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#BTCUSD rose 10% last week and maintained gains over the weekend. Several factors are underpinning the rally: lower inflation and the prospect of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as well as three cuts in borrowing costs by the European Central Bank this year
One key factor weighing the most right now is the U.S. presidential election in November. Both candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, are talking about crypto assets in an optimistic and positive tone. It seems that regardless of whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins, crypto traders will be on the upside
Technically, gold is in a buying zone, but the price is not going up, either there is no potential or they are not letting in. Need to be careful for buying as high chance for short-squeeze. Likewise, need to be careful for selling as price is in a bullish zone. I recommend to pay attention to the previous post, where the key zones are indicated...
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Realization continues, risks increase!
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GOLD is at its highs. The price continues to rally and update the highs from the opening of the session on Monday. No selling, but buying should be cautious!
Traders are waiting for the Fed officials to speak in the nearest future. The main issues are inflation, interest rate cuts and the US economy.
Optimism about Chinese stimulus, as well as ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran are supporting gold prices (In times of geopolitical turmoil, investors prefer to rush to traditional safe-haven gold prices)
With each passing day, the impact of the US election race is appearing more and more. The probability of a Trump victory is rising. Trump's fiscal and trade policies are seen as inflationary and positive for the US dollar
Resistance levels: 2736, 2750
Support levels: 2732, 2724, 2713
There is no news in the next few days, the fundamnetal background remains the same, so gold may continue to rise. The focus is on the nearest support zones for realization of purchases. At the moment the range 2736 - 2724 is formed
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The price broke the key level of 1.088 and is forming a correction on the background of the dollar correction. If the price holds below 1.088 after the retest, the fall to 1.0777 will continue
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The price is updating the lows and confirms the bearish market structure. If the bears hold 1.30 (strong psychological level), the decline will continue.
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The bearish pressure continues, but a rebound may follow on the back of the dollar correction. The fall may resume after the retest of 0.61
#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The struggle for 0.67 is forming. If the price fixes below this area, further falling...
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
A small correction from the local maximum. Possible retest of local support before further growth
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - LONG 📈
Retest of 1.38 and pre-breakdown consolidation is formed. In the mid-term we should wait for a breakdown of 1.38 and growth to 1.3889
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
On the back of dollar correction, USDCHF may go down to 0.86 to retest support before rising further
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - LONG 📈
The dollar is quite strong due to economic data in the west. False breakout is formed, correction may continue up to 103.2
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🔹For November +343%🟢
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🔹For Jul +63%🟢
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So, let's talk a little bit about #BITCOIN. The price, amazingly, non-stop, is up to 69K from 59K in a week and a half. And that's a fairly rapid rise in recent times. The reason is most likely due to economics and geopolitics.
Economic data from the west and Europe and Asia, China markets, US elections and so on. The market is dominated by bullish sentiment and potential buying, which is quite risky in terms of logic rather than the crush that many big analysts are showing, screaming about 200K-500K-1000K.
Technically, the price is still in a range - 68500 (69K) to 55K. This is to say that there is no actual trend at the moment, but price has not yet made any of the 4 key highs, so I still think price is in a weakly sloping bearish channel.
At this point, I would recommend paying attention to 2 key areas.
1) If the bulls can drive the price past 68500 and keep the defense above that zone, bitcoin could get to 70-72-73K
2) 66500 zone. This is a zone of risk, panic and fear. If buyers fail and the market starts to change forces and priorities, entering this area will activate very strong selling that could collapse the price all the way to 60K.
