#GBPUSD - The undermining of confidence, albeit ultra-short-term, comes as the pair is on track for a fifth straight day of gains. British Sterling is riding the waves of a 30-month high as conflicting views from central banks on both sides of the Atlantic are stacked in its favor.
At one end of the spectrum is the UK's central bank, the Bank of England, which kept interest rates at 5% last week despite some expectations of a cut. And at the other end is the US central bank, the Federal Reserve, which cut interest rates by 50bps last week, which hit the US dollar hard.
In the longer term, the Pound-Dollar is showing a fairly solid upward trajectory. The upward trajectory began last September, which boosted the exchange rate valuation by more than 11%, pushing it from $1.2030 to today's multi-month high. Nevertheless, as more news arrives, both sides are likely to react to it, leading to renewed volatility. Keep an eye on Thursday's U.S. GDP data and Friday's PCE report, the Fed's preferred inflation metric
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💡 Ideas For #RAREUSDT 🔹
📈 Is the DUMP complete? Getting ready to grow?
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RAREUSDT after the strongest dump faces the dump and loses almost all its growth by 360%, but at some point the price hits the intermediate bottom of 0.12....
Technically, at this moment there are preconditions for possible growth. The price has stopped updating local lows and is forming a consolidation with rather calm volatility. The market begins to emphasize the resistance at 0.136. Retests in the form of a false breakout are formed, which are accompanied not by a proper fall, but a subsequent retest of the key resistance, which only increases the chance of a breakout and growth to 0.158 - 0.17
Resistance levels: 0.136
Support levels: MA-50, 0.1254
The price is firmly consolidating above MA-50 (H4) and testing the trigger point on this background. Accordingly, the activation of the long scenario will be the consolidation of the price above the specified zone. Targets are marked on the chart...
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For the trading week from:
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Last week the SEC accidentally published internal commentary along with a speech by Chair Gary Gensler. Here’s one of the comments which was mistakenly included 🫣
I strongly recommend that a sentence be placed here (or somewhere [sic] in the first part of the speech) to reassure markets that you are not making the speech because you think there is an imminent crisis.
#USDJPY pair found itself between a hammer and anvil. On the one hand, the US Fed is campaigning to cut rates, on the other hand, the reluctance of the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates, which leads to a weaker yen trying to push the pair up. A stalemate situation...
Last week, the Fed cut rates by a bold 50 bps. The new benchmark rate is likely to undermine the dollar's ability to generate high yields, affecting its valuation.
In Japan, the central bank left interest rates unchanged on Friday, signaling that it is closely monitoring economic conditions and intends to raise rates when conditions are favorable. But not now. Keeping borrowing costs unchanged at 0.25% knocked down the yen's upward momentum. Consequently, the USD/JPY pair rallied for the second day in a row on Friday, reaching a 1-week high of ¥143.85. Early Monday morning, the currency pair was floating at ¥144.20.
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💡Ideas For USDCHF 🇺🇸🇨🇭
📈 Dollar rebound changes the local situation
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
USDCHF after a shakeout returns to range resistance amid the current downtrend. The dollar index is rising and many don't realize what's going on...
DXY failed to overcome the critical and psychological level of 100.0. The yield on 10-year US government bonds did not fall after the rate cut, but even rose to 3.74% from 3.6%. Strange divergence between currency market expectations of rate cuts and debt market expectations of rising yields. The expectations of traders/investors on the background of interest rate cuts did not come true and in the future we should expect a deeper rebound of the dollar considering the fact that GDP data and Powell's speech are ahead.
The currency pair is currently forming a local resistance at 0.8517, the breakdown of this zone will give an impulse to the trend resistance, which will determine the further situation. Either the rebound or the price will go higher, to deeper zones of interest.
Resistance levels: 0.8517, 0.856, 0.8616
Support levels: 0.843, 0.837
The trend can be considered broken and confirmed bullish after the price fixation above 0.875, currently bearish. It is worth forming your strategy on this fact
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
What to expect from gold in the coming week?
Technically everything is simple: Bullish trend both local and global. In general, only on the basis of this we can build a promising strategy: false breakout or bounce from support or continuation of the movement when resistance is broken.
BUT! Fundamentally, GDP and Powell's speech are ahead. Traders may get nervous.
Most likely gold will continue to try to continue the trend, but shakeouts and corrections are possible if traders resort to profit taking due to the recent rally and ahead of the release of US macroeconomic data next week and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.
