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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #JASMY :

#JASMY printing some pretty nice lower highs and lower lows and broke the major support area and can continue to fall lower as no clean support in between and next major support area of $0.0082 - $0.0087, so take the pump as shorting opportunity.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

The Bybit hack triggered significant market turmoil, with declining liquidity and cooling spot demand intensifying sell pressure and sparking a broader correction.

The resulting market-wide weakness caused Bitcoin's monthly momentum to drop by -13.6%, while Ethereum fell -22.9% and Solana plummeted -40%. The Meme Coin Index collapsed by -36.9%, reflecting a sharp risk-off sentiment across the crypto space.

This correction has effectively erased months of positive price movement, bringing momentum back to levels not seen since April 2024. The magnitude of this decline reveals the underlying fragility in market confidence following Bitcoin's all-time high in December 2024.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#DXY UPDATE :

#DXY had a huge drop as expected and gave a strong below of the support area, turning it into the resistance now. Further drop can lead in potential relief in the overall market conditions.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #LINK :

#LINK is moving in a sideway or choppy move and dropped below the key area around $16.50 - $16.90 and major support area of $12.80 - $13.40. Price action now looks good, better wait for the breakout or buys at major support only.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#VANA shorts did well and reached the expected zone for longs and price already reacted around 6.6% from there. Overall, market still looks weak and can drop further. Short again once it closes below the support.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

🇺🇸 TRUMP: America will follow the rule that every Bitcoiner knows: “Never sell your Bitcoin.”


Nothing major happened other than this

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Is a Watcher (OMG Foundation)?

A Watcher on OMG Foundation is a computer that observes the child chain and block producer and makes sure network transactions are correctly confirmed. It further ensures that child chains act according to network rules and do not tamper with transaction orders or withhold blocks. Any OMG Foundation user can become a watcher. The set of watchers on OMG Foundation is decentralized.

How Does OMG Network Work?

OMG Network is a layer-two scaling solution for Ethereum. It uses a proof-of-authority consensus mechanism. It batches Ethereum transactions and validates them on a child chain before sending them back to Ethereum for confirmation.

The Plasma Childchain architecture is used by OMG groups to execute transactions off-chain into and sends periodic root hash updates to the Ethereum mainnet. The watchers observe the validations on the child chain to ensure accurate transaction confirmations.

Who Can Become a Watcher (OMG Foundation)?

Any OMG Foundation user can operate a watcher. The watcher network is decentralized and ensures correct data submission to the Ethereum mainnet for final settlement.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC.D had a fake out but not clarity still, and Index still moving sideways and alts dumped irrespective of #bitcoin move. Waiting of the breakout to set a directional bias either side.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Also, The government will not acquire additional assets for the Stockpile beyond those obtained through forfeiture proceedings.

Still bullish in our opinion

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

The weakening in open interest and declining perpetual futures funding rates signal growing bearish sentiment and leveraged position unwinding, especially in riskier assets. While Bitcoin and Ethereum maintain slightly positive funding rates due to their deeper liquidity, Solana rates have turned negative in recent weeks. Memecoin funding rates have become very negative, showing shorts now dominate these speculative assets as traders close positions or face liquidation. These negative rates for Solana and Memecoins indicate a bearish shift in higher-risk assets and the unwinding of excessive long leverage.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC slowly rose towards the next resistance around $90,000 and kinda rejecting. Price now in a new range, and Daily need to sustain, $89,000 to remain bullish.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

This market-wide pullback suggests we're witnessing a typical consolidation phase after the aggressive bull run. While the declines are significant, the pattern is not unusual in cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin and larger cap cryptocurrencies are showing more resilience compared to more speculative assets like meme coins, which have experienced steeper corrections. The market appears to be resetting and potentially preparing for the next potential upward movement, with investors likely reassessing their positions and risk tolerances.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#DXY UPDATE :

#DXY going perfectly as per the plan and nearly reached the support area of 104.87% - 105.20%. Once the support reached, we can expect some sort of reaction from there where it cloud lead the strong dump in market prices again.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

There's Tough Trade War Established between the Global Politics.

Market gonna shake too much, and don't over leverage you positions and Stay Strong...

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#GOLD UPDATE :

#GOLD dropped more the further, more than the expected and now retracing. Market is like more prone to bearish now, and can move lower with the retracement. Not so clear so go with the confirmations.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Is the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN)?

The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is a bureau of the United States Department of the Treasury that works by collecting as well as analyzing the information about financial transactions with the end goal of combating both domestic as well as international money laundering, terrorist financing as well as other financial crimes.

The mission behind the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network is to safeguard the financial system from illicit use, as well as fully combat money laundering and its related crimes, such as terrorism, and even promote national security through the usage of financial authorities as well as the collection, analysis and dissemination of financial intelligence.