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🔹For November +343%🟢
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🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
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🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
🔹For Jun +85%🟢
🔹For Jul +63%🟢
🔹For August +339%🟢
🔹For September +495%🟢
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#EURUSD was floating mostly sideways early Friday after Thursday's event knocked the bullishness out of traders. The bearish sentiment this time was triggered by a bold move by the European Central Bank - the third interest rate cut this year
Yesterday, the ECB cut borrowing costs by another quarter point, bringing the benchmark interest rate it pays on bank deposits to 3.25%. It was the first consecutive rate cut in 13 years. What's more (and this clouds the euro's outlook), the ECB is forecasting further interest rate cuts in an attempt to revitalize the weakened European economy. Traders are all but pricing in the possibility of three more cuts before March
The single European currency has definitely seen better days. Over the past fourteen trading sessions, the euro has only been in the plus side for two days and has lost over 3.3% of its value. Today's session is expected to be fairly quiet in terms of events
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💡Ideas For NZDJPY 🇦🇺🇯🇵
📈 Pre-breakdown consolidation. Preparing for a rally
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPUSD is forming consolidation near resistance after retest and false breakdown. On the back of JPY decline, NZD may show upside...
There is no proper price reaction to range resistance. Consolidation in the format of a descending wedge, a rather strong pattern capable of forming strong movements, is being formed. The Japanese national currency continues to update lows amid the calm of the central bank of Japan, which is waiting for something because of the rally in the dollar, as well as economic data from the United States. Any strong comments could restart the rally in the JPY, so the risk of a shakeout is quite high. But at the moment the chart is hinting at a possible upside...
Resistance levels: 91.362, 91968
Support levels: 90.056
The price stops moving away from the wedge resistance at some point, forming a 12-16 hour consolidation. Most likely there will be a breakout attempt. If the bulls keep the defense above 91.0, we can catch a good upward rally in the mid term
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❗️ Big news ahead!
AT 12:30 GMT
High volatility is possible...
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I look forward to your likes and comments 😉
I left a question in the comments under the idea, it would be interesting to hear your opinion 🙂
👑 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/K2azycEa-GOLD-2685-breakout-trigger-News-ahead-A-new-conflict/
💰 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FILUSDT/8rmyJ5Yn-FILUSDT-Weakness-in-altcoins-will-manifest-itself-in-declining/
💡 Ideas For #FILUSDT 💰
📈 Weakness in altcoins will manifest itself in declining
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FIL after a false breakdown of the 3.800 range resistance is giving signs towards the continuation of the decline. The coin is in a global and local downtrend and there are no reasons to change direction. The focus is on the support of 3.688
Altcoins are extremely weak on the back of bitcoin's strong rally. The dominance of the flagship is currently at record highs, and the altcoin season has not arrived and apparently will not come anytime soon.
Bitcoin is testing strong resistance zones and cannot grow all the time. Any short-term reaction can affect the entire cryptocurrency market, which will color the coins in the red.
Support levels: 3.688
Resistance levels: 3.800
Technically, relative to 3.688 a descending triangle is forming after a false breakdown of the range resistance. It is a rather strong conglomerate.
Breakout of 3.688 and price consolidation below this area will provoke further selling and price decline to 3.4 - 3.3
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🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
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👍Performance & feedback✅
〰️〰️〰️
📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
🔹For Jun +85%🟢
🔹For Jul +63%🟢
🔹For August +339%🟢
🔹For September +495%🟢
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Rising #BTC price leads to impoverishment of those who do not own it, and this increases the threat of a divided society - experts from the European Union's central bank urged those who do not own BTC to oppose the asset and not to support politicians who endorse the first cryptocurrency
Not calling for anything, just the sheer fact of how the Central Bank of Europe is panicking :)
An attempt at manipulation ))
#USDJPY pair is on the rise again. The situation has changed, and it is now fashionable to be bearish on the yen again. For one key reason - the Bank of Japan is not doing what is necessary to maintain the value of its currency. More specifically, it is not considering raising interest rates to support the yen and limit money flow in the economy. Instead, Japan's central bank has promised to maintain a loose, easy and accommodative monetary policy.
