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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @JamesCookTg
🔔 The Market Is Waiting For A Next Week Hint From The US Federal Reserve About Lowering Interest Rates
👍 Most economists surveyed by Bloomberg believe that this will happen as early as next week, when the next meeting of the US Federal Reserve takes place. This will begin rate cuts in September and at least once more until early 2025.
🗣In recent weeks, Fed officials have said the labor market has returned to balance and inflation has resumed its decline toward the central bank's 2% target. This is a strong argument for easing monetary policy.
🔎 In addition to rising unemployment and lower inflation, weak corporate earnings reports, which have already hit the American market, as well as US consumer sentiment, which has fallen to an eight-month low due to high prices, speak in favor of lowering rates.
⏺One complication for the September meeting will be its proximity to the presidential election. Initiating rate cuts less than two months before the election is likely to face criticism over political motives
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🟢 Market Pulse / 26.07.2024
↗️ Stocks all around the world partly retreated from last two-days losses, while Dow Jones posted 4th straight weeks of gains after a fresh reading on US inflation renewed investor optimism for Fed rate cut in September
ℹ️ Friday’s power for comeback consisted of oversold sentiment, a stronger-than-expected GDP report Thursday and the view that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates due to economic resilience
🔴 Market Pulse / 25.07.2024
🔽S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped on Thursday, failing to recover from previous session’s losses as tech stocks are still on sale while rotation to value and small-cap stocks continues. The AI stocks that led on the way up are now leading on the way down. Dow Jones and Russell 2000 closed in green area
🇺🇸 US GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2.8% in Q2. That was not only a significant rebound from the 1.4% pace logged in the first three months of the year, but it surpassed the 1.9% growth forecast by economists surveyed by FactSet.
🇯🇵 Japan’s Nikkei marked its seventh straight day of losses to plunge 3.28%, the most in 9 years, leading declines among Asian indexes as the region saw a broad sell-off after Wall Street tumbled overnight. The yen also marked a fourth-straight day of strengthening against the U.S. dollar, hitting an 11-week low of 152.28 against the greenback.
🇨🇳 China Unexpectedly Cuts 1-year Policy Rate By Most Since 2020. PBOC decreased the rate of the medium-term lending facility by 20 bp to 2.3%. The cut follows China`s central bank trim of 7-day reverse repo by 10 bp on Monday. The PBOC string of rate cuts underscores authorities growing urgency to support growth of lagging economy
🥉 Copper is below $9,000 for the first time in 3 months due to growing pessimism about the global and especially the Chinese economy; amid rising inventories, copper has fallen for 9 trading sessions in a row
🚙 Ford Motor shares tumbled 18.4% for their worst day since 2008 after Q2 earnings came in much lower than analysts expected. Ford posted adjusted earnings per share of 47 cents compared to the consensus forecast of 68 cents, according to LSEG. However, automotive revenue of $44.81 billion came in above the consensus estimate of $44.02 billion.
S&P Movers:
📈ServiceNow +13%
📈Molina Healthcare +12%
📈Universal Health Services +10%
📉Edwards Lifesciences -31%
📉Ford -18%
📉West Pharma -14%
Market Data
📉 S&P 500 -0.5%
📉 NASDAQ -0.9%
📉 STOXX 600 -0.7%
📉 DAX -0.5%
📉 SHANGHAI -0.5%
📉 NIKKEI -3.0%
🥇 GOLD -2.3%
💛 BTC -1.7%
😱 VIX +2.3%
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🔴 Market Pulse / 24.07.2024
🇺🇸 US market tumbled for the worst day since 2022 as Tesla, Alphabet dipped on earnings. Although Alphabet reported a top and bottom line beat, Youtube advertising revenue fell below estimates. Meanwhile Tesla suffered huge profit drop and delayed robotaxi presentation
Wednesday selloff was caused by a perfect storm of an overbought market, high bar for earnings and a seasonally weak period for equities - via Baird
📊 S&P 500 Movers
🔽 UPS (UPS) -12.1%
The package delivery company hit a new 52-week low after posting a miss on both top and bottom lines in the second quarter. UPS reported $1.79 in earnings per share on $21.80 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by LSEG had estimated $1.99 in earnings per share and revenue of $22.18 billion.
