💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → Negative fundamental backdrop could break the trend
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GBPUSD is bumping into a strong limit resistance zone lined up by sellers. As the fundamental background changes, the bears are strengthening their positions. An impulsive downward movement is forming in the market
The opening session is formed with a gap on D1, in general this is rare in the forex market, but indicates potential. We are interested in the level of 1.271. A break of this area will be a trigger for a fall, because, in general, the short and medium-term outlook based on the fundamental background is predetermined.
Most likely, the first test of the support area will be followed by a bounce, but a retest of the support will strengthen the chances of a breakout and further decline to our target.
Resistance levels: 1.28
Support levels: 1.271, trend support
In the long term, we are waiting for a test of support and market reaction to the mentioned area. The local trend may be broken. Consolidation of the price in the selling zone will be the confirmation.
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Why did gold close so low on Friday? There are several reasons:
1) A stronger dollar on the news (Bullish NFP)
2) China halted gold reserve purchases after 18 months of continuous purchases
PS: The correction wave may last.
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- Checkonchain see a sharp resurgence of inflows into BTC and ETH following the approval of spot ETH-ETFs in the US
- BTC demand will exceed supply 5 times after halving - Bitfinex
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US - NON-FARM PAYROLLS (May) = 272К (expected 182К / previously 175К)
US - Unemployment (Apr) = 4% (expected 3.9% / previously 3.9%)
#EURUSD was floating around the flat line early Friday morning. The upward movement is supported by the first interest rate cut by the European Central Bank, an expected move by the central bank despite some uncertainty over inflation.
Later today, markets will find out how much the US economy grew in numbers. The non-farm payrolls report, known as jobs data, will be key in determining the Federal Reserve's interest rate schedule. Analysts expect a 180,000 new hires in May. If that's the case, investors will reinforce expectations that a U.S. rate cut will come sooner rather than later.
Against that backdrop, the Fed will be looking for tepid - but not cold - data. The U.S. central bank wants to see moderate growth, enough to support the economy. But it shouldn't be too hot, lest it postpone an expected drop in borrowing costs - an expectation that has driven stocks to record highs
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Price dump before NFP. Will we go to 2400?
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GOLD is manipulatively declining and catching buyers by surprise (liquidation) before the news. Price may start a strengthening phase from strong support (2330-2325) on the back of weak dollar
Traders are waiting for NFP to be released at 12:30 GMT. Yesterday, the market received 229K on Initial Jobless Claims, which generally gives hints of a possible scenario. The dollar index may continue to lose ground amid the general environment, markets are slowly but already starting to prepare for Fed policy easing.
NFP is expected to be 183K vs. previous 175K, but the focus is on the actual data. If those are below the expected 183K, the dollar will break key support and fall under a wave of sell-offs, which would be a favorable scenario for gold. But, the problem with news is its unpredictability. Data above 185K may strengthen the dollar (But not for long).
Resistance levels: 2354, 2374
Support levels: 2328
There is liquidation and strong selling by buyers, but it happens before the news (there are interesting thoughts, but... ). Below 2328 the price may not be allowed (from a technical point of view) and it would be logical to expect a false breakdown or a rebound from the liquidity block to which the price has approached.
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Also, keep an eye on the #SFPUSDT
The coin continues to approach resistance slowly
It is still accumulating, but the area of 0.8630-0.870 could be a trigger for a rally or even a pump.
It is also worth paying attention to the news, maybe there will be a fundamental reason to activate the trigger and further growth
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#BTCUSD
For bitcoin, the scenario remains the same for now. Keep an eye on the coin. If BTC does not go too low (beyond 30% of the bullish momentum) and starts to return to 71500, it will increase the chances of the scenario realization.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → ECB rate and NFP in the US. What to expect?
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GOLD is supposedly ending the correction wave on the background of fundamentally weaker dollar. ECB rate and US news (Initial Jobless Claims & NonFarm Payrolls) ahead
The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates for the first time since March 2016 at the end of its June policy meeting later today.
Meanwhile, markets now have a better chance of an imminent Fed rate cut amid signs of a slowing US economy. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continue to act as a safe-haven price for gold. Also, everyone is interested in the NFP (as one of the first signs of the Fed's readiness to loosen the policy), which will be published on Friday.
Technically, gold is forming a false break of MA-50 on D1, and breaking trend resistance on H1. All eyes are on the near-term support at 2354-2350
Resistance levels: 2374, 2405
Support levels: 2354, 2350. 2328
Possible support retest (false breakdown or intermediate struggle), which may lead to strengthening of the price. On the background of news, volatility may increase.
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#BTCUSD
Watching bitcoin. The price is approaching the important zone of 71500
If bitcoin breaks this area and consolidates above it, it could strengthen further and test 73679 and potentially even renew ATH (possibly 75K - 80K).
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Hi friends, let's get started...
I hope you had a productive weekend, it's Monday and time to work 😎
I'll start sharing ideas soon
U.S. NFP employment figures for May exceeded analysts' forecasts of 180K new jobs and totaled 272K. The stronger-than-expected job growth complicated the Federal Reserve's rate cut trajectory, potentially pushing back the first interest rate cut to a later date.