Against this backdrop, traders are predicting that the Bank of Japan's Oct. 31 meeting will not be eventful. That's when central bank officials will meet to decide what to do with interest rates. Japan's new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba crashed the yen exchange rate after he urged the Bank of Japan to keep rates unchanged, abandoning its previous stance in favor of raising rates. The Bank of Japan is expected to take a wait-and-see stance and not raise rates, meaning that the outlook for the Japanese yen will remain fragile and uncertain
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 Confirmation of a trend change. The Bear Zone
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The fundamnetal factor is favorable for further decline. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the previously broken boundary. The market is not ready to resist the sellers yet
On the background of difficult situation in the west, the course of interest rate cuts in the UK, a pool of sell orders is forming in the zone 1.315 - 1.300. Buyers are turning around.
On Monday, in the Asian session, the retest of the previously broken trend support ended with a downward impulse, which confirms the bearish mood in the market. GBPUSD confirms the price exit from the channel.
It is possible that another retest is possible, as the dollar is forming a short-term correction, but it does not change the general essence of it
Resistance levels: 1.3044, 1.3068
Support levels: 1.300, 1.2975, 1.2938
The trigger for the continuation of the fall will be the breakdown of 1.3000 and further consolidation of the price below this zone. Additional scenario: retest of 1.3063 - 1.3075 before further fall
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#GOLD
On Friday we discussed the fact that geopolitics, the economies of many leading countries, and the course of rate cuts are favorable to the gold price.
This backdrop remains the same and gold as a safe haven is very much in demand.
Technically, the bull run is not over yet. the week, and Friday in general is closing very favorable and encouraging. The most likely scenario is for the rally to continue.
1) If the bulls get behind 2722 and hold their defenses above this zone, gold could reach 2725-2750 fairly quickly.
2) A retest of the support is possible in order to capture liquidity. The market may be interested in 2713-2704 before further growth
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The SEC has approved options on a spot Bitcoin ETF on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
(The issuers are listed in the screenshot of the document)
The SEC also approved the launch of options on the CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) Bitcoin ETF.
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💡 Ideas For #NEIROUSDT 💰
📈 Someone's interested in the coin. Consolidation...
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NEIROUSDT is a rather interesting coin, which looks quite promising and stronger than the general market. Consolidation is forming on the background of the bullish trend. A good hint of the trend continuation...
The coin is moving in steps. The pullback is forming the lower boundary of further consolidation, the purpose of which is to accumulate the potential for the continuation of the trend. Exceptionally bullish character of the movement...
Emphasis on the borders of the current consolidation 2.182 - 1.835. The extreme support retest ended with the confirmation of the accumulation boundary without updating the local minimum, which indicates that the correction (most likely) is coming to an end. The reason indicating the readiness of the price to leave the accumulation and move to the realization phase will be a prolonged trade near the resistance.
Resistance levels: 0.002182
Support levels: 0.0018355
Consolidation continues, I am waiting for the moment when the coin sticks to the resistance and starts to consolidate between 2.18 - 2.07. In this case, the coin will move to the formation of a pre-breakout consolidation with the aim to breakout and further growth. I don't exclude the fact that NEIRO may go to 1.517 for liquidity before continuing its growth.
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#XAUUSD gold prices soared to a new record high on Friday morning as traders and investors sought safety amid a flurry of factors.
First, central banks are easing their monetary policies, making money more readily available by lowering interest rates. The ECB on Thursday made its third interest rate cut in a year, while the U.S. Federal Reserve is set to make a second reduction in borrowing costs in November. Not to forget the Chinese market and its hints of an improving environment, which only increases the flow of funds into gold...
In addition, the uncertain outlook is related to the US presidential election. Both candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harriss, disagree on capital market regulation, taxes, government spending and broader fiscal policy. And finally, the Middle East…
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The realization phase continues. What are the targets?
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GOLD in the phase of realizing the accumulated potential updates ATH to 2714 and is in no hurry to give up, movements can be continued...
Gold feels support from the Chinese markets after positive hints from the People's Bank of China revived hope for stimulating the economy. Also from the European side - the ECB cut its key rate, in anticipation of another, fourth cut in December...
