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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Notice of Removal of Spot Trading Pairs - 2024-04-12
https://www.binance.com/en/support/announcement/529f9465efdc4e138034de7fe02d3e58

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #MANTA :

#MANTA is been ranging a bit and rejected from the flip level around $3.00 - $3.05. Price kept on bouncing through the Major Support Zone of $2.58 - $2.67 and broken the trendline too. Price expecting the same from here a drop to the support and buy setup for us, take it with risks management as market is bit unstable now.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#OP started pushing from in-between levels and flipped the major resistance level. Price also forming a reversal pattern, which is a Inverse Head & Shoulder, by which this can be a retest of it. Potential buy can be taken from this zone here.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC goes with the Daily and Weekly Plan, Price climbed towards the $72,700+ and now on a verge to retest. #BTC already reached the support and might have a bounce through here, but we have a better zone down there around $69,565 - $69,990.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What is Unspent Realized Price Distribution ?

Unspent Realized Price Distribution refers to the distribution of the average acquisition prices of coins that have not been spent or moved since they were acquired. It provides insights into the profitability of the remaining unspent coins based on the prices at which they were acquired.

In the context of Bitcoin, Unspent Realized Price Distribution helps analyze the profitability of different cohorts of coins that have not been spent. It divides the unspent supply of Bitcoin into different cohorts, such as Long-Term Holders (LTH) and Short-Term Holders (STH), based on the duration of coin holding.

By examining the Unspent Realized Price Distribution, we can assess the average acquisition prices of the remaining unspent coins held by each cohort. This information provides an understanding of the profitability and potential selling behavior of different investor groups.

A-URPD is a variation of URPD that adjusts for coins that have not moved for an extended period. It aims to provide a more accurate representation of the price levels at which coins were acquired by filtering out long-term dormant coins. This adjustment helps in identifying price levels that are more relevant to active market participants.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Majority Voted for #ATH Coming....

Well, as per Technical Analysis, market looks bit healthy to move higher and retest the resistances and #ATH's. There're less chances of price dipping lower, the probability of consolidation or some strong breaks is higher.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC trying to climb up even though after the multiple rejections from the resistance. We need to see a H4 and Daily Candle Closure above the zone, to say buyer are confident now. Although, we've multiple obstacles at $71,300 and #ATH Resistance too.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

We can enhance this observation by examining the ratio between Long and Short-Term Holder supply. Once again, a significant decline is evident in all major up-trends as investor behavior shifts from Long-Term HODLing to distribution, profit-taking, and speculation.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC experienced a bounce upon testing the support area. However, it appears that the price has been rejected from the resistance area and is currently trending downwards. Anticipate limited movement for today. We're closely observing Bitcoin's reaction upon the opening of global markets on Monday.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

As prices rise, Long-Term Holders (LTHs) are selling their holdings. #LTH Supply has decreased by -900K #BTC since December 2023, with #GBTC trust outflows accounting for about one third (-286K #BTC). Meanwhile, Short-Term Holder Supply has increased by +1.121M #BTC, absorbing #LTH selling pressure and acquiring 121K #BTC from exchanges.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#POLYX just tapped into the support zone of and made a quick bounce from the support. Price moved around 8.65% in favor. Well, price is very corrective in nature and might take a retest again, so keep an eye on that and book profits at resistance.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #OP :

#OP break and retested the zone as major resistance around $$3.06 - $3.21 and reaching out the strong support zone of $2.71 - $2.81. A strong bounce is expected from there and potential buys looks good from there. Market already ranging, so alts at major levels might start pushing.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

We got one sided data and #BTC made a dip slightly...

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#POLYX looks like had a great correction in the time but price was very correcting itself nearby support. A strong bounce is expected form the support area around $0.47 - $0.50. Take the risk accordingly over there.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #DOT :

#DOT is been made a strong correction and reached the support zone/ strong flip area around $8.14 - $8.37. Price already reacting there and might building a support with a rejection too. If you're looking for the buys then you can look into here. One thing to note that, daily candle closing above $8.80 will kick-in solid momentum.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC made a break below of the zone as the strong rejections. The break was due to #grayscale inflow, and currently it retesting the zone as resistance. Now, it a bit confusing point, so better wait for the clarity from the market.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What is Parachain ?

Parachains refer to application-based, individual blockchains (although there is no specific need for them to take the form of blockchains) that run in parallel with each other within the whole Polkadot network. Parachains are connected to Polkadot in a “hub and spoke” style architecture, allowing developers to create new and independently functioning networks powered with the same framework as the main chain.

The technology behind parachains is supported by Substrate, a new-generation framework for building blockchains with web3 functionality, which is also utilized to build and develop Polkadot and Kusama.

Each parachain is connected with the main chain through the central Relay Chain, which allows them to function independently without compromising their connection with the entire network. You can treat a parachain just like a regular blockchain since it can have its own functionality, token, governance system and other attributes. However, each parachain can still enjoy the security provided by the Polkadot network and be backed by its validator model since it is linked by said Relay Chain. In other words, one is not required to build his own validator community in order to maintain a parachain.

There are also “collator” nodes that assist validators in securing parachains. As opposed to validators, collator nodes do not secure the network. Collator nodes keep a record of every parachain data, select new block candidates and confirm the inputs and status of a parachain along with validators. Moreover, cross-chain message passing (XCMP) enables parachains to interact with the main chains.

