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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → False breakdown. Will we return to the bullish trend?
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GOLD is entering the correction phase after a false breakdown of trend resistance and the previous ATH. The fundamental background is changed by Thursday's news that supported the dollar
Overall, the environment on D1 is still bullish. If the price finds a strong support in the near future, for example 2390-2400, this area may get the status of an intermediate bottom, thus forming a new trading range.
There is no news today, thus the fundamental background remains the same. Trading has been complicated lately by the presidential race in the USA. The statements of Powell, politically dependent Fed, Trump can be perceived by traders quite strongly. But the medium-term outlook is determined by the fact that politicians are generally set to lower the dollar, which is generally favorable for gold, which may soon return to the bullish trend phase (locally)
Resistance levels: 2420, 2429, 2450
Support levels: trend, 2402, 2900
Technically, the price may continue the correction to trend support, but due to the pool of liquidity in the area where the price may land within the correction, gold may get a reaction in the form of a bounce to the nearest resistance
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🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
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We will summarize the results on August 2!
#GBPUSD climbed above the $1.30 mark, and remained in good stead on Thursday after a number of economic data releases in favor of the British currency.
UK inflation data for June showed that price growth was slightly above expectations at 2%, in line with May's pace and enough to beat analysts' forecasts, who had expected a 1.9% year-on-year increase. This slight deviation from consensus caused traders to rush into sterling and lower their hopes of an interest rate cut by the Bank of England. The U.K. central bank has previously said it expects price pressures to cool in order to reduce borrowing costs.
Early Thursday morning, U.K. wage growth slowed but remained within a steady range for the three months through May. Annual wage growth slowed to 5.7%, down from 6% in the three months to April. Average weekly earnings also rose 5.7% year-on-year, also in the three months to May. The British currency is in steady gains, adding 3.5% for July.
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💡 Ideas For BBUSDT 🪙
📈 BBUSDT → The key value of the zone is 0.480
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BBUSDT does not fall after the false breakdown, but goes into the phase of consolidation. Buyers are resisting. Retest of the key resistance may lead to a breakout and rally
Fundamentally active recovery is connected with bitcoin rally. The flagship is pulling the cryptocurrency market with it. Technically, the situation is developing in a bullish scenario. It is worth paying attention to the resistance at 0.48.
On D1-H4, the market confirms the bullish market structure and is currently in the correction phase. If buyers continue market consolidation near the resistance and gradually start pushing towards 0.48 resistance, then in this case we should expect a breakdown, price consolidation above the level with further growth towards the mentioned targets.
Resistance levels: 0.48, 0.575
Support levels: 0.45, 0.463
It is not excluded that sellers may hold the resistance, in this case the price may go down to 0.7-0.79 fibo before further growth. But, the focus at the moment is on the resistance 0.48, once it is broken, despite the specific scenario, only then the coin will start an active growth phase.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → $2500 is the psychological target. What happens next?
———————————————
GOLD is flying upwards after ATH breakout. Powell's comments were positive for the market, which is generally reflected in the dollar and gold. The fundamental and technical background is favorable
Powell's comments about more progressive deflation are favorable for the market, the dollar is falling on this background and there is no end in sight yet. The Feds are considering the situation about prematurely lowering the interest rate without waiting for inflation to fall to 2%. The dollar index is moving into the sell-off phase, which allows gold to update ATH to 2482.
Technically, on H1 resistance is formed at 2482, breakout and consolidation of the price above that level will provoke another rally, within which the price may reach 2500-2525-2550. There is a lot of support, but from above there is emptiness and there are no obstacles. Heated investor interest may lead to a more global ATH.
Resistance levels: 2482, psychological 2500
Support levels: 2463, 2456, 2450
Formation of consolidation before continuation of growth is not excluded. In this case, the price may test the liquidity zone 2463, or imbalance zone located in the area of 2456-2450. But the trigger for the growth continuation will be the break of the indicated resistance.
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🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
⭐️The advantage of those who join CRYPTO VIP:
🟣Quality breakout traders
🟣8-15 signals per week with SL and TP
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🟣Over 82% accuracy
👍Performance & feedback✅
〰️〰️〰️
📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
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#USDJPY was subjected to severe fluctuations last Thursday, with some claiming that the Japanese government was behind it. The dollar lost about 3% of its value against the Japanese yen, falling to ¥157.20 from a 38-year high of ¥161.80.
