R. Linda Trading

03 мая 2024 11:17

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Consolidation ahead of NFP. Rise to 2328 or fall to 2250?
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GOLD decreases volatility, smoothly moving into a consolidation phase before the publication of NFP. The market structure is bearish and the overall fundamentals are negative. What should we wait for?

Today is quite a busy news day, but all attention is focused on NFP. The gold market is locally bearish and set for further decline. Breakout of 2295 and price consolidation below this area will form a bearish potential. But on the news background anything can happen, like a shakeout to 2328 before a further fall to 2250, or an attempt to break the trend resistance....

Resistance levels: 2305, 2328, 2346
Support levels: 2295, 2280, 2267

Technically and fundamentally the market is weak and ready to conquer the lower liquidity zones, but there is news ahead. It is impossible to determine the movement in advance, but based on the general data, there is a probability to see the continuation of the decline.
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R. Linda Trading

02 мая 2024 17:05

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R. Linda Trading

02 мая 2024 15:13

Bullish scenario for the dollar.
Markets may continue their decline on the back of appreciation of the dollar index

Initial Jobless Claims: Actually 208K instead of 212K expected.
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R. Linda Trading

02 мая 2024 14:04

Initial Jobless Claims Ahead
Fairly interesting and important news indicating the current situation on inflation, jobs, unemployment.

I love IJC for the reason that tomorrow's NFP can be guessed based on this data.

Traders are expecting 212K relative to last week's 207K.

In general, the indicator has been holding flat for the past few months, in the 210-220K range without much change.

Data below 212K will be positive for the dollar
Data above 212K will be negative for the dollar.
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R. Linda Trading

02 мая 2024 12:02

💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 NZDUSD → Bears prospects. Continued decline from resistance
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NZDUSD reaches the previously outlined target. The trend remains and has a bearish direction, the structure of which is preserved and the direction of price movement can be continued

A retest of 0.5940 is formed on the background of yesterday's news and a slight weakening of the dollar index. The currency pair is strengthening within the downtrend, correction is being formed. Consolidation of the price below 0.5940 may form a potential reversal point with a further target of 0.585 or 0.58.
But, there is a probability that on the background of increased volatility the price may reach the trend resistance. But, the prospects are the same.

Resistance levels: 0.5940, 0.5983, 0.6000
Support levels: 0.5874, 0.585, 0.580

Technically and fundamentally we have a bearish outlook. The currency pair may continue its decline, but before that the market may test the resistance
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R. Linda Trading

01 мая 2024 17:34

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R. Linda Trading

01 мая 2024 14:07

Today is a busy day for economic news.
All the news are important and play a key role for the medium-term outlook.
But traders are waiting for Powell's speech on interest rates. People don't even care about the decision to lower or raise interest rates, everything is clear now, but they are more interested in how Powell will react and what he will say in the current environment.

A more aggressive stance can strengthen the dollar and weaken the market.

But, Powell's speech is only at 18:00-18:30. There is a lot of other news before this event.

In general, better than expected data may favor the dollar. Accordingly, worse data will weaken the dollar. The forex market will react accordingly.

Trade carefully, as the volatility increases very much on the background of the news!
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R. Linda Trading

01 мая 2024 11:42

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The price continues to decline. Is it 2250?
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GOLD continues to decline and test new local lows. The fundamental background is negative and the decline may continue. Important events are ahead, everyone is waiting for Powell's speech.

Bears finally hold the area of strong liquidity 2328, which only intensifies the price decline. At the moment the market is testing 2280. Today is a busy news day. Traders are highly likely to expect Powell to leave the interest rate unchanged today and may even change his tone to a more aggressive one, amid high inflation. This could strengthen the dollar, which would only exacerbate the fall in the gold price, which is already looking towards liquidity zones below 2267.

Resistance levels: 2295, 2305
Support levels: 2267, 2250, 2228

The market is starting to put possible negative news into pricing. The fall may continue. But on the background of news the price is able to test the nearest resistance zones before further bearish impulse.
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R. Linda Trading

30 апреля 2024 17:18

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R. Linda Trading

30 апреля 2024 15:11

#USDCAD Close now with+39pips in profit!👌

R. Linda Trading

30 апреля 2024 14:33

By the way, here is yesterday's gold idea. The area of 2344 is the limit resistance zone.