🔽 NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) -7.6%
Shares of NXP Semiconductors suffered its worst decline in more than four years. It came on the heels of a second-quarter earnings miss. NXP Semiconductors posted adjusted earnings of $3.20 per share, falling short of a FactSet estimate of $3.21 per share. Revenue was in line with the $3.13 billion expected. Company also shared weaker-than-expected guidance for the current quarter and a decline in second-quarter earnings and revenue from the year-ago period.
🔼 Pentair PLC (PNR) +9.0%
Pentair shares soared following the water treatment company’s second-quarter earnings beat, putting the stock on pace for a fresh record close. Shares are up nearly 20% this year.
🔼 MSCI Inc (MSCI) +7.9%
The stock gained after the company reported Q2 earnings above Wall Street’s estimates. MSCI posted earnings of $3.64 per share, excluding items, on revenue of $707.9 million. This is above the $3.55 in earnings per share on $696.4 million in revenue that analysts surveyed by FactSet were expecting.
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🇺🇸 US Earnings Season Continues
According to FactSet, of the S&P500 companies reporting so far:
⏺ 62% beat 2Q 2024 earnings forecast - still below the 5-year average of 68% and below the 10-year average of 64%
⏺ 80% beat EPS expectations, still above the 5-year average of 77% and above the 10-year average of 74%
🔔 Key earnings this week:
Monday:
SAP, Verizon
Tuesday:
Alphabet, Tesla, Visa, Coca-Cola, Lockheed Martin
Wednesday:
IBM, AT&T, Ford
Thursday:
AbbVie, AstraZeneca
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🗓 Coming Up Next Week
MONDAY 22.07
⏺PBoC Loan Rate
⏺The Farnborough International Airshow
⏺Earnings reports Verizon, NXP Semiconductors, etc
TUESDAY 23.07
⏺US Existing Home Sales
⏺Earnings reports from Alphabet, Tesla, Visa, General Motors, etc
WEDNESDAY 24.07
⏺Eurozone PMIs
⏺Earnings reports from IBM, AT&T, Ford, european banks, etc
⏺US New Home Sales
THURSDAY 25.07
⏺US GDP Q2
⏺Earnings reports from Abbvie, AstraZeneca, etc
⏺Bitcoin 2024 Conference
FRIDAY 26.07
⏺US PCE Data
⏺Paris Olympics
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3 stocks to follow trending Russell 2000 growth
GEO Group
💲GEO
Current price - $16.78
YTD Perf - up 83.93%
Wall Street Target Price - $19.15
Buy/Hold/Sell - 4/0/0
ℹ️ Florida-based Geo Group Inc (GEO) is a government service provider that specializes in design and support services for secure facilities and processing centers worldwide - namely, private prisons. It offers a full spectrum of innovative solutions to government agency partners, which gives GEO a unique competitive advantage in capturing future quality growth opportunities.
PAYSIGN
💲PAYS
Current price - $5.18
YTD Perf - up 50.88%
Wall Street Target Price - $6.13
Buy/Hold/Sell - 4/0/0
ℹ️ Nevada-headquartered Paysign Inc (PAYS) provides prepaid card programs, comprehensive patient affordability offerings, digital banking services, and integrated payment processing services for businesses, consumers, and government institutions. Its capabilities include transaction processing, cardholder enrollment, account funding, account management, reporting, and customer service.
