👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Retests of 2531 continue. Bulls want to go to 2550
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GOLD continues to strive upward to overcome 2531. The price does not react to the dollar growth and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle
US GDP data slightly cooled market expectations of a significant rate cut in September, the US dollar rebounded strongly. However, this failed to deter gold buyers, who continue to consolidate and move closer and closer to key resistance. Interest in gold is being instilled by geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe as well as the Middle East.
Ahead is the PCE inflation data in the US. Traders are waiting for hot data, if expectations are confirmed by actual data, the market will continue sideways movement on the background of dollar correction.
Technically, the consolidation has the character of a breakdown formation with the aim of breaking through 2531 and further growth to the psychological data.
Resistance levels: 2531
Support levels: 2517, MA-50, trend
We continue to watch 2531, another retest and slow price approach to the level may break this zone, which may form an upward impulse. But, unpredictable news may break the structure and finally close the price in flat until next week
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❗️Ahead, at 12:30 GMT news!
We're looking forward to GDP and Initial Jobless Claims!
Possible high volatility, be careful!
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Inside the key range. Emphasis on MA-200 ↑
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GOLD confirms strong trend support, forming a rebound and recovery to the resistance zone, but MM is still holding the price before the news, in order to gather liquidity...
Traders are waiting for the US GDP and Initial Jobless Claims and are not ready to take any action prematurely because of the high risk. On Thursday, Fed spokesman Bostic commented on the situation, stating that he is against the first interest rate cut because “inflation has fallen faster than expected and unemployment has risen more than expected”. The market had little reaction to this statement.
The Global decline in the US dollar is favorable for the gold price ahead of the release of the second estimate of the US GDP for the second quarter (GDP is expected to be 2.8%)
Resistance levels: 2517, 2531
Support levels: SMA, 2500, trend
The market is arguing for the 2517 zone. A pullback is possible as gold is still in consolidation. But overall the outlook is bullish, as is the trend. The short-term tone may be set by the news. If everything remains on the same wave, we should consider growth from the key support zone or continuation of the movement when resistance is broken. Targets and key zones are marked on the chart ;)
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The dollar is going down smoothly and gradually. A correction is forming locally, but it is a counter-trend movement. There are no clear and strong reasons for a trend reversal of the US currency.
Today the focus is on GDP and Initial Jobless Claims, which will be published at 12:30 GMT The news may set a short-term (medium-term) tone in the market.
High volatility is possible
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#BTCUSD fell below the $60,000 mark, there was no specific reason for the drop, other than a possible pullback due to profit taking after recent optimistic comments from Fed chief A bitcoin is increasingly dependent on interest rate movements.
With this new drop, bitcoin has deepened into a one-month loss. Currently, traders are happily paying around $59,000 per coin, marking a 9% drop for the month, with only three days of trading remaining.
#ETHUSD, the second largest coin, is doing even worse. Its price fell more than 10% on Tuesday, dropping below the $2,500 mark. Ether has suffered more than Bitcoin in the long run - it posted its third consecutive losing month with a total loss of 36%. This is despite the launch of nine exchange-traded funds trading Ether that have yet to turn a net profit
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Inside the key range. Emphasis on MA-200 ↑
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GOLD is once again testing the resistance of the 2531 range, but is not able to overcome it yet. At the same time the dollar is forming a flat in anticipation of important news...
“Dovish” expectations of the Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East will continue to support the price of gold. The Israeli army mobilized thousands of soldiers from special units in preparation for a major operation in the northern West Bank.
Despite the bullish sentiment around the gold price, the upcoming Fedspeak could have an impact on the markets.
Technically, the market is in a strong bullish trend, another range is forming and price is confirming its boundaries. Focus on trend support and SMA-200 on H1. If trend support fails to hold the price, gold may reach the lower end of the range, after which it will continue to rise.
Resistance levels: 2517, 2531
Support levels: MA-200, trend, 2501, 2493
As long as the gold is within the ascending channel, we should consider long positions against the support. But if MM decides to lower the price, we should wait for correction to liquidity zones and count on growth from 2486, 2477.