We have been preparing for a fall since last Friday. Buyers are still weak, strong selloffs continue to form in GOLD-ETF, as at the same time China continues to buy the metal.

There is a correction in the market, which may continue. Now we should pay attention to the range boundaries, as long as the price is inside the boundaries, we should consider a range trading strategy (false breakout or bounce). As soon as there will be prerequisites for a breakout, then in this case it is worth considering a breakout trade.
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R. Linda Trading

30 апреля 2024 11:33

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Correction continues, possible target 2250
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GOLD continues to decline within the framework of corrective movement. Sellers are providing strong resistance and at the moment are not ready to let the price go above the key zones

Earlier gold showed signs of strengthening, which in general the market evaluated positively and was ready to wait for the achievement of high targets, but as I said earlier it is not worth waiting for growth now. The market is interested in reaching the lower liquidity zones as well as in liquidation of traders in order to balance the market. On the background of consolidating dollar the price of gold is decreasing. The market is waiting for Powell's speech, who will give comments on interest rates. Traders lay in the situation the fact that Powell may give a tough comment on the current situation and leave the rate at the same level.

Support levels: 2305, 2267
Resistance levels: 2328, 2344

Technically the correction continues. This correction is formed on the basis of both fundamental and technical reasons. This week is quite busy and it is worth paying attention to the news, which can determine the medium-term perspective.
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R. Linda Trading

29 апреля 2024 17:18

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R. Linda Trading

29 апреля 2024 15:35

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R. Linda Trading

29 апреля 2024 13:05

The #DOLLAR INDEX ( $ ) had a slow start to a busy week as investors prepared for something interesting. The currency indicator was aiming for the 106 mark after a losing week, but a flurry of events awaits it this week. Two key reports will be the main ones in the coming days - the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls data on Friday.

The Fed's rate decision will likely keep borrowing costs at a 24-year high of 5.5%. But that's already largely priced into the market. More importantly, investors will be holding their breath waiting for Fed Chair Powell's conference call after the rate decision. In his speech, Powell is likely to hint at whether the rate will be cut in the coming months. Recent data points to a challenging situation.

On Friday, traders expect April's jobs number to come in at 243,000, down from 303,000 in March. Volatility is expected to increase as we get closer to the milestone events. And now the first month of the second quarter is almost in the rearview mirror.
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R. Linda Trading

03 мая 2024 10:03

💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → How will NFP affect the pair? Down to 1.0600?
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EURUSD is facing strong support at 1.0600. A rebound and counter-trend correction within the downtrend is forming. Traders are waiting for Friday's NFP

Globally, the currency pair is in a bear market phase. There is a strong struggle for the 1.0700 area, especially ahead of Non Farm Payrolls, which may determine the medium-term outlook. Traders expect the NFP to be lowered to 238K, compared to the previous 303K. On the background of high news volatility, the price may test the liquidity zones above the price before continuing to fall, as the general background for the currency pair is still negative.

Resistance levels: 1.07365, 1.0800, 1.08643
Support levels: 1.0703, 1.0606

Based on the general data there is a probability to see a positive NFP for the dollar, which in general will continue to have a negative impact on the currency pair. But the problem with economic news is still that it is high uncertainty.
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸
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R. Linda Trading

02 мая 2024 15:33

#BTCUSD bitcoin prices drifted lower for the third straight day on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell shocked markets in a way only he can. The Fed chief said that interest rates are likely to remain unchanged for much longer in an attempt to beat stubborn inflation. Bitcoin didn't particularly like this news, and rushed downward.

The price of BTC fell 7% in a day. Early Thursday, the flagship digital asset remained under pressure, with its price tag hovering around the mid-$57,000s per coin. What's even more interesting, at least for technical analysts, Wednesday's drop broke through the 100-day simple moving average, signaling a potential short-term bearish trend.

