#US #USD 🇺🇸
Crescat:
The US unemployment rate has exceeded its 24-month average. Every time this happens, the labor market starts to deteriorate significantly
Short positions in the #JPY
Interventions in the yen did not lead to a massive closing of shorts by hedge funds and managers - most are still betting on further weakening against the #USD
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💡 Ideas For TRBUSDT 💰
📈 TRBUSDT → Trend change, buyers provoke growth. 150.0?
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TRB finds its buyer. A breakthrough of the downtrend resistance is formed and the accumulated potential is realized. The probable target may become the area of 150-160
The retest of the bottom forms a strong enough medium-term reversal pattern - double bottom. A buyer appears on the market, which is generally seen in candlestick patterns and price movement on the background of volume growth. The price breaks the resistance of 99.3 and enters the local range where it can form consolidation. There is a high probability of catching a retest of support before further breaking 110.0 and rising to the previously mentioned targets.
Support levels: 99.32, 89.75
Resistance levels: 110.0, 126
Technically, the coin has an interesting potential, the realization of which may continue with the breakout of 110.0.
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#TRBUSDT 💰
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👑 Performance VIP GOLD
🗣For the last week from:
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Total result: 504 pips! ⚡
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On #bitcoin, I gave an idea a few days ago. Great implementation. There was an ideal opportunity to open a buy trade after a false breakdown of the range. Funamental background favorably wiggled the coin, which has already strengthened by 16% so far
In the vip we traded bitcoin and reached the first target of 7% ;)
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD End of correction? Up to 2380?
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GOLD is strengthening after Friday's shakeout due to NFP, amid the dollar's decline. Possible retest of the liquidity area, with the aim of changing the trend.
On H4 the price breaks the resistance of the wedge, formed within the corrective wave. The bulls are trying to hold above 2300, since the opening of the session the price strengthens to 2320 and makes an attempt to break the figure, which in general may mean the end of the correction. The price consolidation above 2328 will be a confirmation of the bulls' intention. In the near future the market may move to the phase of realization of the accumulated potential.
Resistance levels: 2328, 2352
Support levels: 2295, 2277
Technically and fundamentally there are many preconditions for possible growth. The main task is to wait for a retest of the resistance at 2328 and further market reaction. A false breakdown and a small correction before further growth may follow
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Bitcoin on the local timeframe looks quite confident at the moment. The coin is strengthening by 14% and testing the key area.
A breakout and consolidation of the price above this zone may cause further growth, as the market will then change the market plane to a bullish one.
! Risk zone - 58900
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Fundamental reasons allow the pair to strengthen on the back of the falling dollar. The price may reach 1.0876 in the medium term
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
False break of resistance, but the fundamental background is favorable. There may be a breakout of 1.2569 with further growth to 1.27
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
The impulse can be continued to 0.607. But, at the moment the flat is formed on the background of the bearish trend.
#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
We are waiting for growth to 0.66676 from which correction may occur. Local trend is neutral. We trade within the range.
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - SHORT 📉
Interventions favorably affect the Yen, but the strengthening of the national currency is also influenced by the fall of the dollar. It's worth paying attention to 151.818
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - SHORT 📉
A range is being formed, the pin-bar is confusing. We are waiting for correction with the possibility of further decline.
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - SHORT 📉
On the background of the falling dollar, the currency pair is also falling. Not yet reached the key support, most likely the target will be reached this week.
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - SHORT 📉
Economic news changes the fundamental background to negative (for the dollar). The index is testing 104.96, but buyers are resisting.
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#BITCOIN shows good dynamics. Buyers are trying to actively keep the asset inside the range. The risk area is tested, and NFP favorably influenced the price.
Fundamentally, bitcoin is also interesting due to the recent Halving as well as the introduction of spot bitcoin trading in Hong Kong, which added new investments to the cryptocurrency market.
I would recommend looking at the 64500 level. Breakout and consolidation of the price above this level will be the reason for continuation of active growth to 73K and possibly even higher.
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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The number of jobs fell last month, indicating that the labor market is cooling. This is good news for the Fed and the future course of interest rates. The unemployment rate rose to 3.9%, indicating a slight contraction in the labor market in a high interest rate environment.
A slowdown in job growth is not necessarily bad news for the markets. In fact, investors celebrated by going all out - #BTC prices jumped 3% in the immediate aftermath of the news, surpassing the $60,000 per coin mark. #GOLD surpassed the $2,300 mark after floating near $2,280 an ounce. And since all risk assets are priced in dollars, and that's what investors pay with, the dollar fell against competing currency pairs.
One of the main purposes of raising interest rates is to cool employers hiring as a way to slow economic growth. The latest news may come as a relief for the Fed as investors hope to see the first signs of an upcoming interest rate cut. Another important goal of the central bank is to beat inflation - a work in progress, especially after Fed Chairman Jay Powell signaled Wednesday that the inflation genie may not easily go back in the bottle.
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETHEREUM → The coin comes to life. Target 4,000?
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ETH is forging a retest of the key support area. On the background of NFP publication, the coin grows following the flagship - BTC and tests 3130. We are waiting for a retest of 3200.
An interesting promising candlestick pattern is forming on W1 on the background of the retest of the key support, which is the resistance of the previously broken ascending channel. The Chart clearly shows how the market is gathering liquidity at the expense of sellers, which is generally an encouraging pattern with the goal of further growth. On D1 it is worth paying attention to the triangle boundaries, as well as to the 3200 area, a breakout and subsequent consolidation above which will form a strong bullish potential that can continue to grow to the interim high of 4086, as well as to the ATH.
