1669
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February 22nd, 2023
Good morning,
Dow closes nearly 700 points lower in broad selloff, as all indexes cap their worst day of 2023
U.S. stocks dropped Tuesday as higher rates continue to pressure market sentiment, and the latest batch of retail earnings raised concern about the state of the consumer.
*Dow.....33130 -697.1 -2.06%*
*Nasdaq11492 -294.97-2.50%*
*S&P 500..3997 -81.8 -2.00%*
FTSE.......7978 -36.6 -0.46%
Dax........15398 -79.9 -0.52%
CAC........7309 -26.96 -0.37%
Nikkei.....27473 -58.8 -0.21%
HSI.........20529 -357.5 -1.71%
Shanghai.3307 +16.2 +0.49%
IDX.....6873.40 -21.31 -0.31%
LQ45....950.51 -4.35 -0.46%
IDX30...493.89 -2.66 -0.54%
IDXEnergy...2052.01 -18.00 -0.87%
IDX BscMat 1256.60 +8.62 +0.69%
IDX Indstrl...1140.26 -5.50 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..764.13 -0.43 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1608.56 -2.78 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC...848.36 +2.71 +0.32%
IDX Techno.5511.82 -17.86 -0.32%
*IDX Transp1878.91 +42.4 +2.31%*
IDX Infrast....873.35 -1.82 -0.21%
IDX Finance1422.16 -9.97 -0.70%
IDX Banking1148.46 -13.39 -1.15%
IDX Property....687 -3.20 -0.46%
Indo10Yr.6.7923 +0.0186 +0.27%
ICBI..350.5887 -0.2732 -0.08%
*US10Yr3.9550 +0.1270 +3.32%‼️*
*VIX.....22.82 +1.59 +7.49%‼️*
*USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️*
Como Indx.268.48 +0.91 +0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN....168.42 +5.29 +3.24%*‼️
*IndoCDS..105.25 - -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*
*IDR.....15190.00 +31.00 +0.20%*
*Jisdor.15179.00 +11.00 +0.07%*
Euro......1.0644 -0.0042 -0.39%
TLKM....25.09 +0.23 +0.93%
*(3808)*
EIDO......23.07 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM......39.18 -0.50 -1.26%
Oil.......76.16 -0.97 -1.26%
*Gold 1843.70 -6.60 -0.36%*
*Timah 26700 +844.00 +3.26%‼️*
*(Closed 02/20)*
Nickel.26889.50 -196.50.00 -0.73%
(Closed 02/21)
Silver.......22.00 +0.03 +0.14%
Copper..420.00 +4.14 +1.00%
*Nturl Gas.2.184 -0.126 -5.45%‼️*
Ammonia 4290.00 -33.30 -0.77%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/20)
Coal price.209.00 +3.35 +1.63%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price187.00 +7.50 +4.18%*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price188.00 +12.00 +6.82%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price196.00 +16.50 +9.19%‼️*
(Mei/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 136.00 +3.00 +2.26%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price133.00 +1.70 +1.29%
(May/Rotterdam)
CPO(May)....4139 -15 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn...........680.25 +2.75 +0.41%
SoybeanOil..62.80 +1.06. +1.70%
Wheat.......762.75 -13.50 -1.74%
*Wood pulp...5990.00 -40 -0.66%*
(Closed 02/20)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_
*Commodities*
Commodity Last Chg. %
Gold ($/troy oz.) 1,841.4 (1.0) -0.05%
Crude Oil ($/bbl) 76.34 (2.15) -2.74%
Coal ($/ton) 205.65 (3.70) -1.77%
Nickel LME ($/MT) 26,932 1139.0 4.42%
Tin LME ($/MT) 26,700 844.0 3.26%
CPO (MYR/Ton) 4,167 36.0 0.87%
Sources: Bloomberg, NHKSI Research
Website: nhis.co.id
Instagram: instagram.com/nhsekuritas
*©NH Korindo Sekuritas Indonesia*
February 21st, 2023
Good morning,
U.S markets on holiday due to President Day
Dow.......33827 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11787 closed +0%
S&P 500..4079 closed +0%
FTSE.......8014 +9.96 +0.12%
Dax........15478 -4.5 -0.03%
CAC........7336 -12.1 -0.16%
Nikkei.....27532 +18.8 +0.07%
HSI.........20887 +167.2 +0.81%
Shanghai.3290 +66.3 +2.06%
IDX.....6894.72 -1.00 -0.01%
LQ45....954.85 +0.47 +0.05%
IDX30...496.56 +0.25 +0.05%
IDXEnergy...2070.01 -12.24 -0.59%
IDX BscMat 1247.98 -2.70 -0.22%
IDX Indstrl...1145.75 -9.43 -0.82%
IDXNONCYC..764.55 +5.28 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1611.34 -4.39 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC...845.64 +1.24 +0.15%
