👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 ATH retest. But there's news ahead! What to expect next?
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GOLD extends trading range to 2685 (2650 from below). The bullish trend is still in place, but ahead of the PCE, traders are getting worried...
Gold's next move depends on the Fed's most favored inflation gauge, the core PCE price index. A higher-than-expected reading could weigh on the dollar, which could be negative for gold, as traders may see this as a “dampening of expectations for a November interest rate cut”. Conversely, a negative surprise in the PCE could increase the chances of a significant Fed rate cut....
Interest in gold is still huge, price could get stuck in consolidation, or test the 2634-2623 liquidity zone before next week's strong news (NFP)
Resistance levels: 2685, 2675
Support levels: 2654, 2649
At the moment the focus is on range boundaries, gold could quite possibly bounce off support and head towards the upper end of the range. It is possible that PCE could trigger a shakeout, in which case the price could test deeper liquidity zones before rising further...
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❗️Big news ahead
Focus on GDP, Initial Jobless Claims and Powell's speech.
The news background may reinforce the overall environment or correct it...
High volatility is possible
👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 ATH retest. But there's news ahead! What to expect next?
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GOLD is forming a sideways range of 2670 - 2650. The metal is still supported by bulls and the general fundamental background. There are important news ahead, which may strengthen the growth or provoke a correction...
Gold is still on a bullish outlook, with the Fed's dovishness and optimism about China's economic stimulus re-emerging early on Thursday, which had a corresponding effect on gold, which strengthened from 2655 to ATH. We should not forget about the problems in the Middle East, which also affect the price of gold.
The fate of the metal depends on the upcoming Fed comments, as traders refrain from further bets amid extremely overbought conditions on the daily chart. Recent Fed statements coupled with weak consumer confidence and regional activity data from the US Conference Board (CB) have raised the stakes for another sharp Fed rate cut at the next meeting.
Resistance levels: 2670, 2675
Support levels: 2664, 2655, 2650
Emphasis on consolidation boundaries. If the bulls break the resistance and can keep prices above these boundaries, gold could make a new high and head towards 2700. But, unpredictable economic data may close gold in a range or trigger a profit-taking and correction towards 2650-2635.
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The court sided with the SEC and recognized cryptocurrency mining devices as “securities”
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The SEC alleges that Green United's mining hardware and software did not actually mine digital tokens as promised to investors who entrusted the company with $18 million dollars. Green United ended up buying the unmined tokens and distributing them to investors' accounts “to create the appearance of a successful mining operation,” the commission said.
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#USDCAD pay attention to two localized levels. Traders may put up a fight for these areas.
A price fixation below these areas, after a retest, may signal a willingness to go down. The margin for the downward move is huge, as well as the bearish potential on the background of the dollar's readiness to go down... The first and intermediate target is 1.335, the second is the bottom of 1.32.
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Silver lovers ;) #XAGUSD
It is worth paying attention to the support of 31.5. A strong zone that has a lot of confirmations. Before further growth can form a correction, a retest, some consolidation.
In general, keep an eye on this area. If there are signs that buyers are keeping the price from falling, then you can bet on growth. The target is ATH and above (33, 33.5, 34 - 35).
BUT! If we go straight up without a prolonged correction, then the focus is on 32.25 - 32.5. (Breakout and continuation of the movement).
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The safe asset continues to be bullrun ↑
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GOLD updates highs to 2670. The strongest rally in recent times. Support of Chinese markets, escalation of the conflict in the Middle East increases the interest in the metal from the buyers...
Traders are waiting for tomorrow's news: Durable Goods Orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims & FED Chair Powell Speaks. People are waiting for the US GDP figures and Powell's comments. If there are contradictory hints about the US economy, the market may panic, profit-taking and correction, but with the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, as well as a slight revival of the Chinese markets, the gold continues to feel support.
Technically, the price can continue to rise for a long time, but you have to be careful (I already said about the lack of any history on the chart). A correction to 0.5-0.7 Fibo is possible, which may be followed by a pullback and continuation of growth.
Resistance levels: 2664, 2675
Support levels: 2649, 2646, 2637, 2734
At the moment it is necessary to be very careful. This morning the deepest correction in the last 5 days was formed, if the market starts to panic and the price goes deeper to the support, in that case the price may reach 2635-2625-2615 before further upside. If the bulls hold 0.5 fibo, then we should consider a rise to 2664-2675.
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Santiment notes renewed interest in #ETH from the crowd: discussions on social networks have grown sharply, open interest in exchange futures is growing rapidly. Yesterday “euphoric” sentiment in #BTC was noted
PS: Be careful!
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#BTCUSD has rallied ahead of an exciting moment for crypto-enthusiasts. Option contracts totaling $8.1 billion expire today, causing not only investor anxiety but also a jolt that shook the markets and pushed the coin to a two-month high of $66,000
The $8.1 billion in bitcoin options expiration data shows that about $4.9 billion is accounted for by call options - contracts that allow a trader to buy bitcoin at a set price. The other portion - $3.2 billion - is in put options, which give the holder the option to sell the asset at a set price. Here's where it gets interesting: at current market prices, about 28% of call options and 9% of put options are in the money.
About 55% of call options have an exercise price of $70,000 or higher, which means that about $2.7 billion is likely to be worthless if the estimated price of bitcoin stays below that mark. On the other hand, 69% of put options are selling at $56,000 or below, meaning that $2.2 billion will likely go unexercised. At current market prices, the bulls will receive about $1 billion when the option contracts expire.
