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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What is URPD (UTXO Realized Price Distribution) ?

#URPD stands for UTXO Realized Price Distribution, to analyze the distribution of Bitcoin's realized prices based on the age of the UTXOs (Unspent Transaction Outputs) or in other words #UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows at which prices the current set of Bitcoin UTXOs were created (i.e. each bar shows the amount of existing bitcoins that last moved within that specified price bucket). The price specified on the x-axis refers to the lower bound of that bucket.

The UTXO Realized Price Distribution helps to understand the average cost basis of Bitcoin holders based on when they acquired their coins. It divides the UTXOs into different age groups, such as those acquired within the last 30 days, 90 days, 180 days, and so on, and calculates the average price at which those coins were last moved.

This metric provides insights into the behavior of long-term holders (HODLers) and short-term traders. It allows analysts to determine the levels at which different cohorts of Bitcoin holders may be willing to sell their coins, as well as the potential price levels at which they acquired their holdings.

By analyzing the URPD, one can gain a deeper understanding of the distribution of Bitcoin's realized prices across various time frames and identify potential price points where significant buying or selling pressure may emerge.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

The rapid price increase saw little trading activity between $76,000 and $88,000. This suggests an "air gap" that could become a zone of interest if the market corrects lower before attempting to break above $100,000. Analyzing supply distribution during this price discovery phase can provide insights into key support and resistance levels. Consolidation is often needed to confirm new price ranges after sharp moves, and the trading volume profile can reveal potential areas of support or resistance as the market seeks equilibrium.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC Had a very good/ healthy weekly close with over $100,000 mark. With that, Daily also closed bullish and printed a New All Time High, meanwhile H4 printed a huge Rejection Candlestick, with new ATH, seems to be having selling pressure. Overall, every TF is bullish so we can expect a break sooner or later.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

The passage compares the current cryptocurrency uptrend to the March 2024 all-time high to gauge its sustainability. In 2024, a supply cluster formed between $40k-$73k as the asset reached its peak. Over the following volatile months, this cluster became significant support that eventually underpinned the current rally. By analyzing prior market structures, we can assess if the present uptrend has a similar foundation to support its continuation.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Weekly TF, goes as per the call and gave a $100,000 closings and build a fresh support at $97,000. Price dipped down and rejected the strong area strongly and again we can expect a good close over $100K zone.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BEL had a very quick pump after the call and made a high of 7.31% and with 10x leverage, we've 73% in profits. It a great move and i hope you secured some profits there and hold for rest of the targets.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

ZRO dropped further lower to the support zone and rejected strongly. Currently, price getting rejection from the resistance (gray box) and likely to be bounded in a range. If you bought it then its good, else try to accumulate some in the range.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BEL pump is inevitable✌️

BUY
and HOLD for moonshot🚀

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BEL is about to explode just like our previous calls. Miss it, and you'll wish you hadn’t.

Time to jump in—don’t wait too long! 🚀

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Low cap altcoins are going wild today#UTK, #AVA, #PIVX are all blasting off!

And guess what?

#BEL is about to join the party.

Don’t say you weren’t warned!

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BEL/USDT looks a perfect buy here

Range breakout and retest done on weekly timeframe

MACD indicating bullish momentum ahead

Looks ready for a takeoff anytime🚀✌️

Targets: $0.9- 1- 1.1- 1.25- 1.5$

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Bitcoin has surged back ABOVE 100K following the recent correction! The market sentiment has been reset, and looks like altcoins are ready for a ride now. Stay tuned for a strong news based SPOT & FUTURES call at 4PM GMT today!🔥

Exchange: BINANCE


Get ready! This is the real deal – don’t let it slip by🚀✌️

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Investor ROI Analysis

Realized Profit by Return Percentage:
* 0%-20% ROI: $10.1 billion
* 20%-40% ROI: $10.7 billion
* 40%-60% ROI: $7.3 billion
* 60%-100% ROI: $7.2 billion
* 100%-300% ROI: $13.1 billion
* 300%+ ROI: $10.7 billion

The data reveals a surprisingly uniform profit-taking pattern across different return ranges. This suggests a "chips-off-the-table" strategy, where investors are systematically selling portions of their holdings regardless of their initial entry price. Investors with lower and higher cost bases seem to be achieving similar profit volumes by selling strategically over time.

The market appears to show a calculated, measured approach to profit realization across various investor groups.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC had a liquidity sweep of the H4 Previous high and dumped, Market again trying to turn bearish and Daily seems to be strong enough for the bullish move. Its a bit confusing area and price likely to have a short-term retracement from here.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Is a Tumbler?

Tumblers are responsible for breaking down transactions into smaller parts — and mixing them with others. This makes transactions harder for third parties to hunt down.

Users deposit their coins into the tumbler’s pool. The tumbler will return each user the same number of coins, minus the fees. However, the funds received will be made up of a multitude of parts of the funds that other users have deposited into the system. This helps to create a divide between the address sending crypto, and the one that is receiving it.