What's next. Bitcoin is considered a risky asset - much riskier than stocks - because of its inherent volatility. While the mainstream narrative revolves around inflation, bitcoin can continue to do what it does best - jumping up and down while markets try to determine its price. Additionally, April employment data will be released tomorrow, which could be another catalyst for bitcoin, which could shoot in either direction, depending on the non-farm payrolls number.
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R. Linda Trading

02 мая 2024 15:04

What Jerome Powell said yesterday:

PS: left the highlights for you

✔ We don't think it's appropriate to cut rates any further until there is evidence that inflation is moving steadily down toward 2%.

✔ There are also risks associated with a decision to start cutting rates too late

✔ There is evidence from the labor market that high rates reduce demand

✔ There is no convincing evidence for a rate cut at subsequent meetings

✔ We will lower the rate when confidence returns in further declines in US inflation

✔ The US election is not a hindrance. We are confident we will do what we think is right...when we think it is right

✔ The rising unemployment rate has to be significant for us before we intervene (lower the rate)

R. Linda Trading

02 мая 2024 13:01

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The bears are selling off all the growth. 2250 ahead?
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GOLD is forming a range of 2328 - 2295. The market sold off all the excitement formed on the background of Powell's comments yesterday. A bearish market structure is forming on D1

The area of 2328 is keeping the price down and plays the role of a strong key resistance. The bears (sellers) are quite strong and continue to gain momentum. The price is testing the range support. There is a possibility of support breakout with the subsequent decline, but for this there should be either technical or fundamental reasons. There may be a pullback before the news. Ahead of Initial Jobless Claims, traders are waiting for a negative scenario against the dollar, if the data is below 212K, the gold may continue its decline, if the IJC is above 212K, the gold will head towards 2328.

Resistance levels: 2305, 2328
Support levels: 2295, 2280, 2267

The market is bearish, the correction is ongoing and gaining momentum. The market maker aims to go down to liquidity zones. But ahead of Initial Jobless Claims and tomorrow NonFarm Payrolls.
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R. Linda Trading

02 мая 2024 11:16

CryptoQuant: judging by the funding rates in futures, people are actively buying the fall in #BTC
------
Santiment recently noted a surge in “buy the dip” sentiment
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R. Linda Trading

01 мая 2024 16:35

Consensus Forecast - PAUSE.

Bloomberg:

- J. Powell's “dovish” rhetoric in December saved the US from recession.
- Now the Fed chief needs to take a hawkish stance to bring inflation back under control.

- Payments on U.S. government debt could reach $1.7 trillion as early as April 2025 if the Fed doesn't cut rates.

- Fed chairmen believe there are reasonably acceptable options for action if things don't go according to their plan.

- We expect the Fed to start cutting the interest rate in Dec.

- We expect the Fed to start cutting interest rates in July.

R. Linda Trading

01 мая 2024 13:04

#EURUSD fell 0.4% on Tuesday and remained under pressure on Wednesday as markets awaited today's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The exchange rate hovered around $1.0650 in early trading, down from Tuesday's high of $1.0735. The U.S. central bank is expected to say today that it will keep borrowing costs unchanged between 5.25% and 5.50%.

The expected rate hold is already priced in. More importantly, Fed Chairman Jay Powell will give guidance on rate cuts in the coming months, but that's not certain ;) . Fed officials have previously said that they intend to cut rates by three quarters this year. However, they have also signaled that incoming data could complicate matters. Therefore, Jay Powell's speech today will be market-defining.

In the forex market, the dollar maintained its dominance, especially against the Japanese yen. After Japanese officials allegedly USDJPY to levels near ¥158.00
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R. Linda Trading

01 мая 2024 10:50

💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → Waiting for a decline to 1.2300
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPUSD may continue its medium-term decline based on the fundamental background. Traders are waiting for Powell's comments on interest rates. The market is on hold and is set for a negative scenario

Globally, the currency pair is in a stupor and is in a sideways movement without any clear prospects, trading in a global range between 1.28 - 1.22. On H4 a resistance retest is forming, there are no prerequisites for resistance breakout. Against the backdrop of the strengthening of the dollar index, the pound sterling is losing ground and declining. This decline may continue towards the lower boundary of the trend.