IDX Techno.5529.68 -83.77 -1.49%
IDX Transp1836.55 -5.13 -0.28%
IDX Infrast....875.17 +9.96 +1.15 %
IDX Finance1432.13 +4.49 +0.31%
IDX Banking1161.85 -0.33 -0.03%
IDX Property....690 +0.20 +.0.03%
Indo10Yr.6.7641 +0.0096 +0.14%
ICBI..350.8619 -0.0291 -0.01%
US10Yr.3.8280 closed +0%
*VIX..........21.23 +1.23 +6.04%‼️*
*USDIndx103.8680 -0.1820 -0.17%*
Como Indx.267.57closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN....163.14 closed +0%
*IndoCDS..105.25 - -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*
*IDR.....15159.00 -51.00 -0.34%*
*Jisdor.15168.00 -22.00 -0.14%*
Euro......1.0686 unch +0%
TLKM....24.86 closed +0%
*(3778)*
EIDO......23.18 closed +0%
EEM......39.68 closed +0%
Oil.......77.13 +0.79 +1.03%
Gold 1850.30 +0.10 +0.01%
Timah 25856 closed +0%
*(Closed 02/17)*
*Nickel.27086.00 +439.00 +1.65%*
(Closed 02/20)
Silver.......21.97 +0.11 +0.50%
Copper..415.86 +5.35 +1.30%
Nturl Gas.2.311 +0.0011 +0.48%
Ammonia 4323.33 - -0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/16)
Coal price.205.65 -3.70 -1.77%_
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price179.50 -3.50 -1.91%
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price176.00 -4.65 -2.57%*
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price179.50 -2.90 -1.59%
(Mei/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.50 unch +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 133.00-3.20 -2.35%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price136.00 +1.05 +0.78%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price131.30 -3.10 -2.23%*
(May/Rotterdam)
CPO(May)....4124 +27 +0.65%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn...........677.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil..61.75 closed +0%
Wheat.......776.25 closed +0%
Wood pulp...6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/20)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Era9wati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_
🎁FEBRUARI SPECIAL DEAL 🎁
Reguler Price : 10.869.000,- /Tahun
🚥SPECIAL PRICE Rp 7.608.300,- /Tahun
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+ Cacingmology Rotation Chart®
+ Mentoring yang sudah ter-kurikulum dari basic
+ Intensive mentoring zoom online (minimal 1x seminggu)
+ Mentoring Fundamental Analysis
+ Teknik Scalping & Fast Trading
+ Teknik Swing Fast & Swing Midterm
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+ Bot Room Chart Fundamental
+ Komunitas BBK
+ Private Mentoring
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+ CHART JAGO
+ LIVE TRADING SETIAP HARI**
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Telegram : @caca369
MNCS Morning Navigator February 20, 2023
Senin, 20 Februari 2023
Global Market Highlights
DJIA strengthened +0.39% on Friday (17/02), while the S&P500 (-0.28%) and Nasdaq (-0.58%). Wall Street closed mixed as investors paid close attention to the Fed's hawkish comments. Today, the market will be looking toward several data releases such as: 1) France 12-Month BTF Auction; 2) France 6-Month BTF Auction; 3) Germany 12-Month Bubill Auction.
Domestic Update
• The Indonesian Shopping Center Management Association (APPBI) estimates that the level of visits to shopping centers (malls) can exceed 100%. MNCS Comment: We view that along with the relaxation of Covid-19 ahead of the Eid al-Fitr celebration, it can increase the number of visitors to shopping centers beyond FY20/FY21/FY22, so that it will have a positive impact on retail issuers.
Company News
1. BNGA IJ recorded a +19.6% YoY consolidated net profit growth in FY22 to IDR5.0 trillion (Kontan). MNCS Comment: The increase in net profit was supported by: 1) total credit growth +9.4% YoY; 2) increase in interest income by +1.3% YoY; 3) decrease in Cost of Credit -60 bps YoY. NPL fell to 2.8% (vs 3.50% in FY21). Currently BNGA is traded at 0.69x PBV.