Since the economics of a parachain can be different from the entire Polkadot ecosystem, they can set different transaction fees according to the choice of their own community.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC just sharply falls and strongly rejecting that area....

Need to closely observe the candle close...

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#ETH Analysis :

#ETH is been winding up from the downtrend and broken the Major Resistance area of $3532 - $3613. Price already made a retest and hit the flip area too. We need a daily candle closure above the $3680 level so made the road clear for $4,000 level. Else, we'll see some strong consolidations here until #BTC plays are wild move.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

The chart Above breaks down the BTC supply by on-chain cost basis, as well as by Long/Short-Term Holder cohort.

We can see that approximately 1.875M BTC (9.5% of circulating) have been acquired above $60k, with a majority designated by the Short-Term Holder cohort 🔴. This will include new spot buyers, and approximately 508k BTC now held in US Spot ETFs (excl. GBTC).

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#POLYX made a retest but didn't tapped into the support but we're already running on our previous entry. Price made a high of $0.593, which is 17.15% in profits. It's time to secure some profits right here and hodl the major portion till $0.644 Resistance and higher.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ATM :

#ATM moving between the major resistance zone of $3.85 - $4.04 and Strong Support Zone of $3.44 - $3.60. Well, that huge wicks showing strong sells pressure, and currently, price is on a support area, that you can look for buying opportunities and anticipate break of the major resistance zone.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN already saw a 7 consecutive Bullish Candle the Monthly TF and last week price successfully sustained above the zone and made a retest back to zone, which seems to be healthy. Now, we can expect the price to reach All-Time- High in next or coming weeks as all the rejection, breakout and retest is done. Alternative scenario will be price will continue to range over the zone.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here is the analysis for #LUNA:

The price is currently nearing the support zone ranging from $0.76 to $0.83. It's advisable to consider initiating a long position within this support zone. A rebound is anticipated from this area, targeting the resistance zone spanning from $1.00 to $1.07.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN broke the range to the downside, and looks like it making a retest of the zone again. Right now, price is at the flip level around $68,400. Eyes on Daily Candle closures, as it will decide the next weekly directional move. Also, market is middle of no where too, so its bit unclear for too.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC has successfully tested the support area as anticipated, resulting in a bounce. Anticipate low volatility throughout the weekend, with potential significant movements upon the opening of global markets.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Are Oracles?

Oracles are entities that interface real-world data with decentralized systems. In the decentralized environment, oracles are prominent with blockchain-based products. They give blockchains the ability to interact with off-chain data.
With Ethereum and other decentralized platforms powering the use of smart contracts, accessing data outside these systems bridges the conventional and decentralized environment. Note that oracles are not data sources by themselves. Instead, they collect, query, verify and validate data from different sources and deliver them to smart contracts.
Transmitted data can range from price feeds, payments, temperature from a sensor, scores from a football game, etc. Mostly, oracles are classified based on where they draw their data (software/hardware), the flow of information between them and their sources (inbound/outbound), and whether they’re decentralized or centralized.
Software and hardware oracles fetch data from different sources. For example, software oracles get data from internet-based services such as servers and databases, while hardware oracles receive data from information-reading gadgets such as barcode scanners.

Inbound oracles deliver off-chain data to smart contracts while their outbound counterparts relay information from contracts to the real world. Oracles that rely on a single data provider are centralized while those that interact with multiple sources are considered decentralized.

Most crypto proponents would refer to Chainlink (LINK) and Band Protocol (BAND) as quintessential examples of decentralized oracle networks.
Although multiple contracts and decentralized systems can reference one oracle, there are contract-specific oracles built to serve a single smart contract. Note that individuals with unique subject knowledge can fetch, verify, and validate data for use by blockchain-based agreements. These are known as human oracles.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

It is typical in prior Bitcoin cycles that an uptick in new demand tends to come alongside an elevated appetite for speculation. This tends to result in increasingly volatile markets, which is characteristic of macro up-trends in prior Bitcoin cycles.

90-day realized volatility has nearly doubled from 28% to 55% since October 2023, which marked the point where Realized Cap inflows started to accelerate higher.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC made its way perfectly as anticipated for the intraday purpose, but now again making a correction back to zone as support and expected a bounce from there. Price looks like a having a reversal, which have might have a strong times, also weekend is about to kick-in so low volatility is expected too.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Are Behavioral Biases and How Can We Avoid Them?

Behavioral
biases, when left unchecked, can lead to poor crypto trading and investing decisions. In fact, there is an entire field of study called behavioral finance, which combines psychological theory with conventional financial economics. Biases are often unconscious, so you must pay close attention to your behavior to reduce bias-charged decision-making.

1. Overconfidence

The overconfidence bias applies to traders who are too sure of their trading ability, causing them to make risky market decisions or overly frequent trades. You can also be overconfident in assets you have already invested heavily in, leading to a portfolio lacking in diversification.

2. Limited Attention Span

There are countless crypto opportunities available. However, we only have a limited amount of attention to spare to properly understand each option before trading. Furthermore, there is often a lot of market noise surrounding different crypto opportunities. This could lead to trading decisions being made with incorrect or insufficient information.

3. Trend-Chasing

Due to the volatile nature of the crypto market, traders may be misled by a token’s exponential price increase and neglect studying the fundamentals that support this spike. Instead of jumping on the bandwagon, consider assets trading below what you feel is their intrinsic value instead of just focusing on tokens that have performed spectacularly well.

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