ATKORE INC
💲ATKR
Current price - $141.83
YTD Perf - down 11.36%
Wall Street Target Price - $180.5
Buy/Hold/Sell - 5/1/0
ℹ️ Atkore Inc. (ATKR) is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of electrical, mechanical, safety, and infrastructure products and solutions globally. The product offerings include conduits, cables, installation accessories, metal framing, mechanical pipe, perimeter security, and cable management.
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❓ Why Intel shares are rising and other chip stocks falling?
🔽Chip stocks broadly got crushed this week. In fact, its Wednesday performance marked the worst single-day valuation slide for the industry in more than four years.
📰 Semiconductor investors have gotten hit by a surge of concerning news:
⚠️ Former president and current presidential candidate Donald Trump had made comments suggesting that the U.S. could be hesitant to defend Taiwan or require it to pay for services if he were to become Commander-in-Chief again.
Taiwan is home to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the world's leading contract semiconductor fabrication company and the leading manufacturer of advanced chips used for artificial intelligence (AI), accelerated computing, and other vital national security and economic applications.
⚠️ The Biden administration was weighing the implementation of much stronger export restrictions for chip and semiconductor equipment manufacturing companies dealing with the Chinese market.
If adopted, the foreign direct product rule would allow for restrictions to be put on products manufactured in other countries if they used any U.S.-derived technology.
👑 But despite the big semiconductor sell-off, Intel was able to post gains thanks to the promise of the company's expanding chip fabrication business.
With the tense geopolitical situation between China and Taiwan raising questions about chip availability in the future, the U.S. and other Western allies have been pouring billions of stimulus dollars into improving their ability to manufacture chips, and Intel has already been a major recipient of funding.
There's a good chance that more capital support from the public sector is on the way, and geopolitical risk factors could accelerate the growth of Intel's fab business.
💲INTC
Current price - $34.87
YTD Perf - down 30.62%
Wall Street Target Price - $39.73
Buy/Hold/Sell - 14/30/4
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💥 One of the world's most successful tech investors says chipmaker Nvidia could be worth nearly $50 trillion in a decade
🗣️James Anderson, best known for his early bets on companies like Tesla and Amazon, said: "Nvidia's potential scale under the most optimistic outcome is far greater than I've ever seen before and could result in a tenfold increase in market capitalization. This is not a prediction, but an opportunity if artificial intelligence works for the benefit of customers and Nvidia’s leadership continues.”
#FINNIFTY
S/R levels for tmrw
🔗 Via Nikita Poojary ✅
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#BANKNIFTY
S/R levels for today
🔗 Via Nikita Poojary ✅
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#HBLPOWER (W)
- Strong Breakout Candidate
- Round Bottom Structure
- Trading All Time High
- Big accumulation base
- Keep on radar
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan
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#SONACOMS (W)
- Strong Breakout Candidate
- Cup & Handle Pattern BO
- Strong Bullish Momentum
- Trading 52 weeks’ High
- Massive Volume Buildup
- Big accumulation base
- Good Revenue & EPS growth
- Keep on radar
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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Kellton Tech : Monthly
8 Years resistance Breakout
+
Potential VCP
+
IPO Base breakout formation
+
Strong Rising Volumes
🔗 Via ₹ohan $hah ✅
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🔉 Buffet Made Huge Sale of Bank of America Stock First Time Since 2019
🛒 Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold $2.3 billion worth of Bank of America shares in six days. The company began reducing its position in Bank of America for the first time since 2019:
1⃣ July 17-19 sold $1.5 billion worth at an avg price of $43.56
2⃣ July 22-24 sold $802.5 million at an avg price of $42.46
👌As a result, the conglomerate’s share in Bank of America fell to 12.5% from 12.81% at the end of Q1(according to the WhaleWisdom service).
ℹ️ The holding may have begun to take profits in the bank's shares after they updated the highs of March 2022 during trading on July 16, reaching $44.4 per share. In total, since the beginning of the year, quotes have increased by about 25%.
ℹ️ Berkshire Hathaway still owns 980.1 million shares of BofA, worth about $41.3 billion. By comparison, Apple's stake is worth about $172.5 billion.