2. ADMR IJ recorded total coal production reaching 3.37 million tons in FY22, while sales volume was 3.20 million tons (Emiten News). MNCS Comment: Coal production and sales volume increased +46.5%/39.1% YoY respectively, or exceeded management's target of 3.3 million tons. It is hoped that the operation of the Lahai Coal mine will boost the amount of coal production in FY23E. Currently, ADMR is traded at the level of 10.26x/8.01x PER/PBV.
3. INCO IJ recorded a net profit in FY22 of USD200.4 million, or an increase of +20.95% YoY (vs USD165.8 million in FY21) (Market Bisnis). MNCS Comment: The increase in net profit was supported by revenue growth +23.7% YoY to USD1.2 billion (vs USD953.2 million in FY21) as the average realized price was ~35% YoY higher. It is hoped that the return to operation of Furnace 4 this year will boost the company's performance. Currently, INCO is traded at the level of 21.57x/1.84x PER/PBV.
IHSG Updates
JCI flat +0.00% to 6,895.71 on Friday (17/02), followed by net foreign sell reaching IDR276.70 billion. The majority of sectors experienced weakness and weighed on the index, led by the property sector (-0.97%) followed by the raw materials sector (-0.78%). On the other hand, sectors that experienced strengthening were led by the health sector (+0.64) followed by the non-cyclical sector (+0.51%). The index closed flat as investors wait and see ahead of the release of 4Q22 current account data. On the other hand, the Rupiah exchange rate closed lower at the level of IDR15,203/USD. We estimate that the JCI will move in the price range of 6,880-6,920. Today's recommendation: AUTO, BEST, INDY, MARK
Disclaimer On
Download PDF:
https://www.mncsekuritas.id/po-content/po-upload/Research/MNC_Morning_Navigator/2023/02_Feb/EN_-_MNCS_Morning_Navigator_20022023.pdf
Untuk informasi lebih lanjut, silahkan download aplikasi MotionTrade:
Desktop: http://otweb.mncsekuritas.id/repository/install.exe
Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mncsecurities.mnctrade
IOS: https://apps.apple.com/id/app/mnc-trade-new/id1134482436
February 20th, 2023
Good morning,
Dow closes more than 100 points higher on Friday, but notches third straight week of losses on rate fears: Live updates
U.S. stocks were mixed on Friday as stubbornly high inflation and a rebound in rates continued to weigh on investor sentiment.
Dow.......33827 +129.8 +0.39%
Nasdaq.11787 -68.6 -0.58%
S&P 500..4079 -11.3 -0.28%
FTSE.......8004 -8.1 -0.10%
Dax........15482 -51.6 -0.33%
CAC........7348 -18.4 -0.25%
Nikkei.....27513 -183.3 -0.66%
HSI.........20720 -267.9 -1.28%
Shanghai..3224 -25.01 -0.77%
IDX.....6895.71 +0.05 +0.05%
LQ45....954.38 +0.89 +0.09%
IDX30...496.30 +0.62 +0.12%
IDXEnergy...2082.24 -15.90 -0.76%
IDX BscMat 1250.68 -9.82 -0.78%
IDX Indstrl...1155.18 -2.51 -0.22%
IDXNONCYC..759.27 +3.86 +0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1615.73 +10.34+0.64%
IDXCYCLIC...844.41 -5.31 -0.63%
IDX Techno5613.44 +27.60 +0.49%
IDX Transp1841.68 -5.26 -0.28%
IDX Infrast....865.21 -1.82 -0.21 %
IDX Finance1427.65 +4.48 +0.32%
IDX Banking1162.24 +5.43 +0.47%
IDX Property....697 - -%
*Indo10Yr.6.7641 -0.0056 -0.08%*
*ICBI..350.7567 +0.1073 +0.03%*
*US10Yr.3.8280 -0.0150 -0.39%*
*VIX......20.02 -0.15 -0.74%*
*USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️*
Como Indx.267.57 -2.68 -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN.....163.14 -0.34 -0.21%
*IndoCDS..105.25 - -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*
