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R. Linda Trading

#NZDUSD Close now with +40 pips profit 💪

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R. Linda Trading

Citi predicts that Non-Farm Payrolls will rise by 150,000 (Sept. 6 report), which will force the Fed to cut the Fed Funds rate in September by 0.5% immediately
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#XAUUSD gold prices were subdued in early Tuesday trading as investors braced for the release of key economic data on Friday.

The gold market, like virtually every other market, is awaiting Friday's non-farm payrolls report. Traders will use this number to draw their conclusions about the potential size of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Fed policymakers meeting in mid-September are expected to cut rates by either 25bp or 50bp

Rate cuts tend to be favorable for gold. As a non-income producing asset, gold becomes more attractive to traders looking for opportunities outside of the fixed income market, which becomes less attractive in a low rate environment.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Change of Mood (local). Correction phase
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GOLD is forming a local consolidation with gradually declining highs under pressure from the SMA 200 & 50 after breaking trend support. The dollar is forming a counter-trend correction at this time.

It is still unclear whether the decline in gold prices will continue as traders await Friday's NFP data.
Today, traders are expecting the release of the PMI index at 13:45 - 14:00 GMT.
A negative surprise from the PMI or a larger than expected slowdown in the index could revive hopes for a significant Fed rate cut. But attention should be paid to the actual data.
Technically, trading is inside the 2504 (2510) - 2493 range. The wider range is 2526 - 2477. There are no reasons to exit this range, so we consider trading inside the boundaries.

Resistance levels: 2504, 2510, SMA
Support levels: 2493, 2477


The price is testing strong resistance, a rebound and another retest of 2493 may follow, with the possibility of a breakout and decline, but it is necessary to follow the economic news, as a favorable tone may attract additional support and interest in the metal
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Speculators turned bearish on the US dollar for the first time since February - BBG

Markets expect the Fed to start cutting rates in September
PS: But, what matters here is not the rate cut itself, as this is already embedded in the market, but how this situation will be commented on by the authorities and regulators. Fundamental nuances have a double meaning in the market: actual changes and comments (position of officials)
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🔊From 01.08 to 31.08

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#USDJPY once again targeted the upper echelons of its valuation despite Friday's data showing that inflationary pressures eased for the month. The US dollar didn't care about the July PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) figure and continued to rise against a weakening yen.

This specific indicator of price growth showed a 2.6% year-on-year decline in July. This was a healthy indicator that signaled that the Fed may have indeed cured a stubborn price headache.

Today is a day off in the US. Due to the Labor Day holiday, stocks will not be open for trading, while forex volumes may be lower and liquidity is expected to be slightly lower.
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💡 Ideas For #GBPNZD 🇬🇧🇦🇺
📈 Realization (distribution) phase. Target 2.065
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GBPNZD is in the phase of realization of the previously accumulated potential (descending triangle), at the moment a counter-trend correction is formed, directed to the liquidity area. The fall may continue

The currency pair entered the range of 2.117 - 2.095. The lower boundary and the liquidity area have not been tested yet, so the potential target is still valid. The counter-trend correction is due to the counter-trend growth of the dollar against the main basket of currency pairs.
On H4, there is a conglomerate of strong resistances ahead, which may prevent the price from the first time, accordingly, a false breakdown and further decline should be considered.

Resistance levels: 2.11, 2.113, 2.12.
Support levels: 2.098, 2.085

The breakdown of the structure, character and the formed confirmation of the bear market indicates that the counter-trend correction can be stopped from the liquidity pool area, so the downward movement can be continued from the mentioned resistance
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R. Linda Trading

Pay attention also to the coin #BOND
I like the situation because the coin doesn't care about the whole market at all and lives its own life and consolidates in the mentioned channel, continuing to test the resistance.

A break of the resistance 2.186 may trigger a strong impulse. The potential is huge
You can take it on the sheet and watch it.

