The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation — Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) — rose 2.7% in April from the same time span last year. The print assuaged investors’ fears over spiraling inflation and solidified expectations of interest rate cuts by the US central bank.
The news sent the EUR/USD higher by about 40 pips, extending Thursday’s run into a second consecutive session. The falling dollar logged modest losses across the board with the USD/JPY dropping slightly toward the 157.00 mark. Futures contracts tied to the major stock averages dipped in red ahead of Friday’s opening bell.
Controlled inflation is likely to see investors clock out of work in a good mood. Previously, concerns over rising price pressures had dented optimism over the highly-anticipated lowering of borrowing costs. With this report, the Fed is more likely to revisit the rate-cut narrative and update its outlook
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Important! In 20 minutes it is published:
🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Apr)
🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Apr)
💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 NZDUSD → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Next, 0.62?
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NZDUSD breaks the bearish trend in early May and confirms the fact that bulls appear on the market. The fundamental background is positive and growth can be considered in the long term
Earlier the price tested a strong descending resistance by a false breakdown. There was no proper reaction in the form of a change of trend or a strong fall. Consolidation is being formed. If the price continues to pull up to the upper boundary of the triangle on D1, the pre-breakout prospect will only intensify. On H1 it is worth paying attention to the range 0.6170 - 0.6083. Anything can happen on the background of the news, so it is worth watching the reakitsa of the ruck to the mentioned borders. A false breakdown of support before further growth is possible.
Resistance levels: 0.6170, 0.6217
Support levels: 0.6083, 0.6000
I expect that the trend may get its continuation. The market is extremely calm now, as there is strong news ahead that could determine the medium-term outlook
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MVRV score indicates that BTC is still in the middle of a bullish trend in this cycle - CryptoQuant data
----------
growth in BTC usually continued for 12-16 months after halving
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The news will determine the medium-term outlook
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GOLD is updating the low and forming a false break of support. Fundamental and technical background is negative. A quick retest of 2328 may lead to a fall, but there is NEWS ahead!
Before the news, gold goes into a local flat 2360 - 2330. The market is gathering potential and liquidity before the news. GDP and Initial Jobless Claims are ahead. This time traders expect an extremely low GDP: 1.6% This is generally negative for the US market, in general this figure is logical based on general market indicators, but traders pay attention to the actual data. It is also worth paying attention to Initial Jobless Claims.
Technically, under the current circumstances, a decline is possible after a retest of resistance. But, if the news is contradictory, the price may break the resistance, consolidate above 0.236 Fibo and head towards 0.618 (25-30% probability).
Resistance levels: 2343, 2347, 2354
Support levels: 2335, 2328, 2306
The gold market is dominated by bears on the background of general economic conditions. Globally, the trend is still bearish and a correction is forming within it. Today is a purely fundamental day and you should not get into the market before the news.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Break of the support of consolidation. Next is 2300?
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GOLD is still bearish. The price is trying to leave the corrective range, which is formed after the false breakdown of support. The market is preparing to go lower
On the 1H timeframe it is becoming clear who is showing dominance in the market. There is no strong buy yet, apparently, before the GDP and PCE publication on Thursday and Friday, no one dares to enter the market early. (Presumably, the dollar may get another dose of support, which could weaken gold even more). I think that in the short term the price may retest 2335.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2364
Support levels: 2335, 2328, 2306
Consolidation of the price below the previously broken local uptrend support (dotted line), will be a confirmation of the market's intention to go down. A quick retest of 2335 may lead to a break of support and further fall to 2300
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#XAUUSD 👑
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#GBPUSD was on a steady path to new highs as the bulls targeted the $1.28 mark. That level would form a double top with a March 20 peak at $1.28, and it would test the bears' resolve to try and reverse the trend.
UK store inflation fell further in May to 0.6% from 0.8% in April, reaching its lowest level since November 2021. Falling prices for items such as food, furniture, sporting goods and garden equipment helped the rate fall for the 13th consecutive month. By comparison, store prices rose as much as 9% last May. The cooling of the figure has brought some relief to British households struggling to cope with months of rising inflation
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💡 Ideas For WIFUSDT 🐶
📈 WIFUSDT → Resistance Breakthrough. Will there be a rally?
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WIFUSDT shows quite interesting preconditions for a possible rally. The coin breaks the consolidation resistance and at the same time looks stronger than the market.
The coin has been in the consolidation stage for two months. Now the price is breaking the triangle resistance and consolidating above 3.256, which generally determines the medium-term intentions of the market. The level of 3.561 is ahead and the main task of the bulls is to overcome this obstacle. If buyers are able to pass this zone and form a consolidation above, only 4.850 is ahead.
Resistance levels: 3.561, 4.343
Support levels: 3.256, 2.92
I expect the continuation of growth to the nearest resistance with its further breaking and growth to the previously mentioned targets.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The calm before the storm. 2400 or 2200?
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GOLD reduces volatility and shrinks into a narrow range before the news. US GDP did not play any role and traders are waiting for the general fundamental background. Locally, the downtrend
The trend is downtrending, but on yesterday's news the price is trying to break the channel resistance, forming a consolidation of the price above the line. But if the price returns to the channel, due to the formed consolidation, the market may see a strong momentum towards 2280.
Ahead of the news, traders are waiting for PCE. But, the market believes that the index will remain at the same level and this generally complicates the situation because if in fact the situation changes it may trigger a violent reaction
Resistance levels: 2354, 2374
Support levels: 2328, 2306
Globally bullish trend, but there is no strong buyer yet. Everyone is waiting for the news. Locally the trend is bearish, to confirm the change of the trend to a local bullish one, the price should overcome the area of 2354 - 2364 and consolidate above, in this case - the way to 2400. But, a break of 2328 will make the market panic
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The NYSE may add the ability to trade cryptocurrency - Lynn Martin
NYSE - New York Stock Exchange.
