US - Initial Jobless Claims = 232k (expected 232k)
US - Chicago Fed National Activity Index (July) = -0.34 (expected +0.03)
💡 Ideas For #PEPEUSDT 🐸
📈 Pre-break consolidation and retest of MA-200
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PEPE is consolidating after a shakeout. Bulls are emphasizing the resistance at 0.00000827. On W1, the coin is consolidating above key support, which is a good sign amid the overall bullish trend
PEPE is trading above trend support and is not going to go down yet. A decrease in volatility is forming - “consolidation” character of the movement. After retesting the resistance, the price returns to the level for another test, which only increases the chances of a breakout of the area. Consolidation of the price above this area may affect the breakout of MA-200, which will be a confirmation of the readiness to go up. Technically, the zone of interest is 0.00001088 and “ob” in the zone 0.000013.
Resistance levels: 0.00000827
Support levels: 0.000007615
We continue to follow the price. The trend is bullish and there are no preconditions that would lead to a trend change. Technically, I expect an attempt to break the upper boundary of consolidation and further growth to the specified targets.
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Strong bullish trend on the background of dollar's fall. Breakdown of the daily resistance may continue the trend. But, ahead of the news, there may be a pullback or high volatility
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Similar. Bullish trend. But, a false breakdown of resistance is formed. A pullback is possible. But, with a quick retest and consolidation above 1.3044, the price may go upward
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
False breakdown of resistance. We expect correction before the growth continuation. Or consolidation around the zone 0.6149
#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Price is in a range, growth may continue as we have not reached the target (liquidity) yet.
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - SHORT 📉
The downtrend may continue. A break of 145.18 will send the price even lower.
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - SHORT 📉
The target is the liquidity zone. But the general trend is defined. Possible rebound before further fall
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - SHORT 📉
The target is the local low. It is worth to keep an eye on it. Consolidation or quick retest may cause a breakout
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - SHORT 📉
Dollar falls amid market expectation of interest rate cuts and the Fed's dovish stance. Powell's speeches are coming up
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 False breakout of the range boundary
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GBPUSD is testing wide range resistance in the distribution phase against the backdrop of the falling dollar. The market spent energy on strong growth and there is little chance of a breakout of 1.305, a correction or consolidation may follow
GBPUSD strengthens the bullish trend, but on its way meets strong resistance - the border of the range. Within the range, the price may form a correction to the nearest liquidity zones, such as 1.297, 1.294 or 0.5 fibo.
Fundamentally, the dollar is declining amid the dovish stance of the Fed. The focus is on Friday's speech of Powell. The official's strong hints may intensify currency movements and volatility in the market
Support levels: 1.297, 1.294, 1.292
Resistance levels: 1.3044
Technically, a reversal follows after a strong rise and a false breakdown. The range boundaries are still in place and continue to hold the price.
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#BTCUSD surpassed the $61,000-per-coin mark early Tuesday as crypto traders cheered the price higher for the second consecutive time (so far).
Moreover, prices have been in recovery mode since Aug. 5, a painful and bloody Monday that crashed markets left and right and investors suffered heavy losses.
The token needs to deal with short-term resistance first. The resistance area located at the $62,500 level curbs optimism, preventing traders from enjoying a new surge to the current record high of over $73,000.
The overall picture remains bright and the outlook remains positive. Bitcoin is up about 40% year-to-date and boasts a market valuation of $1.2 trillion
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#GOLD idea from last Friday)
Cool realization of the false breakdown of support.
Since that moment the price has already passed 860 pips! ⚡️
If I indicate levels and for example the price is approaching one of them and shows no reaction, then we have to wait for some reaction to appear on some of the indicated zones.
At some point buyers dominate, at some point sellers dominate, but you can't know in advance who will win, so you should act only when there are clear preconditions for it
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Oh, what a month of August.
the markets have reduced liquidity and even more so your reactions both in the group and on the website...
A lot of people are on vacation.
By the way, there is a slight upside to that)
You can catch high volatility in some places, especially on breakout strategies and even more so on false breakouts (breakdowns) 😉
💡 Ideas For KLAYUSDT 🐯
📈 Transition from bearish to bullish trend
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KLAY is entering the distribution phase after exiting the accumulation. The price is resting at the range boundary, but there are prerequisites indicating a possible continuation of growth
Emphasis on the key level of 0.1600. I like the accumulation formed near the level. The key aspect, to forge a further scenario with the purpose of opening entry, I expect a retest or accumulation under the level, which will mean that the coin is ready to go even higher.