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💡 Ideas For #USDCHF 🇺🇸🇨🇭
📈 Buyers don't believe in growth? Waiting for a breakdown
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USDCHF is closing in a consolidation range amid a strong bearish trend accompanied by a decline in the dollar index. Accent on 0.840 and downside resistance...
On d1 after a strong fall a stop is formed with subsequent consolidation, which shows the outlines of a descending triangle, which can be interpreted as an active selling of the price by bears against the absence of a strong buyer, who put all his strength at 0.84 to hold this area.
The struggle continues and regarding the previously mentioned boundaries: 0.840 and downside resistance, we can form 2 strategies:
1) Break of 0.84 support and subsequent downward thrust.
2) An attempt to recover (there may be some economic reasons) which may lead to a break of resistance and momentum, but not for long...
Resistance levels: 0.85, 0.852
Support levels: 0.84, 0.833
Still, based on the general market behavior and chart structure, we can assume that the buyers do not believe in further growth. In the short-term (medium-term) perspective I am waiting for support breakout and fall....
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US - GDP (2Q 2024Y) = +3% QoQ (Expect +2.3%)
Initial Jobless Claims = 218k (Expectation 224k)
Durable Goods Orders (Aug) = 0% mom (Expectation -2.8%)
The #DXY U.S. dollar index reversed a week of losses, rising 0.8 percent on Wednesday and causing traders to panic amid a correction in currencies. Despite Wednesday's positive momentum, the dollar is showing signs of fatigue over the longer term.
Since the dollar reached its peak for the year at 106.50 in late April, its valuation has gradually declined to the point where it has lost nearly 6% against current market prices. What is behind the dollar's decline? Initially, its value declined because of the prospects of interest rate cuts. Those prospects were confirmed last week.
After the Fed steadily cut interest rates by 50 bps, the dollar is no longer giving investors the returns it used to. Instead, lower rates have led to lower yields on deposits and fixed income such as bond yields, making holding them less attractive. In this context, yesterday's jump can be seen as a positive sign that investors are finding it fashionable to hold the good old dollar again, especially in times of uncertainty and falling stock markets.
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💡 Ideas For #DOGEUSDT 🐶
📈 Another manipulation or growth? What to expect next?
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DOGEUSDT in the distribution phase is aiming for a strong resistance at 0.11546. The global and local trend is bearish and there are no hints of breaking it yet. A contrend rally is forming...
On H4, the sideways range plays a relevant role. The last time we tested 0.11546 at the moment of its formation - exactly 1 month ago. There is no potential for breaking the level and further growth on the background of such a strong movement. The most probable scenario in this case is a rebound or a false breakdown, which may lead to a correction.
BUT! The structure may be broken if there is no pullback or the coin will start to form consolidation near 0.11546 with further signs of resistance retest and readiness to go higher...
Resistance levels: 0.11546
Support levels: 0.11099, 0.107, 0.103
DOGE does not enjoy any strong interest from traders due to the high level of manipulation by big players. At the moment, on the background of the global bearish trend it is worth looking for strong resistance levels with the purpose of catching bounces
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#NZDUSD - the situation is interesting. But everything depends on the dollar, which is testing 100.00 with the purpose of breakdown and fall. If the index will immediately fly down, then consider nzdusd on the continuation of growth from 0.62987 and local support levels (or resistance on the continuation of the movement)
But, tomorrow's news could fuck us up..... Unpredictable data may delay the correction. In that case, consider the lower levels....
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#GBPJPY is approaching a strong resistance at 193.55. I recommend to take a closer look at this level, as the movement up to it was quite strong and with a high probability the potential for the continuation of the upward movement may be exhausted. Accordingly, based on this alone, we can expect (not 100% probability !) that a reversal may occur.
False breakout and the formation of a reversal pattern, or consolidation of the price below the level can be a signal for the price to fall. Two medium-term targets are 190 and 184.
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💡 Ideas For #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 Bounce from 1.1200 before further growth
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EURUSD has been rallying since the beginning of the Asian session and is reaching the key resistance at 1.1200. The psychological level has quite a strong weight on the market and it will be difficult to break this area from the first time...
A rebound is forming on H4-H1. On D1, a rather wide range of 1.120 - 1.105 is forming in the market but after the price exits the descending wedge, which is a rather promising bullish premise. Due to the strong distribution to 1.1200 the market has no potential to break through this zone, accordingly, in the short (mid) term I expect a pullback or consolidation in the range 1.12 - 1.114 ( 1.111) and the subsequent retest of the upper boundary of the range with the aim of breaking through and further growth to 1.127 - 1.135.
Resistance levels: 1.120
Support levels: 1.114, 1.111
There is a huge pool of liquidity above 1.12, which will not allow buyers to overcome this obstacle so easily. We are waiting for a correction and a further breakdown, which will be followed by growth.
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China's central bank today announced an unprecedented blitz to support the economy
- Central Bank Governor announced that the RRR rate (currency reserve requirement rate for banks) will soon be reduced by 0.5%.
- announced a new, record-breaking package of support for the real estate sector - lower mortgage rates, easing restrictions on buying on the secondary market.
- $113 billion of additional liquidity will be poured into the stock market.
- plans to recapitalize major banks for the first time in more than 10 years
PS: This news also affects the whole market. Using gold as an example - China is the most interested in the metal...
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