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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @JamesCookTg (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

Missed the $LIBRA madness while you were being a good Valentine? Here's the recap:

1) Argentinian President tweets out a token
2) Token rockets to a $4.5bn valuation in 2 hours
3) Insiders pull out $87mn
4) Token crashes 90%
5) President deletes tweet, denies involvement
6) Token dumps another 60%

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Trade Watcher

The number of Bitcoin holders in America have surpassed the number of Americans with student loans in 2025.

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Trade Watcher

China starts the print.

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Trade Watcher

The Big Three and Market Trends

The dollar (DXY), yields (US10Y), and oil (USOIL) move together:

Up = risk-off (caution, sell-off)
Down = risk-on (growth, rallies)

Now:

▻US10Y spiked after CPI, but DXY and oil are already trending lower.
▻Extreme dollar positioning could unwind if DXY breaks lower.
▻$100B+ liquidity from mid-Feb to April may weaken DXY, boosting risk assets.

Tracking these signals helps spot market shifts early.


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Trade Watcher

Trump delays tariffs to April 1

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Trade Watcher

Trump to announce tariffs at 1 pm.

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Trade Watcher

Your daily injection of BTC hopium.

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Trade Watcher

We might not be getting QE anytime soon, but we ARE potentially getting a Treasury General Account drawdown due to the debt ceiling.

This is effectively a form of "stealth QE", as liquidity is injected into the economy.

The last 2 times we had this drawdown, $BTC rallied:

December 2022: +84%
June 2023: +23%

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Trade Watcher

Over the past year, $BTC ETF inflows outpaced the Nasdaq $QQQ stock index by $10B.

Imagine the overall impact on $BTC's price over a 5-10 year period if this level of interest sustains.

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Bitcoin whales keep accumulating more $BTC.

Recent daily inflows are surging.

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Trade Watcher

Celebrity coins are down -78% from ATH on average.

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Trade Watcher

Fed Chair Powell's Key Statements:

➤ No rush to change interest rates, but policy may stay tight if inflation remains above 2%.
➤ The U.S. economy and labor market remain strong, with low unemployment.
➤ Cutting rates too fast could hinder inflation progress, while moving too slow may hurt economic growth.
➤ Time to review de-banking policies amid rising concerns.
➤ Mortgage rates will decline after rate cuts, but timing is uncertain.
➤ The U.S. is not in a recession.
➤ Supports regulatory efforts for stablecoins.
➤ Bank deposits remain safe.

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Trade Watcher

EU, GU, UC, UJ all going today, not something you see everyday...

Powell testifying in 5 mins.

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Trade Watcher

As gold prices surge, the real question becomes:

What did China know in 2024?

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Trade Watcher

AI Sector Recovery: Top Gainers

1.H4CK
2.LISTEN
3.FXN
4.GRPH
5.ARC
6.AGIXT
7.HYPER
8.OPUS
9.AVA
10.MOBY

Notably, most of these tokens are -80% or more from their all-time highs, presenting room for growth as the AI sector recovers.

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Trade Watcher

We just witnessed one of the fastest and largest destructions of wealth in retail trading history.

Argentina’s memecoin, $LIBRA, erased -$4.5 billion of retail capital in 7 hours.

Truly destructive.

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Trade Watcher

$BTC looks primed for a breakout, but confirmation is key before the next move.

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U.S. January core retail sales fell -0.4% month-over-month, missing the +0.3% estimate (previous: +0.7%). This marks the biggest monthly drop since January 2024.

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Trump’s World Liberty Finance has acquired $1.4 million worth of $MOVE and $5 million worth of $WBTC.

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Mexico's president threatens lawsuit against Google for renaming Gulf of Mexico to Gulf of America.

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Trump’s "big one – reciprocal tariffs" comment triggered a drop in S&P 500 and a spike in the U.S. Dollar Index as markets reacted instantly.

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Trade Watcher

A whale has spent 9,350 $SOL worth $1.82M to buy 105,923 $TRUMP at a price of $16.50.

The whale previously made ~$2M in $TRUMP and has re-entered $TRUMP due to Upbit listing.

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Coinbase Derivates is set to launch Solana and Hedera futures.

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U.S. CPI: +3% YEAR-OVER-YEAR (EST. +2.9%)
U.S. CORE CPI: +3.3% YEAR-OVER-YEAR (EST. +3.1%)

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Trade Watcher

Top 90-day drawdowns across the top 100 cryptos.

8/20 are memes.

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The altcoin market cap has slumped by $234B in the past two weeks, making it one of the largest altcoin devaluations, according to Glassnode’s latest report.

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Trade Watcher

Large liquidation zones spotted at BTC 83-85k levels. With CPI ahead, consider being patient with longs.

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Binance sold 94% of its Bitcoin reserves, 99.9% of ETH and 99% of SOL in January, though these were profits, not customer funds.

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The Ethereum magic trend line is holding.

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Is the AI token trend making a comeback?

A mysterious whale spent $3.53M to buy 11.11M $arc at $0.32 and $3.07M to buy 5.48M $ai16z at $0.56 in the past 2 hours.

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