On W1 the coin is still in consolidation and is not going to bottom, on D1 the price is breaking the resistance of the wedge, a pattern capable of reversing trends.
Resistance levels: 0.1600
Support levels: 0.5, 0.7 fibo, 0.1246
Technically, such a rise may be followed by a correction either to the local lows on H1 or to the Fibo zone, but a quick retest will increase the chances of a breakout and growth. But, if the bulls manage to go beyond 0.160 and form a consolidation, the growth may start much earlier.
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XAUUSD gold prices surpassed the $2,500 mark for the first time ever after traders increased bets on a long-awaited Fed interest rate cut.
A string of positive economic reports from the US contributed to the rise in gold prices. Encouraging retail sales data largely supported the version of a rate cut the Fed is looking for. But before that, the Consumer Price Index report showed that inflation is falling as expected with a 2.9% increase for July.
The economy appears to be going full steam ahead - consumers continue to spend with no signs of a pullback, and price pressures are maintaining their downward trajectory.
All of this bodes well for gold prices. Gold is highly sensitive to lower interest rates - an investor's dream that will likely come true at the Fed's September meeting. As a non-income producing asset, bullion becomes more attractive when interest rates fall because it reduces the opportunity cost of owning gold
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 We're up to 2500. What's next, up or down?
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GOLD is updating its historical high due to fundamental reasons. At the moment the market is struggling for 2500, at the same time the dollar is showing the prerequisites of readiness to go south.
Fundamentally, there is a lot of interest in gold for several reasons:
- Crisis in the Middle East, expectations of Iranian action.
- A shift in the policy dovish view of the economy by the Fed
- Jackson Hole Symposium. Traders are quite positive, in anticipation of Powell's comments on the economy and their impact.
Technically, a strong bullish trend and the realization of accumulation is forming on D1. The price updates the high and closes Friday's session very promisingly (at the weekly and daily high)
A price consolidation above 2510 will be a good starting point to the next psychological levels.
Resistance levels: 2510, 2525, 2550
Support levels: 2495
Technically, the focus is on the 2510 - 2495 range. If a false breakout of resistance is formed, profit-taking or MM actions may provoke price decline to the imbalance zone before further growth. But, a confident consolidation of the price above the resistance may form an impulse to 2525.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Consolidation within a bullish trend. News ahead...
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GOLD is forming a consolidation in the triangle format. Traders are in a stupor and are not ready to act prematurely before the news, but buyers are still quite aggressive
Fundamentally, today's focus is on initial jobless claims, we have seen a decline in unemployment lately, which generally indicates an improvement in the environment, analysts expect the same “warm” figures. But, the main focus for Friday is Powell's speech, where further policy, inflation and regulator's actions will be discussed. Most likely, the current course of the markets may be strengthened.
Technically, the emerging above sma traygolnik on H1 is a “continuation pattern”, higher probability of resistance breakout. But, the news may affect the market more drastically, before further recovery (manipulation).
Resistance levels: 2510, 2519, 2531
Support levels: 2498, 2488
Emphasis on resistance breakout, bulls are serious enough. But on the background of news MM can form liquidation (longsqueeze) before further growth
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#USD
The debate over when to start cutting the Fed Funds rate is over. Now the talk about how quickly it should be lowered is gaining momentum - WSJ
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#GOLD prices extended their upward momentum and reached a new record high of 2571 (futures, 2530 - spot). The new rise brought the value of a single gold bar to more than $1 million.
Optimism that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the first time since 2020 is fueling the rise in gold prices. At the Fed's September meeting, markets are expecting a cut in borrowing costs ranging from 25bp to a huge 50bp. But before that, central bankers will head to Jackson Hole for a three-day conference where Jay Powell will give another speech on Friday that will get markets moving
Geopolitical turmoil is also triggering a flight into gold, which is considered a safe-haven asset. Traders seek it out during periods of heightened risks to the global economy, trade and politics. As the Middle East crisis shows no signs of stopping despite the constant efforts of the US and other countries, investors prefer to put a hefty portion of their cash into gold in case the situation escalates or spills over into neighboring regions
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Traders consolidate ahead of news...
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GOLD is forming a trading range. The emphasis is on 2531 - 2485. On the background of profit-taking, before the news, the price may test the support before further growth.