Resistance levels: 1.252, 1.257
Support levels: 1.2422, 1.2300

Technically, we have a bearish trend and weak fundamental background for the currency pair, which generally determines the medium-term prospects for us. We are waiting for a decline to 1.2300
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#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸
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R. Linda Trading

30 апреля 2024 15:33

Central Bank of Japan intervenes in FX market to support yen - WSJ
-- -- --

The #USDJPY pair swung aggressively early in the trading week, even as Japan had a day off. According to the Wall Street Journal, Japanese financial authorities were forced to cut short their public holiday when the yen fell past ¥160 per dollar, a drop not seen since 1990

As the US dollar soared to a 34-year high of ¥160.20, the Japanese yen picked itself up and bucked the trend, rising more than 3.5% to Monday's low of ¥154.50. However, the yen's gains gradually weakened as the session progressed, with the exchange rate hitting a 2.5 percent gain to ¥156.30.

There has been no official confirmation from Japan yet. But finance ministry spokesman Masato Kanda said it was difficult to “ignore the bad consequences that these sharp and abnormal movements will cause to the country's economy”
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R. Linda Trading

30 апреля 2024 15:11

Gold in moment😺: +103pips

R. Linda Trading

30 апреля 2024 13:34

🇭🇰 The first spot #Bitcoin and #Ethereum ETFs officially launched in Hong Kong!

- In half a day, the trading volume of six Hong Kong Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs totaled only $6.3 million.

In comparison, the trading volume of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US on the first day of listing = $4.6 billion.
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
#BTCUSD 🪙
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30 апреля 2024 10:39

💡 Ideas For TRXUSDT 🔴
📈 TRXUSDT → Realization of bullish pattern + golden cross
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
TRX is forming the break of the descending wedge structure, which in general activates the realization of the bullish pattern

On W1 the price is testing one of the key global levels. Consolidation of the price above 0.1184 will be a confirmation of global bullish intentions. Alitcoin has not yet updated the intermediate and global high, which generally determines the long-term prospects for us.
A breakout of 0.12189 range resistance could be a good signal for growth continuation.

Support levels: 0.11788, SMA
Resistance levels: 0.12189

SMA are forming a cross on H4, which is generally a positive signal. A retest of the range resistance may lead to its breakout and further growth to 0.14500.
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R. Linda Trading

29 апреля 2024 16:05

👑 Performance VIP GOLD

🗣For the last week from:
22.04 to 26.04

Total result: 474 pips! ⚡

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🔅Jan02-Jan05 +252 pips
🔅Jan08-Jan12 +560 pips
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For January: +2439 pips!✅

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For February: +1777 pips!✅

🔅Mar04-Mar08 +318 pips
🔅Mar11-Mar15 +313 pips
🔅Mar18-Mar22 -18 pips
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For March: +967 pips!✅

🔅Apr01-Apr05 +430 pips
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For April: +1255 pips!
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R. Linda Trading

29 апреля 2024 14:19

Swap markets are now pricing in just one Fed rate cut in 2024g
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The Fed will keep the rate unchanged at its May 1 meeting. Powell is expected to tighten rhetoric and signal that there will be fewer rate cuts this year than previously expected - BBG
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R. Linda Trading

29 апреля 2024 11:18

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The bulls continue to fight back. Consolidation
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GOLD is in consolidation after the beginning of correction on the background of profit-taking and also strong sell-offs

Technically, the price does not show hints to leave the descending channel in one direction or another, but there are preconditions that indicate that the gold may strengthen to the resistance of the correction channel before further falling. The fall may resume amid the beginning of the strengthening of the dollar index. Within the range and channel, it is worth using the range trading strategy and false breakout or bounce principles.

Resistance levels: 2344, 2365
Support levels: 2328, 2305

The bulls are resisting within the correction, this may strengthen the price to 2350-2360, but in general the correction and price decline may continue as the market is still in a huge imbalance and the price still has not reached the key liquidity areas.
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