⚠️Powell:
- The economy is not signaling that the Fed needs to rush into a rate cut
- the labor market has cooled to the point where it is no longer a source of significant inflationary pressure
- the strength of the economy gives the Fed room to be cautious in its decision making, the Fed does not need to rush to lower interest rates
#USDCHF is a good realization.
Smooth move without deep pullbacks.
Cool!
The most important thing here is that the price is moving smoothly, purposefully and the entry into the deal could be made with minimal risk :)
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Important news ahead.
Focus on PPI, which will be released at 13:30 GMT.
Also focus on Powell's speech at 20:00 GMT!
High volatility is possible!
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Correction ahead of PPI before falling to $2470
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GOLD on the news continues its bearish rally. The price is breaking the structure of 2547. A false breakdown and counter-trend correction may form before PPI and Powell's speech...
Demand for the dollar rises at the expense of gold. Trump-led euphoria continues to support the index despite relatively weak CPI data and the stance of Fed policymakers. In the medium term, the focus is on the next Fed rate meeting. The most likely scenario is a 0.25% rate cut.
Bulls in gold are likely to have to reassess their medium-term targets as the dollar's rise caused by Trump's trade is outweighed despite the Fed's relatively dovish stance.
For today, all eyes are on Powell's speech and PPI and jobless claims.
Technically, gold is testing the important level of 2546 as part of a strong decline. A false breakdown and correction is possible.
Resistance levels: 2577, 2589, 2595
Support levels: 2546, 2531, 2500
Before the news, a rebound to the imbalance zone or local resistance may be formed in the hope to win back the losing positions of those who have not yet managed to leave the market. I expect that after the correction the price will continue its decline.
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I apologize for the late posting of the analysis, I had to check something and wait for confirmation 🙂
Читать полностью…💡 Ideas For #NZDJPY 🇦🇺🇯🇵
📈 92.00 - bull run trigger
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NZDJPY continues to accumulate pre-breakout potential against 92.000 resistance. Japan's national currency continues to weaken amid inaction from the country's Central Bank and the dollar rally...
On D1 and H1, the structure coincides and generally tells us that the price is ready to go up. Trigger 91.950 - 92.00. If buyers can break this resistance area and hold their defenses above this zone, a quick distribution will not be far behind.
JPY confirms its downward course by breaking support, which generally defines the medium-term potential for us.
Resistance levels: 92.00
Support levels: 91.362
The overall structure will be broken when the support at 91.36 is broken, but there are no hints of that yet. The currency pair does not fall after the false breakdown of resistance, but continues to inflate the potential, which generally confirms the bullish intentions to go higher
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#NZDUSD
A simple and good low-risk deal.
The potential could have been taken 1/2 and 1/3 and 1/4.
Most likely the fall will continue.
Result: +100pips :)
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Matrixport experts expected BTC to rise to $100,000 by the end of this year, now they believe it will happen sooner than that
As I said, most likely the market will try to test 100K
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The bearish rally is intensifying. Next, 2500-2400?
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GOLD accelerates its fall and updates the low, testing the zone below 2600. Panic? Profit-taking? Are buyers turning around? CPI and PPI ahead, is there still hope?
Chinese authorities have played a negative role this time with their weak support for markets (traders are wary of potential trade tariffs that Trump may impose), which is generally reflected in the gold price in part.
Theoretically, any attempts to rise in gold may be limited, due to the rise of the dollar, which is feeling support from the market amid the excitement of Trump and fading expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
Ahead is the consumer price index, which could have an impact on the Fed's future rate path and the US dollar.
Technically, gold is trying to break out of a key range breaking support. If a false break of 2604 is formed, a small correction to resistance may form.
Resistance levels: 2626, 2637
Support levels: 2604, 2569, 2546
If the bears keep the price below 2605-2600, the decline may intensify, but since the price is testing strong support, a false breakdown and a correction may be formed as a primary reaction, for example to 2626-2637 (0.5 fibo) before a further decline.
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#Bitcoin 🪙 reached 85K 🔥 according to our idea :)
Two key targets reached in a few days!
PS: There is a high possibility that the price could rise to 100K before Trump's inauguration
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#BTCUSD soared to an all-time high above $93K late Wednesday as the red-hot cryptoasset rally shows no signs of abating. For reference, the ultimate peak was around $93,650 per coin, with a market value of over $1.8 trillion.
#DOGE, an Ilon Musk favorite, rose more than 20% on the day after President-elect Donald Trump made a hasty announcement. He said he was appointing Musk and Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy to head the newly created Department of Government Efficiency. Yes, that acronym is DOGE. Dogecoin has jumped above 40 cents, posting a weekly gain of more than 100 percent
But, many #altcoins never got out of their boundaries or downward channels. Most likely, this could happen a bit later as cryptocurrencies are just starting to gain momentum following the driver (BTC) and the general trend
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#EURUSD has been under pressure lately, with the mighty US Dollar putting a lot of pressure on the already weak Euro. The exchange rate has fallen to below $1.0550, a low last seen in October 2023.
Trump plans to raise tariffs on imported goods and services, with a particularly steep increase on anything coming from China. In addition, Trump intends to cut taxes for businesses to allow them to keep more of their revenues and profits. Apparently, the goal is to get the American corporate machine going again and help the economy pick up again
All this fanfare, however, has some analysts worried about renewed inflationary pressures going forward. In October, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed that core inflation rose to 2.6%, up from September's 2.4%. Against this backdrop, the US dollar is strengthening, as rising inflation is usually favorable for the national currency.
