👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Retest of range support in a bull market
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GOLD is trading inside the channel and is not yet ready to approach the resistance with the target of ATH retest. Profit-taking amid increased risk due to news, economic data affect the price of metal.
Price is closing inside the range of 2748-2713. A support retest is forming and liquidity capture may reignite upside interest. Traders are waiting for the Fed's actions: which side will the regulator take - aggressive or conservative strategy of policy easing? We should not forget the uncertainty around the US presidential election combined with growing geopolitical concerns in the Middle East.
For today, all eyes are on Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep), which could provide new hints on the state of the US economy
Resistance levels: 2722, 2729, 2737, 2748
Support levels: 2713 (trigger), 2702
Emphasis on 2713. Price may test this area. Based on how buyers are defending the support, the market may form a false breakout and bounce to resistance. But, if the bounce is minimal, and then the price starts to retest 2713 and consolidate, we have increased risks to break the support. In this case, the price will head towards 2700-2685
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#USDJPY A classy medium-term realization after bouncing from 147.2 and breaking the resistance of the range of 149.38.
The currency pair passed almost 500pips 😎 from the trigger point without any hint of reversal or structure breakdown. Buyers actively defended the price.
Awesome! 🔥
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#BTCUSD briefly dipped to the $65,000 mark before bouncing back above $67,000 after traders snatched up several flagship coins at a discount early Thursday. The swing, uncharacteristic of the volatile cryptocurrency beast, this time seems to have come from a different place - the stock market. The US indices, the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq, all fell yesterday, raising fears of a broad and painful pullback.
The weakness in stocks has been passed on to the cryptocurrency space, especially since tech stocks were hit the hardest. The movement in tech stocks and the Nasdaq, which is dominated by the tech sector, is sometimes reflected in the digital asset market, as both sectors are inherently driven by cutting-edge innovation.
In the realm of ETFs (exchange traded funds), which are an indicator of institutional and retail investor appetite, the flow of money changed, breaking a seven-day streak. ETHUSD, the spot Ether ETFs, have been much more subdued in their enthusiasm, with just $52 million of net new money flowing into them over the past seven days.
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#EURUSD continued its sharp decline on Thursday morning, with only three green days in the last 18 sessions.
The euro's hopeless fall is thanks to the ad hoc intervention of the ECB, which is cutting interest rates as if there is no tomorrow. In total, the ECB has cut rates three times this year as the central bank rushes to patch up the ailing economy. What's more, the ECB president has promised to keep it up, and traders are predicting three more cuts in borrowing costs before March.
In the U.S., the Fed is gradually shifting to a more dovish stance and plans to gradually cut interest rates. The US central bank will meet on November 6-7 to decide the fate of borrowing costs and it is expected to be the usual 25 basis point rate cut.
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💡 Ideas For #SCRUSDT
📈 The dump continues. How far will the coin fall?
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SCR is in the dump phase after listing. The coin is losing 40% and is not going to stop yet. After a strong fall, the coin does not bounce back, but forms consolidation before a possible continuation of the fall...
The reasons for the cold reception in the cryptocurrency community are quite objective:
Rumors have surfaced that the founder took most of the coins from the amount allocated for airdrop, depriving active users, accordingly, people got few tokens... Criticism among the community regarding the design of the project. The Binance Launchpool whales got access to SCR early.
Technically, the picture on the chart also points to weakness... The coin is unable to form a pullback or correction and update the local high. It can be seen that the bears are creating a huge pressure...
Resistance levels: 0.9533
Support levels: 0.882, 0.8, 0.7
Accordingly, a retest of the resistance is possible before a further fall. It is not excluded, if the development team puts forward some announcement or news that can bribe speculators, in this case the coin can give a strong impulse upward, which will break the structure, but this is not the case yet.
The fall will continue after the support breakdown...
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The US dollar index continues to conquer new peaks. Many things have contributed to the growth of the US currency - in particular, the prospects of a gradual reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve and a strong US economy.
More interesting and making history is the election game. Markets seem to be pricing in Trump's victory with the so-called “Trump trade”. What is it? Forex traders are betting that Donald Trump will win the November election and positioning their portfolios with his economic policies in favor of the U.S. dollar. As the election date of November 5 approaches, dollar volatility is expected to increase dramatically.
