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Gold purchases (in metric tons) by global CBs. The last 3.5 years of purchases are well above the 14 year average - BBG Intelligence data
Citi doesn't rule out gold at $3000 over the next 12-18 mo
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China, Russia and Turkey will continue to increase gold's share of reserves. It is more volatile than US government bonds, but it is liquid. It is one of the few assets that are outside the financial system - former chief investment strategist at Bridgewater Associates
Gold demand is on track to break records thanks to active central bank buying, which has continued and will continue this year - World Gold Council (WGC) predicts
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → Bullish trend structure breakdown
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EURUSD is breaking the structure of the ascending channel and the market is trying to change the trend on the background of the strengthening dollar index. The market is waiting for news from FOMC & FED today
Globally, we have a neutral range in the format of a symmetrical triangle, with strong resistance at 1.095 - 1.10 inside, which restrains the price from further growth on the back of a strong dollar. It is obvious that at the moment, technically, the pair is preparing for a decline to 1.0795 - 1.070. Consolidation below 1.08597 will serve as a signal for further decline.
Today at 18:00 FOMC & FED members and head will speak, where inflation and interest rate in the USA will be discussed. The slightest hint of a more hawkish view on the siutation amid high inflation could strengthen the dollar. In such a case the Euro will continue to fall
Resistance levels: 1.08697. 1.08975
Support levels: 1.07958,1.0703
The news will determine the medium-term outlook for us. Most likely, the data may be negative for the currency pair, because against the background of high inflation regulators will continue to support the dollar.
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸
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Remember what I told you before?
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they often write posts like this:
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🇪🇺 Crypto exchange OKX delist USDT trading pairs for EU users! (TheBlock)
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Senators Sanders and Warren call on the Fed to cut interest rates
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Earlier media reported that in the run-up to the election, Biden and Yellen are urging Powell to start cutting rates amid still-unfired and high inflation, which could be a big problem.... and that the pressure on Powell to cut rates will increase as the election approaches
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Correction + bearish set-up. What to expect from XAU?
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GOLD is being held very tightly within the downward correction channel. The fundamental background on the market is weak, at this time the dollar is growing, which in general negatively affects the price of metal.
Set-up on H4 shows us a strong resistance on the market. In general, this is due to the negative fundamental factor because of the economic news, which generally supports the dollar index. There is a pattern forming on the chart that could break the support formed in December 2023 (2145-2150) In this case a false breakout could occur. Statistically, the strongest moves occur after a false breakout. A breakout and consolidation below 2145-2150 may initiate a strong decline to the liquidity areas indicated on the chart.
Resistance levels: 2156, SMA
Support levels: 2144, 2125, 2100, 2075
I expect a retest of 2145-2150 with a bounce. If the price quickly returns to this support, the chances of a breakout will then increase. Fundamentally and technically, the gold market is showing weakness, so we should expect a negative scenario at the moment
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#XAUUSD 👑
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USDJPY began trading this week on an upbeat note in favor of the US dollar as markets prepare for the monumental event. Traders will be on edge on Monday and Tuesday as the Bank of Japan holds a meeting to decide the fate of interest rates.
If Japan decides to move away from the world's only negative interest rate regime, it would end an eight-year experiment that has kept rates on a flat line. More importantly, it would be the first interest rate hike since 2006. What does all this mean for the Japanese yen and what can we expect this week? Volatility, for one, especially if there are surprises that could make traders scatter.
The Bank of Japan has not explicitly said it will raise rates this week. Some analysts, including UBS, expect Japanese policymakers to skip this meeting and raise rates in April. Others, such as Goldman Sachs, expect a rate hike. Either way, you shouldn't bet your life savings on trying to outsmart the Japanese central bank.
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💡Ideas For GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
📈 GBPJPY → The bullish trend may continue for a long time. Why?
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GBPJPY has been forming a bullish trend for 4 years. This trend may continue its growth as the national currency of Japan is not going to strengthen
On W1 we see a clear trend within the global range. The target in the medium and long term could be 195.844. On H1 there is a beautiful price channel and flat. Within the flat price is trading between levels, earlier there was formed a capture of liquidity from the support at 188.83 (false breakout), which in this case formed a sufficient potential for further growth, as the key liquidity, which is now interested in the market, is located above 191.33.
