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#GOLD
NFP and Fed Monetary Policy Report, published on Friday, may give hints on how the Federal Reserve will change the interest rate. And that could increase volatility in gold.

Gold XAUUSD started July trading in a subdued manner, moving sideways around $2,340. Analysts expect 189,000 people to enter the labor market in June. The reading will be important for the trajectory of the economy as it will help guide the Fed's moves to lower interest rates. Data released at or below expectations will increase the likelihood of lower borrowing costs. Conversely, a hot reading will push the prospect of lower rates further away.

Gold is a non-yielding asset, meaning it does not generate passive income, unlike the U.S. dollar, which is tied to the level of interest rates. When rates fall (or are forecast to fall), gold's attractiveness as an investment increases, as opportunity cost is reduced in a low rate environment. As such, increased volatility should be expected this Friday.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → From rally to consolidation. Rest before NFP...
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GOLD strengthens on the back of Powell's comments. Light positive notes lead to DXY sell-off and a small rally of XAU to 2364. Today is a day off in the US and tomorrow is NFP.....

It's a day off in the US and there is no liquidity. There may be high volatility during trading, but the movements may be weak. Locally, the price is testing resistance and liquidity area. Within a strong distribution there are not many chances to break through the mentioned area. Most likely the formation of a correction, and local bearish patterns appear on the chart, which may lead to a correction in order to gather energy before tomorrow's NFP.

Resistance levels: 2364, 2375
Support levels: 2353, 2341


Technically, a false breakout after distribution is forming. There is no potential to go up now. High probability of correction or consolidation.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Important! In 20 minutes it is published:

🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes
18:00 GMT

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#AUDUSD
A breakthrough is forming.
Traders felt support from the fundamental component.
Pattern realization and price transition to the distribution phase
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By the way, friends, there is a contest with a prize fund of $2000 ⚡️ coming up soon 🙂

Stay tuned, I'll post more information soon 😏

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R. Linda Trading

#EURCAD Close now with+59pips in profit!😈

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R. Linda Trading

Primary focus on ADP, Initial Jobless Claims
as well as the FOMC meeting

Trade carefully, because the news is not released at once, but in a cascade. Any unexpected nuance can give unpredictable impulse

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R. Linda Trading

The market maker is driving the price deep enough.
The risk zone is the area of 0.7-0.79 fibo and also the trend line.

As one of the variants of events development:
A trap from the market maker before the news. If the price does not pass through the resistance area, accordingly, the market will go into the liquidation phase.
In this case, a false breakdown of 2341 and price consolidation below this zone may lead us to 2328 (area of interest due to the volume profile).
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Oh, what a day today is going to be.....
The news will be published in a cascade 15-30-60 minutes apart.
Be careful 😉

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#GBPUSD
sellers do not let the price go beyond the resistance at 1.27. A clear touch and confirmation of the resistance zone.

A retest of the key support is being formed. It is worth paying attention to 1.26212. Consolidation of the price below this area will send the price to 1.247
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#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸

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#TON
Price breaks resistance
Bulls actively kept the coin from a possible fall on the background of how bitcoin twitched.
Buyers continue to increase the potential.
A price consolidation above 8.0 will be a good start for a rally to 10.0
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#TONUSDT
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → 2319 keeps the market from falling, but for how long?
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GOLD is still consolidating within the local range of 2340 - 2320, which is formed after breaking a strong trend line support. The dollar index is still heading northward

Gold is still unable to break downside resistance, as well as forming price consolidation below previously broken support. The key risk zone on which the bulls put so much is 2319-2320. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this line may trigger a rally to 2290-2275.
All eyes are on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech today at 13:30 GMT
The recent rise in gold prices can be attributed to lower US Treasury yields as traders resort to profit taking ahead of important US events. ISM, FOMC, NFP are ahead, but the fundamental background for gold is still weak and buyers do not believe in upward movement yet.

