R. Linda Trading

20 сентября 2024 12:20

👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The shakeup after the rate cuts... What's next?
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GOLD is updating the high to 2612. BUT! The price is at its highs and we have no history except for the one that was made in the last 2-3 days. Be careful, there may be deep bounces (to liquidity zones)

The stabilization of the US dollar may have an impact on gold lovers, which may lead to profit taking and correction due to the recent rally and ahead of next week's US macroeconomic data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech. But the downtrend is generally subdued, with an emphasis on localized liquidity and support zones. Traders also remain cautious due to Asian markets and expected Bank of Japan policy statements.

Resistance levels: 2612
Support levels: 2600, 2588, 2585, 2570

If gold does consolidate above 2612, the price could easily reach 2626.
BUT! We should be careful, there may be deep pullbacks or even correction on the background of possible profit taking! (Correction before further growth)
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R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 17:01

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R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 16:11

#AUDJPY Takeprofit has been reached +119 pips!

R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 15:11

Fed still 'behind the locomotive' even after 0.5% rate cut - Gundlach
The Fed may cut rates by another 0.5%. All in all, experts now expect the Fed to cut the rate by another 0.75% before the end of the year, cumulatively

Most experts expect a “soft landing” for the US economy
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R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 12:39

#EURUSD was looking for direction after Wednesday's swings as the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.5% for the first time in four years. The reaction was some wild swings up and down as the US dollar received mixed signals from traders.

On Thursday morning, forex speculators were more cautious in dealing with the volatile pair as they tried to figure out what to do next. How do lower interest rates affect the outlook for the dollar? On the one hand, they suggest easier borrowing conditions, which means US employment will rise and inflation will remain on track to meet the Fed's 2% target.

But on the other hand, lower interest rates undermine the dollar's ability to deliver high yields on deposits. In other words, traders may decide to look for above-average yields, or alpha, elsewhere, naturally leaning towards risky assets with no guaranteed returns. In this context, the euro traded at $1.1150 this morning, with no other major events scheduled for the rest of the week.
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R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 10:07

💡 Ideas For SOLUSDT 🪙
📈 Transfer from accumulation to distribution
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SOL reacts with growth following the rest of the market. The reaction was provoked by the beginning of the Fed's rate reduction course. How long this reaction will last is unknown, but at the moment the coin is moving into the realization phase...

Buyers continue to hold the price above 121-126, forming a clear boundary for the market as well as a bottom. The potential of the coin is quite interesting, because if the bulls continue to move forward proactively, the coin may reach ATH in the medium / long term.
On H4, SOL is entering the realization phase, breaking through the consolidation resistance. If the bulls hold 138.13, then it will go up.

Resistance levels: 138.13, SMA200
Support levels: 126.8

There is a lot of energy accumulated to move in one direction or another. The price exit through the resistance sends hints). If the buyers pass through the resistance (trigger), the active phase of realization will begin, the target of which could be 162 - 193
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R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 19:36

❗️🗣Stand by and fasten your seat belts!

Important news on rates, inflation and general US policy is ahead!

R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 17:26

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18 сентября 2024 16:16

#AUDJPY Close now with +66 pips profit

R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 14:13

The US DOLLAR INDEX held its own early Wednesday, not hinting at any movement to one side or the other. Ahead is a serious test not only for the dollar, but also for the entire Forex market - the interest rate decision in the US.

Today at 18:00 GMT, the US Federal Reserve is set to start the rate cut cycle by reducing borrowing costs. Jay Powell will announce at a press conference how much rates will be cut. The world's most expensive voice will move trillions of dollars, reporting a figure expected to be either a 25-point or half-point cut.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, the consensus forecast of traders and investors indicates a 60% chance of a larger 50 basis point rate cut, with 40% of participants leaning toward a smaller cut.
Either way, refrain from trading on the news, high volatility can tear you...
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R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 12:13

All eyes are on the US Federal Reserve meeting today. What you need to know?

📈 Predictions:
64% - down 0.5%
36% - down 0.25%.
The market reaction may be ambiguous: such an important event was preceded by “euphoric growth” of the markets. There is every reason to believe that the decline is already fully embedded in the price and the “Sell the news” scenario is waiting for us .

Important: Many “experts” are too optimistic in their forecasts. A rate cut does not guarantee immediate and sustained growth, especially with a 0.5% cut. It is more likely to be a cause for serious economic concern....

Moreover, historically, such periods have often coincided with localized tops. In the last two major rate cut cycles, the S&P 500 lost up to 50%, but that didn't happen overnight either. Be on the lookout.
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R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 09:34

💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 Resistance Retest. Fed meeting ahead...
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NZDUSD is set to go higher. The price is breaking the local resistance within the uptrend. There is an important event ahead, which can affect the price quite strongly...

