GBPUSD is looking to reverse a short-term downtrend after the latest UK inflation data came in unexpectedly above forecasts. Consumer prices for March rose by 3.2% year-on-year, exceeding analysts' expectations for a 3.1% increase. On a positive note, this was the lowest inflation rate since 2021.
Apparently traders are not convinced that inflationary pressures are easing. The pound rose a moderate 0.3% on the news, threatening to break the $1.25 level against the U.S. dollar. The British currency has lost about 3.5% of its valuation against the U.S. dollar over the past six weeks, slipping from $1.29 to current market prices.
Despite the lukewarm figure, inflation has been making steady progress, hitting the 7.3% mark last year. However, there is still much work to be done to get price growth back to the Bank of England's 2% target. And, like the US Federal Reserve, the UK central bank is likely to wait for more data before cutting interest rates.
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"Halving BTC" after 1 day and 16 hours....
Historically, in the short term, there has been high volatility immediately following the "halving".
In the long term, there has been a minimum of hundreds of percent gains
With each "halving" the rally has become on average 3.5 (+-) times less explosive (either coincidence or not).
If the ratio holds this time around, we can expect only 100%+- growth at the 2024 halving.
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💡Ideas For CADJPY 🇨🇦🇯🇵
📈 CADJPY → Pending a breakout of resistance. Target 114?
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CADJPY on the background of global weakening of the yen forms a pre-breakdown setup against 112.26. The currency pair is preparing to strengthen
On D1 the general trend is obvious. Buyers are not going to give up and continue to press the strong limit resistance at 112.26, formed by sellers. The trend is bullish and it may continue. Fundamentally, the Japanese Yen has no positive prospects at the moment. There is a clear potential for further trend continuation on the chart due to price compression to the resistance and formation of pre-breakdown consolidation.
Resistance levels: 112.26
Support levels: MA-50, 111.0
Technically as on H1, H4 and D1 everything is roughly clear. We have a high chance that the market will try to continue breaking the resistance with the purpose of its breakout. Consolidation of the price above the resistance will be a good starting point to 114.0.
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#CADJPY 🇨🇦🇯🇵
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The $62,000+- level is an important support zone - about 210,000 BTC were traded there. Losing this level may lead to a price drop to $51,000 - Glassnode data
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BTC is unlikely to fall below $50,000 unless "something dramatic" happens - Novogratz
PS: the very situation I commented on yesterday. Two days left to "halving" and amid the general environment the price may test 62-60K with a false breakdown.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The price is not falling on the US news. Target 2450?
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GOLD is showing strength as a hedge asset. The price continues to indicate to us that it intends to go even higher. The market is cleaned up after the shakeout and the big player continues to play his game
Bulls form another intermediate bottom at 2365, building a limit support area. The price bounces and strengthens almost to 2400. Gold shows itself as a safe asset and finds interest from investors.
On H1, the price breaks local resistance and heads towards 2400. At the moment, the market's target is to break 2400 and reach the liquidity area of 2431.
Resistance levels: 2431, 2400
Support levels: 2371, MA-50, 2365
Technically, this is a strong bull market. It is worth looking for strong support areas to buy or strong resistance areas to trade on a breakout. Potential target is 2400, 2430, 2450.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Friends, did you know that there is such a phenomenon as "own game" on the market
There are coins, trading instruments, pairs and so on, who do not move after the market, but trade according to their own interests.
Example #XAUUSD on the background of a growing dollar, or a week ago, when the dollar was falling, and #USDJPY was standing still and then started to grow strongly
This means that such a trading instrument has a potential big player who manipulates it and such things are much easier to trade 😎
If you are interested, I can tell you about it 😉
Friends, many people from different countries asked about the broker, I realize that this is an important nuance in your trading.
I have been written to from #India 🇮🇳, #UAE 🇦🇪, #Canada 🇨🇦, #Asia, #Africa, Middle #East, Former #CIS and not only…
I am talking about the broker: AMarkets The broker is available in many countries except USA and European countries.
