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Core inflation delivered its first downside print in five months, the closest the series has come to target since the post-2022 spike. One print is not a trend, but it lands at the right moment: the FOMC meets next week with the funds rate still holding more than a full point above core inflation.
That gap is the definition of restrictive policy, and it gives the committee room. A signal that cuts are back on the table would release one of the macro brakes this report has tracked all year; silence leaves the market leaning on crypto-native fuel alone.
#BTC has taken another leg lower. Since yesterday, we have been indicating that the market is very bearish and could move further down. If you are holding short positions, keep them tight. We also have the Federal Funds Rate decision tomorrow.
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WTI crude spiked on Iran escalation dragging equities lower — S&P finished the week down while European stocks went nowhere 📉🔴. #BTC took the same shock and kept climbing, finishing ahead of both indices for the second consecutive week 💪.
A market that rallies through bad news is a market where the marginal seller is spent — #BTC resilience in the face of macro headwinds is itself the most important signal right now ⚡️🎯👀
Strategy added $525 million to its cash savings, bringing its total cash to $3.75 billion—enough to cover 2.1 years of dividend payments. On top of that, the company still holds 843,775 Bitcoin in its reserves.
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#BTC closed its weekly candle with a rejection wick and remains in a range. Price on the H4 timeframe is moving back and forth, making direction identification unclear.
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#DXY again jump into the major resistance again, and goes inside. Index still trading within the zone need to see a proper rejection or a clean break of the area.
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The options market charges a premium for crash protection over upside bets, measured by the 25-Delta Skew. That premium spiked during the June selloff and has been draining since, and it now sits well below its February extreme. Hedging each dip costs less than it did a month ago.
Protection is still bid, as it should be under an unconfirmed low, but the direction of travel is toward normal.
#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE:
#BITCOIN gave a break of the small channel and not dipping hard. This is not a good move as its dipping lower can lead in bearish continuation move. Nothing much we still have support at $060,000 area.
While old hands surrendered, buyers stepped in. The Accumulation Trend Score by wallet size shows a heavy, broad wave of buying into the June lows, spread across small wallets and large ones alike. Since price stabilized, that intensity has faded and the market has settled into waiting.
The coins sold at the lows found buyers. Whether those buyers return with the same force on the next move decides if this base holds.
#SNX had a breakout, but it wasn't clean, and the price formed a consolidation above the same level. The price now needs to show a breakout from the marked zone (grey box) so that a trade can be initiated in that direction.
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#GOLD dropped all the way back to our entry point but failed to tap into the support zone, rallying higher. Now it's back near the resistance area and is in consolidation, so we can trade this range until a breakout occurs.
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#BTC broke above major resistance, but the daily close is still pending. A strong close could lead to a significant upward move in the market. It looks like an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is forming; if confirmed, we could move higher from here.
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Adjusted #LTH Realized Loss set its cycle peak two weeks ago and has now turned down — the single most important development in the current bottoming process 📉🔴. For the first time this cycle, the metric defining bear market depth is falling rather than rising 💪.
One turn does not prove exhaustion and a fresh shock could restart it — but at the margin, the sellers who made this bear market are beginning to run out of supply to sell ⚡️🎯👀
#DXY broke the long uptrend channel pattern, invalidating both channels. The index remains below the major resistance and support areas, and the market is not very clear.
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#GOLD made a large consolidation range, and these large ranges are still tradable. With that price buildup, liquidity is present at both ends of the zone marked around $3950 and $4250. Short-term sells can be good until the bottom of the range around $3970.
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Here's the analysis of #LUMIA:
#LUMIA is going sideways a lot and is now nearing the strong support zone around $0.055 - $0.060. Price is expected to have a short-term bounce, so try to scalp, but the overall trend is bearish; attempt to get into short-selling.
Repurchases will be funded outside the USD Reserve, including through MSTR and BTC sales, based on market conditions. Our objective is for STRC to trade near $100 with high liquidity, low volatility, and healthy, sustainable independent demand. We will not issue below $100 ~ Saylor
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#US30 UPDATE:
#US30 dropping lower and lower, shifting the market structure to bearish. At the same time, this is a very healthy correction and is kind of building liquidity for another top move. Buys are healthy after 52,500.
Here's the analysis of #MINA:
#MINA is following the downtrend strongly and is now forming a triangle pattern. A large pin bar candlestick has formed, which could trigger a bearish continuation move. Take the short with moderate risk.
The longer view shows how calm the market has become. DVOL, the Bitcoin volatility index, sits near its lowest in a year, and the deep put-side stress that flared in February and June has faded across the surface. Compression like this rarely lasts; it is the backdrop from which the next decisive move usually starts.
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#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE:
#BTC had a strong wick up, and now we can see it is rejecting as resistance kept standing strong. The week's close inside that will continue the consolidation within that range.
#TOTAL UPDATE:
#TOTAL rejected good from the resistance and stuck between the two ranges. The market is running within the same emotions and all; we need to see some sort of breakout by which we can decide if the market money starts flowing or if the market will shrink.
Here's the Analysis of #BANANA:
#BANANA hit an all-time low a month ago and is now attempting to break the long downtrend channel pattern. Also, the price is following the small flag pattern. We need to see the price dropping as the market is bearish, so attempt shorts at the $4.88 area.
#BTC dipped all the way into the support zone and is still maintaining the bullish structure on the daily timeframe. The price direction remains very unclear; we need to wait for the price to break and close on either side to clarify the trend.
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Nothing much happened with #BTC, just shallow downward moves. Price needs to settle on either side with a higher time frame closing (weekly candle).
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#BTC had a good and healthy close above it and is now retracing back to the zone. Looking at the price action, it is building liquidity to the downside, so we can expect some sort of news to come up that will suck the dollars resting below.
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#US30 UPDATE:
#US30 reached another all-time high and then dropped. The price is switching from bullish to bearish, but the trend looks super bullish, so it might be a liquidity hunt in the zone around 51,700.
Strategy (MSTR) has raised $263.5 million by selling shares but chose not to buy any Bitcoin this time. Its cash reserves have now grown to more than $3.2 billion.
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#BTC attempted to break the area again, and rejected again too. Price still holding the internal bullish structure and need to see a flip of the area too. Weekly close is very indecisive and need this week also for the closing too.
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