👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The mood is shifting. Resistance is broken...
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GOLD breaks through downside range resistance and consolidates in bullish territory, opening up potential at 2365-2387
Signs that the US labor and housing markets are cooling keep hopes for a September Fed rate cut alive, with an ECB rate cut helping to keep the gold price afloat. Another important nuance that makes investors wary: A meeting between the Russian President and the North Korean leader earlier this week, which confirms the tensions in geopolitics.
For now, all eyes are on the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services in the U.S. and the Fed Monetary Policy Report, which may shed more light on the economic outlook
There is still pressure on the market, but the price movement is detached from the dollar (correlation is decreasing), which indicates that the mood towards the metal is changing.
Resistance levels: 2365, 2387
Support levels: 2354, 2340
Technically, traders may try to break the resistance of 2365, if it succeeds, and the probability is high enough, we can go to 2387, then we need to watch the price reaction to the area. In case of false breakdown there is a probability to return to the support.
It is also worth taking into account the broken resistance that was not tested earlier
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#XAUUSD 👑
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#USDJPY
The yen started to actively weaken against the dollar again
Recently, the number of verbal interventions by the authorities has significantly decreased
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I love these pre-breakdown setups with perfect realization)))
#EURCHF 🇪🇺🇨🇭
Earlier I published a breakout idea.
Objective: break 0.9677 and fall to 0.956, then to 0.950.
Result: Both targets were reached. +120 pips ⚡️ and +175 pips! ⚡️
What is the point of breakout trades? Their potential is great, from 100 pips to 500-1000 (for medium-term trades). It is important to correctly interpret the market movement and see the key areas that can break, and the formation of the momentum depends only on those who began to exit positions (triggers stop loss) or enter in the direction of the breakdown (strengthens the movement)
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❗️ News at 12:30 GMT
🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims
Expectation: 235K Previously 242K
What is happening with gold from a technical point of view:
The market is in a negative and bearish phase. Lately this can be traced back to many places and the reasons are: geopolitical fundamentals, fundamental.
The expensive dollar is extremely negative for the markets, people are moving into riskier (stocks) or safer assets (buying currencies).
The big player collects liquids, at the expense of buyers who show up after a big drop. Once the price stops, the big player forms a consolidation or range and keeps the price inside until it accumulates the right volume. At the end, in order to collect as much as possible, it forms a shake up, namely, showing ostensibly that it went up, but immediately turns around and eliminates naive market participants.
The situation as a whole has a chance to repeat (liquidation and bearish rally), provided the fundamental background remains the same (news today) and the price consolidates below 2332-2325, with a high degree of probability, in such circumstances, the price may go to 2300-2275
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETHEREUM → Rising to 4000? Positive fundamental background...
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ETH may end the correction phase and move into the distribution phase, the target could be 4000-4800. Fundamentally, ethereum is receiving positive signals from regulators
The price is breaking the resistance of the local correction pattern. The coin is trying to go beyond the consolidation range (breaking the bearish wedge resistance). A break of the local high will be a confirmation that the correction is over and the market is ready to move on.
Earlier ETH-ETF was approved, the next stage is confirmation of S-1 form (admission to trading), SEC is actively working with issuers, trading may start this summer.
Also, a positive sign of a strong market is the end of the SEC's judicial investigation against ConsenSys (Ethereum developer). Volumes are rising and like the price, traders are taking this fact positively.
Resistance levels: 3650, 3730
Support levels: 3585, 3480, 3400
The price consolidation above 3650-3730 will confirm the end of the correction. Bulls in this case can take the situation into their own hands after a long accumulation, the target of which may be a test of high, as well as ath.
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#BTCUSD and the cryptocurrency market have been falling over the past few days, with the price of the token dropping about 5% to $64,000 apiece. This sharp drop proved to be short-lived, at least for the time being, as cryptocurrency enthusiasts supported the trading and managed to push the figure up to $65,000. Nevertheless, the lack of any interesting news is preventing cryptocurrency enthusiasts from appreciating the appeal of the new asset class.
Bitcoin hit a record high of $74,000 in mid-March and has since pulled back more than 13% to current market prices. Then the heightened excitement around the first bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund sparked a powerful rally, and now markets may be holding their breath in anticipation of another major release in the near future - eight Ethereum spot exchange-traded funds are on the verge of launching
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BTC rate is approaching the aggregate breakeven level of short-term holders ($65,000 +-). This level may become support, and if it is broken, we can expect a correction by 8-12% - CryptoQuant data
The current cycle in BTC is within the previous cycles after the halving. Cycle completion and BTC top can be expected between Dec 2024 and Oct 2025
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💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 NZDUSD → Local trend change? Moving down ↓ ?