The fundamental environment is the same: tensions in the Middle East and focus on Powell's comments on Wednesday and Friday.
Today it is worth paying attention to the FOMC meeting, which will take place at 18:00 GMT. People are not interested in the rate cut itself, but in hints, comments and statistics.
Technically, the global bullish trend continues, but before the news traders are not ready to take any important actions to continue the trend. On the background of profit-taking or manipulation, the price may come down to liquidity zones before further rise.
Resistance levels: 2510, 2525, 2530
Support levels: 2495, 2488
The focus of his trading strategy is to build a bullish trend, which is still dominating the gold market. But, it is worth paying attention to the news
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#USDCAD
Reaching the target in a few days)
Patterns taken out of thin air do not work by themselves
They must be bound to something: to a strong zone, level or some figure, like a range.
In a few days + 170 pips!⚡️
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The EURUSD is moving steadily higher as changes in the currency markets put pressure on the dollar and boost alternative currencies. What's behind the dollar's fall?
The dollar is languishing near 2024 lows as traders have largely priced in the first interest rate cut since March 2020. More specifically, the market is now targeting lower borrowing costs when the Fed convenes for its September meeting. The question now is not whether interest rates will fall, but by how much.
Most analysts are predicting a 25bp cut, while others are calling for a sharp 50bp cut from the current 23-year high of 5.50%. The rate cuts are meant to make money more accessible by lowering borrowing costs. That said, the euro-dollar pair is having a volatile few days as the Jackson Hole symposium draws near.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 We're up to 2500. What's next, up or down?
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GOLD after a small correction from 2510, mainly related to profit-taking, continues to recover and reaches another psychological level of 2525
Fears of escalation in the Middle East eased after a report that Netanyahu accepted Washington's offer to overcome differences blocking a cease-fire agreement in Gaza. But the pressure on the dollar from the bears has a favorable effect on gold (the reason is the dovish stance of the Fed, as well as a possible soon interest rate cut, which makes the dollar less attractive)
Traders await the minutes of the July Fed meeting and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole on Friday for clues on the interest rate outlook
Resistance levels: 2525
Support levels: 2510, 2495
Technically, it is worth paying attention to the price behavior at key levels, as well as intraday trend reversal points (the beginning of the pullback) on H1-H4. The bullish trend continues to dominate. From 2525 may be followed by a small pullback before the continuation of growth.
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#Bitcoin
CryptoQuant notes that the Hash Ribbons indicator points to a possibly final capitulation of #BTC miners
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Many experts expected the final capitulation of miners after the halving to resume growth in BTC (provided there are no major macroeconomic shocks)
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#DOLLAR is being shunned by investors and traders who favor riskier stocks and cryptocurrencies. The broad markets have largely dumped the U.S. dollar as it ended a fourth straight losing week, losing more than 2% of its valuation over the period.
A series of positive economic data from the U.S. brought back risk appetite. The whirlwind of strong data caused traders to abandon the dollar and invest in stocks, gold and cryptocurrencies.
The U.S. currency, which almost always towers over the forex market, can provide numerous examples of rebounding just when speculators were ready to give up.
Later in the week, Fed Chairman Jay Powell will appear at the annual symposium in Jackson Hole, where he will deliver a speech and mingle with fellow central bankers and the elite of the financial world. Expect increased volatility not just in the buck or forex, but in the broader global markets.
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Perfect realization in #USDJPY ;)))
The range exit was false, which is what I was hinting at.
Great liquidity grab and deceptive maneuver from the market maker
+ 400 pips!!! Wow! 🥳
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💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 Attempt to change the trend amid falling dollar
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NZDUSD is strengthening from the opening session amid the dollar's return to southward movement. Traders are intensifying USD sell-offs amid expectations of interest rate cuts..
Despite the New Zealand Central Bank's interest rate cut, the USD sell-off is more active on the currency pair. The dollar is forming a retest of support, which increases the chances of further decline in the price amid strong sell-offs.
The currency pair is testing the resistance at 0.6083, but at the moment there is a high probability of correction to the imbalance zone. The reason is that we approached the zone too quickly, we need to accumulate the pre-breakout potential. But, if the bulls manage to consolidate above the resistance, then the market will move to the realization phase after the trend line breakout.
Resistance levels: 0.60828, 0.61475
Support levels: 0.6036
Fundamentally, the environment points to the continuation of growth. Technically, the bulls will have to pass through the trigger at 0.60828 to start the realization phase.
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