Support levels: 2900, 2812
Resistance levels: 3200, 3350
Technically and fundamentally, ETH has a good potential. The phase of realization of the accumulated energy can be activated at the breakout of 3200. Also, on a bullish trend symmetrical triangle is a good and potentially promising pattern.
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#ETHUSD 🔷
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#Bitcoin forms a false breakdown of range support.
NonFarm Payrolls has a favorable impact on the asset.
The price is returning to the range
The fundamental background is favorable
If this favorable background continues, the price may reach key liquidity zones in the medium term
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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Bitcoin & Ethereum
Lately we often discuss eth and btc with you. The situation remains generally the same.
A few relevant thoughts on positions and trading:
#BTC: from VIP we still hold a long position with a target of 73500. (first target reached).
I recommend paying attention to the 64500 area. Breakout and consolidation of the price above this zone can become an active support for the bulls, which in general can become a reason for active growth.
Fundamentally, the flagship is doing well.
#ETH: I like Ethereum. It is worth paying attention to 3150. The area restrains the market from active growth, as there is still a struggle between sellers and buyers. A breakout and consolidation of the price above may give a rally to 3700 and to 4100. Fundamentally, the coin has a slightly weaker situation as the SEC continues to actively reject all applications for the spot asset.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Consolidation continues. What's next, 2400 or 2200?
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GOLD is testing the resistance of the range, the market maker is capturing liquidity around 2328 and is not ready to let the price go yet. Trading inside 2328 - 2300 continues
On Sunday we discussed the bullish trend, correction and the fifth wave that may get its start after the end of the correction. Yesterday price tried to form a confirmation of the end of the correction, but 2328 was not broken and trading in the correction phase continues. A retest of the range support is possible before a further rise to resistance.
There are two risk areas that will affect the medium term:
— Breakout of 2328 and consolidation above the level will confirm the readiness to go up to 2382.
— A break of 2300 and consolidation below the level will confirm the readiness to go down to 2267
Resistance levels: 2328, 2344, 2352
Support levels: 2305, 2300, 2295
Trading within the consolidation range continues while the dollar is also standing still. At the moment it is worth considering trading inside the range, and when breaking through one or another boundary to take the principles of trading in the breakdown.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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For the trading week from:
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Total result +551 pips 💰
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#EURUSD rose on Friday and made a slow but steady start to the new week after the latest data from the US stirred up the forex markets. The Labor Department released its monthly non-farm payrolls report, revealing that US employers hired 175K new employees in April. This figure was well below the consensus forecast of 238,000, undermining confidence in the US dollar.
Fewer jobs created was welcome news for investors left and right. The shrinking economy indicates that the Fed's rate cutting campaign may be back on track. Fed Chairman Powell has previously railed against expectations of rate cuts due to the incoming flood of hot data. And since the Fed is data dependent, perhaps policymakers will now reconsider cutting rates as a way to support the economy.
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → Attempting a trend change. Up to 1.2700?
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GBPUSD, influenced by a positive fundamental backdrop and the dollar's decline since the opening of the session on Monday, is strengthening above previously broken trend resistance.
GBPUSD is strengthening, the currency pair is in a bearish trend reversal phase. The market and traders are readjusting after the negative NFP for the dollar released last Friday. The currency pair is testing the local high and on the pullback is consolidating above the bearish trend resistance. Confirmation of the trend change will be the consolidation of the price above 1.2634.
Resistance levels: 1.2668, 1.2570
Support levels: 1.2487, 1.2422
Most likely the market will make an attempt to change the trend, at the moment the realization phase is being formed. We are waiting for confirmation of the trend change with the purpose of further strengthening.
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#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸
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#ETH is testing one of the important levels of 3065.
In general, the structure is still weak, but bullish prerequisites are already appearing.
Consolidation of the price above the level can be the reason for growth to 3275
From 3300 the price may go to 3700 and further to 4100. Fundamentally everything is good at the moment
Risk zone 2950
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#ETHUSD 🔷
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Correction may continue ↓ before further growth ↑
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GOLD continues to form the phase of correction. The price stops in the zone of 0.236 fibo, but the candlestick setup on D1 is forming multidigit. The struggle between buyers and sellers for 2285 continues
Last week was fundamentally rich, but the market reaction is weak, sellers are actively selling out any buying activity. A pre-breakdown setup is forming around 2285, and if it is not broken, the correction will extend to 2222 (2195). The signal to the continuation of the fall will be the fixing of the price below 2285. But, with active participation of buyers, which may be caused by fundamental and geopolitical reasons, the market may break the structure: Break of resistance and price consolidation above 2320-2325. This will mean the end of correction with further continuation of growth and formation of the fifth wave, the target of which could be the area of 2450-2550.
Resistance levels: 2320 - 2325, 2350.
Support levels: 2305, 2295, 2285
The global trend is bullish, the local trend is bearish (correction). Take this into account when trading! It is necessary to wait for price confirmation, which will mean either the continuation of the correction or its end. Only then you can take some measures to open orders in one or the other direction
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Hi friends 🌞, I am always interested to know your opinion on a particular trading instrument.
I will be glad if you comment on the idea and give your opinion on ETH here 👇:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/AgIWBo1m-ETHEREUM-The-coin-comes-to-life-Target-4-000/
Thanks!
I will give an update on #bitcoin and maybe some other coins soon ⚡️
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🔥🇺🇸 US - NON-FARM PAYROLLS (Apr) = 175K (expected 238K / previously 303K)
US - Unemployment (Apr) = 3.9% (expected 3.8% / previously 3.8%)