Yesterday I gave an idea on #TON
The coin went up almost 16% in a few hours and that's with 1x leverage.
At 10x leverage, that's almost +160%⚡️
Did you trade?)
It was a perfect entry point with minimal risk 😉
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Internet rumor:
Bitcoin may update ATH next week given the macroeconomic situation.
“ Inflation is the GENERAL driver of BTC growth ”
On June 12, the U.S. will release its inflation report (CPI) and host a Fed meeting
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The market is waiting for the news. What could happen?
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GOLD in consolidation ahead of the news. The price after strong sell-offs is accumulating potential, traders are not doing anything yet, at the same time the dollar is breaking trend support
Stalemate situation. A consolidation range is marked on the main chart. It is acceptable to trade from the boundaries of the range either breakout or false breakdown.
The complexity of the overall situation is that the news is an unpredictable part of trading. On the technical side: Gold is weak, there is no strong buyer in the market yet (Maybe they are waiting for news). But based on TA, I would see the market as preparing for a break of 2325 followed by a fall to 2300-2275. Fundamentally, the US still has high inflation and the regulators will not let the dollar fall much. DXY is breaking the upside support (which is supposedly a downside signal) but it still has not reached the support and liquidity zone, which is also a sign of a strong index.
Resistance levels: 2341, 2351
Support levels: 2325, 2315
Based on the technical behavior of the gold price, a break of 2325 and consolidation of the price below this area will provoke sales. Breakout of 2345-2350 will provoke buying. The situation is complicated by the upcoming news.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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CryptoQuant experts note low volatility in BTC, after which strong movements usually began
PS:
Low volatility is the first reason that the market is accumulating potential and most likely this process is coming to an end
Let's keep an eye on the previously mentioned zones...
#BTCUSD Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase after the price broke out of the consolidation descending wedge.
The news that the SEC approved spot ETH-ETFs was also to blame.
But, the potential for a rally is not yet gathered.
All attention is on the boundary: 71200 - 67250. The price is consolidating inside this zone. Above the support, a strong bullish position is formed and a big player can make a shakeout or a false breakout before continuing the rally. Or, if the news is strong enough, the price may break the resistance without any problems and continue to rise to 74K
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#USDJPY is slightly changing the background due to the weakening of the dollar index. Traders are realigning their positions.
I don't think this can last, although, at the moment, it all depends on the coming news.
There is liquidation in the USDJPY market and this is seen as buyers are selling off their positions (capitulating)
I would keep an eye on the zones: 154.7 (possible false breakdown on the background of the beginning of the dollar strengthening), 153.7
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💡 Ideas For TONUSDT ✅
📈 TON → The bulls are almost ready. Breakout 7.23, rally ...
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TON is starting to show bullish potential. This is quite interesting for us, because, in general, the coin's potential is huge. BTC momentum could push the coin to rally
The bulls have held the defense above 5.985, forming an intermediate bottom. In the current range, the 6.45 - 6.65 area, where the maximum number of coins have been traded (bought), is a zone of interest for the big player and he will try to defend it. The range of market accumulation is 7.23 - 6.23. Until the price leaves this range, the market will be flat.
It is worth paying attention to the local descending resistance. There is an attempt to break through it and the price may strengthen to 7.23. The whole emphasis is on this area. A correction or pre-breakout consolidation may form before the breakout.
Resistance levels: 7.23, 7.67
Support levels: 6.7, 6.23
I am waiting for the retest of 7.23. It is interesting to see the reaction from which it will be possible to form further strategy (pullback or breakout). The probability of a breakout is increasing on the background of a strong bitcoin.
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#TONUSDT ✅
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Correction for liquidity. Should we wait for the fall?
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GOLD has been updating the low to 2314 since the opening of the session and is forming a correction within which it is testing the previously broken consolidation support. The fall may continue from the liquidity area
The fundamental and technical background for gold is negative at the moment. A possible area of interest for the market may be the area of 2305 - 2280. Accordingly, based on the general data, we can assume that a retest of the resistance area 2328-2336 may end in a false breakdown with a subsequent decline to the targets indicated on the chart. There is a possibility of price entry into the range and an attempt to rise to 2354, but in general, it will be regarded as an attempt to gather a more liquid position before reaching a global and promising target.