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💡 Ideas For TONUSDT 🤑
📈 One step away from a rally. Trying to change the trend
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TON is coming out of a prolonged consolidation, but only one action separates us from the distribution phase. The bitcoin rally is favorable for many altcoins....
In my opinion, TON is a rather undervalued project that has a fundamentally significant base (many altcoins cannot boast of this).
Technically, the consolidation lasted for almost 9 months and, consequently, this energy should be used somewhere. The exit of the price from the accumulation begins to show us in which direction the distribution is likely to go.
The focus is on 5.420 and 5.150. If the bulls hold their defenses above this zone, the coin could show a flight to the moon in the long run. But don't look at cryptocurrencies with rose-colored glasses, assess the situation relative to the risks!
Resistance levels: 5.420, 6.133
Support levels: 5.151, 4.51
The price is breaking the resistance of the bullish pattern (descending wedge or descending triangle), we have to wait for confirmation that the trend change will be true. The fight for 5.420 continues. Let's keep an eye on this zone ;)
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US - CPI (Oct)
m/m = +0.2% (expected +0.2%)
y/y = +2.6% (expected +2.6%)
Core CPI = +3.3% y/y (expected +3.3%)
#USDJPY pair continued its upward climb under the pressure of the US dollar. The yen lost more than 10% in two months due to the strengthening DXY and failed to offer meaningful resistance to short sellers.
Domestically, the yen is not in a good position. It has been subjected to political turmoil, with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's party losing its majority. The Bank of Japan is reluctant to raise interest rates, arguing that the economy needs to operate in an ultra loose borrowing environment. Inflation...
Speaking of inflation, the U.S. is about to release its Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. In October, analysts forecast a slight increase in price growth to 2.6% from 2.4% in September. Price pressures are largely a thing of the past for the Fed, which has been on a steady path to lower interest rates. But if they re-emerge, it could lead to a resumption of US dollar gains across all currency markets.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 A change in structure and a change in trend. CPI ahead!
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GOLD is turning around. The daily session closes below 2604 and the breakdown of the global structure confirms the bearish nature of the market. The fight for the key 2600 zone continues...
Trump's tough policies could slow the Fed's easing cycle, the dollar would then continue to strengthen at the expense of gold... There is another Fed rate meeting in December and obviously the question is: either 0.25% or hold.
All eyes are on the CPI, the data will determine whether the Fed will continue its rate cut trajectory after December.
A downside surprise in CPI could reinforce dovish expectations for the Fed. Conversely, a stronger inflation report could trigger a change in the regulator's stance. Any reaction to the news could be short-lived as attention immediately shifts to Thursday, PPI and Powell's...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2626, 2637
❗️ Key level: 2604
Support levels: 2590, 2569
The fight for 2604 continues, if the bears can keep the defense below this zone, we should expect a fall. But, there is a high probability of correction on the background of news volatility and retest of resistance 2626-2637 before the further fall
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USD index at 2-year high
Main consensus: capital has flowed back to the US amid Trump's threats of new duties on everyone else + many believe that Trump's policy will be more pro-inflationary, which will force the Fed to make fewer rate cuts in 2025, or to pause altogether
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I love it when #GOLD / #XAUUSD behaves easily and predictably)
Also an easy and simple trade that brought us +620 pips! 👑
Great result for 1 day 😎
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EM currency index fell to its lowest since August - investors spooked by Trump's possible new duties
Goldman believes that in addition to China, other Asian countries, Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, are also under the threat of new trade duties
Next year is going to be quite interesting. Gold and other hedge assets may prove themselves again. It is also likely that cryptocurrencies in the world will take a slightly different position, more weighty than it is now
The US dollar rallied broadly in forex on Monday and continues to maintain its dominance. The post-election rally in the US dollar continues. The impact will be long ...
What does this mean for the US dollar? Trump intends to pave the way for economic growth, jobs and... well... revenue and profits. The president-elect plans to cut taxes so local businesses pay less on income, and raise tariffs so foreign businesses pay more on imports into the US. On the other hand, this dynamic threatens to undermine years of efforts to fight inflation and increase price pressures.
Returning to the US dollar, we note that its rise may soon hit a ceiling, with a potential double top on the way. The US Dollar Index is aiming for the 106 mark. Strong areas may be responded to by pullbacks, and the forex market will also react to this. But in the long term, the dollar may continue its strengthening phase...
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💡 Ideas For NEIROETHUSDT 💰
📈 The coin is one step away from rallying ↑
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NEIROETH consolidates before a possible takeoff. The potential of the cryptocurrency market is beginning to unfold amid the excitement surrounding Trump's victory
While bitcoin is hitting all-time highs, some altcoins are still considered extremely undervalued.
NEIROETH is coming out of accumulation (triangle) but faces a strong liquidity zone. The coin continues to accumulate potential, but with a hint of resistance breakout. The key liquidity zone is 0.1150.
Technically, the picture on the chart is shaping up to be extremely bullish: no renewal of lows, strong consolidations and strong support levels.
Resistance levels: 0.1150, 0.1400
Support levels: 0.0923, 0.067
I do not exclude the possibility of support retest and formation of a false breakdown before further growth. But in any case, a break of the key liquidity zone at 0.115 may trigger a rally.
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