#ZEN allowed to take +43% in a few days
In total, with 10X leverage this is 430%
Good result in a weak bear market)
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US - CPI CONTRIBUTION (June)
m/m = -0.1% (expected +0.1%)
y/y = +3% (expected +3.1%)
core CPI = +3.3% y/y (expected +3.4%)
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US - Initial Jobless Claims = 222k (expected 236k)
#USDJPY traded well in early Thursday trading, but a key economic report threatened to shake things up. Later in the day, US inflation data will be released.
How high can it go from here? A break beyond ¥162 would mark a new multi-decade peak as the yen's valuation has been pushed back to the 1980s. The deeper into the past, the worse it gets - in the 1970s, the Japanese currency was worth more than ¥300 to the US dollar. Amidst all this, the Bank of Japan remains silent and has shown no signs of intervention since the last failed attempt.
That said, today markets are watching the U.S. consumer price index, or CPI. The data will reflect the pace of price growth for June, and analysts are hoping for another tepid reading. Price growth for last month is expected to come in at 3.1%, down from May's 3.3% annualized rate. Expect increased volatility as the report could spring surprises and shake up currency trading.
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💡 Ideas For PEPEUSDT 🐸
📈 PEPE → A condition that will lead to growth. Is the buyer back?
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PEPE - is undergoing a deep correction phase. The price is resting on the strong support and the "discount" zone appears the buyer, holding the market. The focus on the upper boundary of the range...
! For convenience, I will indicate key zones without zeros.
Bulls do not let the price below 0.0761, forming a limit support area, in the neighborhood of which a strong buyer appears, it can be determined by the growth of volumes and the pattern of redemption with the subsequent retest without updating the minimum.
At the moment it is not excluded that the coin can continue falling, but based on the general situation there is a chance that PEPE can move into the recovery phase, but provided that the coin can pass the area of 0.0951-0.0991 with the price fixing above this zone, which will generally define an intermediate bottom for the market.
Resistance levels: 0.0952, 0.0991, 0.1084
Support levels: 0.0886, 0.0761
Technically, the situation is complicated because of bitcoin, which is consolidating in the discount zone, but in general there are bullish prerequisites. If the guide (BTC) goes up, it may favor altcoins.
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#BTCUSD returned to growth early Wednesday, gaining 10% in three days. The markets may have already realized that Mt. Gox's expected payout may not be so dire. The bankrupt exchange has recovered about 140,000 BTC that are waiting to be issued to users.
On Tuesday, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell gave a lighthearted speech to Congress. He noted that keeping interest rates higher could hurt economic growth. And while Fed officials are interested in lowering rates, they need "more good data," i.e. lower inflation. Lower interest rates are usually favorable for risky assets
According to analysts, bitcoin's rise was likely due to Powell's lukewarm comments about lower rates. Nevertheless, the $60,000 mark is still far from the cryptocurrency's all-time record of over $73,000. Going forward, crypto traders are keeping an eye on the latest inflation data due out on Thursday. Consumer prices in America are projected to continue to decline in June. Economists expect inflation to rise 3.1 percent, down from May's 3.3 percent.
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Matrixport: longs in ETH futures rose to 3.1 million ETH from 2.7 million - traders expect spot ETH-ETF launch to be approved soon
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → The bulls are holding their ground. Target 1.29
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GBPUSD shows bullish outlook ahead of strong news publication. GBPUSD continues to strengthen on the overall fundamental backdrop
The market is reacting weakly to the resistance area as, against the backdrop of a relatively weak dollar buyers are taking initiative towards GBP. Strong news ahead. Powell speaks again today, tomorrow the UK GDP is published, as well as the US CPI. The news can both strengthen the growth and reverse it.
Technically, the currency pair looks quite bullish. The price consolidation above 1.28 will be a good point for the continuation of the rise to 1.29 and 1.30.
But, the structure will be broken when 1.2775 is broken, in this case we can expect a correction to 1.27 - 1.266.
Resistance levels: 1.28, 1.289
Support levels: 1.2775, 1.2708
Fundamentally and technically everything is positive, I continue to consider further strengthening under a number of conditions described above. The potential target is 1.29
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#GOLD
Emphasis on this area 👆
Example 1) If there is a rebound and a return to 2365, then the first scenario can be further considered.
Example 2) If we break the channel support, the price may spill down to 2325.
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At 14:00 GMT the head of FED - Powell is speaking.
There may be high volatility. It is also worth paying attention to his comments.
Inflows into spot BTC-ETFs sharply intensified, investors buy out the 'bottom' - BBG
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The fight for 2365. Can we get to 2400?
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GOLD is trading within an ascending channel, but traders are actively selling off all of Friday's growth. The key roll is played by the resistance 2365, at the moment bears are holding the market
The dollar stops falling amid expected comments from Powell, as well as CPI and PPI to be released on Thursday and Friday. The fundamental background is neutral at the moment, Against this background gold is getting under correction and testing the liquidity area of 2350.
Now all the focus is on 2365, relative to which a false breakout has been formed.
IF:
sellers will hold 2365 and will not let the price above this level, we should expect a decline to 2350, 2341 and further it is worth watching the situation, because in this case the price can reach 2325.
If the buyers continue to be active and can form a consolidation above 2365, it will open a channel, the upper boundary of which will be 2387 and we can go up to it.
💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Fear in the crowd is a bullish sign ↑ Flag and SFP
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BTC is experiencing times of high fear and negative sentiment among the crowd. From a psychological point of view, this could end in a bullish momentum. But there is always a but!
For now, big buyers are actively holding back a possible fall amid transfers of the previously hacked crypto exchange Mt.Gox to its debtors and BTC sell-offs by German authorities.