Recommendation: A. Don't try to look for trend reversal zones. First of all, you will never know where this zone is. Secondly, while you find it, you will ruin your statistics and accumulate SL. Look for strong levels and zones and trade on the trend
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Also, it is worth paying attention to a potentially interesting coin #ICPUSDT
On the chart we can see how the coin has broken the descending resistance and is forming consolidation above this line. At the same time, there are attempts to update the high without updating the low. We are not allowed to go down, so there is a chance to catch the growth. Despite the fact that the coin is in a sideways movement, there are promising bullish preconditions :).
Potential targets could be 9.25, 10.8, 13.0.
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❗️ By the way, in the link below I added another chart and possible scenario on #bitcoin 🪙 regarding the 68-69K zone
I look forward to your comments, questions and likes on the link below 😉
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/4sCkTzEA-BITCOIN-There-s-a-conglomeration-of-resistances-ahead-65-69K/
And so, now #XRP 🪙
The environment isn't great either. Hold off on this coin for now, or just keep an occasional eye on it.
There is absolutely nothing interesting about XRP so far. The coin is in a sideways channel and is not being released. You can consider intraday trading from the range boundaries, but no more.
Going forward, if the coin is able to leave the boundaries of the inner range, the price will then settle into the boundaries of the global range.
Focus on levels marked on the chart or local minima, maxima.
For now, it is acceptable to trade on the intra-range trading strategy, no more.
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⭐️The advantage of those who join CRYPTO VIP:
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🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
🔹For Jun +85%🟢
🔹For Jul +63%🟢
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#BTCUSD has climbed to the 64K mark (the asset is up 12% over the past four trading days), and excited crypto traders have put their money on the token's new rise. Following the US Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, digital assets rose widely thanks to brighter growth prospects now that money is easier to come by amid lower borrowing costs.
Ethereum has also been conquering the highs. The second-largest digital currency (acting more as a foundation for applications) has risen 14% over the past four trading sessions to hit $2,550-$2,600 on Friday morning.
This news triggered a pent-up rally in global markets, which included cryptocurrencies. Moreover, it strengthened the long-term prospects of this new asset class. Bitcoin is up 44% since the beginning of the year, outperforming other major players in terms of returns - the S&P 500 is up about 20% and gold has added 25% over the same time period.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The safe asset continues to be bullrun ↑
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GOLD does not react properly to the growth of the dollar. The metal continues to renew highs and seeks upward. There is no resistance ahead and the geopolitical backdrop is blowing a favorable wind..
Gold is holding near an all-time high as buyers refuse to give up amid recent Fed comments, China's stimulus (China's Central Bank today announced an unprecedented blitz of support for the economy) and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
- China is the world's top consumer of the yellow metal
- The gold price tends to benefit from geopolitical tensions due to its traditional safe-haven status.
- Also, the Fed will continue to hint at another 0.5% rate cut
Resistance levels: 2634, 2640
Support levels: 2623, 2614, 2602
The general background hints at an active continuation of the growth. If gold will consolidate above the maximum of the previous day, then in the mid (short) term we should consider the continuation of growth to 2650-2660-2675. It is not excluded that there may be a correction before further growth due to the approaching important news...
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Fed members are leaving the door open for another major rate cut . Most support a 0.25% cut, but are not dismissing the possibility of a 0.5% cut as well, depending on incoming data on the economy.
Bostic (Fed): the economy is returning to normal faster than expected, so monetary policy should be appropriate
Waller (Fed) is willing to support aggressive rate cuts in the face of weak statistical data
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👑 Performance VIP GOLD
🗣For the last week from:
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Total result: +59 pips! ⚡
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Crescat: strongest yield curve inversions and crises in US history
Now the curve continues to flatten after the strongest inversion in history
Historically, recessions in the U.S. have come after the yield curve begins to flatten after inversions and with a definite time lag
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Testing the highs. News ahead. What's next?
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GOLD is getting shaken on the background of dollar growth on Monday. A false breakdown is forming relative to last week's high. The trend is bullish, but before the strong news there may be a minute of panic…
Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds are rising on the back of falling interest rates, boosting the U.S. dollar. This is an unpredictable scenario, because something is not going the way everyone was expecting. Further movement depends on the Euro and US PMI data. If the PMI will again cause fears of recession in the world, the recovery of the US dollar, will change the local structure of the markets, which will cause a new correction in the price of gold from record highs. Also the focus on the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East...