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NZDUSD breaks trend support amid a strong dollar. The currency pair could move to the downside if the bears hold the resistance area on their count
On the daily timeframe, the currency pair is inside the sideways channel, but at the same time breaks the ascending support line. Thus, the market is starting to look towards 0.6084 support as an area of interest.
The US market has a day off today, so the volatility may be low, but nevertheless we have prerequisites for the beginning of the downward movement. If the bears keep the price below 0.6150-0.6140, the market may enter the phase of downward movement and head towards such targets as: 0.6083, 0.6000.
Resistance levels: 0.6140, 0.6170, 0.6215
Support levels: 0.6083, 0.6000
At the moment the market is struggling for the area of 0.6140. Consolidation below the level or the beginning of the impulse to the support will confirm that the bears are holding the market, then we will have to wait for the achievement of the goals.
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#BITCOIN 🪙
Richard Teng (CEO of Binance) is confident - "Bitcoin will surpass the $80,000 mark by the end of this year"
"Improving macroeconomic conditions in 2025 will be a strong growth driver for crypto markets."
over the past 24 hours, whales have significantly ramped up their BTC purchases - CryptoQuant data
Bitcoin has been in a lull lately. There is no particularly important news, and the big player continues to gather liquidity between the boundaries of the range 60K - 71.5K
Yesterday 64500 was tested and a false breakout was formed. Bulls need to work hard to consolidate above this zone. Keep watching. Price may test deeper support zones before rising further
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🇺🇸 News ahead (12:30 GMT)
Markets are under pressure as the latest FED comments are having a fairly lasting impact on the markets (strange that it's lasted this long...)
Expensive dollar negatively affects almost all markets.
News can both temporarily i.e. intraday (this is not prioritized data) change direction or strengthen medium term.
Core retail sales are expected to be cold. Data above 0.2% will support the dollar and vice versa.
Retail Sales Expected to be relatively warm but the emphasis is on actual data. (Data above 0.3% will support the dollar and vice versa...)
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💡 Ideas For UNFIUSDT 🪙
📈 UNFI → Resistance Retest. Ready for a breakthrough
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UNFI is showing positive dynamics amid the red cryptocurrency market. The coin is approaching strong resistance and we have the potential to catch a breakout with subsequent growth
On the weekly timeframe, the coin is still in consolidation (range 16.0 - 2.5). But, against the background of the general neutral trend we have a downward resistance, which is once again being retested. A pre-breakout consolidation is formed against the wedge resistance, due to which an attempt to break the line and further strengthening can be formed. An initial test of resistance may lead to a small bounce, but a quick retest will increase the chances of a breakout.
Support levels: 3.281
Resistance levels: 5.716
I expect the formation of a local consolidation with a gradual push to the resistance of the wedge and further breakout.
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💡Ideas For GBPCAD 🇬🇧🇨🇦
📈 GBPCAD → Trend Change. The fall may continue to 1.710
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GBPCAD breaks the uptrend, a bearish rally is forming and the price is testing local support. A break of the liquidity area will renew the sell-off against a weaker GBP and a rising CAD
Pound sterling is moving from accumulation to realization and downward distribution on the background of expectations that the UK central bank will start an earlier interest rate cut relative to the US Fed. The Canadian, on the contrary, is growing on the background of monetary policy tightening in the country.
The resistance at 1.7336 plays a key role for the currency pair at the moment. A false breakdown (touching the SMA) is possible before the subsequent price drop, a breakdown of 1.7297 will strengthen the sell-off.
Resistance levels: 1.7336, 1.7387, 1.7415.
Support levels: 1.7297, 1.7228
I expect consolidation in the local range, which may turn into a phase of further decline. Key liquidity zones are 1.7228 - 1.7085.
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#USDJPY is perfectly realizing the idea. The potential is quite big and if it fixes above 158.0 and breaks 158.5, further we can wait for 160-162.
Earlier I published a buy idea. We reached two targets: +140 pips ⚡️ and +250 pips⚡️
A perfect entry point with minimal risk ;)
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#GBPUSD
Britain will be the first of the major economies to see inflation return to the 2% target - BBG
Central Bank of England to leave rate unchanged at June 20 meeting despite inflation already hitting target 2% - CNBC
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Shake up and bounce from MA-200 (D1)
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GOLD is testing range and trend resistance, forming a false break of 2340 and touching MA-200 (D1). In the meantime, the dollar is strengthening and doesn't look like it's ready to give up....
Traders are expecting Initial Jobless Claims to be relatively lukewarm towards the US market. If the figure is lower than expected, it will provide additional support to the market, which would be a negative scenario for the metal price.
Technically, the price is in a downtrend. In relation to the range of 2340-2300 a false resistance breakout is formed (liquidity capture). The strong movement is similar to a shakeout in nature. A retest is possible before a further fall to the lower liquidity zone. There is still no strong buyer on the market.