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☄️ Apple Out Of Top-5 Smartphone Sellers In China
🍏 Apple left the top five of the Chinese smartphone market in the 2nd quarter of 2024, as local manufacturers were able to impose competition.
⚠️ This happened for the first time in 4 years. Apple sold just 9.7 million smartphones in China last quarter, despite cutting prices for its products, according to research firm Canalys.
📊 Top-5 smartphone vendors in China in Q2_2024 (compared in units shipped):
1⃣ Vivo 13.1 mln units
2⃣ Oppo 11.3 mln units
3⃣ Honor 10.7 mln units
4⃣ Huawei 10.6 mln units
5⃣ Xiaomi 9.7 mln units
🔽 The iPhone maker, which was the third-largest smartphone vendor in the second quarter last year, dropped to the sixth spot with about 9.7 million in shipments
🖥 Localization of Apple’s Intelligence services in mainland China will be an important move in the next 12 months, as Chinese brands are aggressively incorporating generative AI into their products.
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🇮🇳 India Is Ready To Take Away China's Status As The Largest Emerging Market
🔼India is emerging as one of the fastest growing markets in the world in local currency terms and has kept pace with the US in terms of growth over the past decades.
🔴 This aggressive pace has allowed India to take up just under a fifth of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, while China's share has fallen to a quarter, down from more than 40% in 2020. The gap was narrowed by sharply rising stock prices, higher sales volumes and higher earnings for Indian companies.
🔴 Emerging market investors' choice between the two countries now looks less clear-cut, with a strong Indian market in the balance against relatively inexpensive Chinese stocks that are facing an economic slowdown.
🔴 Many Indian households invest in local stocks to offset so-called low interest rates, which at best match the official inflation rate. Such local investments help offset the outflow of foreign investors from India
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☄️ Tesla Stock Loses More Than 10% After Bad News In Fresh Q2 Report
📊Tesla Q2 Earnings
Revenue: $25.5 bln (+2% YoY, +20% QoQ)
Net income: $1.8 bln (-45% YoY, +18% QoQ)
Automotive sales: $19.9 bln (-7% YoY, +14% QoQ)
🔽Huge drop of Tesla shares came in after release of disappointing Q2 earnings and 2-month postponement of driverless taxi presentations. Investors were pleased to see record revenue, but less than thrilled that it was driven by the business's strengths outside of cars.
⏺Tesla's profit margin is the worst in 5 years due to price cuts and incentives. Tesla's costs are soaring as it spends on artificial intelligence infrastructure needed to turn Tesla electric vehicles into self-driving cars and to develop humanoid robots capable of performing factory work and other functions. For years now, Elon Musk has been promising that Tesla will turn its electric cars into self-driving cars through software updates.
⏺This quarter Tesla produced 46.56 thousand more cars than it could sell. This prompted the company to lower prices. Bloomberg attributed the drop in sales to the fact that US drivers are abandoning more expensive electric vehicles in favor of hybrids.
⏺Production of more affordable electric car models that could boost sales will not begin until the first half of next year. A final decision on building a plant in Mexico has been delayed until the results of the US presidential election in November.
💲TSLA
Current price - $220.77
YTD Perf - down 11.45%
Wall Street Target Price - $205.55
Buy/Hold/Sell - 27/16/12
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🔴 Midday Market Pulse
🇺🇸 Kamala Harris is set to replace current president in attempt to beat Trump. Market is reviewing shifting probability of Donald Trump victory in November after Joe Biden dropped out of presidential race.
🇨🇳 Chinese stocks suffered their biggest decline in six months as a lack of major policy support following the Third Plenum reinforced bearish sentiment.