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Also, they recently reached the mark of 2 million clients, I think this is a good argument to trust them. And besides, it boasts favorable conditions, bonuses, promotions, where you can get up to 100% of your deposit for free and trade with comfort ;)
If you don't know which broker to choose, you can see more information on my website:
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And here's the beauty 😍
The magnificent market and its movements)
Friends, learn, don't stop there and keep moving forward 🧠
Here is an idea on gold, the price has traveled from the area shown on the chart almost 670 pips!!! ⚡️
❗️670 pips in 1 day!
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And so, from the voting we can conclude that you are interested in #Bitcoin.
Let's talk about it.
On the chart we see that the price is standing still, within the range of 73-60K. This has been going on for almost a month and a half, because everyone is waiting for an important event - halving. History shows that after the halving there is a strong growth, which by the way was recently in BCH.
At the moment the market is trading in the zone of 64500. But, there is no clear understanding of further movement. Technically, on the background of halving there can be a long-squeeze, a retest of 61.5K-60K.
What should we do now? Nothing. Let's wait. We should pay attention to 64500, 61500, 59300.
Regarding support: a retest, a false breakdown and a reversal pattern is a scenario for buying against the lower levels.
Regarding resistance: break of 64500 or 68500. Consolidation above the level will be a good signal.
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETHEREUM → Consolidation continues. The market is waiting for...
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ETH is declining following BTC on the back of the crisis in the Middle East, but the price still has not left the sideways range and even more so has not passed through the risk zones, which still leaves the coin in a favorable prospective area
Ethereum is trading in a bullish plane, above the previously broken resistance of the upward range, which tells us that the market is in a bullish trend phase forming a retest of support as part of a counter-trend correction.
The entire cryptocurrency market is standing still in anticipation of a bitcoin halving, which could happen in 3 days. How the market will react is unknown, there is a high probability to see a long-slide before further growth or growth at once.
Resistance levels: 3200, 3730
Support levels: 2910, 2850, Channel Border
Technically, another retest of the support is possible, but we should wait for the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the lower levels in order to catch the growth. Or we should pay attention to 3200 and wait for the formation of a pre-breakout setup and trade the breakdown of resistance.
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#ETHUSD 🔷
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🗣For the last week from:
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Total result: 213 pips! ⚡
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Strange movement in gold on Friday.
Big players trade huge volumes and only on high timeframes: D1, W1, M1 and a huge attention to the fundamental component: strong news, geopolitics, crisis, wars and so on. But, big players are not people, they are companies, where there is a large number of connections, acquaintances, interests and, accordingly, information. And people have more information than an ordinary trader.
All last week the insiders were saying that Iran will attack Israel. There was no clear date, but the closer to the end of the week the information became clearer and most likely in narrow circles it was clear when exactly the conflict would happen.
But, the problem of the conflict is that there is no clear clarity of what can happen, so the goal was adopted: to fix the profit and buy back the asset at more favorable prices.
The psychological mark in the market is $2400 (this is both psychological and option system). Friday is a red day, when it was decided not to carry over to the new week, but to close now. Accordingly, the reaction is 100 pips and a stop at support.
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I remember about it 🙂
I'm shaping the article, examples to make it easier for you to understand.
I will publish it soon 😉
👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Range 2365-2400. Will the price continue to grow?
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GOLD is trying to consolidate above 2365. This area is an intermediate bottom and plays an important role for the bulls in the medium term. The range of 2365-2400 is being formed
In general, everything is the same, but after a strong rally, the price makes a small stop and starts to enter liquidity zones more often, which has not happened for 2-3 weeks. Apparently, the energy is exhausted and the market maker starts to collect liquidity from the market with the help of traps. Gold is still trading above key support levels and looks strong enough to test or even renew the global high
Resistance levels: 2395, 2400, 2430
Support levels: 2365, MA-200, trend support
The price is testing MA-200 and forming a false breakdown of 2365. The market reduces volatility and goes into the waiting phase before the news, the growth may continue either after the support retest or at the breakout of 2380.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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There is not much strong news today, except a few of medium importance, but I don't see the point in discussing them.
Important things were discussed yesterday with the head of the Fed.
The situation in general is complicated, Powell hinted that they cannot control inflation and most likely rates will be kept at the same level longer than they would like.
