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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Retest resistance before a breakout. What's next?
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GOLD has been strengthening since the opening of the session and is testing the 2400 zone. The market is getting bullish again, but at the same time it is at a strong resistance. The focus is on 2393.0
There is no news today and the overall situation is stable. Gold has no obvious reasons for a possible strong fall. Markets are waiting for the confirmation of the progression of US deflation with the subsequent hints on the soon reduction of interest rates. The fact itself is favorable for gold.
Technically, the focus is on the edge of the range 2393. Consolidation of the price above this area may well influence further growth, but it is necessary to follow the descending resistance, because it will be difficult to pass this area from the first time.
Resistance levels: 2400, 2430
Support levels: 2393, 2384, 2377
Technically and fundamentally everything is quite positive. We should expect a retest of resistance with subsequent growth, but it is not excluded that before the active recovery phase there may be a retest of support, for example: 2387, 2382 or 2377
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → There's a chance at the Bullrun. PCE ahead...
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GOLD ends the week quite positively, with bullish signs. The decline that we caught was groundless from fundamental and technical points of view.
Falling stocks and indices prompted traders to start active profit-taking before last week's news, which provoked such a drop to 2350.
From a technical point of view, the price is forming a false breakout of the global support and showing a bullish reaction, indicating that unnecessary traders have been dropped out of the market and now the price from 2350 can safely go up.
Fundamentally, things are generally stable, with last week's news pointing to a smooth progression of deflation, which generally only increases the chances of a possible interest rate cut in September. Worth paying attention to in the coming week: ADP NonFarm, Chicago PMI, FOMC conference, as well as Fed interest rate decision on Wednesday. Also, PMI is published on Thursday and NFP on Friday.
Locally, on H1, there is resistance at 2392-2400. Most likely, a small correction may follow before a further rise. At the moment there is no reason for a strong fall, but I don't rule anything out.
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🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
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Rumor has it, whoever leaves a comment and a like on the link below will be protected from stoploss by the market maker 🤪
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/ZG6RSJaG-ETHEREUM-False-breakdown-of-MA-200-could-lead-to-a-BULLRUN/
ha ha 😀
share your opinion, it's interesting to know what you think about the crypto market, BTC, ETH...
#BTCUSD
The situation is generally the same. The price is in the range, the basis of which plays the role of the pattern “Flag”
Break of resistance will mean the beginning of pattern realization and in this case the market can show distribution.
At the moment the resistance has not been tested yet.
If after retesting the resistance area there will be no fall (red arrow) and the price starts consolidating between 69-72K, then further we can consider the breakout of the range resistance.
But, there is a possible scenario, when MM may once again bring the price down to the middle of the range before the subsequent bullrun (blue arrow).
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#ETHEREUM
happened exactly the same as with BTC, when ETFs were available for trading.
Manipulation, liquidation of bidders before further rally.
Convenient time to buy a bit of asset at more favorable prices, but only within the framework of analysis and adequate risk management
In priority I expect the continuation of growth to 4800, but only after Whales and MM reach their targets (correction)
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The US Dollar Index held near the flat line early Friday, with important inflation news ahead. Yesterday's GDP showed that the US economy grew by 2.8% in the second quarter.
However, today's data could spark a revival in the forex market. The Personal Consumption Expenditure Index, or PCE, is scheduled to be released. This is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation because it does not take into account changes in the prices of more volatile items such as food and energy.
If this gauge shows a decline in inflation favorable to us, it would bring financial markets closer to the first interest rate cut. Fed policymakers have said they need more “good data” before lowering borrowing costs. Good inflation data would complement a softening labor market and add to the string of recent positive news from the U.S. economy
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → A favorable PCE could resume the bullish trend ↑
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPUSD is forming a counter-trend correction amid the dollar recovery. Ahead of PCE, data may determine the medium-term outlook for the FOREX market
Technically, the market is increasing bets that the PCE may show hints of lower inflation, which will generally increase the chances of a September interest rate cut in the US. This could be negative for the dollar and positive for the currency pair. But no one rules out an unpredictable outcome, against which the currency pair could decline to 1.277
Technically, I would pay attention to the resistance at 1.2894. A consolidation above this zone will confirm the phase of the bull market, against which the price may rise to 1.30 - 1.31.
Resistance levels: 1.2898
Support levels: 1.2850
Fundamentally, things are not so bad. Favorable data can resume the trend after the correction phase, but it is still worth paying attention to the actual PCE figures and only then you can build a medium-term strategy
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Gold prices may reach record highs again in the coming months - analysts - RTRS survey
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At 12:30 GMT news.
Emphasis on everything! ;)
Actual data may determine the medium-term outlook for markets
👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Profit taking led to the rally. But it's not all bad...