Resistance levels: 2332, 2341
Support levels: 2319, 2306, 2297


Technically, a bearish pattern is developing on the senior timeframe, unless Powell says something unpredictable today, the general background will remain the same, which will be favorable for further price decline to these areas.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Friends, I have an idea to share with you a little chips in technical analysis (not many people will share such information, but I am interested), namely:
How to realize that there will be exactly a rebound or a false breakout or a breakdown of a zone or a level

But, will you be interested in it?)

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R. Linda Trading

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#ETH
James Seyffart:

Issuers are updating S-1 forms for spot Ethereum ETFs - changes to filings are minimal. I see no reason why Ethereum ETFs won't be ready to launch within a couple weeks.


QCP Capital:
Despite the sell-off in crypto, there is optimism in the options markets. Special interest is seen in calls on ETH with expiry in September and December 2024

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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → The bulls are coming back. Trend change. Target 1.1———————————————
EURUSD is breaking the downtrend pattern on a smooth change of fundamental background. Traders are selling off the dollar, which is favorable for the euro

A local bullish pattern is forming on D1 on the background of the global downtrend. Strong fundamental background is favorable for the strengthening of the currency pair.
On H4, the price is correcting after updating the local maximum and consolidates above the level formed by the gap. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this area. The key focus is on the breakout of the 1.0816 zone. This will open the way to the zones of interest: liquidity and imbalance. Today is a day off in the US, the fundamentals are still in place, trading may be calm.

Resistance levels: 1.0816, 1.0852, 1.0916
Support levels: 1.078, 1.073


I expect the trend to continue, as traders are showing interest in the market. Local ATH may become a potential target for MM
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸

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#XAUUSD
(The chart shows the most likely scenario from a technical and fundamental point of view)

Gold, after the market character change, forms an impulse and reaches the zone of interest. A false breakdown and liquidity capture is formed.
At the moment, after the false breakdown, there is a high probability of forming a counter-trend correction to gather energy.
It is possible to retest the support or 0.5 fibo before the subsequent growth.

Tomorrow is a holiday in the US market and volatility may be low, but further the market will wait for NFP
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The First Take-Profit has been reached🎯💰: +51pips

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US -ADP Nonfarm Employment (June) = 150k (expected 163k / earlier 152k)

US - Initial Jobless Claims = 238k (expected 234k / earlier 234k)

U.S. - Trade Balance (May) = -$75.1 bln (expected -$76.3 bln / earlier -$74.5 bln)

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R. Linda Trading

By the way, there Powell seems to have started to change his mood against the current hardline stance. (based on the latest data).
What's interesting to people is not so much the important actual data, but the conversations, opinions and sentiments of certain important people.

We will hear about the inflation rate cut, which is an important nuance that all markets are concerned about at the moment, sooner than we will hear about the interest rate cut, so the reaction will be sooner as well.

That is why we are now focusing on inflation-related news. As soon as the change of character becomes more or less obvious, the market will come alive 😏

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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → A change in mood amidst the comments and news
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GOLD is testing the previously broken channel boundary. The market maker is driving the price into the liquidity area before the strong news. Powell corrected the direction a bit within yesterday's speech

The chance of a September interest rate cut rises after Fed Chair Powell acknowledged progress on disinflation. Jeremy reverses course slightly to dovish. Markets are awaiting the release of the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting (due later today) to get more information on the Fed's next steps. The regulator needs more data before it can start cutting rates.
All eyes now turn to ADP's US employment change report after JOLTS showed a rise in job openings on Tuesday.
The next important event for the gold price remains the minutes of the June 11-12 Federal Reserve meeting, which could shed light on the central bank's outlook on rates and inflation, having a significant impact on the value of the U.S. dollar and the gold price.

Resistance levels: 2346, 2352, 2363
Support levels: 2341, 2328, 2319


Technically, we have buyers appearing on the local change of fundamental background. The bulls are winning within the consolidation. There is a possibility of strengthening, but we should pay attention to the news....
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡Ideas For AUDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 AUDUSD → Price squeezes in front of resistance. A breakout?
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AUDUSD is forming a strong consolidation on the chart as the price is squeezing to the resistance at 0.67. On the background of weakening DXY, buyers have chances to break the area.

