Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell reinforced hopes that an interest rate cut could come sooner than previously thought. Speaking at the Economic Club of Washington on Monday, Jay Powell struck an upbeat tone on inflation. He said that recent economic data reinforces "confidence that inflation is moving steadily toward the 2% target."
How do lower rates affect gold? Gold is a non-profitable asset, meaning it does not generate income for its owners.
When rates are low, the opportunity cost of owning gold decreases, meaning it becomes more attractive in a low interest rate environment. Against this backdrop, gold has seen impressive gains this year. Since the beginning of 2024, the yellow commodity has risen in value by 20%.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → ATH Testing. Fundamental background is favorable
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GOLD continues to strengthen as the fundamental background improves. A rate cut is coming, as hinted by Powell, the dollar is poised to decline against this backdrop...
According to Powell, the Fed has "more evidence and confidence" that inflation is cooling, so they may cut rates before inflation reaches the 2% target. Traders generally believe in the continuation of the growth of the metal, technically this background is also maintained.
The price is approaching the ATH, but the liquidity behind this zone may push the price back, forming a small correction, for example to 2430-2420 before the price starts to return to 2450 before rising further.
Resistance levels: 2440, 2450
Support levels: 2430, 2420
Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable. It is worth looking for strong zones to open long trades, but it is worth paying attention to ATH, as a false breakdown could form a correction. The growth may continue rather quickly
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#BTC
Careful, a pullback or drawdown is possible:
Mt.Gox activated BTC transfers after test transaction today
#BTCUSD
We recently discussed bitcoin and I did a review and recommendations for further trading.
As I said, high levels of fear lead to predictable reactions.
As bitcoin fell, the crowd increasingly panicked and changed positions from buying to selling, which was a fatal mistake.
An intermediate bottom and a strong buyer formed on the chart, bringing the price to 63K in a matter of days.
In the vip we started buying $BTC from July 6 from $56500.
The first target has been reached ;)
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → The bulls can take us to 1.100 ↑
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EURUSD maintains a bullish structure. Ahead is the key resistance from which a pullback may follow before further growth
On Saturday, there was high-profile news related to the attack on former US President Trump. The markets expected a more violent reaction from the opening, but in general only a small gap was created and it was dealt with rather quickly. Accordingly, the situation is stable. Fundamentally, everything is positive enough with the aim of continuing growth, but today at 16:30 GMT Powell speaks and it is worth to pay attention to his speech.
Technically, the key resistance at 1.0916 is ahead, from which a pullback may follow, as this strong area will not be broken at the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.0916
Support levels: 1.08522
There is a high probability of a rebound from resistance. As part of the correction, the nearest liquidity area may be tested before the subsequent retest of resistance, breakout and growth to 1.10
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❗️ Have you heard the latest news out of the US?
Trump was shot during his speech in Pennsylvania, wounded in the ear. The man who shot at Trump has been eliminated. He turned out to be a 20-year-old resident of Pennsylvania.
Politico: the attempted assassination attempt on Trump has increased his chances of re-election
🎉 The German government has sold all confiscated BTC!
Wallets with balances of 1,000 - 10,000 BTC are actively accumulating BTC - data from CryptoQuant
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETHEREUM → 4K Target. Waiting for SEC with ETH-ETF ↑
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ETH is ending the sell-off phase. Buyers have held a strong support area, forming an intermediate bottom. The liquidity capture led to a rebound, which can move into the phase of the uptrend continuation
Fundamentally, the main focus is on ETH-ETFs. Earlier traders were positive about the initial rumors of approval, now the important milestone is the admission of ETFs to trading, judging by the feedback and SEC sentiment, this could happen very soon (within 1-2 weeks)
Technically, strong buyers appear in the 2800-2900 zone (judging by candlestick patterns and volume growth), restraining the market from falling and gaining momentum with the purpose of further strengthening (local price movement has a consolidation character).
The trigger area for buyers is 3200. Accordingly, further final consolidation of the price above MA-200 and breakout of 3200 may become the reason for strengthening, the target of which may be 4000-4800.
Resistance levels: 3200, 3357
Support levels: MA-200, 2868
Fundamentally, the situation is positive, traders are waiting for the news from SEC. Technically, on local timeframes there are prerequisites for a bullish mood, on D1 a rebound from strong support is forming. Accordingly, the overall tandem is signaling a possible further rise to 4K.
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The US DOLLAR (DXY) retreated across the board after the latest inflation data showed that price pressures in the US economy are easing. The Consumer Price Index, or CPI, rose at an annualized rate of 3% in June, up from 3.3% in May. In their own way, markets rejoiced at the data - they got rid of the dollar because lower inflation hints at lower interest rates. And that could lower the value of the dollar.
In this context, the dollar index, which measures the strength of the buck against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.9% on Thursday and remained under pressure on Friday. The index is hovering around 104.40, down from Thursday's high of 105.00. At the other end of the spectrum, competing forex players made gains. The euro briefly surpassed the $1.09 mark, rising from levels near $1.08. The British pound reached as high as $1.30.