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GOLD after the retest of 2430 fell under the selloff, there is no pressure on the price of metal, but the reason may be profit taking amid the selloff in stocks and in anticipation of economic data from the US
Traders are waiting for US GDP and Initial Jobless CLaims, which will be released at 12:30 GMT. The data may have a medium-term impact on the market, but the whole focus is on PCE, which will be released on Friday. Investors expect the Fed to deliver its long-awaited rate cut in September. In a low interest rate environment, gold's appeal increases.
If the data on Friday shows that inflation is slowing down, it will be a good sign for gold.
Technically, a correction is forming, with emphasis on 2370, or 2350. Strong support areas that can keep the market from falling.
Resistance levels: 2377, 2392
Support levels: 2370, 2355, 2350
The price stops in the zone of 2370-2377 in general it can give some prerequisites for a rebound. If gold can consolidate above 2377, the price may move into the recovery phase, if not, traders may test the liquidity in 2355-2350 before further growth.
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📈Forex VIP Performance
For the trading week from:
22.07 to 26.07
Total result +1086 pips 💰
🗣You could earn in a week if:
Trade 0.1 lot: +1086$
Trade 1 lot: +10860$
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🔸Apr01-Apr05 Profit +34
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For April: +1480 pips!✅
🔸Apr29-May03 Profit +551
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For May: +2278 pips!✅
🔸Jun03-Jun07 Profit +923
🔸Jun10-Jun14 Profit +268
🔸Jun17-Jun21 Profit +110
🔸Jun24-Jun28 Profit +251
For Jun: +1552 pips!✅
🔸Jul01-Jul05 Profit +397
🔸Jul08-Jul12 Profit +467
🔸Jul15-Jul19 Profit +1086
For Jul: +1950 pips!✅
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The price of bitcoin BTCUSD soared to $70,000 as crypto-enthusiasts placed long bets inspired by Donald Trump's speech.
The former U.S. president headlined the crypto industry's biggest annual event, Bitcoin 2024, and didn't miss the opportunity to boo the audience.
“For too long, our government has violated the cardinal rule that every Bitcoiner knows by heart: Never sell your bitcoin”, Trump said. He also vowed to fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler :D , whose approach to cryptocurrencies has hindered their wider adoption and innovation
“This afternoon, I am laying out my plan to ensure that the USA becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the planet and the bitcoin superpower of the world, and we will get there”, Trump said. Back in 2021, Trump criticized bitcoin, saying it “just looks like a fraud.” On the other hand, conference organizers said they invited Vice President Kamala Harris to speak at the event, but she declined
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💡Ideas For GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
📈 GBPJPY → Ahead of a rate hike in Japan...
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPJPY intends to continue the current bearish rally. The price temporarily stops at the 197.00 zone for a short respite before falling further. The market is expecting an interest rate hike in Japan…
Price breaks the bullish market structure and then confirms the bearish one, indicating a change in the global trend. Volatility is rising in Japanese markets, with the Bank of Japan expected to discuss a rate hike this week and consider a plan to halve government bond purchases. This is a strong scenario for the strengthening of the national currency, traders are reducing the number of short positions this time.
Technically, the focus is on the level of 197.2, this zone splits the market into two zones. Accordingly, price consolidation below this level will be the starting point before the rally.
Support levels: 195.8, 193.8, 191.8
Resistance levels: 197.2, 198.75
Both fundamentally and technically everything is steamed towards further decline. The actions of the Central Bank of Japan affect the rate quite strongly...
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
The instrument is in correction after a false breakdown. Emphasis on the dollar, if it finally goes down, the pair may return to the resistance retest. Globally there are prospects for growth. Strong support from below
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
The focus is on the resistance at 1.2893. If we come back, we may consolidate above, then growth. If not, we may go to 1.2785 before the growth
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Strong rally, key support ahead, could be a false break and rise
#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The price has entered the selling zone. Possible upward correction before the subsequent fall. There is no bullish set-up yet
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - SHORT 📉
Interventions affect the rate. The currency pair stops, but most likely for consolidation, before further decline. If it breaks 153.1, it will go even lower. If it consolidates above 154.5, it may give a small rise
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - LONG 📈
Retest of resistance and false breakdown does not give a strong fall. If the price continues to squeeze to the resistance at 1.3846, we should wait for a breakdown and growth
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - SHORT 📉
Support retest and breakout attempt after the third touch. There is a probability of further decline to 0.8729 if the pair consolidates below 0.8826.
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - SHORT 📉
The dollar index has been in consolidation all week. Positive news does not give growth, and the general fundamental background hints at further decline
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETHEREUM → False breakdown of MA-200 could lead to a BULLRUN ↑
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ETH in the correction phase, testing zones of interest (0.5 fibo and MA-200), forming a false breakdown, which in general can lead to a strong upward movement supported by strong fundamentals
Fundamentally, ETH is quite positive. ETH-ETFs were launched on July 23 and continue to gain momentum. The correction, which has been observed for the last two days is mainly due to the outflow from GrayScale (exactly the same scenario was with BTC), also a slight pressure is created by the situation with Mt.Gox, but against the background of BTC transfers to exchanges and their distribution among its debtors, bitcoin is strengthening, such behavior of the flagship indicates support for eth.