🇺🇸 Traders await key earnings reports from Tesla and Google after the bell. Market will be seeking updates on Tesla’s forthcoming dedicated robotaxi, humanoid robots and CEO Elon Musk’s shifting priorities; Alphabet is set to report double-digit Q2 growth; AI adoption, ballooning costs in focus
🇩🇪 Shares of SAP are jumping 6% after German software group said its AI intelligence driven overhaul will boost its profit by an extra €200 mln
💙 9 Ethereum ETF to start trading on Tuesday after SEC approval
US Pre-market Earnings:
📈General Motors +5%
📈Sporify +13%
📉UPS -7%
📈Coca-Cola +1%
Market Data
📉S&P 500 flat
📉 NASDAQ -0.15%
📈 STOXX 600 +0.13%
📈 DAX +0.86%
📉SHANGHAI -1.65%
📈NIKKEI flat
🥇 GOLD +0.44%
💛 BTC -2.52%
🌪 VIX flat
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🇨🇳 China Key Rates Cut By Surprising Move From PBOC
In attempt to boost growth in fragile economy, China lowered a key short-term policy rate and its benchmark rates on Monday
💸7-day Reverse Repo Rate: cut to 1.7%
💸1-year Loan Prime Rate: cut to 3.35%
💸5-year Loan Prime Rate: cut to 3.85%
Traditionally, most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences mortgage pricing.
⏺Surpising cuts come after last week release of weak Q2 GDP, СPI and import data. The country is struggling with property crisis, surging debt and weak business sentiment. Possible escalation of trade tensions after possible Trump presidentional win also brings negative expectations
⏺The official Xinhua news agency cited unnamed sources close to the PBOC as saying the "decisive" rate cut showed its determination to bolster the recovery and it was in response to the plenum's aims to achieve this year's growth target.
🔼HANG SENG +1.2%
🔽SHANGHAI -0.6%
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🌐 Weekly Market Review 21.07.24
🇺🇸 USA
🔽S&P 500 -2.0%
🔼DOW JONES +0.7%
🔽NASDAQ -3.7%
🇪🇺 EUROPE
🔽STOXX 600 -2.7%
🔽DAX -3.1%
🔽FTSE 100 -1.2%
🇭🇰🇨🇳🇯🇵ASIA
🔽HANG SENG -4.8%
🔼SHANGHAI +0.4%
🔽NIKKEI 225 -2.7%
🛢🥇 NON-STOCK
🔽BRENT -2.52%
🔽GOLD -0.74%
🔼BITCOIN +15.2%
🔼VIX +32.7%
⭐️KEY DRIVERS
⏺China GDP below forecast
Fresh Chinese economic statistics turned out to be predominantly negative. In the second quarter, GDP grew by 4.7% (qoq; forecast: 5.1%)
⏺ECB keeps rates unchanged
The European Central Bank kept its key interest rate unchanged, staying in a holding pattern for now after ordering an initial rate cut at a meeting last month. The bank’s rate cut in June widened a policy gap with the U.S. Federal Reserve, which hasn’t yet cut its key lending rate below its currently high level.
⏺Market Rotation
For the second week a U.S. small-cap stock benchmark outperformed by a wide margin, posting a 1.7% total return while its large-cap counterpart fell 1.8%. The Russell 2000 Index’s surge of 7.7% over two weeks was the clearest indicator of a rotation toward market segments seen as being the biggest beneficiaries of potential interest-rate cuts.
⏺Chipmakers deeply drops on coming fresh restrictions
On Wednesday semiconductor industry suffered huge falldown. A global factor was a Bloomberg News report that the White House is ready to impose serious trade restrictions if American chipmakers continue to provide China with access to advanced semiconductor technologies.
⏺Crowdstrike global outage
Microsoft said it estimates that worldwide about 8.5 million computers were disabled by the outage caused by an update from the Texas based cyber security company, CrowdStrike on Friday. Stock closed down 11% after losing 22% at Friday premarket.
