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US spot ETF trading volume also remains subdued. The 30-day SMA is holding between $650M and $950M per day, roughly 80% below the $4.4B peak in October 2025.
Combined with ongoing ETF outflows, this suggests institutional demand remains weak and has yet to recover.
#BTC.D broke the triangle pattern upwards, which is bad for altcoins. We may see some bleeding in altcoins, so let's observe their movement.
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#BTC has reached the resistance area, but the price was rejected on the first attempt. There is still positivity in the market, and we expect another test of this zone.
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The Deribit GEX Heatmap shows strong positive gamma positioning around the low-$60K area.
This means dealer hedging is helping to stabilize price and reduce volatility. The options market is no longer positioned for an aggressive downside move.
While it doesn't guarantee a reversal, it suggests consolidation and calmer price action are more likely than another wave of panic selling.
INSIGHT: Bitcoin’s bottoming process is progressing, but downside risk still remains, according to Glassnode.
Despite signs of peak long-term holder capitulation, the market has not yet fully confirmed a bottom.
#BTC LTH Realized Loss Update:
Entity-Adjusted #LTH Realized Loss 30D SMA peaked at ~$280M per day — highest reading since December 2022, marking the second major capitulation spike this bear cycle 📉🔴. Unlike the first spike which saw a partial cooldown, current wave has not yet contracted to lower levels 💪.
Until this metric compresses meaningfully, path toward bull market transition remains obstructed — trajectory of this indicator will be among the most critical signals for determining whether genuine sell-side exhaustion is approaching in coming weeks ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE:
#BTC flipped above, and this week we are close to forming a pin bar candlestick. We are still stuck within the range, and we can expect the ride to $65,500 - $66,300. Overall, nothing can be determined; let the market make the direction very clear.
#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE:
#BITCOIN on the daily TF is still in a range and attempting to turn bullish. Again, no clear stand, but let's wait further to see if this range breaks.
The liquidity backdrop is split. US M2 has pushed to a record $22.8 trillion, the slow tide that has historically led risk appetite, yet the Federal Reserve's balance sheet keeps draining, now $2.0 trillion below its 2023 peak. The tension is a rising broad-money base set against an ongoing quantitative drain, with real yields still near 1% keeping the cost of holding a non-yielding asset high. The macro door is not shut, but it is not yet firmly open.
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Net long exposure on Hyperliquid steadily increasing even as #BTC trades lower — leveraged traders consistently adding bullish exposure throughout the decline 📉🔴. Long bias now at its highest level in the observed period creating an increasingly asymmetric market structure 💪.
If buyers regain control concentrated longs could fuel a sharp recovery — however failure of support risks forced #LongLiquidations amplifying volatility to the downside. Derivatives traders positioning for reversal but conviction yet to be validated by price ⚡️🎯👀
#BTC is still ranging, with not much else around it. The price needs to break in either direction; then we can rest and relax.
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#BTC.D UPDATE:
#BTC.D hasn't moved much and is moving back and forth. With that, the index is forming a triangle pattern, and altcoins are at a decision point. Wait for some sort of confirmation and take shorts, but for additional confirmation, wait for the triangle pattern breakout.
Here's the Analysis of #LAYER :
#LAYER has entered a consolidation phase after a long downtrend. Price has built a fresh support/bottom of the range around $0.059 - $0.066 and needs to break out of the zone. Short-selling is highly probable, so proceed accordingly.
#BTC slowly rises and nearly reaches the major resistance, but is nearly rejected. Still, another short-term high may form as the price enters the major resistance area. Nothing suggests bullishness, so sit back and relax.
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Strategy has sold 3,588 $BTC for $216 million to fund dividends on our Digital Credit securities. As of 7/5/2026, we hodl ₿843,775 in our BTC Reserves and $2.55 billion in our USD Reserves.
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#BTC finally tapped into the resistance area and saw a strong rejection. The price has once again moved into the middle of the large range; a bearish bias can continue, with a drop likely to persist until the support area around $58,200 - $59,550.
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Bitcoin's weakness is being driven by higher real interest rates, not broader market fear.
U.S. 10-year real yields have risen to around 2.4%.
The U.S. dollar remains strong.
Meanwhile, stocks are near highs, credit markets are stable, and volatility remains low.
The pressure on BTC is currently a macro and liquidity issue, rather than a traditional risk-off environment.
SKL moved as anticipated, and the short positions have yielded over 27% profit since entry. The price is again approaching the resistance area, so let's observe the price action there.
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Bitcoin is experiencing upward movement while facing some resistance. A break and close above these resistance lines will likely lead to further gains.
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Here's the Analysis of #SNX :
#SNX kept on making new lower low, after break of the support formation. Also, price going into small consolidation after the break, and selling looking bearish, so short-selling would be great opportunity for it once setup is formed in retracement.
#DXY faced a strong rejection from resistance. A long uptrend channel pattern is visible if followed by the index, within which a small flag is forming. The index appears strongly bullish, so we can expect a bullish continuation next week.
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#TOTAL UPDATE:
#TOTAL made a clean flip and retested the zone, and might now produce a short-term upward move. Following the uptrend channel pattern, it may continue to do so.
#SKL failed to break the low of the range, reached there, and strongly moved up towards the major resistance area of $0.0054 - $0.0056. The move looks unusual, so the price can move low again; shorts can be taken on LTF confirmation.
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#BTC jumped again during the NYSE open, and we can see clean liquidity building just below the major resistance area. A tap in will surely give a good reaction. Take short-term, low-leverage trades and let's see where the market goes.
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#BCH flipped and retraced back to the same level, forming a small channel pattern. It looks bullish, so taking short-term longs with tighter stops would be a good strategy.
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Institutional demand remains weak, with US Spot ETF net flows staying negative as Bitcoin nears $60K. While Long-Term Holders continue accumulating on-chain, ETF investors remain cautious. A return to positive ETF inflows would signal improving market confidence.
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#BTC started moving lower and attempting a shift in market structure toward bearish continuation. Do not enter long positions early; watch for short-selling opportunities.
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#GOLD rallied after breaking the resistance line, rising 4.2%. Price still has room to move further up around $4,245 - $4,251. Keep the position running and lock in some profits too.
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#LTH Net Position Change firmly back in positive territory — experienced holders rebuilding positions after extended distribution phase 📈🟢💪. Accumulation pace modest compared to prior bull market waves but marks a notable behavioral shift 🔴.
Timing aligns with #BTC retracing toward $60K — conviction-driven investors viewing correction as opportunity rather than risk. Too early to call a full accumulation regime but persistent #LTH buying provides encouraging signal that conviction is quietly rebuilding beneath the surface ⚡️🎯👀
#US30 UPDATE:
#US30 kept on printing a new all-time high as expected. We already gave the call and moved into profit. Hold it, trail it, and let's see how far it goes.