On D1 the market is hinting at bullish prospects, a retest of the global resistance is forming, which divides the market into 2 parts...
Traders are waiting for the FOMC and FED meeting at 18:00, where officials will decide on the interest rate cut. The main question is 0.5% or 0.25%. The first will be a strong bullish signal for the currencies, the dollar will accelerate its downward movement on this background. The second value may slightly disappoint traders and the market reaction will be ambiguous. In any case, the general course of rate cuts sets the main tone in the market, it remains to wait only for specific numbers.

Support levels: 0.61528, 0.61244
Resistance levels: 0.62095, 0.62544

Technically, the bullish trend continues, as hinted by the local situation on the chart. Traders believe in the favorable background. I believe that the Fed's decision will strengthen the general market trends and in this case the currency pair will head towards the upper boundary of the channel
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R. Linda Trading

17 сентября 2024 16:07

Market uncertainty about the size of the Fed rate cut (0.25% or 0.5%) is now at an all-time high.

PS: I realize that there is too much mentioning of the rate and the Fed on my part, but at the moment this is probably the most important event of this year :). It is possible to build both medium and long term strategies in trading and investing based on these data ;).
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R. Linda Trading

17 сентября 2024 14:15

❗️ Ahead of the news at 12:30 GMT!

High volatility is possible, but I don't think the reaction will be strong as traders are focused on tomorrow and the FOMC & Fed meeting
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R. Linda Trading

17 сентября 2024 10:53

👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Is it worth going up against knives? No trading history
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GOLD is consolidating after a rally - a positive sign of an interested buyer. The focus is on the resistance at 2589, as well as on the lower boundary of consolidation ahead of the data on retail prices

In the short (mid) term, gold may form a small correction before a further rally, which will be triggered by lower interest rates. BUT! A 0.5% decline will be a strong signal for the dollar to fall and gold to rise, but a 0.25 decline will be partly disappointing information for investors who may react rather unpredictably (if there is a negative market reaction, it will be short-term as the overall tone of the markets is set by the actual rate cut cycle).
Later today, the US retail sales report will be released, which may give a short-term impact in the market before the main event of September, tomorrow....

Resistance levels: 2588, 2600, 2615, 2625
Support levels: 2575, 2563, 2500

At the moment it is possible to trade from the borders of the consolidation range. But high volatility on the background of news can provoke a breakout of this or that border. Accordingly, the resistance breakthrough may cause the continuation of the rally to 2610-2625. Break of support will send the price to liquidity zones before further growth
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R. Linda Trading

20 сентября 2024 10:52

💡Ideas For GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
📈 A sideways range is forming. Emphasis on resistance...
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPJPY is strengthening after forging a double bottom at 184.0. It is also favored by the JPY correction on the back of the dollar correction after the unpredictable reaction to the US interest rate cuts…

The currency pair may continue its decline from the resistance zone 192-193.5. This is facilitated by a number of nuances: Japan still holds the course for further strengthening of interest rates in order to save the value of the national currency. The dollar may continue its fall after traders come to their senses after the US interest rate cuts....
Overall, this tandem can have a strong impact on the JPY strength and on the currency pair as a whole, allows to form a medium-long term strategy on the currency pair.
Technically, I am waiting for a false breakdown or bounce from the mentioned resistance zone with the subsequent decline to the liquidity zone...

Resistance levels: 191.4, 193.48, 193.97
Support levels: 190.5, 186.7

BUT! If the bulls manage to consolidate above 193.97, then an upward impulse may be formed, because at the moment the environment (technical and fundamental background) is still tense...
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R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 16:12

#PYTHUSDT +15% Target 1 reached! 😍

R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 16:11

#EURAUD Close now with +71 pips profit

R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 14:12

❗️ News ahead:
Initial Jobless claims at 12:30 GMT
The data may increase volatility!
Next we are waiting for Existing Home Sales at 14:00 GMT!

R. Linda Trading

19 сентября 2024 11:21

👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The shakeup after the rate cuts... What's next?
———————————————
GOLD updates high to 2600 and then experiences a shakeout. Traders held the 2550 area and are currently trying to recover losses by testing the upper end of the range…

The Fed announced a 0.5% rate cut, bringing the interest rate to a range of 4.75%-5.0%. Why 0.5 and not 0.25? The Fed chief said that 0.25 poses threats to the economy that can no longer be allowed to...
The gold price failed to capitalize on the sharp Fed rate cut, updating the ATH to 2600 the price headed down to the 2560 - 2550 liquidity zones. Traders are waiting for data on jobless claims and existing home sales to assess the state of the economy as a whole, the news may set the course for a correction or strengthen the general background, which will affect further growth
Technically, the price approached the resistance rather quickly, which increases the chances of a bounce or a false breakout. The focus is on 2588- 2585. If the bears hold this area, the price may decline to the area of interest before rising.