There is news ahead and at the moment traders are preparing to break resistance. Favorable news may contribute to the breakout of the strong limit zone and the formation of a distribution towards 0.684. Technically, the chances are high (strong bullish pattern)
Traders are waiting for: ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM, FOMC. Quite a busy news day, against which high volatility is expected. After Powell's words yesterday, the situation is neutral, but the dollar is going into correction. Everyone is waiting for the data on the labor market, on which the further situation will depend.

Resistance levels: 0.67
Support levels: 0.665, 0.662, 0.6586

Technically, the situation is bullish, the emphasis is towards the resistance breakout. Further everything will depend on the fundamental background. A favorable background for AUD will increase purchases, but a negative background may cause a correction.
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#AUDUSD 🇦🇺
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#Ethereum #ETH

ETF-Store president predicts that the launch of spot ETH-ETFs will be the second most successful debut in the history of all ETF launches (after the launch of spot BTC-ETFs)

Gemini Exchange forecasts inflows of $5 bln into spot ETH-ETFs in the first 6 months after launch

Long-term holders continue to accumulate ETH : 78% of the total ETH supply now belongs to them.
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Ahead of the news at 13:30 GMT

Fed Chair Powell Speaks
It is worth paying attention to his comments. The information may reflect the current environment and some of the Fed Chair's stance before strong news.

There may be increased volatility in the market!
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#BTCUSD has had a solid start to the second half of trading, with one coin selling for around $63,000. The token completed a strong first half of the year, up 42% since its first trade in January.

In early January, the Securities and Exchange Commission approved 11 investment funds that hold real bitcoin. They now trade side-by-side with stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities. These ETFs can be purchased through the largest and most popular management companies such as BlackRock, Fidelity and others, lowering the barrier to entry into the cryptocurrency space.

Technically, the potential is quite interesting, with price breaking local correction resistance, which opens new doors. If the bulls hold this potential, the price could strengthen to 67-69K
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💡 Ideas For ADAUSDT 🪙
📈 ADAUSDT → Change of character, are the bulls coming back? ↑ 0.77
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ADA forms a change of market character, and also breaks the resistance of the wedge. Regarding the reversal zone on W1 a false breakout is formed. The coin may move into the realization phase.

The token is lagging behind the overall capitalization and market movement, still in the consolidation phase, the boundaries of which are 0.2392 (0.4) - 0.777. In the distribution phase, ADA has chances to recover. At the moment we should consider trading inside the range and after confirmation of the formation of an intermediate bottom above 0.4 (consolidation above this zone) the market will define a new range for itself. 0.4 - 0.77. The potential in this case will be the corridor with the width of 93%.
Technically, if the bulls hold the price above 0.4, it will be a good signal for the price distribution to 0.52, further to 0.678.

Support levels: 3775, 0.400
Resistance levels: 0.42, 0.522

The bearish wedge is a strong technical pattern, capable of turning the market, but in order to start the realization, the bulls need to take the defense above the key zone, in our case it is 0.400.
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#ADAUSDT 🪙
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#USDJPY
In the first trades of July, USDJPY continued its advance to higher levels. Vanguard, a large traditional asset manager, predicted Monday that the Japanese yen could fall to 170 yen per dollar if the Bank of Japan fails to support the value of its currency.
The Japanese central bank will meet at the end of the month and its decision will be key in outlining the yen's future course of action.

Closer to the evening, rumors emerged that Japanese officials may decide to intervene in the currency markets at any moment. In an attempt to support the yen, Japan's finance ministry may begin large-scale yen purchases, the consequences of which are still unknown. The last time Japan relied on heavy speculation was in April, with $60 billion dollars invested in long yen positions. Shortly afterward, the pair recovered and went up.
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