The structure will be broken if the price breaks the support, but so far everything is ok ;)
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#RDNTUSDT
Pay attention to this coin, which has been accumulating for a long time and finally formed an exit from consolidation.

RDNT is trying to consolidate above the key support at 0.08. If the bulls hold the defense, the coin may rally to 0.13 - 0.2
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💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 Manipulative ShortSqueeze. When to prepare for growth?
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BTC is not falling below 50K, which is expected by many. The flagship continues to consolidate (which has been going on for half a year now) and accumulate potential at the expense of some traders or another, mostly at the expense of sellers. Why am I being positive?

In the second half of August, BTC tried to move into the realization phase and headed towards 70K, but ran into a block of limit orders (resistance) at 65K - MM is not ready to let the price go. Having formed a double top, the price returns to the range confirming the fact of false breakdown and liquidation, as a consequence of such actions MM has an interest - liquidity from below (for this reason I am waiting for initial decline with subsequent growth). The chart above shows the key zones and possible scenarios to pay attention to when forming your strategy

There is no constructive reason for the formed fall and therefore this movement can be considered purely manipulative, the purpose of which may be to buy up the asset through panic selling as well as prolonged accumulation before realization.

Resistance levels: 59600, 60500
Support levels: 58700, 57900, 57736, 56078


The market is still strong but in a range. Any attempts to sell-off are aggressively bought out by whales (liquidity withdrawal). On W1-M1 a stop is forming after a strong rally, which is considered as a controlled consolidation within the bull cycle, which is far from ending. The high probability scenario of that technical nuance is an upward distribution of accumulation
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R. Linda Trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/iDESaBsW-BITCOIN-Manipulative-ShortSqueeze-When-to-prepare-for-growth/

BTC idea is ready 💰

😘 I am waiting for your likes and comments on the link above!

I described the reason for the formed fall, why I am still positive on bitcoin and also the main question - when to wait for growth and why I do not expect a strong fall 😉

Enjoy reading

Comment 👍
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R. Linda Trading

News coming up

In 20 minutes!
High volatility is possible!

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R. Linda Trading

Ahead of the news at 13:45 - 14:00 GMT.
PMI reports may shape the local tone in the market.
High volatility is possible!

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R. Linda Trading

We expect BTC to find strong support around $54k, from which it bounced in July, before reaching the $70k mark - QCP Capital

“This week, unemployment claims will be released on Thursday (Sept. 5), followed by payrolls on Friday (Sept. 6). However, we don't expect any shocks, especially as macroeconomic data over the past few weeks has had less and less impact on cryptocurrency prices.”

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R. Linda Trading

#USD #DXY
The dollar index is consolidating early Tuesday after a day off in the U.S. brought almost no significant activity in the forex market.

On Friday, traders will be glued to their screens when the US reports the latest NFP data. In August, 164,000 new hires are expected, which is an optimistic forecast compared to the abysmal 114,000 new hires in July. This report will carry more weight than most others this month

Traders aren't the only ones who will be watching the August employment report closely. The Fed will use it as one of two major releases before officials meet to decide the fate of interest rates on Sept. 18.
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💡 Ideas For #BNXUSDT 🥷
📈 Liquidation on bullish trend before rising...
———————————————
BNX continues to correct and is heading towards global bullish trend support.Against the overall backdrop, the coin looks promising as one of the few continues to hold an uptrend…

Locally, BNX is testing the key liquidity area, a rebound to 1.300 may follow, but depending on the situation, there are various patterns indicating selling pressure on the market, such as: local lows, sma cross, closing bars at daily lows.... But, confidence is given by the overall trend. It is worth paying attention to the support 1.061 - 1.22, in this zone the struggle between the market participants is formed. The bulls may finally win if they are able to consolidate above 1.2000, but before that a long-squeeze or a scramble for support is possible.

