💡Ideas For GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
📈 Buyers increase positions to break 195.5 ↑
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPJPY continues to climb purposefully towards 195.5, forming a consolidation in the form of an ascending triangle. The goal of this maneuver is to break the resistance with further continuation of the upward movement..
The bulls are trying to keep the defense above the key support at 193.5. The change of the fundamental background for JPY strengthens the sales of the national currency, which favorably affects, in our case, GBP. As a consequence, the market starts testing 195.5 with the aim of a breakout. GDP in UK remained at the same level of 0.2%. There is important news ahead - PPI. Based on the previous economic data, we can assume that PPI will also support the dollar, which will negatively affect the JPY. On the background of this influence, the bulls will be able to overcome the key resistance.
Support levels: 193.5, 191.7, 190.0
Resistance levels: 195.5
The acutal situation on the chart is directed towards the continuation of the movement. The market structure is changing, the fundamental background is on the side of the buyer. We are waiting for the breakthrough of the key resistance (trigger) and the continuation of growth...
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#Bitcoin failed to test resistance and consolidate you bullish zone or buy zone.
The market is not showing strong bullish assumptions yet. And lately there has been some bad news in general, related to hacks, scams and manipulations, which will have a temporary but negative impact on the markets....
The price reversed exactly in the zone I indicated.
At the moment the price has passed almost $4K or 6% 🔥
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US - CPI (September)
m/m = +0.2% (expected +0.1%)
y/y = +2.4% (expected +2.3%)
Core CPI = +3.3% y/y (expected +3.2%)
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US - Initial Jobless Claims = 258k (expected 231k)
The U.S. dollar index is persevering on the upside. Continuing the strong streak that began last week, the US dollar continued its rally, ending Wednesday's eighth consecutive day of gains.
Little was able to stand in the dollar's way. New fuel was poured on Friday when the US non-farm payrolls data came out showing a monstrous 254K increase in jobs in September. Now that the dollar is nearing a fresh three-month high, inflation data scheduled for release today could either boost the buck's valuation across the board or extinguish the hot rally, depending on what the numbers show.
September's consumer price index is expected to show a further decline in the rate of price growth to 2.3% from 2.5% in August. If that happens, the index would be even closer to the Fed's 2% target. The Fed also just released the minutes of its meeting from three weeks ago, which show that policymakers were divided on whether to cut interest rates by half a point.
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💡 Ideas For #ETHUSD 🔷
📈 Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓
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ETH continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone...
As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness.
On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline.
Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA
Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111
So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500.
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At 18:00 GMT news.
Be careful, high volatility is possible!
U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes are a detailed record of the committee's policy-setting meeting held about three weeks earlier. The minutes offer detailed insights regarding the FOMC's stance on monetary policy, so currency traders carefully examine them for clues regarding the outcome of future interest rate decisions
Dollar has longest upside bias since 2022 - markets are actively laying down a “less dovish” Fed
Goldman sees the current dollar strength as a reflection of “risk off ” sentiment in the markets
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Another one :) #GOLD
Good realization. As I said, the exit from accumulation will be accompanied by a strong momentum.
The impulse was there, the target was reached.
+450 pips :)
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#USDJPY
Forex traders are finding new reasons to hold the US dollar and dump the Japanese yen. Over the longer term, the dollar has recovered more than 6% of its value since hitting a bottom at ¥139.60 on September 16, 2024. (Reasons? U.S. Economy.)
Among the new incentives for bulls to bet is the diminishing prospects of another sharp cut in U.S. interest rates. Rate cuts are usually bad for the dollar because they deprive it of strong returns on deposits and dollar-linked assets such as bonds. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by a more modest 0.25% in November, down from a 0.5% basis point cut in September.
In Japan, new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba reversed his stance on interest rates last week, saying the Bank of Japan should not rush to raise interest rates. However, during the election, markets raised the yen's valuation on expectations that Ishiba would support the idea of further rate hikes
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💡 Ideas For #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 The realization phase isn't over. Emphasis on 1.095 ↓
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EURUSD breaks the uptrend and prepares to continue falling due to the change of fundamental background, the reasons for which were strong economic data in the US. The price is in the realization phase…
The weekly timeframe clearly shows the forming sideways range (consolidation). The market failed to break the resistance of the channel, although a lot of effort was put on it (5 attempts on W1).
At the moment the currency pair is testing last week's low, it is also worth noting the fact of weekly candle closing - almost at the low. This is a rather good and promising sign for the continuation of the downward movement. Emphasis on the support at 1.095. Breakdown and consolidation of the price below this area will strengthen the decline to the intermediate bottom...
Support levels: 1.095, 1.0892
Resistance levels: 1.100, 1.1011, 1.1047
A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to support. Emphasis on the breakdown of the level and further decline to the zones of interest. As an unpredictable scenario we can have in mind a pullback to 1.100 and further decline...
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#USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Perfect realization :)
+90 pips
Breakout of figure resistance after the news. Formed fundamental background gave good energy
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Kugler (Fed) supports a gradual Fed Funds rate cut if the decline in inflation is on track. Supports a more aggressive cut if the labor market weakens rapidly
PS: once again they have started publishing confusing comments to manipulate the markets ...
Now the focus is on today's FOMC meeting. What will they say there...