- The head of the NYSE will consider listing crypto assets on the exchange when the US has a clearer regulatory environment.
-The regulatory environment in the U.S. will improve over the next couple years, regardless of the election results.
-The US will pass a full-fledged law for crypto regulation within the next year
There is strong news ahead. Trade carefully and safely before the news!
Traders are waiting for GDP 1.6%. This is a very low figure on the general background and quite logical. There are reasons for that. We will not analyze the economic situation, because the general reasons are based on high inflation, government debt and so on.
It has a technical sense, to underestimate the expected data in advance, so that the actual data could strengthen the index.
Pay attention to the dollar index, it is not in a hurry to fall yet as it waits to see what happens.
Higher than expected data will be a positive lever for the dollar index. Conversely. GDP below 1.6% will weaken the index.
Regarding Initial Jobless Claims: The situation is largely unchanged and I see no point in commenting for now. The index is within a narrow 210-220K range and I still recommend paying attention to the actual data.
IJC below 218K will strengthen the dollar and above it will weaken it
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💡 Ideas For LINKUSDT 🪙
📈 LINK → The potential is at +100%. Waiting for a breakout
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LINK enters a new range, after updating the local maximum, against the background of the general market correction, the coin is declining. Support retest is possible
The resistance at 18.320 plays a key role for the coin. A false breakout and correction is forming. A quick retest of the resistance or a pre-breakdown consolidation will hint that the market is ready to go higher. Now we should wait for a flat support retest and watch the price reaction to this area. A false breakout followed by price consolidation above this area will be a signal for buyers.
Resistance levels: 18.320, 0.618 Fibo (D1)
Support levels: 13.328, 16.60
The fundamentals are quite strong. The bulls need to consolidate above the key zone to make important decisions. The coin has a potential of +100%
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#Bitcoin #BTCUSD
Let's analyze the situation on high timeframes (D1, W1)
Consolidation is forming on W1 and a big player is collecting a position from the whole crowd of both buyers and sellers. There is no reason to overcome ATH 73500 yet.
On D1 we see a pullback from 71500 to 67200. There is an explanation for this, “The manager has started to actively distribute funds to those affected by the collapse of the MtGox exchange”. Many people sell on the news. Accordingly, this reaction is temporary.
In general, it is worth paying attention to the indicated levels. So far, the price is trading between 71500 - 67250. It is possible that the trade between these boundaries will continue, or there is a probability of decrease to 64780.
But! As long as the market has not collected the necessary volume and liquidity, it will not release it in order to form a strong movement in one or another direction. Based on general assumptions, we have a chance to see the growth continuation
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Donald Trump was interested in the possibility of using Bitcoin to solve the US government debt problem.
The Bitcoin Magazine team advises the US presidential candidate on how to create crypto-friendly policies
PS:
This is an interesting story. Trump, if he gets his way, could improve the cryptocurrency infrastructure in an entire country as well as pave the way for projects on a global scale. But let's not forget, this is all within the presidential race. What will happen in fact, no one knows ;)
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → False resistance breakout. Decline to 1.075?
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EURUSD is testing range resistance and forming a false breakout with further confirmation of the boundary. The bears are strong and are not letting the price beyond 1.0884 yet
On Thursday and Friday strong and important news are published. Traders are interested in US GDP and PCE. There is a high probability to see data that could be bullish for the dollar in the current circumstances. As for EURUSD - trading inside the range may continue. Technically, I am waiting for a bounce from the local trend support and a retest of the resistance before a further decline.
Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942
Support levels: 1.0802, 1.0736
False break of resistance is a confirmation that the price is not ready to go up yet. A breakdown of the scenario is possible, if the price breaks through and consolidates above 1.0884, but there are no reasons for that. We expect a breakout of 1.0836 with the purpose of further fall.
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Excellent realization of the scenario ⚡️
In a few days, #NZDUSD has reached the previously mentioned target of 0.6170 (2.7%)
It was possible to take 162 pips quite easily and with minimal risk!
After the breakout, on the pullback from the local high many were selling the market, but relative to 0.600 a strong buyer appeared and began to accumulate the potential for growth (This can be seen by the decrease in volatility, false breakdowns and candlestick formations)
Perfect trade :)
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#BTCUSD has retreated about 4% over the past day as investor animal spirits over the expected launch of #ETHUSD exchange-traded funds subsided. Cryptocurrency markets went wild last week when rumors swirled that the Securities and Exchange Commission might give its approval to new Ether-based investment vehicles. And it did - eight Ether-based ETFs are ready to launch.
Now that the Ether-based ETFs have been approved, the markets may be going for the good old “buy the rumors - sell the news” scheme.
The latest regulatory approval is another major milestone for the cryptocurrency space. The newly formed Ether ETFs issued by major asset managers like BlackRock will sit alongside the Bitcoin ETFs launched in January. We can expect increased volatility over the next few days as crypto-enthusiasts look to take positions for high-frequency trading
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Consolidation before distribution. $2,400 or $2,300?
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GOLD after a false breakdown of the support of the range is forming a correction, but within the upward consolidation channel. The fundamental background is still negative
There is no strong news in the next two days, so the fundamental background remains the same. There is no strong buyer on the market yet and thus, gold may continue its downward movement if it breaks through the support area: the rising line or the approximate area of 2340. A break of the local uptrending support line will move the market into the realization phase, which will be a continuation of the decline. The structure may be broken if the price rises and consolidates above 2354. In this case, the price may head towards 2374.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2358, 2370
Support levels: 2340, 2335, 2325
I expect that with high probability the decline may continue. But in the phase of waiting for strong news (Thursday and Friday), the market may gather liquidity.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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