In April, the average cost of BTC mining among the largest public miners was $53,000, technically, the level of average cost of BTC mining plays the role of an intermediate bottom.
Judging by the growth of volumes and price entry into the area of the lower boundary of the "flag" pattern, buyers appear on the market and at the moment stop the price fall, forming a sideways range of 58500-53500. Accordingly, a breakdown of one of the boundaries may trigger an impulse to one side or the other, based on the technical nuances there is a probability that there will be an attempt to break the resistance.
Resistance levels: 58500, 64000
Support levels: 53500, 53000
Fundamentally, the environment is difficult due to Germany and Mt.Gox, but investors are waiting for the approval of ETH-ETF, which may bring back the bullish mood to the market (indirect impact on BTC).
Technically, the emphasis is on the range. A break of 58500 will give bullish momentum, a break of 53500 may allow the price to decline to the 50500-51000 risk zone
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#BTCUSD bitcoin prices were trading near a four-month low of $55,000 on Monday morning as crypto traders fled for cover ahead of an expected collapse.
The defunct exchange, which was the leading platform for trading digital assets in 2014, has returned to rectify the situation. Mt. Gox, a Tokyo-based cryptocurrency platform, collapsed 10 years ago and locked users' accounts. The platform was allegedly hacked and 950,000 bitcoins went missing.
Now an appointed trustee is trying to recover the damages. A total of 140,000 bitcoins have been recovered and are being prepared to be paid to users who have waited 10 years for this moment. Although the payouts will be made in BTC, analysts fear that many will cash out and lock in profits, and this could be the cause of liquidations and a possible drop in price.
Back in 2014, a single bitcoin was worth about $300. Some lucky early adopters who invested their money and got locked out will make huge profits.
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❗️ CPI ahead
If the data indicate an indirect weakening of inflation, it will increase the chances of a possible reduction in interest rates and a change in the Fed's hawkish stance.
In this case, the dollar may continue to decline, which is generally favorable for the forex and metals market.
But unpredictable data may shake the market.
In any case, high volatility is expected.
Let's follow the news!
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → 2387 is key resistance, but ahead of CPI...
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GOLD continues to maintain a bullish market structure, gradually pushing up to strong resistance with a breakout target. The US dollar is declining amid dovish US Fed assumptions....
All eyes remain on the US CPI report
Powell's caution on weakening labor market conditions suggested that a September rate cut is likely just around the corner, which once again brought down the US dollar along with US Treasury yields.
Softer US annual CPI data or a surprise decline in monthly inflation could confirm the September Fed rate cut and increase the chances of another rate cut in December. And vice versa...
Technically, buyers are pushing up to 2387. A break of resistance will open the way to 2400-2437. But, there could be a correction before that
Resistance levels: 2387
Support levels: 2378, 2370
Favorable news can strengthen the movement, in which case the resistance breakout is not to be missed. But, unexpected data may shake the market, the dollar may continue its strengthening phase and in this case gold will head towards 2350.
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Posted an idea for gold yesterday, target achieved.
Buyers held the 2350 area and further headed upwards.
As part of the news days when the Fed head speaks, this is a very good move
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#EURUSD remained largely unchanged early Wednesday morning, with traders still digesting Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell's speech. Some of his remarks were a positive surprise for the markets, but not for the US Dollar.
Powell told Congress that the U.S. has made progress in fighting stubborn inflation, but Fed officials need "more good data" before moving to lower interest rates. In addition, the central bank chief said the labor force has "cooled considerably," and he warned that high rates could derail the economy and send it into a downward spiral of unemployment. On the other hand, early rate cuts have the potential to reignite inflation.
Overall, the US dollar was the loser yesterday as investors welcomed Powell's comments on rate cuts and rushed into risk assets. One currency pair remained resilient on the way to higher ground. Thursday will see the release of inflation data for June - expect increased volatility and trading opportunities.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The fight for 2365. Can we get to 2400?
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GOLD is testing 2350, gathering liquidity below this zone. Bulls are actively holding the defense above the key area and the overall picture looks promising.... BUT!
Powell's speech continues today ahead of CPI and PPI. Things are heating up, the slightest hint of an unpredictable outcome could shake the market.
Technically, gold is showing bullish dynamics after the bulls did not let the price go beyond 2350. The price is consolidating above the key level of 2365 and testing the area of interest and liquidity of 2375-2380. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this area may further strengthen the price, as the promising target, at the moment, is 2387 - 23400.
Resistance levelsGOLD → An intermediate bottom of 2350 is forming. What's next?: 2373, 2380
Support levels: 2365, 2355, 2350
A bounce to the downside before further growth is possible, but price consolidation above the key zones could form an interim bottom for the bulls. All emphasis on Powell's comments.....
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Powell:
- Fed has made significant progress in bringing inflation down to target 2%, latest monthly readings show modest further progress
- Fed needs more favorable inflation data to cut rates
- rate hike unlikely to be the next step
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#USDJPY broke above ¥161 as forex traders rushed back to the dollar, strengthening its position across the currency band.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell is scheduled to address Congress within two days. His comments will be closely watched by traders around the world. Markets are expecting the central bank chief to hint at the timing of the Fed's rate cuts, more specifically, when the first rate cut will occur and whether there will be only one this year. Recent inflation and jobs data have raised investors' hopes.
Signs of weakness in employers' hiring efforts indicated that the economy may be losing momentum. That's one thing the Fed needs to consider. Another is whether inflation is falling. The inflation target for policymakers is 2%, and they would like to see another report of rising prices to bolster the case for a rate cut. Nevertheless, today's speech will bring a lot of volatility - get your trades ready!
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Can BTC recover to 70K?
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