Overall, you have to realize that the dollar will be expensive for a long time to come.
Accordingly, it is possible to build some medium-term strategy based on it
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💡Ideas For GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
📈 GBPJPY → The Japanese currency continues to weaken
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GBPJPY is preparing to continue its growth amid the strong weakening of the Japanese national currency. Japan's central bank has been underperforming and is not about to do so
The strong bullish trend in the currency pair may be continued. There are no prospects for a trend change. The key target at the moment is 195.844
On H1 it is worth paying attention to the level of 192.78, the price is gradually creeping up to this level and continues to test it, forming a pre-breakout consolidation, technically and fundamentally the market may soon update the maximum and head towards the above target.
Support levels: 192.0, 191.33
Resistance levels: 192.78, 193.54, 195.85
The key emphasis is on the nearest resistance at 192.78. I am waiting for a breakout of the level with further consolidation above the zone and growth to the targets
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#GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
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Powell:
- recent data suggest no further progress in the fight against inflation.
- It is appropriate to let current monetary policy hold for a while
- if higher inflation persists, the Fed will maintain the current rate for as long as needed
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The #dollar 💲 is experiencing its strongest week since 2022 on the back of inflation concerns, shifts in rate expectations and a hot retail sales report. The data suggests that powerful U.S. consumers have maintained healthy spending habits, contrary to speculation that there has been a pullback.
Another batch of hot economic data suggested that interest rates may fall short of the three expected cuts this year and inflation may linger longer than expected. The cloudy outlook has positioned the dollar as a safe haven currency among all others.
In all the noise, the king-dollar remains undefeated, rising above 106.40 on Tuesday. Last week, the dollar had its best week since 2022, rising 1.7% against a basket of six currencies. The euro-dollar exchange rate on Monday hit its lowest level since November at $1.0606. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar stands at a 34-year high of 154.50, raising the prospect of possible intervention from Japan.
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Now I will show something beautiful 😉
Beauty for everyone is something individual and subjective, but beauty for a trader is something very special 😍
👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest
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GOLD is trading exclusively in a bull market. Quick and temporary reactions to the news are quickly exhausted and buyers regain the upper hand on the metal's price
Yesterday the price made another retest of the support at 2330, which has the status of an intermediate bottom. This area held the price and after that the market returned to its true direction. On the background of activity of dynamic buyers the price tests 2390 and forms correction to the support. From 2365 the continuation of growth within the uptrend is also expected. Today from the news only the speech of the head of the Fed at 17:15 GMT.
Support levels: 2365, 2330
Resistance levels: 2390, 2400
Technically, a retest of the support is forming on the background of the uptrend. The 2365 area plays an important role, as the market earlier emphasized the presence of this area. A false breakdown before further growth is possible.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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The #NZDUSD and #GOLD are just gorgeous today 😎
I love it when the market is simple 😉
#GBPUSD continues to decline. Easy and fast movement within the framework of the idea published last week)
The price reached our target quite quickly.
Trading is easy when you understand how the price moves and where the targets are located ;)
You could earn almost 70 pips ⚡️
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📈Forex VIP Performance
For the trading week from:
08.04 to 12.04
Total result +11 pips 💰
🗣You could earn in a week if:
Trade 0.1 lot: +11$
Trade 1 lot: +110$
〰️ 〰️ 〰️
🔸Jan02-Jan05 Profit +400p
🔸Jan08-Jan12 Profit +76p
🔸Jan15-Jan19 Profit +179p
🔸Jan22-Jan26 Profit +287
🔸Jan29-Feb02 Profit +909
For January: +1851 pips!✅
🔸Feb05-Feb09 Profit -105
🔸Feb12-Feb16 Profit +546
🔸Feb19-Feb23 Profit +605
🔸Feb26-Mar01 Profit +231
For February: +1277 pips!✅
🔸Mar04-Mar08 Profit +49
🔸Mar11-Mar15 Profit +148
🔸Mar18-Mar23 Profit +20
🔸Mar25-Mar29 Profit +510
For March: +727 pips!✅
🔸Apr01-Apr05 Profit +34
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