The fall came moments after a drop in U.S. inflation shrugged off the dollar, likely creating some momentum amid thin trading for the pair to break to lower levels. According to some estimates, the scale of potential intervention by Japanese officials probably amounted to $22 billion. If confirmed, it would be the third time this year that Japan has intervened to support the yen.
But Japan continues to warn that it will take action against a sharp weakening of the yen against the dollar, accordingly, the influence of the authorities still remains and one should be cautious with purchases
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💡 Ideas For SOLUSDT 🪙
📈 SOLANA → Correction to the liquidity zone before the rally ↑
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SOL enjoys high interest from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Bulls overcome key resistance, but the coin follows bitcoin and there are nuances....
Solana's growth is likely to continue because it is well positioned to capture the next wave of cryptocurrency adoption. Likewise, the coin is also strengthening as the third major crypto asset after Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Investors evaluate such positive factors as: high activity amid the BTC correction, more meme coins (weird, but okay), growth in overall capitalization and DEX volumes on the network, and low commissions. This whole conglomerate suggests that Solana could be the next crypto-ETF to launch.
Technically, we should pay attention to the nuance between Mt.Gox and BTC, accordingly, the market may slip to support until the situation stabilizes before further growth, which can be influenced by ETH-ETF.
Resistance levels: 162.45
Support levels: 140.0 133.8, 122.3
The market may let the correction continue due to Mt.Gox, which activated BTC transfers after a test transaction today. And since SOL actively follows BTC, the moves could be correlated. The bullish trend will continue after the situation stabilizes.
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#EURUSD dipped below $1.09 as forex traders changed their mood to bearish following the news. The European Central Bank, which is responsible for maintaining price stability, decided to leave its main interest rate unchanged at 3.75%.
The decision to leave rates unchanged was a step back from the 25 basis point interest rate cut at the last meeting, a move that could be repeated in September when experts reconvene.
In the U.S., investors are increasingly confident that the Federal Reserve will cut rates for the first time at its September meeting. Expectations of lower borrowing costs have lowered the dollar's valuation. Until yesterday afternoon. Until yesterday, the dollar was strengthening across the board as battered forex rivals retreated and let the dollar do its thing. The US currency jumped against the Japanese yen and British sterling.
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → False breakdown led to the beginning of correction
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPUSD forms a false breakdown of resistance, which leads to a change in the nature of market movement. At this time, the dollar temporarily changes course and moves to the correction phase
GBPUSD is globally bullish. After breaking through resistance on D1, the price moves into the correction phase, which was generally logical to expect.
Ahead is the key area on H4 - 1.29 from which a rebound is possible. A reversal pattern is forming locally, but the probability of a trend change is low. In the medium term I expect a correction to 0.5-0.7 fibo with further reversal, but the long-term outlook is bullish. The reason for this movement is the unstable fundamental environment due to the presidential race in the U.S. as well as the politically dependent opinion of the Fed, as well as the forex market movements are beginning to be influenced by Trump's speeches....
Resistance levels: 1.2978
Support levels: 1.290, 1.286, 1.284
Technically, we should wait for a bounce from 1.29 by 10-20% from the current movement with the aim to continue the correction towards the mentioned support zone. Thursday's news supported the dollar, today the general fundamental background remains (no news).
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#ETHEREUM #ETH 🔹
SEC tells issuers that trading in spot ETH-ETFs may begin July 23
The SEC has given preliminary approval to at least three issuers to launch trading in spot ETH-ETFs: BlackRock, Franklin Templeton and VanEck.
Most issuers have filed updated applications to launch spot ETH-ETFs
--------
the launch of trading in spot ETH-ETFs is expected on July 23
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From 12:15 GMT news releases begin.
Focus on those released at 12:30 (for the US market)
👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Consolidation before rising to 2500...
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GOLD after breaking through trend resistance is forming a consolidation, just like the dollar. Sellers start selling on indicators and MM may set a trap before further growth
Technically and fundamentally gold has a favorable environment. The price is in the buying zone and in the ATH zone. There is a lot of support (obstacles) from below, and there is emptiness from above and nothing prevents to go up. There is consolidation on H1 and all technical conditions are favorable for the continuation of growth.
BUT!
There is an interesting pattern forming on H1-M30, which can give a small correction as a trap for sellers before further growth. Now a lot of selling is forming on indicators (overbought, rsi, macd and so on), accordingly, MM may show a reversal.