Resistance levels: 1.2000, 1.31, 1.425
Support levels: 1.14, 1.06, 0.95


Technically, the trend boundary and liquidity area has not been tested yet. There are no strong bullish signals and MM may form a trap (false growth, liquidation (sell-off) and false breakdown followed by growth). Emphasis on these key zones...
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👑 Performance VIP GOLD

🗣For the last week from:
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R. Linda Trading

#BTCUSD entered September trading calm and collected. Amidst the calm before the storm, it is time to say goodbye to the quiet summer trading, because the algos and financial brothers are coming back.

September will bring a flurry of events: among the scheduled reports are the usual ones, NFP, which will be released this Friday. Inflation data will be released on Sept. 11. But the biggest significance for BTC, which is increasingly tied to interest rates, will be the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision.

On Sept. 18, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates for the first time since 2020. The question on everyone's mind is whether it will be a 25bp or 50bp cut. BTC is likely to react sharply to the Fed's decision, which will be complemented by Jay Powell's speech
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Change of Mood (local). Correction phase
———————————————
GOLD is breaking the structure of the ascending channel amid the counter-trend correction of the dollar (fundamental reasons). Price closes in the range of 2526 - 2477, what could this mean?

On D1, the market is bullish both locally and globally. But, fundamentally and geopolitically the situation is slightly changing, which favorably affects the dollar exchange rate, against which gold goes into a local phase of correction. There is low liquidity in the market today due to the closed US market.
On H1, the focus is on the resistance 2505 - 2510, sma. False breakdown and price consolidation below these zones will confirm the absence of bullish potential, which may lead to price correction towards the lower boundary of the key range.

Support levels: 2483 (D1), 2493, 2477
Resistance levels: 2505, 2510, sma


The focus is on the global range 2526 - 2477, the price continues to trade inside and does not hint at a possible exit from this channel, accordingly, it is best to use the inturidian trading strategy. The main target is liquidity below the key support zones
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Statistically, September is historically one of the weakest months of the year for #BTC 🪙 - but after a spill, that same September could also see a reversal to a year-end rally
(not a financial recommendation!)

3Q is historically the weakest period for BTC and 4Q is the strongest

It is important to remember about “election” years - the highest growth in such years historically starts in November
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R. Linda Trading

On #AAVEUSDT, I made a comment last week
The coin is stronger than the market and stronger than bitcoin, which is in a correction.

AAVE on the background of correction and liquidation tested the lower boundary of the previously mentioned range, then returned to resistance: +11%

At the moment, the focus is on 132.0 resistance
If the bulls are able to overcome this zone and consolidate above the level, then in the long term it is worth considering a prolonged rise to the global highs
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Several scenarios regarding the current situation.

I am waiting for a fall to the support, within the range, because the liquidity from above has been withdrawn and since the market is flat, MM can withdraw the liquidity from below before the price has a directional trend movement.
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For Jun: +1747 pips!

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🔅Jul08-Jul12 +210 pips
🔅Jul15-Jul19 +210 pips
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For Jul: +1462 pips!

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For Jul: +1507 pips!
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R. Linda Trading

US - INFLATION - PCE PRICE INDEX (July):

m/m = +0.2% (expected +0.2%)
y/y = +2.5% (expected +2.6%)

Core PCE = +2.6% y/y (expected +2.7%)

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R. Linda Trading

The DOLLAR INDEX has bounced off a double-bottom pattern, with bulls pushing the index up 1% over the past couple of days. Volatility is expected to increase today following the release of an important economic report

PCE Inflation, will show whether the easing of price pressures continued in July. Most analysts don't think so - a 2.7% rise is forecast, slightly above June's 2.6%. Still, it's a modest increase that shouldn't cause the Fed to abandon its course of lowering interest rates

Markets have already priced in a 25bp reduction in borrowing costs during the Fed's September meeting. That said, if today's inflation data comes in better than expected, traders may raise their hopes to a larger 50bp cut in interest rates
………………………………………….
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