Let me remind you that globally we have a bullish trend, within which a local bearish trend is forming
Resistance levels: 2328, 2336, 2354
Support levels: 2306, 2285
It is worth to keep an eye on the mentioned resistance areas. False breakdown followed by price consolidation below the mentioned zone will be a confirmation of bears' readiness to go down.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Kashkari (Fed): Fed Funds rate should remain at current level unchanged for 'long' time
Bostic (Fed): I do not expect an interest rate cut in July
Williams (Fed): Inflation is still too high, but I expect a decline in the second half of 2024
PS:
Overall, the general stance of policymakers is in favor of maintaining an expensive dollar against the backdrop of high inflation
But, once they lower the interest rate (take the first step), it will really shake up the market. Gold could fly up as well as the forex market.
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#BTCUSD
A few words about bitcoin.
The price is still in consolidation. Now we need to watch for the reaction to the mentioned area (near 67250-67000-66750 support).
If the bulls hold, then the price will head towards the resistance. But, most likely, the market has not yet accumulated the proper potential and the price may go deeper and test the support at 64500 before going up.
But, there is no talk about a crash or a global fall now.
If you are interested, open the chart on the weekly timeframe and you will see that after a strong growth the price does not fall, but consolidates.
It takes a lot of energy to move a coin that trades tens of billions of dollars a day.
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#XAUUSD
Traders and investors shifted their attention to the key economic report from the US. On Friday, it is the non-farm payroll report for May.
Why is this indicator important? Employment data is a strong indicator of the health of the U.S. economy. The fewer jobs created, the more restrained employers are about their spending, hiring, and expansion. Conversely, more jobs is a signal that the economy is growing, which is not what the Fed needs at the moment. Instead, central bankers are expecting cooler numbers in the neighborhood of 180K, matching April's 175K new jobs.
Where is gold in all of this? Gold may react positively to data showing a weakening labor market (do your own research, though) because the Fed may accelerate interest rate cuts. And lower rates mean lower borrowing costs, which could encourage investors to buy bullion, which would be a non-yielding but safe asset during periods of lower interest rates
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#GBPUSD
There will be a lot of news mentions now as this factor plays a key role in relation to the technical component this week. Friday will see the release of NFP in the US. Analysts are expecting 180K new hires, relative to last month's 170K. A figure that is too high could cause traders to start re-shaping their forex positions. Conversely, a figure that is too low could lead to the same.
Against this backdrop, the US dollar retreated across the board. Later today, the US will release non-farm payrolls data from ADP. This report, which shows how many people were hired by private companies, is a precursor to the non-farm payrolls data that will be released on Friday.
💡 Ideas For USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
📈 USDJPY → False break of support, Yen weakens. 160.0 again?
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USDJPY fell under the correction wave, which was caused by the liquidation of buyers based on the change in the fundamental sentiment of the dollar index. It didn't last long
In general, both technically and fundamentally, the situation remains unfavorable for the Japanese yen. The national currency may continue to weaken and thus test the current ATH.
False breakdown of trend support brings the price back to the range of 155.95-157.23. Possible retest of resistance with the subsequent breakout and growth to the far liquidity zones.
Resistance levels: 157.23, 158.44
Support levels: 155.95, 154.77
The bulls should hold the defense above 155.95 with the aim to continue rising. The intermediate key point is 157.23 with the possibility of further breakout and growth.
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#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵
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#GBPUSD is testing global range resistance. Another resistance retest and false breakout traps another batch of traders who bought positions in the resistance breakout.
Price is not ready to go up yet as traders wait for a strong influence.
A major player is gathering liquidity within the consolidation. Use an intra-range trading strategy
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#AUDUSD
The Australian dollar fell against a strengthening U.S. dollar and underperformed other major currencies in early European trading on Tuesday after local data pointed to a weak first-quarter GDP result due for release on Wednesday.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics earlier reported that net trade contracted 0.9% in Q1 and corporate profits fell 2.5%, much larger than the 0.9% drop expected by consensus.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Consolidation before NFP. What to prepare for?