Since the end of last month, the US dollar has added about 4%, mainly due to the excellent employment report for September. This, in turn, has led to a calmer outlook for lower interest rates. So what will change under a possible Trump presidency? Analysts have not failed to note Trump's plans to impose tariffs on imports, a measure that could lead to higher inflation and higher interest rates
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Who pressed the accelerator? Is the RALLY still going on?
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GOLD continues its bull run. Prices are rising and so are the risks (before the news). What influences the growth and what to expect from the metal that surprises speculators?
Gold continues to rise despite a rising dollar, which is rising mainly on economic data and the growing likelihood of Trump winning the US presidential election.
Escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, renewed talks on de-dollarization ( There has been speculation about the creation of a gold-backed currency in the wake of the three-day BRICS summit) are supporting the metal.
Gold is technically at highs, which increases the risks of an unpredictable correction due to the approaching news from the US. Also the focus on China markets and the BRICS summit...
Resistance levels: 2758
Support levels: 2749, 2737, 2728
The upside may continue from the local support areas as we are trading in a strong bull market. The focus is on 2749-2737-2728-2713. The market may form another flat or consolidation before the growth...
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Murad Makhmudov on why memcoins and shitcoins are making ace without any “foundation”:
- Now there is such a situation that really fundamental crypto projects don't need tokens
- and the “shitcoins” that do “to the moon” don't need projects.
- If you look at the top tokens in terms of growth since the beginning of this year, you can see that they have no real projects
- Individuals have now started to come to the idea that all tokens, no matter whether there is a real project behind them or not, are just casino bets. And accordingly, they have started to ask the question - “why bet in this casino on a project with a valuation of billions of $$$$$, if you can accelerate projects from scratch, creating organics, creating communities and making huge X's”...
- What memcoins are doing now is recreating the ICO boom of 2016-2017... All that matters is people's motivation...
Hey, guys 👋
I look forward to your likes and comments 😉
I left a question in the comments under the idea, it would be interesting to hear your opinion 🙂
💰 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/wqiWuyzA-BITCOIN-False-Breakout-Bearish-Engulfment/
✅️ https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/AZ8itDEx-GOLD-Consolidation-at-bullrun-Shall-we-update-ATH/
💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓
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BTC entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
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💡 Ideas For #EURGBP 🇪🇺🇬🇧
📈 Attempting to break through the resistance
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EURUSD is breaking wedge resistance and consolidation resistance after prolonged consolidation. The reason is the change of the local euro rate.
If the bulls are able to keep the defense above 0.8346, then in perspective the currency pair will be able to move into the realization phase, which will allow the price to reach 0.838 - 0.842.
The fundamental background for both countries is similar. The general course of interest rates reduction and dependence on the growing dollar. But the local sentiment allows pointing to a more positive mood among those willing to buy EUR.
Resistance levels: 0.8346, 0.8384, 0.842
Support levels: 0.8316
The price is in the risk zone, where there is a struggle between the participants. The focus is on the buyer. If he can consolidate his positions above the previously broken wedge resistance, then above the consolidation resistance at 0.8346, it will be the beginning of realization.
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#GBPJPY - also a great realization. The area of 193.49 acted as a strong support, bulls actively defended.
The price consolidated a bit more in front of the resistance to break it.
As tog: +420pips within the medium-term realization! 🔥
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By the way, #Bitcoin has achieved one of the goals stated in the last idea. :)
It went from 67K to 65K in one day 🔥
Good, short movement, as part of the reaction to a false breakout.
PS: The structure is still intact!
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❗️ News ahead! High volatility is possible!
AT 12:30 GMT
13:45 GMT
Be careful!
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Bullish flat (consolidation). News ahead
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GOLD corrects to 2713, confirming strong support. We talked to you about the risks yesterday. Bulls have been actively buying the metal since the start of the Asian session, hinting at strong support...
Further gains in gold remain dependent on the upcoming PMI and jobless claims data. Traders are awaiting information on the state of the global economy, which will influence the short- to medium-term strategy against the dollar and gold...