⏺Earnings season start
Bank shares reacted posiively to quarterly reports. Bank of America shares rose by 5.4% in one trading session, while Morgan Stanley shares added 0.9%. Netflix shares responded with a 1.5% decline to the streaming service operator's forecast for a smaller increase in the number of subscribers in the third quarter compared to the same period last year.
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🇺🇸 Big time for small US companies & Russell 2000
⏺No one in the market any longer doubts that the US Federal Reserve will lower the rate in September this year - and this is great news for rate-sensitive sectors, including small-cap companies (up to $2 billion).
⏺Their growth is impossible without borrowed funds, including with a floating rate, and now it will be easier for them to finance and develop their business.
⏺Unlike its older index brothers - the S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq - the Russell 2000 index, which represents those same “babies,” has not updated its all-time high for a long time and struggled with technical consolidation.
⏺However, after the release of fresh CPI data, hinting at a Fed rate cut due to cooling of inflation, a long-awaited upward breakthrough occurred: investors began rotating out of overheated technology sectors into the Russell 2000.
📊Last 10 days
S&P 500 -1.12%
NASDAQ -3.41%
Russell 2000 +7.78%
⏺Another reason for those little ones to grow is the likely return of Trump to the presidency of the United States. He is known as a supporter of local business development and job creation within the country; such protectionism will create comfortable conditions for local small companies.
💵 If the trend is not killed in the bud by a sudden surprise, in the coming months it will be possible to see an update of the ATH for the Russell 2000 (12% growth)
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⚠️ Beyond Meat engages with bondholders to discuss balance-sheet restructuring, WSJ reports
🔽Shares opened down 13% on Thursday.
📶 The group of bondholders, which has interests in Beyond Meat's $1.1 billion of convertible notes, is working with law firms on the restructuring, the WSJ reported, citing people familiar with the matter.
❌ The faux meat maker's reduced liquidity is attributed to its cash burn over the past several quarters.
❌ Demand for Beyond Meat's products - including burger patty, sausages and ground beef - has weakened as customers such as McDonald's and Yum Brands saw sluggish consumer demand owing to sticky inflation.
❌ Earlier this year, the company said it would increase prices on some of its product lines from the second quarter in a bid to restore margins, while also looking to "steeply reduce" costs.
💵BYND
Current price - $7.07
YTD Perf - down 19.44%
Wall Street Target Price - $5.83
Buy/Hold/Sell - 0/7/7
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☄️ Hugo Boss stock falls sharply after 2024 sales warning
📉 Stock slumped as much as 10% Tuesday after the German fashion house cut its 2024 sales guidance, warning for particular difficulties in China and Britain, particularly.
📣 “We are operating in a period of significant global macro uncertainty, which also affected our performance in the second quarter,” CEO Daniel Grieder said in a statement.
#NIFTY
Support levels for tmrw
🔗 Via Nikita Poojary ✅
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📈 Gold could be a beneficiary of the assassination attempt on Trump, experts interviewed by Bloomberg
ℹ️On Monday, analysts expect growth in traditional defensive assets: gold, US government bonds, JPY and USD.
🔼 ATFX Global Markets analyst Nick Twinday believes that gold may test the area of all-time highs.
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𝐁𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐤𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐖𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐏𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐬
𝗜𝗙𝗖𝗜 : 52 Weeks’ High Breakout
𝗖𝗔𝗡𝗧𝗔𝗕𝗜𝗟 : Long Range Breakout
𝗜𝗡𝗢𝗫𝗪𝗜𝗡𝗗 : Asc. Triangle Breakout
𝗦𝗢𝗡𝗔𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗦 : Cup & Handle Breakout
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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#PONNIERODE (W)
- Strong Breakout Candidate
- Long Range Accumulation
- Massive Volume Buildup
- Strong Bullish Momentum
- Darvas Box Pattern BO
- Trading All Time high
- Keep on radar
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
📌 This channel is owned by V3V Ventures
The best setup for life
🔗 Via JayneshKasliwal ✅
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