*IDR.....15210.00 +51.00 +0.34%‼️*
*Jisdor.15199.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️*
*Euro......1.0686 -0.0004 -0.04%*
TLKM....24.86 -0.01 -0.04%
*(3778)*
EIDO......23.18 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM......39.68 -0.44 -1.10%
*Oil.......76.34 -2.15 -2.74%*
Gold 1850.20 -1.60 -0.09%
*Timah 25856 -1148.00 -4.25%‼️*
*(Closed 02/17)*
*Nickel.26647.00 -967.50 -3.63%‼️*
(Closed 02/17)
Silver.......21.86 -0.01 -0.06%
Copper..410.50 -1.65 -0.40%
*Nturl Gas.2.300 -0.093 -3.88%‼️*
*Ammonia 4323.33 -83.34 -1.89%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/16)
*Coal price.209.35 -4.65 -2.17%*
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price183.00 -3.30 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price180.65 -3.30 -1.79%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price182.40 -3.05 -1.64%
(Mei/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.50 -0.50 -0.36%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 136.20-2.80 -2.01%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.95 -2.05 -1.50%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price134.30 -3.10 -2.26%*
(May/Rotterdam)
*CPO(May)....4136 +66 +1.62%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn...........677.50 +2.50 +0.37%
SoybeanOil..61.75 -0.40 -0.64%
Wheat.......776.25 unch +0%
Wood pulp...6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/19)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Era9wati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_
🎁FEBRUARI SPECIAL DEAL 🎁
Reguler Price : 10.869.000,- /Tahun
🚥SPECIAL PRICE Rp 7.608.300,- /Tahun
BENEFIT:
+ BBK® Trading Tools
+ NEW HD® Engine Bandarmology
+ Cacingmology Rotation Chart®
+ Mentoring yang sudah ter-kurikulum dari basic
+ Intensive mentoring zoom online (minimal 1x seminggu)
+ Mentoring Fundamental Analysis
+ Teknik Scalping & Fast Trading
+ Teknik Swing Fast & Swing Midterm
+ Bot Room Chart Technical
+ Bot Room Chart Fundamental
+ Komunitas BBK
+ Private Mentoring
+ Konsultasi Porto
+ CHART JAGO
+ LIVE TRADING SETIAP HARI**
‼️ JANGAN KEHABISAN KUOTA YAH ‼️
😍Bonus 2 Bulan dengan membuka Akun di MNC Sekuritas /NH Korindo Sekuritas Indonesia
✅ Cicilan TOKOPEDIA
https://www.tokopedia.com/bbktools/cara-mudah-trading-saham-bbk-special-price-discount-limited-time
*Syarat & Ketentuan Berlaku
Contact Admin
WA : 0881081369369
Telegram : @caca369
February 14th, 2023
Good morning,
Dow.......34246 +376.7 +1.11%
Nasdaq.11892 +173.7 +1.48%
S&P 500..4137 +46.8 +1.14%
FTSE.......7948 +65.2 +0.83%
Dax........15397 +89.4 +0.58%
CAC........7209 +78.9 +1.11%
Nikkei.....27427 -243.7 -0.88%
HSI.........21164 -26.0. -0.12%
Shanghai..3284 +23.5 +0.72%
IDX.....6900.14 +19.81+0.29%
LQ45....953.22 +0.77 +0.08%
IDXEnergy...2086.35 +11.18 +0.54%
IDX BscMat 1264.01 -7.18 -0.56%
IDX Indstrl...1165.38 +7.35 +0.63%
IDXNONCYC..755.10 -3.44 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1583.07 -7.73 -0.49%
IDXCYCLIC...848.60 +14.67 +1.76%
*IDX Techno5582.67+198.86+3.69%‼️*
IDX Transp1835.86 +9.22 +1.11%
IDX Infrast....853.82 +2.80 +0.33 %
IDX Finance1432.73 +4.77 +0.33%
IDX Banking1170.81 +2.33 +0.22%
IDX Property....705 +1.00 +0.15%
*Indo10Yr.6.7491+0.0236+0.35%*
*ICBI..350.7126 -0.2553 -0.07%*
*US10Yr.3.7170 -0.0270 -0.72%*
*VIX......20.34 -0.19 -0.93%*
*USDIndx103.3050-0.3250 -0.31%*
Como Indx.272.79 +0.12 +0.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN.....164.53 -0.52 -0.31%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 - -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*
