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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @JamesCookTg (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

$NVDA continues to face selling pressure, and a further drop toward $110-$115 next week could offer a strategic entry point.

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U.S. Annual Cattle Inventory falls for a 6th straight year to 86.7 million, the lowest head count in 74 years!

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Trump to Announce Canada-Mexico Tariffs Effective March 1

The Trump administration is set to impose new tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico starting March 1, with potential exemptions available, according to sources. The 25% tariffs aim to curb illegal immigration and fentanyl trade but risk disrupting $1.6 trillion in North American trade. Canadian PM Trudeau vowed immediate retaliation, while Mexico remains in talks. Trump may invoke emergency powers to enforce the measure, which could impact industries from agriculture to automotive.

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A new altcoin cycle may be approaching soon.

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Here is what you not being told. The Treasury is printing money like mad. Just today they announced $241b new money will be printed on February 3rd via Treasury auction.

Quantitative Easing is beginning and Jerome wont tell you until its too late to enter low.

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Trade Watcher

Michael Saylor’s Forbes cover dropped yesterday.

Every Forbes cover featuring the current “crypto prophet” has marked the peak of the bubble.

And every one of them was later charged with fraud and sent to prison.

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Trump imposes 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, causing a sharp drop in the Canadian dollar.

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Trade Watcher

Bitcoin ROI after halvings.
Its time.

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Trade Watcher

Fresh Tokens by Smart Inflow Today:

JELLY — Launched by the Venmo founder, this project is drawing significant capital inflows.
Mcap: $181.89M.

KAYYO — AI-powered martial arts training app that turns the world into your dojo, using computer vision and AI models for a personalized experience in MMA, Boxing, Muay Thai, and Kickboxing.
Mcap: $26.12M.

XYZ — Gained attention after Jack Dorsey, the founder of Twitter, tweeted "$XYZ," sparking speculation and interest.
Mcap: $3.72M.

PKIN — Pumpkin, a protocol designed to revolutionize token launches, aligning creator and user incentives through fee sharing, staking, and milestone funding to prevent rug pulls.
Mcap: $27.23M.

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Trade Watcher

Gap filled.

As obvious as it might sound - CME gaps are probably the highest hit rate pattern out there. It has like 90% probability of being filled (almost always). Whenever you see one - your bias should be based around it.

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ETH is forming a falling wedge, with key liquidation levels above, suggesting a potential breakout if momentum shifts.

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CoinGecko has introduced a "Made in China" category ahead of the Lunar New Year, highlighting Chinese-origin crypto projects.

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Alibaba rolls out new AI model, claims it outperforms DeepSeek and GPT-4.

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2 hours ago, a wallet named Ansem spent 1.2M USDC to buy 915,828 $WIF at $1.31.

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The Liquidation Heatmap suggests that Bitcoin's price could potentially reach $73,000 in the short term.

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Significant capital inflows into crypto! Circle has minted 6 billion USDC on Solana in the past month.

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US Revolving Credit vs. TOTAL3: A Familiar Pattern?

Each time revolving credit hit a triple top and crossed the moving average, a major correction followed - while TOTAL3 (crypto market cap excluding BTC & ETH) saw a strong rally.

If this trend holds, TOTAL3 could reach $2T, aligning with Bitcoin's current market cap.

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World Liberty Financial has increased its Ethereum holdings to over 70,000 ETH (~$235M) after purchasing an additional 2,972 ETH for $10M USDT. With ETH up ~3% in the past 24 hours, the market could be setting up for a push toward the $4,000 level.

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Trump's 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico are now official. USD/CAD continues its surge, with the 1.47 liquidity pool looking increasingly within reach in the coming days.

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Nancy Pelosi’s market timing continues to draw attention.

On January 14, she opened a ~$100K position in AI company Tempus AI ($TEM). Since then, the stock has gained 72%, highlighting yet another well-timed trade.

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President Donald Trump has reiterated his threat of 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they attempt to introduce a new currency to rival the U.S. dollar. His statement follows growing discussions within the BRICS bloc about reducing reliance on the dollar, particularly after sanctions on Russia. Trump asserted that any country backing an alternative currency would face economic consequences, emphasizing that the dollar remains the dominant global reserve currency.

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"There's only one way to the top: hard work."

— Charlie Munger

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The top creation wallet on Pumpfun has made 18k tokens

Tracking the wallet, he wakes up and makes on average 18 tokens an hour before he goes to sleep everyday for the last 6 months.

He is up 3.7 million dollars in profit.

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The Fed’s pause on rate cuts hasn’t shaken crypto markets, hinting at reduced reliance on traditional finance. While past cycles saw strong stock correlations, today’s stability suggests growing independence for Bitcoin and digital assets.

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The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%.

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In 1998, Charles Cohen launched the Beenz Virtual Currency in London, securing nearly $100M in funding from investors like Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) and Larry Ellison (Oracle). By 1999, beenz had 192 corporate clients, but the project shut down in 2001 due to the dot-com crash.

Now, $BEENZ is making a comeback as a community-driven relaunch, with Cohen himself joining the team. The token is approaching its ATH, and today, it was listed on Moonshot, the leading retail trading platform of this cycle

Not financial advice

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Warren Buffett's cash pile has swelled to a record $325.2 billion.

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$WIF appears to have found a bottom after sweeping the August 2024 low within a major imbalance. If momentum holds, targets could extend up to $5.

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Fed Funds Rate vs TOTAL3

When the Fed Funds Rate crosses the moving average then it confirms the rates are going down. Last time was in August 2019, rates dropped from 2% to 0%. When TOTAL3 crosses the moving average it goes parabolic.

The Fed Funds Rate has just crossed the moving average.

What to expect?

Fed Funds Rate down to 2%. TOTAL3 parabolic.

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Trump's World Liberty Finance purchased 2,397,674 $MOVE for $1.88M USDC and set a TWAP order for an additional $4.7M USDC, indicating plans to accumulate more.

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