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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Is Marlowe?

Marlowe is a programming language for financial contracts, designed to make it easy for non-programmers to write financial contracts, such as derivatives, loans, and other agreements. It also makes it easier for programmers to formally verify these contracts are correct.

The project was initiated by Input-Output Hong Kong (IOHK), the blockchain research and development company behind Cardano.
Marlowe is part of IOHK's efforts to bring formal methods to smart contract programming, but it differs from previous approaches by being designed specifically for use in financial applications. To achieve this, its designers studied finance theory, particularly the work of Nobel Prize-winning economist, Kenneth Arrow, who pioneered much of the mathematical thinking behind modern finance. This resulted in a set of built-in abstractions based on real-world financial concepts, such as time and money, rather than more generic concepts like lists, functions, and variables found in other programming languages.
Marlowe is based on a theory of financial contracts that have been formalized in the Isabelle theorem prover. This gives it several unique features not found in other contract languages:

-> The ability to reason about the expected value of contracts.

-> The ability to formally verify properties of contracts.

In addition, Marlowe contracts can be executed on the Cardano blockchain. Users can try it live on Playground, which allows users to model and execute contracts without any knowledge of blockchain technology or smart contracts.

Marlowe was designed to be a simple and powerful tool for financial modeling. Its syntax has been kept as simple as possible so that both programmers and non-programmers can use it.

Marlowe can be used for a number of things, but it is particularly suited to the following:

-> Building interactive financial contracts

-> Defining games and protocols for decision-making processes

-> Simulating business processes, such as those involving finance or insurance

-> Modeling financial markets

-> Exploring ideas in game theory

It works in a sandbox environment, allowing all kinds of developers to write smart contracts on Cardano.

Currently, Marlowe will run on Cardano, but it’s not tied to Cardano only. In the future, it can be used to write smart contracts on other blockchains as well.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC.D pushed higher with the market upmove, and few alts played well with that. Market started correcting a bit and still Dominance have room to push higher. So, keep the stop tight as both side probability to play well. A strong correction will come from the resistance at 54.5% - 54.6%.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #API3 :

#API3 is been on a pretty good series of Higher High and Higher Lows moving with the trend channel pattern. Price flipped above the Major Resistance area turning it into the major support zone around $3.29 - $3.39. A retest is expected back to the level of major support where buys setup can be taken into account. Short will be risky at this point unless price flips below the major level and shift the market structure bearish.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

We can use Short-Term Holder MVRV to monitor the unrealized profit or loss of new market participants. Comparing the STH cost-basis to the spot price reveals the pressure they face to sell at a loss or take profit.

#MVRV is already above the 1.0 Mark, which shows strong bullishness in the market and #MVRV tested the Moving Average as Resistance already, and more momentum yet to come if it crosses the 155D Moving Average with MVRV

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC started facing resistance near $50,000 physiological level and made a ting range over there. Price is expected a retest back into some sort of support zone $48,500 and lower. Looking into the Daily TF, price already at a resistance point, so wait for the healthy correction.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#Bitcoin 49,000 🚀🚀

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#DYDX broke below the support area, turned it into resistance. Price broke the Trendline too, showing some bearishness. Price already did a retest for shorts, i hope you entered it with stops over the previous swing high.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #DYDX :

#DYDX is been sharping moving up and in a retracement phrase now, hodling above the strong flip level/ support zone of $2.90 - $2.93. Price almost broke the trendline, showing sign of bearishness, but a bounce is expected towards the resistance area of $3.19 - $3.17 as price is sitting on the structural support zone. Take it as medium risk and in case price flips below the zone, its also a shorting setup.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#THETA did gave a shallow break below of the channel pattern and did up an channel/ flag formation. Price action is very choppy at the moment, and a clean break is required either side of the resistance zone or the flag pattern.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Weekly TF, gave a rejection from the Resistance but Daily market structure is still bullish at that point. Currently, we've a long huge candle which trying to break and close above the zone of resistance around $46,680 - $47,200. This weekly close is important to us, as it may drive through the next resistance zone around towards $52,400 and a close below will lead into a healthy retracement in the market.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Is a Market Maker ?

A market maker is a participant in the market who provides liquidity by placing limit orders on the order book. They do this by continuously buying and selling assets to maintain an active market. Market makers typically profit from the spread—the difference between the buying price (bid) and the selling price (ask). They usually place orders slightly below the current market price (bid) and slightly above it (ask). Market makers help ensure that there are always buyers and sellers in the market, facilitating smoother trading and tighter bid-ask spreads.

Imagine you're a market maker trading Bitcoin on an exchange. Your goal is to provide liquidity to the market by continuously quoting bid and ask prices for Bitcoin. Here's how it works:

1. Placing Orders: You place limit orders on the order book to buy and sell Bitcoin. For example, you might place a bid to buy Bitcoin at $40,000 and an ask to sell Bitcoin at $40,050. These orders are typically placed slightly above the highest bid and slightly below the lowest ask to capture the spread.

