from 3.3% to 4.0%, and Core PPI up to 3.4%.

Mixed signals coming from PPI inflation.

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