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One notable characteristic of the 2023 market is the remarkably limited depth of price pullbacks and corrections. In historical terms, during bear market recoveries and bullish trends for BTC, it's common to observe pullbacks of at least -25% from the local high, with many instances exceeding -50%.
Yet, the most substantial correction in 2023 amounted to just -20% below the local high. This implies that the buy-side support and the overall supply and demand balance have been favorable throughout the year.
Here's the Analysis of #XRP :
#XRP is been kinda ranging between the major resistance area of $0.68 - $0.69 and strong support around $0.59 - $0.60. The intermediate Resistance is at $0.633. Fir Short selling setup have to wait for the price to break below the zone Entries at the retest.
Here's the Analysis of #FTT :
#FTT is been following a uptrend channel pattern and currently retesting the strong support area of $4.75 - $4.87 . Price also forming a triangle pattern, where breakout is pending. You can wait for the price to break out and take entries. For short-sells, its also a pretty handsome range to take it, in case of break below.
Here's the Analysis of #SAND :
#SAND is been rejected off from the resistance area of $0.580 - $0.587 and currently, melting below the support zone of $0.51 - $0.52. This zone will act as resistance after the closing and give the shorting opportunity till next support zone of $0.450 and lower and the next strong support zone of $0.37 - $0.38.
Here's the Analysis of #STX :
#STX is got a strong Rejection From the Major Resistance Zone of $1.20 - $1.23 and also flipped below the strong area of $1.03 - $1.06. Currently, price testing as resistance area, which can lead the price for a downmove. In case price flip the zone, then you can enter into buys targeting major resistance area.
What is Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō ?
Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō, commonly known as Ichimoku Cloud, is a technical analysis indicator developed by Japanese journalist Goichi Hosoda in the late 1930s. The name "Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō" can be translated as "equilibrium chart at a glance." The indicator is widely used in Japanese trading rooms and has gained popularity in the global financial markets.
Ichimoku Cloud provides a comprehensive set of information about potential support and resistance levels, trend direction, momentum, and the likelihood of future price movements. The key components of Ichimoku Cloud include:
1. Kijun Sen (Base Line): This is a mid-term moving average calculated by averaging the highest high and the lowest low for the past 26 periods.
2. Tenkan Sen (Conversion Line): This is a short-term moving average calculated by averaging the highest high and the lowest low for the past 9 periods.
3. Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): It represents the midpoint between the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen. This value is plotted 26 periods ahead.
4. Senkou Span B (Leading Span B): It represents the midpoint of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 52 periods. This value is also plotted 26 periods ahead.
5. Kumo (Cloud): The area between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B. It is often shaded to visually represent the cloud.
6. Chikou Span (Lagging Span): The closing price of the current period plotted 26 periods back.
Traders use Ichimoku Cloud to identify trend direction, potential support and resistance zones, and to generate trading signals. Crossovers of the Conversion Line and Base Line, as well as the position of the price relative to the cloud, are commonly used to make trading decisions. The Ichimoku Cloud is considered a versatile and holistic indicator that can be applied to various financial instruments and timeframes.
Bitcoin crossed over the $40k mark to open December and Gold also pushed to new all-time-highs over $2,110 relative to the USD this week, setting a new historical high against all fiat currencies. Indexed to the start of the year, BTC has outperformed both ##USD and #Gold denominators.
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To put the current supply profitability into perspective, the chart below highlights three typical cycle phases over the last 5 years.
Bottom Discovery 🟥 where less than 58% (-1 std) of circulating coins are in profit.
Bear/Bull Transition 🟨 where the market is recovering from the Bottom Discovery phase (or falling from Euphoria) by trading within 58% of supply in profit and 90%.
Euphoria 🟩 where most coins are in profit as the price is reaching the last ATH (+1 std).
The market has been within the Bear/Bull Transition phase for the past 10 months, as it recovered from the 2022 bear trend. The majority of 2023 has traded below the all-time average, with the October rally being the first sustained break above.
What Is a DYCO (Dynamic Coin Offering)?
DYCO (dynamic coin offering) is a new crowdfunding model developed by DAO Maker that employs utility tokens that are backed by USD for the first 16 months of their lifespan in order to promote accountability from project developers.
Notably, the USD backing allows DYCO investors to refund their tokens in the event that the project claim their share in case the project is not able to deliver a viable product. For example, if an investor sees that project developers veered off course, they can opt to return their allocated tokens and get their money back. Refunded tokens permanently leave circulation via burning, giving the project an adjusted valuation as the token supply is reduced, which in turn, increases each token's value.