Resistance levels: 2625, 2631, 2650
Support levels: 2614, 2602, 2589
Technically, a correction may follow from 2625 as locally there are preconditions for panic on the background of approaching news. Traders may resort to profit taking, which will contribute to the correction. BUT, if gold continues its active recovery, a break of 2631 will open the potential for a rise to 2640-2650
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
Nuances: There is news ahead that could affect the dollar's fall. If it does, all currencies will start to strengthen ( against the dollar. But unexpected news will turn the market around. Keep an eye on the indicated levels.....
#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
A retest is formed, buyers aggressively buy out the fall and set up for growth. Emphasis on resistance...
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
The price enters the void zone and there is nothing stopping it from going up. But, there's big news ahead. The bullish trend may continue...
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
The price continues to creep up to the high. Buyers are probably serious. A break of resistance may trigger growth
#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Similarly. A resistance retest is being formed. Breakdown of 0.6824 will give an impulse upward
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - SHORT 📉
Due to the noise of the dollar, the currency pair is trying to show hints of growth, the maximum we can test 147. But be careful with purchases!
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - LONG 📉
False breakout provokes bears. The focus is on 1.354. A breakdown will trigger a fall
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - SHORT 📉
The price is in a sideways flat but in a downtrend. Possible false breakout of resistance....
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - SHORT 📉
Dollar index continues to test support, but buyers resist. Ahead of the news...
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🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
⭐️The advantage of those who join CRYPTO VIP:
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🟣Over 82% accuracy
👍Performance & feedback✅
〰️〰️〰️
📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
🔹For Jun +85%🟢
🔹For Jul +63%🟢
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Take a closer look at #REEFUSDT
The coin is in the rally phase and is testing strong zones of
resistance, the chart is showing signs of slowing down.
There are strong levels and resistance zones ahead that have a huge potential to stop the rally...
If the bears do not let the price beyond 0.00456, then we can consider it for a reversal and further fall.
But, if still the buyers manage to come out up, then the emphasis on 0.00535 on the strategy “False Breakout”
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💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 There's a conglomeration of resistances ahead: 65-69K
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BTC is forming a bull run amid a 0.5% cut in US interest rates, but investors' fervor may be cooled quickly enough by new economic news. The situation is not as simple as it seems...
We need to be careful as the price is approaching a conglomeration of strong resistances. Pressure could come from both the 65K area, which is still untested, and the area above - 68K - 69K. Let me remind you that globally bitcoin is in a descending channel. Globally (D1-W1) the asset looks good for continued growth, but locally (D1-H4-H1) I don't see any signs that the market is ready to overcome the resistance zone above.
Trades may get nervous ahead of next week's new news: SP PMI, DGP, DGO and Fed chief's speech. If the indicators become sharply unpredictable, all the speculators' bullish fervor may cool down very quickly and in that case we may meet the correction phase amid profit taking...
Resistance levels: 64K, 65K, 68K, 69K
Support levels: 62750, 61300, 59400, 57730
Now, above 62750 a consolidation is forming. If the price does head towards 64-65K, we should keep an eye on the global resistance. But, if bears sell the price down and bitcoin consolidates below 62750, then an impulse to the nearest liquidity zones may be formed.
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Let's start with #DOGE 🐶
The coin is going hard against the backdrop of the global downtrend, as even after a strong surge of activity in the cryptocurrency market, and even more so among popular assets, doge was not even able to update the local maximum. After Musk and his games with the coin, investors have little confidence in it.
Now the coin is walking in the channel 0.1087 - 0.100. DOGE can go to 0.1154 only if it can pass through the nearest resistance.
BUT! it seems to me that the coin will be closed inside 0.11546 and will not be allowed to go higher...
I would not hurry, but wait for the bulls to consolidate above 0.11550, only then I would look for an opportunity to open long trades.
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JPMorgan: current market expectations for the Fed Funds rate
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#GBPUSD rose sharply on Friday, continuing an impressive three-day run of gains driven by events on both sides of the Atlantic. The Bank of England left its key interest rate unchanged on Thursday, taking a more cautious stance than the Fed in easing the restrictions placed on the economy to tame inflation.
The U.K. central bank said it was likely to continue the rate cuts it made in August in the coming months in anticipation of bringing inflation down to its 2% target late next year, but said it was concerned about still-high growth in service prices and wages.
The British pound is having a good year. It has gained more than 5.5% against the weakening dollar since the start of trading in January. What are the prospects? Sterling's movements depend largely on the direction of interest rates in the UK. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey is optimistic that rates will continue to fall after the first cut in August
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