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US -ADP Nonfarm Employment (June) = 150k (expected 163k / earlier 152k)
US - Initial Jobless Claims = 238k (expected 234k / earlier 234k)
U.S. - Trade Balance (May) = -$75.1 bln (expected -$76.3 bln / earlier -$74.5 bln)
By the way, there Powell seems to have started to change his mood against the current hardline stance. (based on the latest data).
What's interesting to people is not so much the important actual data, but the conversations, opinions and sentiments of certain important people.
We will hear about the inflation rate cut, which is an important nuance that all markets are concerned about at the moment, sooner than we will hear about the interest rate cut, so the reaction will be sooner as well.
That is why we are now focusing on inflation-related news. As soon as the change of character becomes more or less obvious, the market will come alive 😏
👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → A change in mood amidst the comments and news
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GOLD is testing the previously broken channel boundary. The market maker is driving the price into the liquidity area before the strong news. Powell corrected the direction a bit within yesterday's speech
The chance of a September interest rate cut rises after Fed Chair Powell acknowledged progress on disinflation. Jeremy reverses course slightly to dovish. Markets are awaiting the release of the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting (due later today) to get more information on the Fed's next steps. The regulator needs more data before it can start cutting rates.
All eyes now turn to ADP's US employment change report after JOLTS showed a rise in job openings on Tuesday.
The next important event for the gold price remains the minutes of the June 11-12 Federal Reserve meeting, which could shed light on the central bank's outlook on rates and inflation, having a significant impact on the value of the U.S. dollar and the gold price.
Resistance levels: 2346, 2352, 2363
Support levels: 2341, 2328, 2319
Technically, we have buyers appearing on the local change of fundamental background. The bulls are winning within the consolidation. There is a possibility of strengthening, but we should pay attention to the news....
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡Ideas For AUDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 AUDUSD → Price squeezes in front of resistance. A breakout?
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AUDUSD is forming a strong consolidation on the chart as the price is squeezing to the resistance at 0.67. On the background of weakening DXY, buyers have chances to break the area.
There is news ahead and at the moment traders are preparing to break resistance. Favorable news may contribute to the breakout of the strong limit zone and the formation of a distribution towards 0.684. Technically, the chances are high (strong bullish pattern)
Traders are waiting for: ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM, FOMC. Quite a busy news day, against which high volatility is expected. After Powell's words yesterday, the situation is neutral, but the dollar is going into correction. Everyone is waiting for the data on the labor market, on which the further situation will depend.
Resistance levels: 0.67
Support levels: 0.665, 0.662, 0.6586
Technically, the situation is bullish, the emphasis is towards the resistance breakout. Further everything will depend on the fundamental background. A favorable background for AUD will increase purchases, but a negative background may cause a correction.
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#AUDUSD 🇦🇺
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#Ethereum #ETH
ETF-Store president predicts that the launch of spot ETH-ETFs will be the second most successful debut in the history of all ETF launches (after the launch of spot BTC-ETFs)
Gemini Exchange forecasts inflows of $5 bln into spot ETH-ETFs in the first 6 months after launch
Long-term holders continue to accumulate ETH : 78% of the total ETH supply now belongs to them.
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Ahead of the news at 13:30 GMT
Fed Chair Powell Speaks
It is worth paying attention to his comments. The information may reflect the current environment and some of the Fed Chair's stance before strong news.
There may be increased volatility in the market!
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#BTCUSD has had a solid start to the second half of trading, with one coin selling for around $63,000. The token completed a strong first half of the year, up 42% since its first trade in January.
In early January, the Securities and Exchange Commission approved 11 investment funds that hold real bitcoin. They now trade side-by-side with stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities. These ETFs can be purchased through the largest and most popular management companies such as BlackRock, Fidelity and others, lowering the barrier to entry into the cryptocurrency space.
Technically, the potential is quite interesting, with price breaking local correction resistance, which opens new doors. If the bulls hold this potential, the price could strengthen to 67-69K
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💡 Ideas For ADAUSDT 🪙
📈 ADAUSDT → Change of character, are the bulls coming back? ↑ 0.77
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ADA forms a change of market character, and also breaks the resistance of the wedge. Regarding the reversal zone on W1 a false breakout is formed. The coin may move into the realization phase.
The token is lagging behind the overall capitalization and market movement, still in the consolidation phase, the boundaries of which are 0.2392 (0.4) - 0.777. In the distribution phase, ADA has chances to recover. At the moment we should consider trading inside the range and after confirmation of the formation of an intermediate bottom above 0.4 (consolidation above this zone) the market will define a new range for itself. 0.4 - 0.77. The potential in this case will be the corridor with the width of 93%.
Technically, if the bulls hold the price above 0.4, it will be a good signal for the price distribution to 0.52, further to 0.678.
Support levels: 3775, 0.400
Resistance levels: 0.42, 0.522
The bearish wedge is a strong technical pattern, capable of turning the market, but in order to start the realization, the bulls need to take the defense above the key zone, in our case it is 0.400.
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#ADAUSDT 🪙
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#USDJPY
In the first trades of July, USDJPY continued its advance to higher levels. Vanguard, a large traditional asset manager, predicted Monday that the Japanese yen could fall to 170 yen per dollar if the Bank of Japan fails to support the value of its currency.