The USD backing also provides a hedge against a token’s downward price movements while offering unlimited upward momentum.
Apart from targeting the primary market, DYCO has a second iteration called dynamic coin offering version two (DYCO v2), which focuses on building trust even on the secondary market.
In a DYCO v2, a smart contract distributes tokens to investors in the form of a toll bridge, catering to original buyers who have no intention to stay with the project long term. In such a case, it allows them to refund their allocations and exit during a project’s initial days.
Notably, a team that seeks investments through a DYCO has no power to alter the set refund dates. DYCO v2 fine-tunes this functionality by accounting for a project’s early growth without inconveniencing those who want to leave early and negatively affecting the secondary market’s confidence.
The first blockchain project to use this model was Orion Protocol.
#GMT is been moving good with the Daily Candle closure and moving around 7.5% in favor, Well, its smoothly moving and broke the 4H structure and expecting a deeper retracement, back to the zone or at $0.272.
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the chart below shows the net balance change of these various 'stored' supply metrics since 1-Jan-2022. We use the change in circulating supply (orange) as our baseline, and see that the rates of accumulation by investors ranges from between 1.1x through to almost 2.5x new issuance.
Not only are our measures of 'available supply' at historical lows, the rates of 'supply storage' by investors are also meaningfully higher than issuance rates in a pre-halving environment. The cyclical nature of Bitcoin market cycles during bear markets and halving events can be described by these investor accumulation patterns, reminding us of a saying in markets
What is Moving Average ?
A Moving Average (MA) is a statistical calculation used in finance and technical analysis to analyze data over a certain time period, smoothing out fluctuations and highlighting trends. It's a common tool in financial analysis, trading, and various fields where time series data is examined. The primary purpose of a moving average is to reduce noise in data and make underlying patterns more apparent.
Here's how a simple moving average (SMA) works:
1. Calculation: A simple moving average is calculated by summing up a set of data points (e.g., prices) over a specific number of periods and then dividing the sum by the number of periods. The formula for a simple moving average is:
SMA = (Sum of Data Points over 'n' periods) / 'n'
#DXY Analysis :
#DXY Moving in the bearish market structure and flipped below resistance zone. Index is been bearish, the reason why market is being pushed higher. With the Monday Market, we can expect some push or fakeout over the market. Best case scenario will be a retest back to the strong Resistance Zone of 104.8 - $105.18.
Here, we observe a nearly flawless inflow score 🟦 across all cohorts, marking a particularly notable example for the year. A discernible pattern emerges, indicating that the market encounters resistance during phases of heightened net outflows 🟥 across most cohorts. Conversely, market upswings coincide with a prevailing trend of balanced inflows 🟦. This phenomenon suggests a strengthening investor confidence and a notable shift in participant behavior.
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#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :
#BITCOIN in Weekly TF giving a another rejection from the Resistance level and this this it might gonna close bearish. Well, Daily Still looks good enough for bullish momentum but by the next week, we'll have the clear picture out there.
#Bitcoin got a rejection from the structural resistance and major support zone, in which price formed a new tiny little range. Well, price is been forming a triangle pattern and where it could take some more time to break it. So, have an eye on the pattern and the zones as well. Also, market is driving through the less volume these days, so not expecting much any sooner.
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#ORDI exactly moves what we anticipated and again it followed the same. Price again made a retest back to the zone and move near to its #ATH(All-Time High). Well, trade made profit around 52.3% and i hope you secured some at the top. Price is again dipping and a potential buys again come but wait for the candle closing.
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Here is the analysis of #HOOK:
#HOOK experience multiple rejections at the resistance area of $1.18 - $1.21 and there is a high volatile volatile big wick moving back and forth over the zone of support around $1.02 - $1.04. Price is kinda consolidating between the zone and its a tradable range of 12% for short-term move. Alternatively, you can wait for a breakout to happen to take the potential setups either side.
#Bitcoin made a sweep of liquidity of the previous Higher High and range below the Resistance too. Price gave a sharp down, which was already mentioned and expected normally. Price straightaway moved into Major Support Zone of $40,800 - $42,000 and below it. Well, the momentum turning bearish and daily closing below $43,300 will create a bearish Market Structure.
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Here's the Analysis of #ORDI :
#ORDI printed its All Time High Back 2 days ago and now in a retracement phrase reaching the strong support zone of $42.90 - $44.61. Also, Price formed a Head and Shoulder Pattern, which is kinda a reversal pattern, which might lead in price for strong pullback. Price is already near its ATH, so better wait for the oppotunrities.