Resistance levels: 190.08, 191.33
Support levels: 188.83, 187.96
In the near future we expect a breakthrough of resistance at 190.08 with further consolidation of the price above this area, which will form the potential for growth to the target
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#GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Setting and background foreshadowing the decline
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GOLD is updating the global maximum. The distribution stops. The market goes into correction state. But, what is also interesting, a setup is forming on the chart, foreshadowing a support breakout
Let's briefly discuss the current situation in gold, without a long rant. The upcoming week is full of news. FED & FOMC meetings and Powell's speech are the ones to pay attention to, as inflation, interest rate and other nuances that determine the medium-term outlook may be discussed.
Technically, gold is entering a correction phase. If we take a closer look at H1, we can see a descending triangle pattern. The character of the pattern is "support breakout, reversal and decline". This pattern can be interpreted as the presence of a strong seller or the absence of a buyer.
Resistance levels: 2160, 2166, 2173
Support levels: 2155, 2147, 2100
The market is waiting for a correction, which is evidenced by the fundamental background, technical analysis and candlestick patterns. There is a high probability that the support may be broken with the subsequent correction towards the mentioned liquidity areas
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Bitcoin forms a false break of 69K and, as part of yesterday's idea, is already down 6.5% and testing 65K.
The price is forming a range, which is logical after the strong growth. A lot depends on this range, but it is too early to talk about it now.
By the way, a sell signal was given yesterday and today the price reached the second target :)
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Today is quite an important event:
18:00 GMT - FOMC Economic Projections
18:00 GMT - FOMC Statement
18:00 GMT - Fed Interest Rate Decision
18:30 GMT - FOMC Press Conference
Analysts are waiting to see what Powell has to say about inflation, the US environment and the interest rate. And especially: what is their future policy, their view on the situation and what they think about a rate cut.
If the Fed hints at only 2 rate cuts, it will be a clear enough reason for the dollar index to continue to rise, as the Fed will then adopt a hawkish stance. This will continue the phase of supporting the US market economy and appreciating the dollar index.
The Fed is likely to leave the rate unchanged at its meeting today March. But analysts and markets are already estimating the possibility of 2-3 Fed rate cuts this year
Let's wait for 18:00-18:30 and hear what they tell us :)
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The U.S. dollar is up 1.6% from its March low as investors build up tension ahead of today's Federal Reserve meeting. The USD is steadily approaching the 104.00 mark. Since a March bottom of 102.30, the currency indicator, which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of peers, has added 1.6% and is floating around 103.90 at current market prices.
The index is in for a shock today as all eyes will be on the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The rate hold is already embedded in prices. But any surprises could change the dynamics quickly, precipitously and hastily.
Against this backdrop, the US dollar is putting pressure on forex trades with EURUSD floating at $1.09, down about 0.8% from its March high of $1.0980. USDJPY climbed to a new 2024 high of ¥151.60 earlier today following yesterday's decision by the Bank of Japan to raise rates. Its tough stance on future rate cuts has dampened optimism for the yen's rally.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Waiting for the news. What are the odds of a fall ↓ ?
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GOLD is trading under resistance pressure. The market is still forming a downward correction channel after a strong rally. Ahead of important news that will determine the medium-term outlook.
The price is testing the correction resistance, but at the same time sellers are still holding the market back. Buyers do not let the price go beyond 2145-2150, thus a bearish pattern like a descending triangle is formed on the chart. The market still has a chance to break the support and this set-up has a high probability.
The news is coming and everyone is waiting for what Powell has to say about the rate and inflation. His words may determine the medium-term outlook for the market.
Resistance levels: 2160, 2163
Support levels: 2152, 2144, 2125
I am still inclined to believe that we have a fall ahead of us (globally - false breakdown of 2145-2150). Before that, on the background of news, the price may retest the resistance. The main prospective target is the price decline on the background of strengthening of the dollar index.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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US dollar may strengthen if Fed hints at only 2 rate cuts this year - RTRS
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Fed to leave rate unchanged at March 20 meeting, but may change outlook to more hawkish - analysts - BBG survey
markets are already pricing in just 2 to 3 Fed rate cuts this year - BBG
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- or in capital letters: @RLINDASIGNALS
- or lowercase letters: @rlindasignals)
🚫 Scammer Contact: @RLindaSignaIs (seems identical 🤔)
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Managers and hedge funds still selling heavily in the JPY - BBG
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Japan's Central Bank raised rates today for the first time in 17 years and began to exit negative rate mode
BlackRock started betting on yen strength
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USDJPY jumped above ¥150.00 after the Bank of Japan exited its seventeen-year negative interest rate regime. Moreover, the central bank raised rates for the first time since 2007, moving the cost of borrowing from negative 0.1% to between 0% and 0.1%. Normally, such a decision alone would send the local currency flying. So what happened?