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The pressure from above is building. New lows...
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GOLD stops testing local highs. Strong growth has stopped and the price is being squeezed between the boundaries of the narrowing consolidation. The exit of the price from the figure will be accompanied by an impulse...
Last week changed the general fundamental background, gold traders are getting nervous and moving into a phase of profit taking on the back of strong economic data. Ahead is the FOMC meeting where further steps to regulate the US economy will be discussed.
Technically, gold stops trying to update or test the highs, feeling pressure from above, but at the same time the price is probing the base from below, gradually updating the local lows. A gradually narrowing consolidation is forming on the chart and if there is a price exit from the figure, it will be accompanied by a strong impulse.
Resistance levels: 2650, 2659
Support levels: 2632, 2623, 2613
I continue to hold that bears will continue to press the price, which will provoke the price exit downwards with further retest of 2623-2613-2600. But we need to keep an eye on the regulators' comments and the dollar's behavior...
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Great!
Just a bull run, with no pullbacks of any kind
#USDCAD reaches its final target.
+200 pips!
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At 12:30 GMT important inflation news!
Be careful, high volatility is possible
A bigger-than-expected decline in both the annual and monthly CPI inflation data could revive hopes for an outsized Fed rate cut next month, triggering a fresh correction in the US Dollar (USD) against its major rivals. Gold price could stage a strong comeback on aggressive Fed’s easing expectations and the potential USD’s demise.
On the other hand, markets could even dial down bets of a 25 bps rate cut in November, if the US CPI data surprises to the upside across the time horizon. In such a scenario, the non-interest-bearing Gold price could be hit the most while the Greenback is expected to see an extended recovery.
👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...
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GOLD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump?
Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns.
Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ...
If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction.
A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds.....
Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637
Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585
Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect...
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The U.S. Department of Justice has indicted 14 individuals and four companies for large-scale cryptocurrency fraud and market manipulation
Among those charged are Gotbit, ZM quant, CLS global and Mytrade
Minerco and its executives are also accused of orchestrating “Pump and Dump” schemes
As part of the investigation against Gotbit and other companies, the U.S. FBI created its own crypto token called NexFundAI and registered a company of the same name to contract with them to prove trading volume inflating and market manipulation
❗️PS: The news of the US Department of Justice accusing market maker Gotbit of market manipulation and the arrest of its CEO caused a lot of turmoil in the crypto market - Santiment review
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Long-term holders-kits (7 years+) are in relative hibernation. There is no real strong activity in BTC from their side this year - CryptoQuant data
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The creator of bitcoin has been found. But that's what an HBO documentary claims. The movie “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery” makes a bold and groundbreaking statement by claiming to know who Satoshi Nakamoto is. The movie, which was just released on streaming platform Max, traces the origins of the cryptocurrency flagship to Canadian software developer Peter Todd. However, Peter Todd denies this claim.
“The makers of the documentary have acted irresponsibly and put my life in danger by spreading false claims that I am Satoshi Nakamoto” - Peter Todd.
The director of the movie is not surprised by Peter Todd's denial + he is still confident in the correctness of his version of the story
👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Support breakdown. The beginning of correction...
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GOLD is entering the correction phase. The price is coming out of the consolidation downwards, and what we have been preparing for for the last few days has happened. Bears are trying to keep the defense below 2623...
Traders are waiting for the Fed meeting minutes to gauge the magnitude of the next interest rate cut, especially after Friday's strong US NFP data removed bets on a 0.5% rate cut. The FOMC meeting is likely to show a discussion on the outlook for the labor market and inflation, as well as further action on interest rates. Traders are still not turning their eyes away from the tense situation in the middle east, but one must realize that reacting to any action is a temporary action in the market...
Technically, on D1 we can see the beginning of the correction phase. Break of the strong level and fixing of the price below 2623. The market has defined a temporary outlook for itself...
Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2631
Support levels: 2613, 2600, 2585
News can have an additional impact on the market, but it all depends on the context. At the moment I consider the price decline. The bears are holding 2623 and we can see how the price has consolidated below this area, which may provoke further selling....
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Good realization of the #XAUUSD idea. The price stopped updating the highs and we see clear and strong resistance from above.
The price is testing a block order in the 2659-2660 zone and bounces down from the said zone.
Despite the fact that there is no strong movement, but we took our 200-300 pips :)
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#GBPUSD has been steadily declining, recording lower closes in each of the last five trading sessions. Behind the downward movement is renewed dollar strength, especially after Friday's jobs report.
A rising labor market is good news for the U.S. dollar because it reduces the chances of a larger interest rate cut. And when interest rates stay high for longer, the dollar remains attractive to foreign investors looking for guaranteed returns.
On the other side of the Atlantic, the British currency has retreated more than 2.6% from its 2024 peak above $1.3430. In the near term, forex traders will turn their attention to the upcoming U.S. inflation data. On Thursday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show prices rose 2.3% in September, up from 2.5% in August. On Friday, the UK will release Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data with a forecast of 0.2% month-on-month growth in August
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💡 Ideas For TONUSDT 🤑
📈 Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓
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TON can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline....
The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system.
At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5.
Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44
Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5
Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline
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Amid reports of the risk of delisting USDT from Coinbase on the European market, Tether said it is developing a technology solution tailored for the European marketplace
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