The whole emphasis is on 2461, If the price fixes below, the gold may be driven to the liquidity zone: 2450, 2440, 2430 before further growth.
Resistance levels: 2475, 2484
Support levels: 2461, 2450
If the price consolidates below 2461, a retest of the support is possible before further growth. If a rebound is formed, consolidation above 2467-2475, we should wait for a retest of resistance with a breakout attempt.
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Senior Fed officials said the Fed is already “closer” to a rate cut given the improving trajectory of inflation and a more balanced labor market. These factors set the stage for the first rate cut in September - RTRS
Trump urges Powell not to cut Fed Funds rate before election. Trump has said he will let Powell finish his term at the Fed if he does the right thing
The U.S. DOLLAR INDEX accelerated its fall after Trump said in an interview that a strong dollar hurts the competitiveness of U.S. exports and also pointed to the weakness of the yen and yuan
— —
Global managers expect Fed rate cut in September - July BofA survey
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#EURUSD rose in the early hours on Wednesday, holding steady at $1.09. The euro has been making steady progress over the past month, during which time the currency has added more than 230 pips, or 2.1%, to its valuation against a weakening dollar. A shift in market expectations is taking place.
Speculators are moving away from the dollar into alternative currencies such as the euro and sterling. Bargain hunters are finding little incentive to hold the U.S. dollar now that the U.S. Federal Reserve has signaled that it is going to cut interest rates before inflation reaches its 2% target. In other words, the opportunity cost of holding the dollar is rising and this is encouraging traders to look elsewhere for alpha returns.
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💡 Ideas For USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
📈 USDJPY → Weak dollar + intervention = bearish trend ↓
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
USDJPY breaks the 157.7 zone after a small consolidation. Powell's comments about more progressive deflation favor the market, the dollar is falling on this background and the end is not seen yet...
Fundamentally, the weakening dollar and the ongoing interventions of the Central Bank of Japan have quite a strong impact on the exchange rate, but it is worth being careful. Previously, this market reaction was quickly bought out by traders who still have little faith in the continued strength of the JPY.
Technically, if the dollar continues to liquidate, such a strong fall could bring the currency pair down to global lows.
There is a strong liquidity zone ahead. Possible activation of orders in the risk zone, which may provoke a pullback before a further fall or a strong impulse, which without a pullback will knock out all market participants and the price will fly downward
Resistance levels: 157.18, 157.7
Support levels: 154.5, 151.86
At the moment everything is obvious, fundamental and technical nuances are telling about further decline. We should pay attention to the nearest zone of liquidity and price reaction.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell reinforced hopes that an interest rate cut could come sooner than previously thought. Speaking at the Economic Club of Washington on Monday, Jay Powell struck an upbeat tone on inflation. He said that recent economic data reinforces "confidence that inflation is moving steadily toward the 2% target."
How do lower rates affect gold? Gold is a non-profitable asset, meaning it does not generate income for its owners.
When rates are low, the opportunity cost of owning gold decreases, meaning it becomes more attractive in a low interest rate environment. Against this backdrop, gold has seen impressive gains this year. Since the beginning of 2024, the yellow commodity has risen in value by 20%.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → ATH Testing. Fundamental background is favorable
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GOLD continues to strengthen as the fundamental background improves. A rate cut is coming, as hinted by Powell, the dollar is poised to decline against this backdrop...
According to Powell, the Fed has "more evidence and confidence" that inflation is cooling, so they may cut rates before inflation reaches the 2% target. Traders generally believe in the continuation of the growth of the metal, technically this background is also maintained.
The price is approaching the ATH, but the liquidity behind this zone may push the price back, forming a small correction, for example to 2430-2420 before the price starts to return to 2450 before rising further.
Resistance levels: 2440, 2450
Support levels: 2430, 2420
Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable. It is worth looking for strong zones to open long trades, but it is worth paying attention to ATH, as a false breakdown could form a correction. The growth may continue rather quickly
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#BTC
Careful, a pullback or drawdown is possible:
Mt.Gox activated BTC transfers after test transaction today
#BTCUSD
We recently discussed bitcoin and I did a review and recommendations for further trading.
As I said, high levels of fear lead to predictable reactions.
As bitcoin fell, the crowd increasingly panicked and changed positions from buying to selling, which was a fatal mistake.
An intermediate bottom and a strong buyer formed on the chart, bringing the price to 63K in a matter of days.
In the vip we started buying $BTC from July 6 from $56500.
The first target has been reached ;)
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