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GOLD is strengthening after a false breakdown of range support and is testing resistance with a subsequent bounce. Price is forming a flat and is not ready to go up or down yet. There are reasons for this:
Traders are waiting for news that will start to be released in the second half of this week starting Wednesday. The focus is on ISM PMI, Initial Jobless Claims, NFP. Accordingly, I would recommend watching the flat for now: 2354 - 2328 (2320). Most likely the price will be inside this consolidation for some time, the dollar is also standing still. Perhaps there will be an attempt to breakout (false breakout) or even a retest of more distant levels, but in general, due to the fact that there are no major players in the game yet, who are not eager for pre-temporal action, the price will consolidate within the specified range.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2374
Support levels: 2328, 2322, 2315
A quick approach to the liquidity zone may lead to a rebound or a false breakdown, accordingly, there is a chance to see local strengthening. We are looking at an intra-range trading strategy.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Struggle for level. Earlier we discussed the situation. High probability of falling from resistance
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Consolidation between levels. Struggle against the backdrop of unstable environment. A break of 1.2709 could trigger a strong downward momentum
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
A small upward movement for liquidity. The area of interest is 0.62181. It is possible to decrease on the background of strong dollar
#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
False breakout. Sellers are not letting the currency pair beyond the resistance yet. A breakdown of 0.66 will provoke a strong downward impulse.
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
Slight correction before reaching a strong liquidity area. Growth may continue as the JPY continues to weaken
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - SHORT 📉
The retest of 1.3632 with the purpose of breakthrough and further fall. The Canadian is weakening against the general background. We are waiting for a downside attempt to 1.3477
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
Consolidation within the range. The market maker is not ready to release the price beyond 0.900. We are waiting for a false breakdown and growth to resistance
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - LONG 📈
The dollar is in consolidation, but the general situation is such that it will not get cheaper yet. A false breakdown of support before further growth is possible
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → The currency pair may lose up to 2.5% ↓
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EURUSD is testing the 1.0884 resistance again after breaking the local channel. But it does not lead to success, as the bears are not letting the price up yet amid the complex fundamental environment
Technically, the currency pair is under a strong resistance zone. The limit level of 1.0884, formed by a big seller, continues to have a negative impact on the price. EURUSD may test 1.0802 in the near future. It is necessary to monitor the price reaction to this area. A quick retest or consolidation could be a prerequisite for a downside breakout and further fall to the lower boundary of the global range at 1.0606
Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942
Support levels: 1.0802, 1.0736
I expect that the bears will continue to dominate the market on the background of the expensive dollar, which may lead to the fact that the currency pair may lose up to 2.0-2.5% of its value.
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸
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CryptoQuant points out the similarity of the BTC situation in mid-2020 and now: there was also a sharp increase in the number of large wallets accumulating BTC then, and the activity of whales in the network was also very high then. Back then, under such conditions, BTC traded at $10,000 for a few months before making a huge rise
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETHEREUM → Consolidation before the rally. Ready for 5,000?
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ETH breaks the resistance of consolidation pattern amid the news related to the approval of ETH-ETF. The reaction was premature, on rumors, and now the market is consolidating
Many wondered why there was not a strong surge and rally after the news. Reason: The rise from 3100 to 3850, almost 24% in a few hours, which followed due to the rumors about the approval of ETH-ETF was already embedded in the reaction, so the market did not have the potential to go up further, as there was strong resistance ahead, it would not have had enough strength.
Now, ETH is forming consoidation to go up. The candlestick patterns on both W1, D1 and H4 form interesting bullish premises indicating that it is the buyer who is assembling a position with the aim of breaking the 3830-3950 resistance with the aim of rallying and updating ATH.
Resistance levels: 3830, 3952, 4086
Support levels: 3730, 3660
Technically, a correction is forming. Within the correction the market is in consolidation. The correction will end when the price breaks through and consolidates above the mentioned resistance zones. Emphasis on 3830, as well as on the descending resistance at the local highs
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#ETHUSD 🔷
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