*IDR.....15204.50 +71.00 +0.47%‼️*
*Jisdor.15140.00 +20.00 +0.13%‼️*
*Euro......1.0721 +0.0047 +0.44%*
TLKM....25.31 +0.14 +0.56%
*(3832)*
EIDO......23.39 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM......40.52 +0.33 +0.82%
*Oil.......80.14 +0.42 +0.53%*
*Gold 1863.50 -11.00 -0.59%*
Timah 27349 - -%
*(Closed 02/10)*
*Nickel.26487.50 -1341.00 -4.82%‼️*
(Closed 02/13)
Silver.......21.85 -0.22 -1.01%
Copper..405.75 +4.10 +1.02%
*Nturl Gas.2.439 -0.141 -5.47%*
*Ammonia4106.67 - -%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/08)
*Coal price.221.00 -5.10 -2.26%*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price198.75 -7.25 -3.52%‼️*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price 197.10 -8.65 -4.20%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price 198.60 -8.90 -4.29%‼️*
(Mei/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.00 unch +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 128.50 -3.50 -2.65%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price128.90 -3.60 -2.72%*
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price129.95 -3.45 -2.59%*
(May/Rotterdam)
CPO(Apr)....3934 -16 -0.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn...........685.00 +4.50 +0.66%
SoybeanOil..60.24 -0.42 -0.69%
Wheat.......800.75 +5.00 +0.63%
Wood pulp...6080.00 -20 -0.33%
(Closed 02/13)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_
MNCS Daily Scope Wave 22 Februari 2023
Rabu, 22 Februari 2023
IHSG ditutup terkoreksi 0,3% ke 6,873 dan saat ini posisi IHSG sudah berada di bawah MA20 serta masih didominasi dengan tekanan jual. Posisi IHSG saat ini diperkirakan sedang berada pada bagian dari wave [ii] dari wave C pada label hitam, dan hal tersebut akan lebih terkonfirmasi apabila IHSG tidak mampu menembus resistance di 6,961. Namun demikian, kabar baiknya, bila IHSG menembus 6,961, maka sedang berada di awal wave c dari wave (x) di label merah, yang akan membawa IHSG ke rentang 7,064-7,184.
Support: 6,803, 6,767
Resistance: 6,961, 7,053
EXCL - Buy on Weakness
EXCL ditutup menguat 0,4% ke 2,350, meskipun maish didominasi oleh volume pembelian namun pergerakan EXCL masih tertahan MA200. Saat ini, posisi EXCL diperkirakan sedang berada pada bagian dari wave [iii] dari wave C.
Buy on Weakness: 2,300-2,330
Target Price: 2,430, 2,550
Stoploss: below 2,240
HRUM - Buy on Weakness
HRUM ditutup terkoreksi 0,6% ke 1,605 pada perdagangan kemarin (21/2). Posisi HRUM saat ini diperkirakan sedang berada pada bagian dari wave (y) dari wave [b] dari wave Y, hal tersebut berarti HRUM masih rawan terkoreksi dan dapat dimanfaatkan untuk BoW.
Buy on Weakness: 1,545-1,565
Target Price: 1,700, 1,785
Stoploss: below 1,480
SMDR - Buy on Weakness
SMDR ditutup menguat 6% ke 426 dan disertai oleh peningkatan volume pembelian, namun penguatan SMDR masih tertahan oleh MA20. Selama SMDR masih mampu bergerak di atas 400 sebagai stoplossnya, maka posisi SMDR saat ini sedang berada pada bagian dari wave (iii) dari wave [i] dari wave C.
Buy on Weakness: 414-422
Target Price: 442, 466
Stoploss: below 400
TKIM - Buy on Weakness
TKIM ditutup menguat 1,4% ke 7,100, meskipun masih tertahan MA200 namun pergerakan TKIM masih didominasi oleh volume pembelian. Selama TKIM masih mampu berada di atas 6,900 sebagai stoplossnya, maka posisi TKIM saat ini sedang berada di awal wave [iii] dari wave C.