Things are a bit more complicated with the Japanese yen. Moments after the inflation data was released, the USD/JPY collapsed off a cliff. It lost more than 2.5% in a few minutes, which sparked talk of intervention from the Japanese side. The dollar lost about 430 pips against the strengthening yen as the exchange rate fell to ¥157.30 from a daily peak of ¥161.70. However, there was no confirmation that Japan had intervened against the dollar.
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US - PPI pro-minflation (June)
m/m = +0.2% (previously 0%)
y/y = +2.6% (previously +2.2%)
#USDJPY was subjected to severe fluctuations last Thursday, with some claiming that the Japanese government was behind it. The dollar lost about 3% of its value against the Japanese yen, falling to ¥157.20 from a 38-year high of ¥161.80.
The fall came moments after a drop in U.S. inflation shrugged off the dollar, likely creating some momentum amid thin trading for the pair to break to lower levels. According to some estimates, the scale of potential intervention by Japanese officials probably amounted to $22 billion. If confirmed, it would be the third time this year that Japan has intervened to support the yen.
But Japan continues to warn that it will take action against a sharp weakening of the yen against the dollar, accordingly, the influence of the authorities still remains and one should be cautious with purchases
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💡 Ideas For SOLUSDT 🪙
📈 SOLANA → Correction to the liquidity zone before the rally ↑
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SOL enjoys high interest from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Bulls overcome key resistance, but the coin follows bitcoin and there are nuances....
Solana's growth is likely to continue because it is well positioned to capture the next wave of cryptocurrency adoption. Likewise, the coin is also strengthening as the third major crypto asset after Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Investors evaluate such positive factors as: high activity amid the BTC correction, more meme coins (weird, but okay), growth in overall capitalization and DEX volumes on the network, and low commissions. This whole conglomerate suggests that Solana could be the next crypto-ETF to launch.
Technically, we should pay attention to the nuance between Mt.Gox and BTC, accordingly, the market may slip to support until the situation stabilizes before further growth, which can be influenced by ETH-ETF.
Resistance levels: 162.45
Support levels: 140.0 133.8, 122.3
The market may let the correction continue due to Mt.Gox, which activated BTC transfers after a test transaction today. And since SOL actively follows BTC, the moves could be correlated. The bullish trend will continue after the situation stabilizes.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → How might consolidation end? Up or down?
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GOLD is in the consolidation stage. The morning session was extremely quiet amid the absence of Japan in trading, as well as after Saturday's news. Traders are waiting for Powell's speech at 16:30 GMT
The market was expecting that Trump's assassination attempt in Pennsylvania could have a strong impact on gold as a hedge asset, but the market did not react much, except for cryptocurrencies.
The dollar still looks bearish, if Powell does not change his stance from last week, the dollar index could break support and go down, for gold this would be a favorable scenario.
Since the price is in a range, we can consider 2 scenarios at this point:
1) If the bulls keep the price above 2407, they may break the local resistance and test the upper boundary of the range with a breakout target
2) Against the backdrop of the dollar pullback, gold may come down to the liquidity zone before a subsequent move up.
Support levels: 2407, 2401, 2392
Resistance levels: 2413, 2417, 2424
Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable, gold is quite capable of testing the ATH or even renewing it, but it is worth paying attention to Powell's speech....
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Favorable fundamental background. Will we go to 2450?
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The Asian session may see capital inflows into hedge assets such as gold, bitcoin as well as the dollar. The question of correlation remains open, as until the situation stabilizes, prices will be influenced by crowd behavior rather than market physics.
There is potential for additional volatility due to low liquidity as Japan is absent from trading due to a national holiday.
Technically, gold has two local resistances: 2418 and 2424. A breakdown of these zones will open the way to ATH or even higher...
Global and local trends are bullish + the fundamental background strengthens the overall situation in the gold market, which may attract another batch of investments to the market.
It is still unknown how the situation will develop from the opening of the session.
On the background of low liquidity, high volatility may allow to test or even renew highs, but I would not recommend to open positions from the opening of the session, it is worth waiting for stabilization of the situation, low liquidity and high volatility can greatly harm constructive trading. There is a high probability of opening the session with a gap.
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🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
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📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
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#ZEN perfectly realizes the potential within the idea)
The coin consolidates above the trend support I emphasized and with further bullish momentum reaches our target quite quickly.
At this point we have taken 50% of the move.
At 10X leverage that's 500% !!!
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Rumor has it that those who put a like and comment on the idea at the link below will receive 100% ACCURACY IN TRADING ⚡️ as an ability 😎
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/PepYMRcP-ETHEREUM-4K-Target-Waiting-for-SEC-with-ETH-ETF/
Haha 😀
Share your thoughts. What do you think about ETH? Where to go from here?
Up 📈 or down 📉?
🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
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🟣Quality breakout traders
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🟣Spot&Futures signals
🟣Support for most popular exchanges
🟣Over 82% accuracy
👍Performance & feedback✅
〰️〰️〰️
📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
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How easy is it to get +20% 😎 to your trading deposit?
It seems to me that increasing your trading deposit by 20% at once in one action is a great deposit boost ;)
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