When it comes to its insignia, the FinCEN's insignia emphasizes the unique mission when it comes to safeguarding the financial system from illicit use. It features several symbols which are central to the mission.

The globe represents FinCEN's worldwide reach, influence, authorities as well as responsibilities.

The binary numbers actually mean FinCEN in binary code, as well as represent the financial data that FinCEN uses in order to keep the financial system secure, and the communities and families safe.

The eagle represents the strength, pure power and determination of the American people, as well as the position in the center which symbolizes the power as well as the commitment of the protection. The shield represents the national security mission, and the silhouette of a bank represents the complex financial system that FinCEN uses in order to help supervise and administer things.

FinCEN was established by the order of the Secretary of the Treasury on April 25, 1990.

in May1994 however, their mission was broadened to include regulatory responsibilities, and in October of the same year the Treasury Department’s precursor of FinCEN, the Office of Financial Enforcement was merged with FinCEN, on Sept. 26, 2002, after Title III of the PATRIOT Act was passed, the Treasury Order 180-01 made it an official bureau in the Department of Treasury.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

When analyzing short-term holder (STH) supply in post-ATH distribution phases, we can better understand market sensitivity due to supply density:

* The current accumulation phase closely resembles May 2021, indicating a large amount of supply and investor sensitivity to prices falling below $92.5k
* While April 2024 also saw aggressive accumulation by new investors, the structural pattern of STH supply increase in the current cycle matches May 2021 more closely

We're approaching a decisive market moment where price action is primed to break out of its current pattern. If demand stays strong, Bitcoin could establish a new range above ATHs. However, without sustained buying pressure, we might see a deeper distribution-driven correction similar to previous post-ATH phases, likely triggered by panic selling from recent buyers as their positions shift from profit to unrealized loss.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, had a very strong rejection candle closing but now its trying to have a close below of the it, which is a bearish sign for the market. On the other hand, in the retracement, market might try to reverse and give a successful closing over $92,500.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

In prior Bitcoin ATH cases, we see a consistent post-rally pattern where realized supply density increases within ±15% of the spot price. This happens as the market shifts from aggressive uptrend to consolidation, trading in a narrower range.

The pattern in previous cycle tops shows:
* During price discovery rallies, realized supply density falls significantly until the price peak
* Participants then redistribute coins during correction/consolidation phases
* This typically happens near the Short-Term Holder cost basis, testing new investor conviction

The current realized supply density matches a typical post-ATH consolidation where buyers and sellers are establishing a new equilibrium before the next major trend emerges.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Daily TF, had very volatile week due to fundamental news, as had a deeper retest to the resistance area. Price moved sideways on that large candle, and need to see strong breakout either side. Weekly TF closing is also important for next week move.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ORDI :

#ORDI stuck between the strong area of support and resistance zones around $10.10 - $10.64 and currently, price is breaking below of the support and can continue fell lower and there's no support on left now. Shorting is good on the retest.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Institutional interest is cooling during the market contraction, with different patterns between Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs:

* Bitcoin ETFs saw large outflows last week but quickly rebounded to over 8% of global spot volume, showing strong "buy the dip" institutional demand
* Ethereum ETFs have minimal activity with near-zero net flows, indicating weak traditional investor interest

This pattern reinforces Bitcoin's dominance in institutional portfolios while explaining Ethereum's continued underperformance.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC just moving from 1 range to another range and rejecting and very last area and breaking intermediate zones. Still, no clarity in the market and need to see some sort of stability in the market.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #LUMIA :

#LUMIA going below the listing prices, formed a small sideways market, between the $0.37 - $0.38. Price doesn't looks good enough for buys as no clean support or major support in the left. Wait for a good closing and shorts can be taken.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#DOT returned back to the support as expected and move around 10.5% in profit. Move stops to breakeven, and lets see if price can push higher.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#ETH completed the out analysis and ever out performed that. Price even dipped, further and respected the support zone. Now its again on the support area kinda weak now and might wick further low.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #LDO :

#LDO dropped hard after the quick retest of the strong resistance area and nearly had a retest of the major support zone around $0.86 - $0.92. Still expecting it to have a drop lower, to the zone and can move further lower, so buys only after it market sustain over there

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC had a strong reaction from the support zone, H4 had a shallow close below but Daily had a strong rejection wick. Price now over the support again at $86,500. If Daily candle sustains.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

The importance of defending the STH cost basis and the MVRV 1Yr Z-Score pricing regions becomes increasingly apparent when overlaying the price traces onto the URPD volume profile. A significant volume air-pocket can be seen below these levels, where very few coins changed hands in that price range.

Additionally, the -1σ band for the STH cost basis resides at the upper bound of this volume gap, suggesting this may be a relatively sensitive area should prices fall that far.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC had a huge drop, after the surge in prices, turned back price bearish, and on a support zone, rejecting it too. Price can easily break though it and can even go further lower. All depends on closing, so need to see the HTF first.

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