Buy on Weakness: 7,025-7,075
Target Price: 7,350, 7,600
Stoploss: below 6,900
Disclaimer On
Download PDF:
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*NH Morning Brief – Feb. 21, 2023*
*Today's Outlook*
*Bursa global bertahan di teritori positif pada awal pekan ini di tengah liburnya pasar saham AS.* Adapun hari ini ada sederet data ekonomi yang menjadi perhatian pasar keuangan global, yang kebanyakan berkisar sekitar Purchasing Manager Index dari Jepang, Perancis, Jerman, Zona Eropa, Inggris dan AS. Selain itu German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index akan memberikan pandangan kondisi ekonomi 6 bulan ke depan, yang disurvey dari 350 investor dan analis institusi Jerman. Terakhir, Existing Homes Sales AS (Jan.) juga akan dipantau dari angka sebelumnya 4.02 juta yang mana sekarang diperkirakan naik ke 4.1juta, memberikan gambaran akan pasar perumahan AS sekaligus merupakan indikator kekuatan ekonomi secara umum. Dari belahan dunia Timur, China mempertahankan suku bunga kredit tetap di level 3.65% selama 6 bulan berturut-turut. Dollar Index diperdagangkan sekitar 104, tetap mantap pada level tertinggi 6 minggu seiring data ekonomi AS yang kukuh kuat diperkirakan akan menjaga The Fed tetap hawkish.
*IHSG ditutup flat setelah melalui sesi perdagangan yang volatile,* namun berhasil menjala Net Buy asing sejumlah IDR 475.6 miliar. Bank Indonesia mencatat transaksi berjalan kembali mencatat surplus 4Q22 sebesar USD 4,3miliar atau 1.3% dari PDB, namun sedikit melambat dari 3Q22 sebesar USD 4.5miliar; didukung oleh surplus neraca perdagangan nonmigas & harga komoditas ekspor yang tetap tinggi. Dengan demikian surplus transaksi berjalan sepanjang tahun 2022 naik signifikan mencapai USD13.2 miliar (1% dari PDB) dibanding capaian surplus 2021 sebesar USD 3.5 miliar (0.3% PDB). NHKSI RESEARCH mempertimbangkan posisi IHSG saat ini masih relatif aman di atas Support MA20/6890 walau belum juga beranjak ke atas MA10 atau level 6910; oleh karena itu saran terbaik bagi para investor di periode Sideways ini adalah untuk Hold all positions dan Average Up bertahap ketika IHSG mulai bergerak ke atas level 6900 lagi.
*Foreign Transaction (IDR bn)*
Buy 3,163
Sell 2,687
Net Buy (Sell) 476
Top Buy NB Val. Top Sell NS Val.
BBNI 152.4 GOTO 104.1
BBRI 85.9 BBCA 48.8
EXCL 38.0 ASII 42.5
ANTM 34.7 ISAT 36.9
BRPT 16.6 ADRO 30.4
*Company News*
EXCL: Raih Laba Bersih IDR1,1 T
BNGA: DPK dan Aset Melorot
PEHA: Target Ekspor Naik 15%
*Daily Technical 21 Februari 2023*
*IHSG*
S: 6895 / 6820-6800.
R: 6910 / 6955-6965 / 7000 / 7100-7130 / 7355-7377.
*INKP*
Speculative Buy
Entry Level: 7925-7900
Average Up >8000
Target: 8300-8400 / 8750 / 9000.
Stoploss: 7800.
*UNTR*
Speculative Buy
Entry Level: 24300-24000.
Average Up >24800
Target: 26000 / 26900 / 27450 / 28650-28800
Stoploss: 23800.
*UNVR*
Speculative Buy.
Entry Level: 4540
Average Up >4560
Target: 4650 / 4730 / 4770 / 4920 / 5000.
Stoploss: 4470.
*BMRI*
Speculative Buy.
Entry Level: 10275-10200.
Average Up >10300
Target: 10600 -10725 / 11000 / 11300.
Stoploss: 9975.
*INDF*
Speculative Buy.
Entry Level : 6625-6575
Average Up >6725
Target: 6900-7000 / 7125.
Stoploss: 6475.
