79206
Contact for any queries @Steffendude
BTC at $62.3K sits 19% below #TrueMarketMean at $77K — firmly in structural bear territory 📉🔴. #STH cost basis declined to $71.4K, reflecting new buyers accumulating well below the True Market Mean — a constructive cyclical development 💪.
Incoming capital being deployed at increasingly disconnected levels from cycle highs signals early bottom formation progress. Any macro-driven leg lower would see #RealizedPrice at $53.4K as the most probable bear market lower bound ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC is gradually moving slowly and steadily toward the minor resistance mark. Nothing much is happening or worth observing here; we need to wait longer. For now, it is just an open room up to $64,800.
Читать полностью…
Late May saw #OpenInterest near upper range financing the push to local highs 📉🔴. Early June break saw both #SpotCVD and #FuturesCVD turn down together — real-money and leveraged participants selling simultaneously rather than one-sided liquidation 💪.
Sharp OI compression confirmed genuine #Deleveraging. Funding oscillating near zero — no crowded long premium or aggressive short bias. Post-flush accumulation remains quiet and passive — sustained turn higher in Spot CVD alongside muted futures signatures turning up would mark a constructive setup with both flow regimes aligned to the upside ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC broke below the small sideways market, tapped inside the major support zone, and executed a liquidity sweep below the old support and previous low. Right now, a small structural change has occurred, breaking the range high.
Читать полностью…
#STH MVRV recovered from 0.83 last week to 0.90 currently — still below the critical 1.0 breakeven threshold for recent buyers 📉🔴. Implied cohort cost basis sits near $72.6K, leaving recent buyers roughly 10% underwater on average 💪.
Recent rally offering some relief but not enough to bring cohort back into net profit — a key precondition for any sustainable bear market exit. Until #STHMVRV reclaims 1.0, this cohort remains a standing source of overhead supply on any recovery attempt ⚡️🎯👀
Large concentration of leveraged #Longs between $64K–$70K aggressively cleared as #BTC broke lower 📉🔴. Cascade of liquidations drove price briefly below $60K before finding support — significant #Deleveraging event complete 💪.
Liquidation profile notably cleaner than a week ago — excess leverage from the recent range largely flushed from the system, creating a healthier positioning backdrop for any potential recovery attempt ahead ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC closed below the support zone for the week, so the chances of a price reversal are now very low. The only possibility is that prices may hunt liquidity at the lows. It is better to hold short positions and let long positions go.
Читать полностью…
#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE:
#BTC attempting to close below support; the close is still pending. Once it closes below, the market will turn strongly bearish. Next week, it can drive lower to $54,800.
#TOTAL UPDATE:
#TOTAL reacted from the support, market bearish get some inflow in the market, and now flipped the strong support, turning into the strong resistance. Index retesting the area, can rejects which can lead the bearish leg down in #bitcoin and #altcoin too.
STH-SOPR 7D SMA z-score at -1.57, two-week low reaching -1.86 — just 0.14 standard deviations from the -2 threshold historically marking severe #Capitulation events 📉🔴. Recent buyers crystallizing losses at an elevated and accelerating pace 💪.
Loss realization severe enough to confirm deep bear conditions but not yet extreme enough to signal selling exhaustion required for a durable floor — market sits in uncomfortable interim territory ⚡️🎯👀
Binance Will Delist ALCX, ARDR, NFP, POND on 2026-07-10
Based on our most recent reviews, we have decided to delist and cease trading on all spot trading pairs for the following token(s) at 2026-07-10 03:00 (UTC):
- Alchemix (ALCX)
- Ardor (ARDR)
- NFPrompt Token (NFP)
- Marlin (POND)
https://www.binance.com/en/support/announcement/detail/a9c1a7bb97064c69a660316bff39f2bd
#DXY closed at 100.01 — up 0.8% WoW and 2.1% over 30 days, keeping global liquidity tight 📉🔴. 10Y yield at 4.53% alongside dollar strength above 100 historically compresses speculative risk premiums 💪.
