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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @JamesCookTg (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

On the Bitcoin chart, the liquidity stacking up above suggests a significant short squeeze is on the horizon.

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Golden pager souvenir from Netanyahu to Trump to commemorate pager attack.

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History Repeats: DeFi 2021 vs. AI 2025

In 2021, DeFi was the dominant narrative, with Uniswap leading the sector. Now, in the AI-driven bull run, Virtuals has emerged as a key player in the trend.

Looking at price action, we noticed a striking similarity:
➤Initial accumulation followed by rapid expansion
➤Weak lows fueling a strong rally
➤Blow-off top and sharp correction

Did we just witness the top of the AI meta?

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Bitcoin Coinbase Flow Pulse — Bitcoin inflows and outflows to/from Coinbase across all exchanges. It reflects supply and demand dynamics among major players in the U.S. market.

Currently, a bullish phase prevails, driven by strong institutional interest. The absence of significant red zones indicates no large-scale outflows typically seen in a bear market when capital shifts from the spot market to futures.

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FDIC plans to revise crypto guidelines & allow banks to engage in crypto activities.

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Retail is buying near RECORD levels:

On Monday, retail traders purchased +$3 BILLION of equities after the drop, the largest purchase since 2015.

Last week, retail traders bought +$8 BILLION of equities amid DeepSeek worries.

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According to DL News, the Trump family's crypto assets total approximately $15.6 billion, with $14 billion attributed to the TRUMP memecoin. The holdings span meme coins, DeFi, NFTs, and the Truth.Fi investment business. Two entities, CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC, reportedly control 80% of TRUMP tokens. CIC Digital is fully owned by Trump, per his 2024 financial disclosure.

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Tether Treasury issued $1 billion USDT, a move that has historically preceded increased volatility and market rallies.

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A mysterious whale withdrew 10M USDC from Binance two hours ago to buy 6.69M $MELANIA at $1.5, and now the token is up on the day. Is something brewing behind the scenes?

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Bitcoin drops below $100K as US-China tariffs spark volatility, but analysts still eye new all-time highs.

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China has announced tariffs of 10-15% on select U.S. imports, including coal, LNG, crude oil, and automobiles, in response to Trump's 10% tariffs on Chinese products. The move escalates trade tensions, with China also imposing export controls on key minerals and launching an anti-monopoly probe against Google. Meanwhile, Trump has delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico for 30 days, easing tensions with U.S. neighbors.

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President Trump's crypto czar David Sacks will hold a press conference tomorrow at 2:30 PM ET to outline the administration’s strategy for U.S. leadership in digital assets.

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Bitcoin typically bounces hard from these levels.

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Murad’s memecoins portfolio drops $10.43M amid market sell-off. No coins have been sold.

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Alts performance vs. BTC measured from cycle bottoms.

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Ethereum outflows from crypto derivatives exchanges hit the highest level since August 2023, showing bullish signs as it may lead to reduced selling pressure and closed leverage positions, according to analysts.

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$PLTR is closing in on another all-time high

The stock is up almost 100% in 3 months...

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Arthur Hayes has published an extensive essay analyzing Bitcoin’s potential role in reshaping U.S. financial policy, its implications for global markets, and his updated Bitcoin price predictions.

Key Takeaways:

➤Bitcoin as a U.S. Reserve Asset
Hayes argues that the U.S. should replace treasuries with Bitcoin as the global reserve asset. He suggests the Treasury could accumulate Bitcoin through a structured devaluation strategy, progressively bidding higher to drive adoption.

➤Market Impact of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve (BSR)
If the U.S. adopts Bitcoin as a reserve asset, Hayes believes it could push BTC’s price to $1.8 million, making it the foundation of a new financial system.

➤De-dollarization & Global Economic Shift
Hayes warns that major economies, especially China, are reducing their reliance on U.S. treasuries. This shift could weaken U.S. financial dominance unless Bitcoin is integrated into the system.

➤Bitcoin Price Outlook
He maintains a short-term bearish outlook, expecting Bitcoin to retest $70,000-$75,000 before resuming its uptrend. However, he remains bullish long-term, predicting a major rally if the U.S. implements Bitcoin-friendly policies.

➤Concerns Over Crypto Regulation
Hayes critiques the current regulatory landscape, warning that any crypto legislation will likely favor centralized entities like Coinbase and BlackRock, limiting true decentralization.

➤Fed and Treasury Moves Could Trigger a Rally
He suggests that money printing by the Fed or concrete pro-crypto legislation would be the key catalysts for Bitcoin’s next leg up.

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📣 Strategy (ex-MicroStrategy) Posts $670.8M Loss, Targets $10B in BTC Gains

Strategy reported a $670.8M Q4 loss, with expenses surging 693% YoY, but expanded its Bitcoin holdings to 471,107 BTC (~$44B). The company set a $10B BTC $ Gain target for 2025 and rebranded to reinforce its Bitcoin focus, while its STRK preferred stock debuted on Nasdaq.

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MicroStrategy Incorporated (Nasdaq: $MSTR) today announced it is now doing business as Strategy™.

Strategy is the world's first and largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, the largest independent, publicly traded business intelligence company, and a Nasdaq 100 stock.

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Ethereum is showing a familiar pattern - similar consolidation structures appeared before its major rallies in previous cycles. If history repeats, ETH could be setting up for a significant breakout.

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The market is not liking Alphabet's earnings report! $GOOGL getting punished in after hours trading.

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Breaking: VanEck Subsidiary Launches "MAGA10" US Crypto Index

The index includes $XRP, $SOL, $LINK, $AVAX, $XLM, $SUI, $UNI, $NEAR, $APT, and $FIL.

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If Bitcoin dominance fails to sustain its current structure and reverses from this level, market conditions could align for a potential altseason, similar to previous cycles where BTC.D peaked before a broad altcoin rally.

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This whale who made a $11.8M profit on $TRUMP spent another $33.9M to buy 766,083 $TRUMP at $44.25 and has now lost $21M.

He lost all his profits and over $9M of his initial capital!

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Gold surges to a record high of $2,830.

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Performance of Binance-listed tokens in 2025.

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This is the worst crypto liquidation event ever, with $2.3b in 24h liquidations + $750b of market cap wiped in 3 days.

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When Almost all Alt coins are in Deep Fear state and all the short term participants is under water by 50-60% by average is not the time for selling.

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In the past 24 hours, 735,656 traders were liquidated, totaling $2.24B in losses.

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