Technically, the price is forming a correction to 0.5 fibo relative to the bullish momentum as well as a retest of the Daily MA-200, forming a false breakdown with a fairly aggressive buyback, indicating the presence of a strong buyer who is not ready to go down beyond $3000
Resistance levels: 3357, 3540
Support levels: 3200, MA-200
The main task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the zone of interest at $3200. Further it remains to wait for resistance retest with the purpose of its breakthrough and further bull run to $4000 - $4500 - $4900.
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🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
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👍Performance & feedback✅
〰️〰️〰️
📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
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Yesterday's #gold situation
BEAUTIFUL! 😻
The price failed to consolidate above 2377 from the first time, there was a false breakout. (I wrote about it in the idea) and began to decline to the specified support zone.
From where (2350-2355) the recovery has already started to form :)
+320 pips for 1 day ⚡️
Has anyone traded? Share your results :)
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❗️Ahead of PCE at 12:30 GMT !!!
The core price index of personal consumption expenditure (PCE) measures changes in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers for consumption purposes, excluding food and energy.
The impact on the currency can be mutual: a rise in inflation can lead to higher interest rates and an appreciation of the national currency, on the other hand, during a recession, a rise in inflation can lead to a deepening of the recession and hence a depreciation of the national currency.
A higher than expected reading should be positive for the US dollar, while a lower than expected reading should be negative/bearish for the US dollar
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → There's a chance at the Bullrun. PCE ahead...
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GOLD is testing local channel support and forming a rebound from the liquidity zone. Traders are waiting for PCE data. Favorable inflation data may provide strong support for gold
Traders are waiting for the PCE, any hints of lower inflation may be viewed quite positively, which will generally increase the chance of interest rate cut in September. As we know, low interest rates make gold more attractive.
Technically, if we pay attention to the D1 chart, gold is testing a conglomeration of strong support: False break of MA-200 + trendline support, as well as bounce from 2350-2355 support level, which means the approximate area of intermediate bottom of the ranyke and forms a global range of 2485 - 2350. But, the fight for 2350 is not over yet.
Resistance levels: 2377, 2392
Support levels: 2370, 2350
Let me remind you that news is unpredictable. Favorable data will influence the possible bull run, but unpredictable ones may provoke sales and price decline to 2350.
But, at the moment of analysis, technical and fundamental nuances point to a bull market, there is a chance of growth to 2400-2430.
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🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
⭐️The advantage of those who join CRYPTO VIP:
🟣Quality breakout traders
🟣8-15 signals per week with SL and TP
🟣Spot&Futures signals
🟣Support for most popular exchanges
🟣Over 82% accuracy
👍Performance & feedback✅
〰️〰️〰️
📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
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US - GDP (2Q 2024Y) = +2.8% QoQ (expected +2%)
US - Initial Jobless Claims = 235k (expected 237k)
US - Durable Goods Orders (May) = -6.6% mom (expected +0.3%)
#ETHEREUM. On Tuesday, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) catering to investors who just bought Ethereum debuted. On the first day, the trading volume of these investment funds, and there are as many as nine of them, totaled $1 billion, matching the trading volume between all traders.
What's more, the funds generated more than $100 million in net new money, or net inflows - the difference between withdrawals and deposits. Some of the world's largest asset managers, including BlackRock and Fidelity, as well as cryptocurrency players such as Grayscale, are investing in the new asset class. On launch day, the price of Ethereum held steady at $3,460 per token and didn't experience any unexpected spikes or drops.
So what do these Ether ETFs represent? They allow anyone to own a piece of the cryptocurrency by purchasing shares of the ETF. And while buyers don't own or have custody of the underlying asset, they experience the same price impacts and volatility as the actual product. ETFs, on the other hand, hold the real Ethereum, increasing its market value with each purchase.
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💡 Ideas For XRPUSDT 🪙
📈 XRP → The moment before “to the moon” ↑
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XRP is the strongest of the market. As ETH & BTC fall, ripple is holding quite positively as traders are starting to believe in growth amid rumors..
Ripple CEO recently said that he expects a legal resolution to the situation between the SEC and Ripple “very soon”
Many are speculating that the SEC's closed-door meeting to finalize the case against Ripple could take place today - July 25.
Against this backdrop: Trading volumes are rising, price is hitting local highs, whales are accumulating XRP
Technically, it is worth paying attention to the 0.6378 - 0.5712 range. If breaking the resistance fails, the price may test liquidity below the support before subsequent growth.
Resistance levels: 0.6378, 0.7440
Support levels: 0.5712, 0.5100
If the trial finds its denouement, it will give a second life to the coin. A break of the range resistance - 0.6378 will open a new path....
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