Strong data from the US on Thursday pointed to a solid economic outlook, but this failed to change the odds of a 0.25% rate cut by the US Fed in November.
In addition, the gold price found fresh demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel (Hamas leader eliminated)
Resistance levels: 2711.7, 2715, 2720
Support levels: 2702, 2696, 2689
Technically, gold continues its bull run once again. The chart indicates key support areas that may be of interest before further rally. A correction has been forming since the opening of the European session, but price is quickly returning to ATH. If the bulls hold the defense above 2711, the growth will continue without a pullback. Targets are indicated on the chart
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Gold futures continue to break records in Asian session
Gold may become the only safe-haven asset amid risks with US government bonds due to soaring government debt - BofA
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The dollar could add to its recent gains if the US Federal Reserve experiences a major shock and puts the handbrake on its interest rate cut cycle in early 2025.
Such a scenario is not out of the question if Donald Trump wins the U.S. presidential election and moves to raise rates after taking office on January 20.
If Trump imposes high tariffs on imports from allies and rivals, including Mexico, the eurozone and China, it could fan the flames of inflation in the U.S. and make the Fed wary of pouring gasoline on those flames by cutting rates further.
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#USDJPY is consolidating near the ¥150 mark as forex traders are in anticipation of the upcoming Bank of Japan interest rate decision. The dollar has been trading within a psychological level range for about five sessions now, as it has cooled off the powerful rally that has lasted for the past four weeks.
The dollar-yen pair will face a serious test in the future. The Bank of Japan has scheduled another meeting to synchronize the level of interest rates. As befits the Bank of Japan, the officials did not talk much, leaving room for surprises. Japan's new prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, initially spoke with big plans in favor of raising the benchmark interest rate, but then backtracked on his hawkish comments.
The mixed signals caused the yen to fall against the US dollar. With rates close to zero, yen traders have little incentive to go long. Instead, the yen is forced to resist the strength of the dollar while market participants wait for the Bank of Japan meeting scheduled for October 30-31
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 2685 breakout trigger. News ahead. A new conflict!
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GOLD stops correlating with the dollar. The price is testing the key resistance at 2685. Bulls continue to test this area and accumulate the potential for a breakout attempt. Important news on jobless claims and retail sales are ahead
China's economic problems have a negative impact on gold as the country is the world's top gold consumer. At the same time, markets are resorting to profit taking on long USD positions ahead of the release of the most important economic data - the US retail sales report.
BUT! Another escalation, but in another part of the world: North Korea has declared South Korea an enemy and completely cut off transportation links with it. The markets are clearly not going to let this fact pass their ears...
Technically, the buyers do not retreat from their intentions and continue to test the resistance with a breakdown target. A pre-breakdown consolidation and several possible scenarios are forming, no matter how many people don't like it.
Resistance levels: 2685
Support levels: 2674.5, 2665, 2658
A breakdown of resistance will trigger an impulse, and this is a logical scenario based on the technical situation on H1 (ascending triangle, accumulation and compression to the level).
BUT! The news can have an unpredictable impact. If gold forms a false breakout and goes back to 2674, having updated this low, the price may go even lower (to 2665, 2658), for liquidity, before returning to the way north
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❗️ North Korea has declared South Korea an enemy and completely severed transportation links with it. Another escalation of conflicts, but now in another part of the world
We continue to watch the market, most likely strong movements will continue....
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#USDJPY:
The currency pair is testing resistance at 149.4
The struggle for the zone is forming. If the price consolidates above the level (coonsolidation above 149.4 is formed) and the price goes to update the local highs (149.98), we will get confirmation that the buyers have finally won.
In this case, we may catch a growth to 151-154
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UK inflation fell below the Bank of England's 2% target in September for the first time in more than three years, raising the chances of an interest rate cut next month.
Consumer prices rose 1.7% in September from a year earlier, easing the pace of inflation from 2.2% in August and reaching the lowest level since April 2021, the Office for National Statistics said on Wednesday.
The pound fell 0.5% against the dollar after the data was released.
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