2. Maintaining Liquidity: As the market moves, you adjust your orders to reflect the changing price dynamics. If the price of Bitcoin rises, you might adjust your bid to $40,010 and your ask to $40,060. By continuously updating your orders, you ensure that there are always prices available for traders to buy and sell Bitcoin.

3. Profiting from the Spread: You make money from the spread—the difference between the bid and ask prices. In our example, if a trader buys Bitcoin from you at $40,050 and immediately sells it back to you at $40,010, you earn a profit of $40 per Bitcoin. This profit compensates you for providing liquidity to the market.

4. Managing Risk: As a market maker, you also need to manage your risk exposure. If the price of Bitcoin moves against your position, you may incur losses. To mitigate this risk, you might use hedging strategies or adjust your position size based on market conditions.

Overall, as a market maker, your role is to provide liquidity to the market, maintain tight bid-ask spreads, and facilitate smooth trading for other participants. By doing so, you help ensure that the market functions efficiently and that traders can execute their orders quickly and at fair prices.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#LDO moved from the major support zone as per from our call, and moved 15.8% in profits. Price looks very corrective and might move down back to the support, so it better to Breakeven and even secure something. $3.18 will be stand as resistance area and TP for us,

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#ETH UPDATE :

#ETH goes as said, price made its way through the major resistance zone of with a daily candle closure. We attached a Daily TF SS, price made a retest and strongly jumped. Market structure is moving bullish, and as long as price hodl above $2,400 then we can consider it bullish and next target will be $2,700.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

During network growth, exchange-related volumes rise. Using Glassnode's entity-adjustment heuristics, we'll focus on Exchange Inflow Volumes, a direct measure of spot trading activity.

We'll employ a basic fast/slow moving average crossover analysis, identifying periods where the 30-day SMA surpasses the 365-day SMA, indicating heightened short-term activity.

Analysts may also examine the deviation between these moving averages and their gradient for advanced insights and divergences.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#Bitcoin kept on pumping as the breakout happens and gave a Daily Candle Close above the Resistance Area too. Price still pushing higher and expected a retracement from the next resistance area around $47,000.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

During strong uptrends there are relatively few coins in loss. However this changes rapidly during corrections, as recent buyers panic and spend previously profitable coins in loss. The Profit/Loss Ratio is experiencing rapid acceleration in either direction. This aides in identification of trend inflection points.

Note : As #BTC breaks above the $50,000 mark, so then numbers are more bullish than its shown here.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC made its break of the range and made it retest back to the mentioned area at minor support around $48,500. Price dropped due to #CPI data release, now it made a bounce from the trendline line still maintaining the Bullish Structure. Expected a new high to print as no clear indication for a down-move.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Is a Market Taker?

A market taker is a participant in the market who executes orders by taking liquidity from the order book. Market takers place market orders or marketable limit orders that are executed immediately at the best available prices on the order book. They accept the prices offered by market makers or other participants in the market. Market takers pay the spread when they buy or sell assets, and they usually trade with less frequent or larger orders than market makers.

Suppose you're a market taker who wants to buy Bitcoin on an exchange. Here's how you would interact with the market:

1. Placing Orders: Unlike market makers who provide liquidity by placing orders on the order book, market takers execute orders by taking liquidity from the order book. You place market orders or marketable limit orders, which are orders that are immediately executed at the best available prices on the order book.

2. Immediate Execution: When you place a market order or marketable limit order, it's executed immediately at the prevailing market prices. For example, if the best ask price for Bitcoin is $40,050 and you place a market buy order, your order will be filled at $40,050 or a slightly higher price if there's insufficient liquidity at that level.

3. Paying the Spread: As a market taker, you pay the spread—the difference between the bid and ask prices. When you buy Bitcoin, you pay the ask price, and when you sell Bitcoin, you receive the bid price. The spread represents the compensation for the market maker's role in providing liquidity to the market.

4. Trading Strategy: Market takers typically have specific trading strategies and objectives. They may trade with larger order sizes or execute trades more frequently than market makers. Market takers aim to enter or exit positions quickly at the best available prices without waiting for limit orders to be filled.

5. Risk Management: Market takers also need to manage their risk exposure when trading. They may use stop-loss orders or other risk management techniques to limit potential losses if the market moves against their position. Additionally, they may monitor market conditions closely to identify opportunities for profitable trades.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#RNDR made a break down off the flag, and made a quick move up with the market. Price entered into Strong Resistance Area, and now it matter of point to see, if it breaks the zone or reject it. Look for Daily candle closure, so get into the proper setup.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #GRT :

#GRT is started pushing from the structural support zone of $0.164 - $0.165. Currently, price is approaching towards the Strong Resistance Zone of $0.174 - $0.177. Its a pretty tight range, so expect a break first before entering any setup. Market is bullish so buy will playout best in the scenario .