Market nervousness ahead of key reports in the US and the presidential election will also play a role. Any potential decline in the gold price is likely to be contained for several reasons: the BRICS summit, the US elections, the ongoing Middle East conflict. In this case, gold acts as a safe haven.
Resistance levels: 2748, 2758, 2775
Support levels: 2729, 2713
ATH may be tested in the near future. Further news and high volatility, high risks may provoke profit-taking, which may bring gold back to support. And after correction the growth may resume due to strong enough interest from buyers....
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#USDJPY switched to a quick sprint to levels above ¥152 early Wednesday morning. The yen's fall was part of a broader effort by the dollar to shake up trades in the Asian currency market.
Prospects of a gradual decline in US interest rates are supportive for the dollar - rates that remain higher for longer imply higher yields on dollar-linked assets such as bonds.
Going deeper into the dollar-yen trade, a nice technical configuration has just formed on the chart. The 200-day simple moving average (SMA), an indicator of long-term trend direction, broke through a bullish swing today. This means that the dollar bulls seem willing to try to take the pair to higher levels, while the bears will have to work harder to bring the dollar down.
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💡 Ideas For #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 Is a 300 pips drop not the limit? What's next?
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EURUSD reaches an important target. As part of the realization, the price passes 300 pips. The fundamental background for further rate cuts is generally favorable
The strengthening economy in the U.S. combined with a growing dollar (extreme rally of the index), the rate of interest rate cuts in Europe are doing their job. The fundamental background for the currency pair is weak, accordingly, in relation to this situation, in the medium term it is worth considering the continuation of the decline.
The price reaches 1.078 - the liquidity zone. The pool of liquidity below this zone can push the price away, forming a correction to the imbalance zone, or to the local maximum, from which we can further consider the continuation of the fall.
Resistance levels: 1.085, 1.087
Support levels: 1.078, 1.067
The last time the level was tested in early August. This fact in tandem with an aggressive fall of 3% may form a rebound due to the lack of technical potential to break the support level. Consolidation or correction may allow the market to accumulate strength...
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#EURUSD continued its weekly decline on Monday. Not much is happening to support the Euro, and both sides are pretty open about it - the ECB cut interest rates last week for the third time in a year and has said it will do so many more times
The dollar's rise is underpinned by the resilience of the US economy and the subdued prospects for lower interest rates, which will keep it attractive for a long time to come
Looking ahead, we note that this week there are not many economic events scheduled to affect the market. However, next week will be a busy week. The Euro will get a chance to recover if the German GDP data will show that Europe's largest economy grew in October. Eurozone inflation and US core inflation data will also be released, followed by the big monthly data release - US non-farm payrolls for October
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Consolidation at bullrun. Shall we update ATH?
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GOLD is forming the lower boundary of consolidation within the local correction. False breakdown of MA-50 and support at 2713 activate buying. Bulls are aggressively buying gold at every opportunity
Uncertainty around the US presidential election, market caution ahead of key US earnings reports are reviving demand for traditional safe-haven gold. In terms of the upcoming interest rate cut, the market has probably already resigned itself to the most likely 0.25% cut. Also, we continue to monitor the difficult economic environment in the markets of China... The Middle East conflict is still at the same level, with no signs of escalation or de-escalation, but it should not be overlooked.
The metal is forming a sideways range of 2739 - 2713 - consolidation. A primary retest of resistance could trigger a correction to 2728, or deeper, but with a high probability, gold could continue to rise
Resistance levels: 2739, 2750
Support Levels: 2728, 2713
Price may test the ATH in the near term. If the bulls break the resistance and hold the defense above 2739, gold may continue to rise.
If a bounce or false breakout is formed, the price may test the nearest support. Next, we need to watch for a reaction. If gold will return to retest 2739, then the chances of a breakout and further growth will grow!
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The US dollar continues to strengthen
JPMorgan notes strong demand for USD ahead of the election. Markets are actively preparing for a possible Trump victory
Trump promises to **** everyone (keep everyone under control :) ) if he becomes president: he will raise duties on China, Europe, Mexico even more, he also promises to raise duties on countries that are moving away from the dollar in settlements
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