Tumblers usually do not ask for information about their users, ensuring anonymity. As a result, they are often accused of enabling illicit activities like money laundering, given that they make the anonymous applications of the Dark Web much more convenient and the jobs of law enforcement agencies more difficult.

However, tumbling cryptocurrency does not always carry suspicious motives. Users who resort to mixing should bear in mind that tumblers’ manipulations carry a few dangers, notably the risk of hacking. In case of security holes, it would be easy for hackers to recover personal data or trace the origin of a user’s coins.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

MicroStrategy has acquired 15,350 BTC for ~$1.5 billion at ~$100,386 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 46.4% QTD and 72.4% YTD. As of 12/15/2024, we hodl 439,000 $BTC acquired for ~$27.1 billion at ~$61,725 per bitcoin. $MSTR

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#US30 UPDATE :

#US30 played as per the plan, Index broke through the Support and dipped attacking Daily Lows everyday. It nearly reached the 43,600 level, missed by 160 points. Sooner or later we can expect that too and eventually at support around 43,190 - 43,370.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #AVA :

#AVA is been in a 2.6 Year of consolidation and had a very huge breakout with a tweet about the revenue and retweet via CZ. Price to too high here and wait for a proper retracement, to reach the a support area or price to form a new support.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#DXY UPDATE :

#DXY failed to drop towards the support area as mentioned and rallied up. We saw the impact in market and now looking anyway bullish to touch again 108.05% - 108.47%

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ENJ :

#ENJ dropped hard with the market retraced down and rejected from the major support zone of $0.25 - $0.26. Currently, price dropping and kinda of having a reach towards the major support zone again and buys looks good.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

In analyzing cryptocurrency trading behavior from 2021-2023, a notable trend emerges in market spending patterns. During the March peak, coins from all three years showed substantial selling activity. However, the current market rally is characterized differently, with predominantly 2023-acquired coins being sold, while coins from 2021 and 2022 have only recently begun to exert selling pressure. This pattern suggests a possible "swing-trade" strategy, where traders strategically capitalize on short-term market movements, focusing on more recently acquired assets and displaying a more tactical approach to cryptocurrency trading.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN again reclaimed the $100,000 level and moving back & Forth. Price having a kind of consolidation, and struggling its way to move up and print new Higher High. We can see these dump, with the winter holidays and Pump in January due to huge confluences.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #TLM :

#TLM rejection both side of the zones from strong resistance around $0.020 and a flip area of $0.014. Price now stuck between these areas, and need to see some sort breakout now or a buy at the trendline or at the flip area.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BEL/USDT more than 2years of accumulation inside Darvas Box🚀

Breakout will be massive just like #AVA

Buy on Binance: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BEL_USDT

Short term targets: 10%-30%-50%

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BEL pumping hard🚀🔥

https://x.com/BellaProtocol/status/1867600368026185783?t=9m17QVhqezOA-64CVWYKPA&s=19

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Less than 30 minutes left🚀

Get ready for a strong news based SPOT & FUTURES call at 4PM GMT today!🔥

Exchange: BINANCE

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Crypto Mixers vs Crypto Tumblers

Crypto mixer is another term for crypto tumblers. These are software companies that serve as a middleman between parties looking to send and receive cryptocurrencies. For example, Person A is looking to send Person B one Bitcoin (BTC); however, they do not want this transaction to be traceable. Person A would turn to the services of a coin mixer company. They will send the amount of Bitcoin to the coin mixer. The coin mixer will then combine this transaction with numerous other transactions, accumulating a larger amount of the same cryptocurrency and then redistributing it to the selected receiving addresses.

However, an important note here is that crypto mixers charge a fee for their mixing services. This essentially means that when sending cryptocurrency to a coin mixer, you need to consider the service fees, which will be deducted before funds are redistributed to their intended receiving addresses. It is important to take into account that most coin mixers charge a percentage-based fee. Consequently, the larger the amount of cryptocurrency you put into the mixer, the more you will have to pay in fees.

Coin mixers have become an essential service in the cryptocurrency industry, as many people are looking to keep their anonymity.

Read About our Previous Post on Coin Mixers Here

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#MASK dropped hard towards the major support zone and had a very strong rejection, moved around 55% in favor and with that market looks very bullish at the for altcoins or short-term correction yet to come. We can expect some a retest of $3.72 area, for further scale-in.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #LUMIA :

#LUMIA kept on driving higher after the swapping from #ORN and now on a flip level around $2.04 - $2.09 and the Strong Support around $1.66 - $1.78. Buys looks good at the dip and a healthy move towards the previous Highs.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

In the March price peak, coins from 2021-2023 were actively sold. The current rally shows a different trend: 2023 coins are driving most of the selling, with 2021-2022 coins just starting to contribute.

This suggests a "swing-trade" strategy, where newer investors are more actively taking profits, while slightly older investors are more cautious and strategic about selling.

The market reveals a calculated, measured approach to Bitcoin profit-taking.

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