Resistance levels: 2340, 2358
Support levels: 2332, 2325, 2315
With a retest target, the price may return to 2340, but there is no reason for gold to break the resistance yet. Consolidation below 2332 will send the price to 2315. BUT, provided the news is negative for the dollar, gold could test the trend resistance with a breakout target.
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#GBPUSD rose by a modest 0.1% after the UK released its latest economic report. Inflation for May, according to the Office for National Statistics, fell to the Bank of England's target of 2.0%. Fortunately, there were no surprises, as this figure was expected by analysts.
The easing of inflationary pressures is welcome news for markets, consumers and the UK central bank. May's 2.0% rate, which is ideal for central banks around the world, has not been seen since 2021 and follows April's moderate 2.3% growth rate.
Food prices, which continued to fall last month, were one of the main contributors to lower inflation. Core inflation, however, remained elevated at 3.5% versus 3.9% in April. This indicator measures the prices of goods excluding the most volatile ones such as alcohol, energy and food
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Bears are holding 2332. Possible shake up...
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GOLD rises on Tuesday and Wednesday amid unexpectedly weak news in the US market, but at the same time the dollar does not tend to fall. Today is a day off in the US and gold is creeping up towards resistance
The price is resting in the strong resistance area of 2332, the limit resistance level formed by the sellers does not let the price go beyond it. Consequently, a shake up and subsequent false breakout may occur relative to the level, which may lead to a strong fall and liquidation, as there is no strong buyer in the gold market and the fundamental background is weak. The market is within the descending channel, but in the phase of consolidation, which sooner or later will move into the realization (distribution) phase. Before that a retest of the trend resistance is possible (capture of additional liquidity)
Resistance levels: 2332, 2340, 2356
Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2305
The overall situation is that we may see another bearish rally. There are no reasons to break the trend resistance at the moment. The most likely scenario is a false breakout under current circumstances.
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ConsenSys (Ethereum developer) reported that the SEC has notified them that it has terminated its investigation into Ethereum
Consensys also clarified that the decision followed a letter they sent on June 7 asking the SEC to confirm that the May approvals of spot ETH ETFs, which were based on ETH being a commodity, meant the agency would close the investigation
PS: This is a very good sign...
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A bit about advisors and indicators:
Market analysis should be multi-layered. You can't just rely on one indicator, price action, or fundamental indicator alone.
All auxiliary types of analysis have their advantages and disadvantages, but none of them alone will cover the entire market.
For me, since I originally started this way, it is enough to look at a clean chart 😎. But, for high accuracy, I use indicators as a secondary aid.
I advise you to use price action as a priority analysis, and a good indicator or an Expert Advisor as a secondary tool, but you should make decisions about opening trades yourself.
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The dollar index rose about 0.2% on Tuesday after a disappointing weekly session opening.
Currency markets are awaiting the release of the latest data from the US. Retail sales data for May, an indicator of how much the mighty consumer has spent, is expected to be on par with April's 0.2% annualized increase. If so, the data will pave the way for a long-awaited interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
The big picture is that the U.S. currency has been gaining ground over the past few days after the Fed left rates unchanged during last week's policymakers' meeting. Moreover, they reported only one possible reduction in borrowing costs this year and defeated the market's hopes for quick moves in interest rates. On a positive note, inflation fell to 3.3% in May, indicating that price pressures are easing
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Support retest within the triangle before the news...
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GOLD continues to be under strong pressure from sellers on the back of a strong dollar. The market failed to overcome the 2325 area and is heading for a support retest
Ahead of the news (Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales), increased volatility is expected. Traders are expecting neutral-bullish data against the US market. If the figures are higher than expected, gold may head lower. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, there is no strong buyer in the market yet, the rising dollar does not allow traders to take premature steps.
The focus is on consolidation boundaries, a breakout of one or another boundary or level may trigger strong sell-offs (or buys).
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2305, 2295, 2287
The chart and fundamental background speaks for itself. The news may have a temporary bullish impact on the market, but I don't think it can turn the market around under the current circumstances. The overall bearish background for gold is likely to continue this time around.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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The dollar is breaking the resistance that has kept the currency within a sideways movement for the past two years.
A rising dollar (stronger dollar) is a negative scenario for the whole market
Regulators continue to actively support their national currency (US) amidst their inability to cope with high inflation.
Accordingly, forex, metals, crypto and other markets may continue their negative or flat state.
Today's news (Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales) which can generally increase volatility in the market, but are not able to change the overall direction of the dollar index.
(Weaker data could weaken the dollar).
(Stronger data could provide additional support for the dollar)
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Total result: +642 pips! ⚡
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💬 My Contact - Ask Linda✅️
⚡ Join the VIP channel
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