The Japanese central bank will meet at the end of the month and its decision will be key in outlining the yen's future course of action.
Closer to the evening, rumors emerged that Japanese officials may decide to intervene in the currency markets at any moment. In an attempt to support the yen, Japan's finance ministry may begin large-scale yen purchases, the consequences of which are still unknown. The last time Japan relied on heavy speculation was in April, with $60 billion dollars invested in long yen positions. Shortly afterward, the pair recovered and went up.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Countertrend correction or consolidation before a fall ↓
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GOLD has been updating the local minimum since the opening of the session and confirms the bearish nature of the market. The price is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity before a possible decline
Today the focus is on the news: S&P PMI, ISM. Traders are expecting relatively warm data, but, at the moment, everything revolves around the perception of inflation news regarding the inflation itself in the Fed's further view on monetary policy. High volatility is possible.
Technically, on D1 gold is trading in bearish territory and at the moment, after updating the local low, the price is heading towards the liquidity zone, from which the sell-offs may increase. There is a possibility that before further decline the price may go deeper, for example, to test the imbalance area, as well as the previously broken channel boundary (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 2332, 2341, 2346
Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2306
It is possible that the situation may change, as traders are overreacting to inflation-related news, but at the moment, on the high timeframe is formed exclusively bearish setup on the negative fundamental background.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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By the way, friends, there is a contest with a prize fund of $2000 ⚡️ coming up soon 🙂
Stay tuned, I'll post more information soon 😏
Primary focus on ADP, Initial Jobless Claims
as well as the FOMC meeting
Trade carefully, because the news is not released at once, but in a cascade. Any unexpected nuance can give unpredictable impulse
The market maker is driving the price deep enough.
The risk zone is the area of 0.7-0.79 fibo and also the trend line.
As one of the variants of events development:
A trap from the market maker before the news. If the price does not pass through the resistance area, accordingly, the market will go into the liquidation phase.
In this case, a false breakdown of 2341 and price consolidation below this zone may lead us to 2328 (area of interest due to the volume profile).
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Oh, what a day today is going to be.....
The news will be published in a cascade 15-30-60 minutes apart.
Be careful 😉
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#GBPUSD
sellers do not let the price go beyond the resistance at 1.27. A clear touch and confirmation of the resistance zone.
A retest of the key support is being formed. It is worth paying attention to 1.26212. Consolidation of the price below this area will send the price to 1.247
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#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸
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#TON
Price breaks resistance
Bulls actively kept the coin from a possible fall on the background of how bitcoin twitched.
Buyers continue to increase the potential.
A price consolidation above 8.0 will be a good start for a rally to 10.0
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#TONUSDT ✅
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → 2319 keeps the market from falling, but for how long?
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GOLD is still consolidating within the local range of 2340 - 2320, which is formed after breaking a strong trend line support. The dollar index is still heading northward
Gold is still unable to break downside resistance, as well as forming price consolidation below previously broken support. The key risk zone on which the bulls put so much is 2319-2320. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this line may trigger a rally to 2290-2275.
All eyes are on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech today at 13:30 GMT
The recent rise in gold prices can be attributed to lower US Treasury yields as traders resort to profit taking ahead of important US events. ISM, FOMC, NFP are ahead, but the fundamental background for gold is still weak and buyers do not believe in upward movement yet.
Resistance levels: 2332, 2341
Support levels: 2319, 2306, 2297
Technically, a bearish pattern is developing on the senior timeframe, unless Powell says something unpredictable today, the general background will remain the same, which will be favorable for further price decline to these areas.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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#EURUSD opens with a GAP. The reason is the victory of the far-right party Marine Le Pen in the French elections. Fresh news looming on the horizon is the US employment week and traders are keeping on the edge of their seats.
Friday's non-farm payrolls report will show whether the US economy cooled in June. May's 272,000 figure offered little comfort to investors who had hoped a Fed interest rate cut was just around the corner. Any deviation could send markets into increased volatility.
A little background - The US dollar dominated the currency market in the first half of the year. The dollar's strength pushed the Japanese yen beyond the 161v mark for the first time since 1986 and further complicated Japan's response. Against British sterling, the US dollar ended the last six months with a small gain of 0.8%. Against the euro, the buck gained 3.3% over the year.
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💱 Ideas For USDCHF 🇺🇸🇨🇭
📈 USDCHF → A retest of trend resistance. Probable rebound
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USDCHF strengthened as the Swiss franc went into correction due to the actions of the central bank, which is trying to protect the currency from excessive strengthening.
Technically, the dollar is in the phase of correction, which may stop in the near future and the index may go back to the strengthening phase, but against this background the Swiss franc growth looks stronger, as this currency is considered as a hedge asset, which just in the crisis times was used by investors.
Technically, as long as the structure of the downtrend is not broken and a false break of resistance is formed, I would consider a bounce from the upper boundary of the channel to the zone of interest at 0.8885.
Resistance levels: 0.9010, 0.9050
Support levels: 0.892, 0.885
Bears can hold the resistance of the downtrend. The fundamental backdrop is still the same and in general may be maintained for some time, which may allow us to catch a downward movement to the mentioned target
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#USDCHF 🇺🇸🇨🇭
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