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#Bitcoin #BTC
Market started to fall after crowd heavily stocked up on BTC - Santiment
Glassnode's weekly review of the crypto markets:
- BTC is currently beginning to feel the state of equilibrium after a strong muddle that has lasted for 5 months in the form of consolidation
- Short-term holders traditionally sell at a loss, while long-term holders either buy or do nothing.
- such periods of consolidation are usually observed before a significant increase in volatility
Current situation on the currency markets
The rally may continue.
Keep an eye on the dollar, if it breaks through and pours, forex will fly away....
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#Bitcoin earlier made an exit from consolidation, but hit a strong resistance of 65700. At the moment a correction is forming and it is worth paying attention to 61900. There is a high probability to get a rebound or a false breakdown and growth to the local maximum or higher
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#NZDUSD is testing strong resistance at 0.6225.
Today's session opened quite far and most likely we need to wait for a few more days
If the price is able to consolidate above this zone, then growth towards ATH can be considered in the medium term
But, if the situation changes and bears do not let the buyers go beyond 0.6225, the support at 0.6178 should be taken into account.
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💡 Ideas For #IMXUSDT 💰
📈 Exit from consolidation. One step away from the bullrun
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IMXUSDT exits the local consolidation and also breaks the resistance of the global trend, which can be regarded as a positive prerequisite for growth.
IMX is consolidating above the support at 1.386, formed in June. The area divides the market into 2 parts (long and short). Bulls are actively trying to keep the price above this zone, buyers' target is the area of 2.576. But before the rally MM can form a local long-squeeze, in which a false breakdown is possible (liquidity capture below the level) before further movement. It is also worth paying attention to MA-50, within the framework of the retest the market may test both sma and the previously broken wedge boundary before resuming the rally phase.
Support levels: 1.386, MA-50, 1.076
Resistance levels: 1.543, 1.784
Bitcoin is pressuring the market, which is forming a local correction, if the flagship starts moving up, it will strengthen the overall tone in IMX. But, if still bulls hold 1.385-1.400, breaking 1.520 resistance will give another chance for growth.
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💡 Ideas For #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 A retest of the liquidity zone. Ready to go to 1.130
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EURUSD is testing the liquidity zone within the correction. False breakdown of the channel boundary may form another bullish potential for continuation of growth to 1.130
The currency pair forms a false breakdown of 1.1123, after which it enters the correction phase amid a strong market. The price is testing 0.236 fibo on D1, forming a false breakdown we get a reaction in the form of a pullback. On H4 the situation is even more interesting: false breakdown of the support conglomerate: 0.5 fibo + channel boundaries, which only strengthens the bullish set-up.
Today the focus is on CPI in the Eurozone, as well as Core PCE in the US. High volatility is possible and the news may set a short-term tone in the market.
Resistance levels: 1.1099, 1.1201
Support levels: channel boundary, 1.1061, 1.1047
The task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the resistance of the ascending channel, as well as above the level of 1.1099 - 1.11, in this case the price will consolidate above the lower boundary of the new bullish channel, which will open for us the potential for growth to 1.1300
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Judging by the dynamics of flows into gold ETFs and the dynamics of gold prices, physicals have missed a significant part of this year's rally - BofA
That means they will come to buy much higher later” - Bogdanoff Market Research experts
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World Central Banks on the contrary - buying at a record pace
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U.S. - GDP (2Q) = +3% Q/Q (expected +2.8%)
US - Initial Jobless Claims = 231k (expected 233k)
U.S. - Trade Balance (July - preliminary) = -$102.66 bln (expected -$97.7 bln)
Today Forex markets are awaiting GDP data which will show that the US economy grew by an impressive 2.8% in the second quarter compared to the first quarter. If this happens, it would be double the 1.4% growth rate of the first quarter. Moreover, it will reinforce expectations of a sharp interest rate cut by the Fed in September. Last week's jobless claims are also expected to fall short of 232K today
On Friday, currency speculators will get more chances to trade with additional volatility. In the US, the July PCE will be published. This is the report the Fed prefers to use when tracking inflation, as it excludes more volatile items such as food and energy. Also on Friday, traders will be watching for preliminary data on headline inflation in the Eurozone - CPI for August
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💡 Ideas For #FLOKIUSDT 🐶
📈 Pre-breakout consolidation. 35% potential ↑
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FLOKI practically does not react to the manipulative fall of bitcoin. A breakthrough of the channel resistance and consolidation with the purpose of continuing growth is formed. It is worth paying attention to the zone of 16.00
The coin has been in an downtrend for a long time. But interesting preconditions are forming on H4. Floki lives separately from the market, consolidates above SMA 200 & 50 and continues to test 16.00 for a breakout. Bears are still trying to hold this zone, but their strength is running out. Volumes are rising as is the potential for a pre-breakout consolidation.