Market performance for #BTC since the cycle high is also strikingly similar to both the 2013-17 and 2017-21 periods. Note that here we use the April 2021 market top as the cycle peak, which we argue is a better reference point for comparing cycle duration.
🔴 2013-17: down -42% from ATH
🔵 2017-21: down -39% from ATH
⚫️ 2021-23: down -37% from ATH
This is on the basis of a very broad spectrum of metrics which signaled that this was the zenith in market sentiment, adoption rates, and investor confidence
#TOTAL2 (Altcoin MarketCap) Update :
#TOTAL2 flipped above the major resistance zone and tested as major support too around $675B - $687B. Well, Index might again do a retest back to the, which lead in short-term correction in alts. Additionally, If weekly candle sustains above the zone then we can see some strong rally in the altcoin, which will push the market till nearly about $790B mark.
#DXY Update :
#DXY flipped to the upside, which impacted the alts and market a bit. Well, if the closing found above the 103.75, when we can expected it to reach till strong resistance area of 104.21 - 104.41, which will lead in a healthy correction in the market. More over, its forming a Head and Shoulder Pattern, which is a reversal pattern, so have an eye on it.
Dear members,
6 hours left until the biggest signal we have ever done on MEXC!
- Our target will be 5000%-7000% gains today. We will be using the MEXC exchange.
- We will be using the USDT pairing to buy, make sure you have USDT in your account to buy the coin.
- Hundreds of hundreds of traders will be buying at once, make sure you buy early before outsiders do.
- If you plan to use your whole balance, you can buy using 75% of your balance initially at market price, use the remaining of your balance to place buy orders!
- When you buy the coin and it's time to sell, never sell on the buy supports! Instead sell slowly in parts as the price goes up.
- After buying, we highly suggest to place buy orders below the market price as the price moves up.
Other Moving Averages in the List
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA):
The Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) is a sophisticated technical indicator that seeks to reduce lag and provide a more responsive moving average. It achieves this by applying two exponential moving averages (EMAs) to the price data. The primary goal is to capture price trends more efficiently by smoothing out fluctuations. DEMA is particularly useful for traders looking for early trend signals.
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a refined moving average that aims to minimize lag while maintaining smoothness. It employs weighted moving averages and a square root of the period to achieve this. The HMA reacts quickly to price changes, making it suitable for traders who want timely signals without sacrificing accuracy.
Weighted Moving Average (WMA):
The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is a type of moving average that assigns different weights to data points. Unlike a simple moving average, WMA emphasizes certain points in the calculation. This weighting is achieved by assigning specific weights to each data point. WMA is more responsive to recent changes in the data, offering a nuanced view of trends.
These moving averages play vital roles in technical analysis, providing traders with tools to better understand and interpret price trends in financial markets.
#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :
#BITCOIN still moving in a range building up liquidity over the Highs. Price yesterday swept out the liq. and given a close below it. Well, we already anticipated this in Daily TF. Price continue to do this until a shift in structure kicks in. Let's see it might ready to test the support around $35,500.
Here's the Analysis of #ICX :
#ICX is been flipped below the strong level of $0.244 - $0.250 which will act like strong resistance. Price also break below the Trendline, which giving bearish signs. Currently, you can look for short-selling over the retest, and alternatively, you can wait for a rejection over the zone on daily TF.
What is MACD ?
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (#MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that helps traders and analysts identify potential buy and sell signals in an asset's price chart.
1. MACD Line (Blue Line): This is the difference between the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 12-period EMA. The MACD line is more responsive to short-term price changes.
2. Signal Line (Orange Line): This is a 9-period EMA of the MACD line. It's used to generate trading signals.
3. Histogram: The histogram is the vertical bars that represent the difference between the MACD line and the signal line. It provides a visual representation of the MACD's divergence from the signal line.
XRP gave a flip below the strong support zone and kinda retesting now. Price also respecting the downtrend channel pattern and might continues to follow it. Daily gave closing and also forming some rejections, so better wait for the rejection of the resistance zone to go shorts.
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#FON/USDT Around 300k USDT in volume and peak of 16x. The amount of volume generated was more than enough to push this coin up over 5,000%. Unfortunately, we ran into an “iceberg” coin, which means this particular coin had an large number of regenerating sell orders, preventing us from executing a mega pump. Good thing is that our whales absorbed most of the selling pressure and our members able to able to sell their coin at massive profit during 2nd minute candle.
Overall, we can safely say that this signal was a huge success and that the upcoming one will be a long lasting pump and we will make sure to reach again +10000% gains on MEXC. We are receiving many messages of appreciation and we are glad many of you managed to turn a massive profit on this signal! Stay tuned for our next signal announcement!