#BTC absorbed macro headwinds with a 7.5% decline to $61,700. Durable recovery requires #DXY breaking below 99 or 10Y compressing toward 4.2% — neither condition currently met ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC going as per the plan, price dropped hard till the drawn mentioned major support zone. Price rejected it precisely and again backing up now. Still bearish sentiment at the moment and need to wait for buys, shorting altcoins will be good.
Читать полностью…
#BTC had a fakeout and is forming a small falling wedge pattern, now floating between key levels. Expected the downfall to continue and a bounce, but still confused at the moment; had to wait longer.
Читать полностью…
7D #SpotVolumeDelta flipped decisively negative, reaching levels not seen since the February sell-off — aggressive sellers dominating spot order books once again 📉🔴. Follows a sustained period of spot-led accumulation throughout April and May that drove #BTC from mid $60Ks to $80K 💪.
That demand impulse has now fully faded — sellers regaining control as price failed to break higher. Persistent negative delta signals distribution phase with participants selling into strength rather than accumulating. Meaningful improvement in spot demand remains key for durable recovery ⚡️🎯👀
#EDEN is slowly forming a small wedge pattern, attempting to break the small flag pattern. In the Higher Timeframe, it looks more like a consolidation now. A good setup will come after a strong and clean break for longs or shorts, so look out for it.
Читать полностью…
Here's the analysis of #BCH:
#BCH is strongly rejecting the key support area around $180 - $184. Following a parabolic move, it could move up to a resistance area around $230 - $232.
#BTC.D UPDATE:
#BTC.D had a break below the support and is now flipping over. However, the index looks bearish, and altcoins can still be moving sideways only.
#GOLD continued moving down, attempting a shallow break of the resistance line. Given the bearishness of the price, we could see a break of the key support area.
Читать полностью…
#BTC is still moving sideways and remains in the major support area. Nothing much has changed; we need to wait for something to happen.
Читать полностью…
#US30 UPDATE:
#US30 is printing a new all-time high each week. Every week, there is a sideways market followed by an upward move. Take longs and use trailing stops only in US indexes.
#DXY moves as per the plan, tapping straight into resistance and being rejected slightly. Momentum and market structure still look bullish; the market may fall down lower next week to the 100.30% support.
Читать полностью…
The Coinbase Premium, which tracks the gap between Coinbase spot prices and Binance perpetual futures prices, offers a useful window into US institutional demand. When Coinbase trades at a premium, it suggests institutions are actively buying spot BTC, pushing prices above those seen in offshore futures markets.
That dynamic has shifted in recent weeks. The premium has remained firmly in discount territory, indicating that US spot demand has faded as BTC sold off toward $60K. Unlike previous pullbacks that attracted strong dip-buying, the current correction has seen institutions remain largely on the sidelines, removing an important source of support for the market.
#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE:
#BITCOIN is still moving sideways but has dropped sharply below the support zone and continues to reject that same area. The market structure remains intact and bearish, so you should stay on the same side. Therefore, try to enter short positions in #BITCOIN and other altcoins as well.
#BTC.D UPDATE:
#BTC.D dropped with the fall in #BTC prices, now hovering over the support zone. The index is going sideways, and the market is also bearish with mixed sentiment. Altcoins may fall further with the market, so do not attempt to go long.
#BTC dropped after retesting the falling wedge pattern and once again moved deep into the major support zone. The price is moving significantly sideways and remains bearish; we need to wait and watch further.
Читать полностью…
#EDEN attempting to break the trendline, building a bear flag pattern at the support trendline, and taking shorts can be really good here.
Читать полностью…
Here's the Analysis of #NEAR :
#NEAR had a clear break of the resistance area and now approaching towards the key support zone around $1.85 - $1.90. Potential buys can be taken along the area and hold for short-term till long term, (at-least $3.30)
Here's the analysis of #XLM:
#XLM has broken out of consolidation and is now dropping. The price can go lower; taking short positions can be good at this point. Act accordingly.
#DXY Update:
#DXY rose strongly and kept pushing higher toward the major #Resistance area of 101.30%–101.60% with momentum building steadily 📉🔴. A rejection from this zone could be the catalyst needed to spark a short-term altcoin rally across the broader market 💪.
Watching this level very closely — a clean rejection from major resistance would signal dollar weakness returning and open the door for altcoins to make meaningful moves ⚡️🎯👀