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#MVRV started flipping bullish as #MVRV Ratio flipping above the 1Y MRVR Moving Average. Historically, we've seen this indicating some good mid-term and long-term trends successfully, so this could be another indication to us.

Read About our MVRV Ratio Post Here

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#Bitcoin kept pushing higher and made its weekly closing above the Resistance. Price still unable to break its previous High, which means building up liquidity above, to maximize trapping traders. Anticipation would be a correction in the market near $45,000 - $44,000.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What is #MVRV Ratio ?

The #MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) score is a metric used to assess the #valuation of a cryptocurrency by comparing its market value to its realized value. The #MVRV score helps to gauge whether a cryptocurrency is overvalued or undervalued based on its #historical price movement.

The market value of a #cryptocurrency refers to its current price multiplied by the total supply of #coins in circulation. On the other hand, the realized value takes into account the price at which each coin last moved on the #blockchain, essentially measuring the average price at which investors acquired their holdings.

So what does that Indicate ?

#MVRV Values > 3.5 has generally served as a strong signal for late stage #bull cycles, and heightened probability of heavy #distribution or simple indicate a potential Market Top.

#MVRV Vales < 1.0: indicates that a large cross-section of the #supply is near break-even, or held at a loss. These low values have typically provided strong signal of market capitulation and late stage #bear accumulations or Simply Indicate the Market Bottom.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#ADA gave a shallow break of the Resistance zone( Blue Box) but on Daily TF, its a shallow break. Well, still we can consider it a break, as we're bullish at this point, the setup will be a retest back to the support area or slightly below of it.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #INJ :

#INJ is been kept on bouncing from the support zone of $29.8 - $31.1. Currently, price is moving inside the downtrend channel pattern, where could take a breakout from here. In case if it failed to break it, then we can expect it to move lower back to support and that will be a decisional point to take the setup, so until that wait for the clean breakout.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

during market uptrends, spot prices consistently exceed the cost basis of increasing coin supply, indicating profitability. To smooth fluctuations, a 90-day EMA is applied to total Supply in Profit [BTC]. Rising 90-day EMA indicates positive momentum, depicted as a 🔵 oscillator. Positive values signal supply in profit growth over 30 days. Advanced analysis focuses on oscillator magnitude and divergences, especially around cycle extremes. It more in profits now as #BTC Moves above $47,000.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN going as expected, as it shifted the market structure from bearish to bullish. Price easily reached the Major Resistance Zone, within a week and kinda getting rejection from it. Weekly candle close will be very important to us. Nothing new, if price comes for a pullback, nearby $44,000, so eyes on Weekly closings.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Is a Man-in-the-Middle Attack (#MITM)?

In cryptocurrency or computer security, a man-in-the-middle attack (#MITM) attack is a general term for a cyberattack where a perpetrator positions himself in a conversation between two parties either to secretly eavesdrop, intercept communication or modify traffic traveling between the two. The two parties who believe that they are directly communicating with each other are communicating or sharing information with a third party, making it appear as if a normal exchange of information is underway. The perpetrator must be able to intercept all relevant messages passing between the two victims and inject new ones. In most cases it is easy; for example, an unencrypted WIFI can be used by an attacker to place himself as a middle man in a conversation. MITM attacks are a tactical means to an end to stealing, for example, login credentials or personal information like a private key, spy on the victim, or sabotage communications or corrupt data. encryption can help protect against MITM. However, successful attackers will either reroute traffic to phishing sites designed to look legitimate or simply pass on traffic to its intended destination once harvested or recorded, meaning detection of such attacks is incredibly difficult.

As #MITMs try to avoid mutual authentication, it can only succeed when the perpetrator successfully impersonates each endpoint sufficiently enough to make them believe. Endpoint authentication is used by Most cryptographic protocols in an attempt to prevent MITM attacks. For example, TLS can authenticate one or both parties using a mutually trusted certificate of trust. A man-in-the-middle Attack (MITM) should not be confused with meet-in-the-middle Attack.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#ADA gave a early breakout with a daily candle closure, but to turn truly bullish, it been a matter to break above the Flip Area/ Resistance (Blue Box) around $0.54 - $0.55. After a clean break, we can have clean buys above the zone with a retest.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #GAL :

#GAL is been broken the Downtrend Resistance line and trying to move u. Price already made strong bounce from Strong Support Zone of $1.65 - $1.73, so expected it to reach out the next end of the zone of Resistance around $2.56 - $2.61. Longing opportunities can be taken after the daily closure of the Resistance (Blue Box) around $2.16 - $2.20.

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