Resistance levels: 2585, 2588, 2600
Support levels: 2566, 2559, 2550

The overall bullish market structure is clearly visible on D1. Traders, after the rate cuts, need to take a breath and wait for additional confirming signs.... For today, the focus is on the trading range indicated on the chart...
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R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 20:01

FOMC - Fed Funds Rate = 5% (5.25% expected)

R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 17:54

Koin Research:

distribution amid “euphoric” BTC growth hints that hamsters are being led to the slaughter. Koin analysis before the most important Fed meeting confirms: big players do not share retail optimism

R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 16:16

#KDAUSDT +55% All targets reached! 💰

R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 15:10

#BTCUSD rose to a three-week high of $61,300 on Tuesday, but the price is still in a sideways channel. The market doesn't know what to do... There is an important event ahead - the FOMC & FED meeting

The level of interest rates may have more impact on the cryptocurrency community, as well as bitcoin as an asset that is in high demand both on Wall Street and in the homes of retail traders.

Nevertheless, today's rate decision is a big event that carries a lot of weight regarding the outlook for crypto assets. What it means. The US Federal Reserve is ready to roll out its rate-cutting program, reducing borrowing costs for the first time in four years. However, the extent of the rate cut has not yet been disclosed.
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R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 12:35

❗️ Remember:
Trading on days like this is very risky, and volatility depends on whether the Fed's decision and rhetoric are in line with market expectations. Don't guess, rather review your portfolio's risk profile and prepare a medium-term action plan for different scenarios.

R. Linda Trading

18 сентября 2024 11:12

👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Lower interest rates are ahead. A stalemate... ↑↓
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GOLD is consolidating between 2588 - 2562. But, buyers are not yet out of the game in the hope of continued growth. Then everything depends on the Fed. Welcome to the casino :)

At 18:30 the FOMC & FED will meet to decide whether to cut rates. 0.25% or 0.5%. A 0.5% Fed rate cut could send a mixed signal about the state of the US economy: the Fed's concern about the economy, and that a “soft landing” may not turn out to be so soft, but it would be a strong bullrun signal for gold. A weaker policy, could provoke an unpredictable reaction, which would temporarily disappoint investors. In such a case, a correction to 2550-2525-2500 may form (price may bounce from any zone shown on the chart) before a further global rally, as the general tone of the market is set by the global Central Bank's interest rate cuts.

Resistance levels: 2575, 2588, 2600, ...
Support levels: 2561, 2550, 2530

It is difficult to say about expectations, as the uncertainty is high due to the fact that the overall situation is stalemate, either this way or that way. I recommend to refrain from trading on the news and wait for the volatility to decrease. The trading range for today is very wide....
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R. Linda Trading

17 сентября 2024 17:22

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17 сентября 2024 15:20

#GOLD gold prices rose to a record high on Monday-Tuesday as traders felt a rush of energy and willingness to bet ahead of this week's super-duper important event. The reason for the rise was the belief that the Fed may go for a larger interest rate cut of 0.5%

The alternative could be a smaller, random and uninteresting 0.25% cut. Gold's rise is largely built on the first option, where rates are cut from a 23-year high of 5.5% to 5%. With that in mind, there is a very real chance that Fed officials will decide to start small and implement a quarter-point rate cut.

The prospect of more aggressive rate cuts has lowered dollar valuations, leading gold higher. As a zero-yielding asset, gold becomes more attractive when rates shift lower as it reduces the opportunity cost of owning the precious metal.
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17 сентября 2024 13:07

#GBPUSD
From the very beginning of Monday, the GBPUSD made a quick spurt upwards, aiming for the 2024 record of $1.3270. On Tuesday, the growth met some resistance: the rate fell from Monday's high of $1.3218 to $1.3205. What is ahead for the pair?

Much depends on this week's events - the US Federal Reserve is set to make its first interest rate cut in four years. The unwinding of the tight monetary policy of the American central bank is fraught with serious consequences for the US dollar. And investors are already on the move, trying to plan ahead to unload their dollar assets. Hence the current dollar weakness across the board.

The dollar will not generate as much return on deposits and markets may look elsewhere (currencies or trading instruments) for competitive returns. At the moment we are seeing a move away from the dollar and towards alternative currencies such as sterling. But so is gold.
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17 сентября 2024 09:46

💡 Ideas For #OPUSDT 🔴
📈 Double top. How far can we fall?
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OPUSDT cannot get out of the bears' clutches. The market continues to form its movement under the pressure of the downtrend. There are important events ahead that could shake up the trading community...

Bitcoin, as well as the rest of the cryptocurrency market continues to decline. Cryptocurrencies are not reacting to Trump's speech in any way, but traders are waiting for the U.S. rate cut in the hope that the encouraging data (0.5% decrease) will increase interest. But the 0.25% decrease will add weight to the bearish paw, which can only strengthen the already current decline.
Technically OPUSDT is forming a global bearish trend, the price is not allowed to update the local highs. The last retest ended with the formation of a double top, which led to a sharp decline.

Resistance levels: 1.469, 1.510, 1.544
Support levels: 1.431, 1.393, 1.3

The 1.431 area is holding the market back from falling, but a strong pre-breakdown accumulation is forming near this area with a target to continue falling. Watch out for the 1.430 trigger, a break of this zone will give downward momentum
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