The Bank of Japan issued a dovish outlook, promising to maintain soft financial conditions for the foreseeable future to help consumers and businesses weather this historic event. Policymakers said they are abandoning yield curve controls that were introduced in 2016 as a way to support easy-money policies. The central bank will continue to buy 6 trillion yen ($40 billion) worth of Japanese government bonds a month.
This subtle move by Japan's central bankers did not inspire confidence in the yen. Traders rushed to dump their yen holdings, causing the USDJPY exchange rate to rise about 1% to ¥150.50. The battered yen is a headache for the Japanese government, which has previously said it could intervene anywhere above the 150.00 per dollar threshold. The "widowmaker" trade has once again played a role
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💡Ideas For AUDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 AUDUSD → The Bears continue to dominate. Waiting for the fall
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AUDUSD continues to form a downtrend in the medium term. There is no way the Australian dollar can change the trend against the backdrop of a consistently strong US dollar
Global and local trends coincide and have a downward trend. The dollar index continues to trade on the wave of positive economic news. Most likely in the future the currency pair will continue its decline. On H4 we are interested in the level of 0.6535. Consolidation of the price below this zone will form the potential for further decline. Medium-term targets in this case will be 0.6443 and 0.6352.
Resistance levels: 0.6535
Support levels: 0.6443
The bearish trend formation is likely to continue. The dollar is strong and is not going to give up its positions, which generally has a negative impact on the currency pair.
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#AUDUSD 🇦🇺
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🗣For the last week from:
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The correction continues. Test of strong support
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GOLD continues to form correction. Price has been breaking through support since the open and is testing the key liquidity area formed on Dec. 4 $2,145 - $2,150
Overall, the price is not ready to go above the made high. Yes, there was an earlier breakout of the resistance level from December 2023, but there seems to be pressure from the resistance side of the market, this could be due to a strong seller or still no buyer. The candlestick setup indicates that the market is getting ready to go back beyond 2145-2150 and head towards lower zones like 2125, 2100, 2075.
On H1, a bounce is forming within the descending channel, the price may test the moving average zone or even the resistance zone of the channel before resuming the decline.
Resistance levels: 2156, 2162, 2172
Support levels: 2144, 2125
I expect a retest of resistance or moving averages after which the correction will resume. But the breakthrough of 2145-2150 may turn into a change of the local trend
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
False breakdown of resistance. Weak background. The price from 1.08926 may head down.
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Similar. False breakdown of the upper boundary of the range. Fund continues to form flat. We are waiting for a decline to 1.26329.
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
Urvona breakout. Consolidation of the price above 148.52 will give potential for growth.
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Strong fall.The target is support. But it is too early to talk about the support breakout.
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
The price is forming consolidation.We expect growth to the resistance with further trading inside the boundaries.
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - LONG 📈
The rebound from the support amid the growth of the dollar.The currency pair is growing and heading towards 1.3615.
#XAUUSD 👑 - SHORT 📉
Consolidation and weak market.We are waiting for a false breakdown of 2148 and further decline.
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - LONG 📈
The dollar index receives a portion of positive news.Fundamentally and technically, the growth may continue.
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💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Trap. Retest. Breakout. Correction. Halving.
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Below 60K the market will not let the price go, as a breakout of this area will start a strong liquidation and decline, and it will be very difficult to hold it. In the zone of 60K there is a huge pool of liquidity, which can be interesting for the market and accumulation of potential before further growth.
In general, now the market will move in the range, inside the range the correction will develop. Trading will take place between the levels. Expected range: 69-70K (from above) and 60K from below.
Resistance levels: 69K, 71K, 72400, 73700.
Support levels: 65600, fibo 0.382
Based on the current market structure and price behavior, we have a high probability of catching a correction in the market. Everyone needs to rest and whales need to buy at more reasonable prices.
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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