Resistance levels: 16.00, 21.00
Support levels: SMA, 14.056
Technically, the emphasis is on a resistance breakout. Consolidation may last for some more time. The structure will be broken if the price breaks the support at 14.056, but until that happens I am waiting for the realization and growth to 21.00
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#Dollar #DXY
The U.S. dollar index DXY fell to a 1-year low near 100.60 as forex traders began to fret about the prospect of lower interest rates, a monetary policy measure designed to make money more accessible by reducing the cost of borrowing.
Looking ahead, the bears (sellers) seem to have momentum on their side and this could lead to more pressure on the dollar. Since the end of June, the dollar index has consistently declined, losing 5% of its value. But the bulls (buyers) have already pulled back once, indicating that they won't give up that easily. Watch out for increased volatility - bulls and bears will fight each other trying to decide what will happen to the dollar.
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💡Ideas For EURCAD 🇪🇺🇨🇦
📈 A change in sentiment to bearish. MA-200 breakdown
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
EURCAD breaks trend support and spills to the downside as funds increase long positions on the Canadian dollar, whose rise is directly linked to the fall in DXY
On D1, we see the currency pair returning to the range (1.5040 resistance) after a deep false breakdown. Accordingly, after the short-squeeze the market has potential - liquidity located at the bottom. Accordingly, in the nearest future the market may test 1.497, then 1.493.
BUT! On H4 there is a strong zone of 1.498 ahead. There is a high probability of a false breakdown and correction before a further fall, because below this zone there is a huge pool of liquidity, which will not let the price pass the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.506, 1.5085
Support levels: 1.498, 1.49
The 200&50 SMAs act as resistance, which indicates the current market sentiment. If the market is weak, a correction may not happen, bears may break the level quite quickly. In any case, it is worth watching the price reaction at 1.498
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#AAVEUSDT is quite an interesting and promising coin with an interesting picture on W1-M1
But now let's talk about D1.
The focus is on two levels - 132.0 and 117.5.
Bulls are strong and most likely there are whales, which are interested to go higher, but not immediately, but after long-squeeze.
If there will be a false breakdown of 132 and the bulls will fix above the level, we should wait for the continuation of the rally. The coin is stronger than the market.
But, if not, AAVE may go down to 117.5 before continuing its growth
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I rarely post #XAGUSD (very rarely :) )
But it is worth paying attention to the level of 30.07
Buyers are pushing the price to this zone and most likely there will be a struggle to hold this zone to go higher.
Consolidation above will be a good signal to continue rising.
Keep an eye on silver ;)
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Consolidation in a bull market. Will we reach 2550?
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GOLD is moving into a consolidation phase amid a strong bullish trend as buyers are waiting for catalysts for a new upswing. Buyers are still serious, and Central Banks of major economies continue to actively buy the metal
Fears of a wider Middle East conflict, have eased, at the same time the US Dollar paused its overnight recovery. The corresponding reaction - flat, we observe on the chart of gold.
Further price direction appears to be northward, as it remains supported by the Fed's dovish sentiment on monetary policy and looming geopolitical risks in the Middle East. In addition, hopes of improved physical gold demand from India and China are likely to limit the decline in the gold price.
Resistance levels: 2517, 2531
Support levels: 2501, 2493, 2477
Technically, since the price is in a range and tested the resistance area earlier, the MM has a liquidity target at the bottom. Consequently, gold may test support (false breakdown) before heading towards resistance again. Emphasis on the channel boundary, 2501, 2493, 2477.
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