*DISCLAIMER ON*
*Corporate Calendar*
Date Event
Tuesday RUPS: --
21 - Feb. Cum Dividend: --
Wednesday RUPS: ASMI
22 - Feb. Cum Dividend: --
Thursday RUPS: BIPI, INRU, PPRE, RUIS
23 - Feb. Cum Dividend: --
Friday RUPS: MEGA, WICO
24 - Feb. Cum Dividend: --
*Global Indices*
Index Last Chg. %
Dow Jones 33,826.69 129.84 0.39%
S&P 500 4,079.09 (11.32) -0.28%
FTSE 100 8,014.31 9.95 0.12%
DAX 15,477.55 (4.45) -0.03%
Nikkei 27,531.94 18.81 0.07%
Hang Seng 20,886.96 167.15 0.81%
Shanghai 3,290.34 66.31 2.06%
Kospi 2,455.12 3.91 0.16%
EIDO 23.18 (0.11) -0.47%
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SMART TRADER COMMUNITY & LOTUS ANDALAN SEKURITAS Mempersembahkan Sharing Session
=======================
Weekly Outlook IHSG
SPEAKER :
✅ Rokaya Aritonang
Elliot Wave Expert
✅ krishna D.S
Mentor LOTS Trading Club
Moderator
✅ Kuswara
✅ Jani Yun
✳ Senin, 20 Februari 2023
✳ Jam 16.00 WIB - Selesai
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MNCS Daily Scope Wave 20 Februari 2023
Senin, 20 Februari 2023
IHSG ditutup menguat tipis ke 6,895 pada perdagangan akhir pekan kemarin (17/2) dan masih bergerak di atas MA20. Cermati pergerakan IHSG, apabila belum mampu break resistance di 6,961, maka posisi IHSG masih berada pada bagian dari wave [ii] dari wave C dimana IHSG akan menuju ke 6,712-6,800, terlebih bila break 6,803. Best case, apabila mampu break resistance maka label merah akan berlaku dan IHSG akan menguat ke 7,064-7,184.
Support: 6,803, 6,767
Resistance: 6,961, 7,053
AUTO - Buy on Weakness
AUTO ditutup flat di 1,415 pada perdagangan Jumat (17/2) disertai dengan munculnya volume penjualan. Kami perkirakan, posisi AUTO saat ini sedang berada di awal wave 5 dari wave (C) sehingga AUTO masih berpeluang melanjutkan penguatannya.
Buy on Weakness: 1,380-1,405
Target Price: 1,470, 1,555
Stoploss: below 1,350
BEST - Buy on Weakness
BEST ditutup terkoreksi 2,1% ke 143 pada perdagangan Jumat (17/2). Posisi BEST saat ini diperkirakan sedang berada pada bagian dari wave 2 dari wave (3), sehingga BEST masih rawan untuk melanjutkan koreksinya terlebih dahulu.
Buy on Weakness: 135-140
Target Price: 150, 160
Stoploss: below 128
INDY - Spec Buy
INDY ditutup menguat 0,4% ke 2,270 dan masih didominasi oleh munculnya volume pembelian. Selama INDY masih bergerak di atas 2,200 sebagai stoplossnya, maka posisi INDY saat ini sedang berada di awal wave (B) dari wave [B].
Spec Buy: 2,230-2,270
Target Price: 2,490, 2,670
Stoploss: below 2,200
MARK - Spec Buy
MARK ditutup menguat 0,8% ke 595, pergerakan MARK pun masih disertai oleh volume pembelian namun posisi MARK masih konsolidasi. Selama MARK masih mampu bertahan di atas 560 sebagai stoplossnya, maka posisi MARK saat ini sedang berada pada awal dari wave [iii] dari wave C.
Spec Buy: 580-595
Target Price: 640, 690
Stoploss: below 560
Disclaimer On
Download PDF:
https://www.mncsekuritas.id/po-content/po-upload/Research/Daily_Scope_Wave/2023/02_Feb/MNCS_Daily_Scope_Wave_200223.pdf
Untuk informasi lebih lanjut, silahkan download aplikasi MotionTrade:
Desktop: http://otweb.mncsekuritas.id/repository/install.exe
Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mncsecurities.mnctrade
IOS: https://apps.apple.com/id/app/mnc-trade-new/id1134482436
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SMART TRADER COMMUNITY & LOTUS ANDALAN SEKURITAS Mempersembahkan Sharing Session
=======================
Weekly Outlook IHSG
SPEAKER :
✅ Rokaya Aritonang
Elliot Wave Expert
✅ krishna D.S
Mentor LOTS Trading Club
Moderator
✅ Kuswara
✅ Jani Yun
✳ Senin, 20 Februari 2023
✳ Jam 16.00 WIB - Selesai
✳ Via Zoom Meeting
‼LINK ZOOM‼
➡ bit.ly/WEEKLYOUTLOOKIHSG2023
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Weekly Outlook IHSG
SPEAKER :
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Berdikari manajemen investasi
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Moderator
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