What does this big number mean? Investors were hoping to see another good jobs report and equate it to the April report. That way, the Fed would have two consecutive months of soft job growth to work with. This softening of the labor force should bring the markets closer to the start of an interest rate cut campaign. Fed Chairman Jay Powell will give much-needed guidance next week when the Fed will make its interest rate decision.
Against this backdrop, the prospect of higher interest rates has boosted the US dollar across the board. The dollar collapsed the euro, the yen on this background seeks to renew the low, gold fell from $2,350 before the news to $2,315 per ounce after the report
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💡 Ideas For FILUSDT 💰
📈 FILUSDT → Waiting for the Rally. Potential target 11.8
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FILUSDT may move from the consolidation phase to the realization phase. The coin has 70% potential, which in general may give a chance to renew ATH. The bullish trend may get its continuation
On D1 a break through the resistance of consolidation is formed. Bulls are starting to realize their scenario. The focus is on 6.808. The break of the resistance and price fixation above this area may provoke a large volume of purchases, which will only strengthen the rally. At the same time, bitcoin is saving up to continue its growth on the background of increasing interest in the cryptocurrency market. If bitcoin starts to kick off, it could generally favor the coin, which already (locally) looks stronger)
Resistance levels: 6.808, 8.120
Support levels: 5.666, trend support
I expect a retest of 6.808 followed by a breakout, which will only strengthen buying. If this scenario is followed, we can reach interesting targets, such as 9.34 - 11.8.
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Important! In 20 minutes it is published:
🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (May)
12:30 GMT
🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls (May)
12:30 GMT
🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate (May)
12:30 GMT
#BTCUSD continues to gradually approach a key point
The market is accumulating pre-breakout potential :)
The situation is stalemate in that there is news ahead that can both spoil the whole situation and strengthen what we are waiting for
But, from the technical point of view, everything is good and the coin is gradually preparing to go higher
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💡 Ideas For EURCHF 🇪🇺🇨🇭
📈 EURCHF → A safe CHF could lead to a fall in the pairing
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EURCHF is actively declining towards 0.9677 and is not ready to go up yet. Based on the general fundamental background, the currency pair may continue to fall towards 0.96 or 0.95
After a false breakdown of the range support, there is no strong reaction and the price returns to the level (retest). Fundamentally, CHF is stronger than EUR.
The reason for the strong fall of the currency pair is the strong Swiss franc, which is getting stronger on the background of growing risks of recession in Europe, because in this case the Swiss franc plays the role of a hedge asset. The situation is such that determines the medium-term potential. The currency pair may continue to decline after the breakout and consolidation of the price below 0.9677. In addition, the decrease in the ECB interest rate is also a favorable background
Resistance levels: 0.9738
Support levels: 0.9677
I expect that a retest of the support may lead to a breakout of the level, which will provoke a strong sell-off in the market.
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#UEURCHF 🇪🇺🇨🇭
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#EUR 🇪🇺
EUROPA - CBR = 4.25% (expecting 4.25% / previously 4.5%)
Deposit rate = 3.75% (previously 4%)
ECB margin lending rate = 4.5% (previously 4.75%)
ECB cuts rates for the first time since 2019
The #DOLLAR Index (DXY) continued its decline, diving to the 104.00 level from its recent peak of 106.50 in late April. Traders and investors dumped their dollar holdings in search of better prospects in risk assets. Stocks across the board rose - the broad-based S&P 500 index hit an all-time high. It was joined by the Nasdaq Composite technology index, which closed 2% higher after Nvidia shares soared.
Looking ahead, we note that today Forex markets are expecting a new wind of volatility. The European Central Bank is deciding on interest rates, and analysts expect the first rate cut, which will reduce the cost of borrowing from 4.50% to 4.25%. Next, on Friday, the U.S. jobs report for May will be released, which will show whether the cooling of the U.S. economy continued last month, which could reinforce expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
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💡 Ideas For NOTUSDT 💰
📈 NOT → "DUMP" and 0.015 or false breakdown and 0.04?
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NOT looks strong both fundamentally and technically, but the hourly timeframe is forming the preconditions for a “Dump” of the coin before a possible further rise
Since the opening (not counting the listing day), the coin has strengthened quite strongly without much pullbacks, which has created a rather large imbalance. In addition, there is a clear “Dump” scenario, where first the coin was pumped up to 450% and now it can be dumped in order to collect liquidity at the expense of traders who caught up with the outgoing train.
At the moment all the attention is on the area of 0.02-0.0199. There are two possible scenarios regarding the level and everything depends on the market reaction and traders' behavior. Either it will be a breakout and liquidation, or a false breakdown with the subsequent continuation of growth to the liquidity zones.
Support levels: 0.0199, 0.185
Resistance levels: 0.023, 0.0253
Volumes, investments are growing, but the coin cannot grow all the time. The market needs energy and whales may eat some buyers in order to form long positions at more favorable prices. We are watching the specified zone of 0.0199.
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🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
⭐️The advantage of those who join CRYPTO VIP:
🟣Quality breakout traders
🟣8-15 signals per week with SL and TP
🟣Spot&Futures signals
🟣Support for most popular exchanges
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📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🎖Jun19-Jun25 +1550%🟢
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🔹Oct30-Nov05 +278%🟢
🔹Nov06-Nov12 +218%🟢
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
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