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#DXY closed at 100.01 — up 0.8% WoW and 2.1% over 30 days, keeping global liquidity tight 📉🔴. 10Y yield at 4.53% alongside dollar strength above 100 historically compresses speculative risk premiums 💪.
#BTC absorbed macro headwinds with a 7.5% decline to $61,700. Durable recovery requires #DXY breaking below 99 or 10Y compressing toward 4.2% — neither condition currently met ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC going as per the plan, price dropped hard till the drawn mentioned major support zone. Price rejected it precisely and again backing up now. Still bearish sentiment at the moment and need to wait for buys, shorting altcoins will be good.
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#BTC had a fakeout and is forming a small falling wedge pattern, now floating between key levels. Expected the downfall to continue and a bounce, but still confused at the moment; had to wait longer.
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7D #SpotVolumeDelta flipped decisively negative, reaching levels not seen since the February sell-off — aggressive sellers dominating spot order books once again 📉🔴. Follows a sustained period of spot-led accumulation throughout April and May that drove #BTC from mid $60Ks to $80K 💪.
That demand impulse has now fully faded — sellers regaining control as price failed to break higher. Persistent negative delta signals distribution phase with participants selling into strength rather than accumulating. Meaningful improvement in spot demand remains key for durable recovery ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE:
#BTC continues moving sideways, respecting levels on both sides and gradually building new #Support and #Resistance zones 📉🔴. Structure remains indecisive with neither bulls nor bears fully committing to a directional move yet 💪.
Set alerts on these key levels and watch closely for a confirmed #Breakout — adjust your bias accordingly once price shows a clear hand and breaks with conviction ⚡️🎯👀
Strategy has increased its USD Reserve by $300 million to $1.4 billion and plans to continue replenishing it to support the credit quality of its Digital Credit securities. We also acquired 520 BTC for $35 million, increasing our $BTC Reserve to ₿847,363.
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Strategy has acquired 1,587 BTC for $100 million to increase our $BTC Reserve to ₿846,842. We have also increased our USD Reserve by $100 million to $1.1 billion
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#BTC this week started slowly moving back into the major resistance area, but a flip doesn't mean a bullish move has begun. A flip will be an early hint; let more confirmation build into the structure.
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#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE:
#BTC is slowly rising and approaching the resistance area around $65,500 - $66,300. Looking at LTF, price is going sideways a lot; need to wait for the breakout.
#BTC rally stalled almost precisely at aggregate #SpotETF cost basis near $83K — previous support flipping into clear #Resistance 📉🔴. Underwater ETF investors using recovery to exit at breakeven, supply outweighing new demand 💪.
ETF cost basis remains a key level to watch — decisive reclaim puts average ETF investor back in profit and improves sentiment. Until then, ETF positioning remains a headwind with investors de-risking into strength ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC is moving sideways between the two major levels. It is not a good position for any openings; however, we need to wait for more clarity in the market.
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#BTC.D UPDATE:
#BTC.D retraced this week and is again slowly bending lower. The index can fall further lower, but #BTC also remains stable. Do not jump in early to execute trades; instead, wait for clarity in the market.
Price pulling back toward $67K — approaching the lower band of supply accumulated since February 📉🔴. Short-term holders who bought between $78K–$82K near local top now facing immediate pressure as unrealized gains compress toward breakeven 💪.
Whether they hold or capitulate will determine if current levels absorb selling or give way to a deeper leg down ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC is slowly retracing toward the major resistance area after being tapped from the major support zone. Price is also forming a small bear flag pattern and may dip back to major support, potentially forming a double bottom as well.
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Strategy has acquired 1,550 BTC for $101 million to increase our $BTC Reserve to ₿845,256. We have also increased our USD Reserve by $100 million to $1.0 billion. 🚀📈
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#EDEN attempting to break the trendline, building a bear flag pattern at the support trendline, and taking shorts can be really good here.
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Here's the Analysis of #NEAR :
#NEAR had a clear break of the resistance area and now approaching towards the key support zone around $1.85 - $1.90. Potential buys can be taken along the area and hold for short-term till long term, (at-least $3.30)
Here's the analysis of #XLM:
#XLM has broken out of consolidation and is now dropping. The price can go lower; taking short positions can be good at this point. Act accordingly.
#DXY Update:
#DXY rose strongly and kept pushing higher toward the major #Resistance area of 101.30%–101.60% with momentum building steadily 📉🔴. A rejection from this zone could be the catalyst needed to spark a short-term altcoin rally across the broader market 💪.
Watching this level very closely — a clean rejection from major resistance would signal dollar weakness returning and open the door for altcoins to make meaningful moves ⚡️🎯👀
#US30 UPDATE: #US30 hit a new All-Time High and took a shallow retracement afterward. The index is expected to dip slightly as less pullback builds a liquidity pool lower. Expecting a drop and bounce from the 50,360 area.
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Here's the analysis of #DASH:
#DASH bounced from the strong support zone around $29.80 - $30.80, but the price is looking bearish at this point. We can expect a drop from here, flipping the support and reaching $26.00, so take it accordingly.
#US30 UPDATE:
#US30 is again approaching an all-time high after it was predicted to drop to 49,600, but the index only reached 49,700 and reversed. It is forming an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern and could be a strong long position after the flip and break of the ATH.
Here is the analysis of #STG:
#STG exhibited a strong downtrend and approached the key support zone around $0.241–$0.255. The price also rested on the supporting trendline. A minor close occurred, but a stronger close is needed for strong confirmation.
#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE:
#BITCOIN has been sideways all week following the rejection at support. Liquidity was swept from the previous lower lows, and the price is slowly making higher highs and higher lows internally. A small range break is needed.
#SAGA has dropped 35.75% in profits. The price is still near the same level and may go to a new lower low soon. Book a decent amount of profit here and let the runner run.
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Here's the analysis of #EDEN:
#EDEN kept holding the supporting trendline and, after seeing solid rejection from the key resistance, looks bearish as of now and is starting to break. Take shorts; selling can be good enough after an LTF closure.
#BTC broke the flag pattern and started moving lower, expected to reach the major support drawn. Don't rush for buys and let the market stabilize.
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#GOLD failed to complete the pattern and flipped below support, now moving through the area as a retest. Price can still go lower and is expected to reach around $4,245 - $4,251. Take a short in LTF after the retest.
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Bitcoin’s recent 13% decline has pushed the price well below the True Market Mean ($77.8k), a key level that often separates bull and bear market conditions. At around $67k, Bitcoin is now trading between the True Market Mean and the Realized Price ($53.9k), reinforcing the current bearish market structure.
The Short-Term Holder Cost Basis ($76.4k) has also fallen below the True Market Mean, a pattern last seen in early 2022. This suggests newer investors are buying at lower prices, reflecting weaker market sentiment and increasing pressure on investor confidence.
#US30 UPDATE:
#US30 is struggling to move higher and is moving sideways after hitting new all-time highs. The index has retraced slightly and is expected to drop to the support area around 49,600. Looking at the momentum, if the price sustains above the 50,000 mark, we can expect an all-time high this week.