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Bitcoin breaks through the resistance of 64K
Possible correction.
Yesterday, relative to the 62K area support was formed and we took this opportunity to make money :).
PS: keep 64K under control. A retest is possible in the nearest future. Either before further growth or for a false breakdown and correction to 62-61K.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Re-test 2085. The distribution is not yet finalized
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GOLD is testing the maximum. After a long consolidation, a distribution phase is formed, which leads to a false breakdown of the intermediate resistance level. What should we wait for next, decline or growth?
The distribution phase is clearly demonstrated on the background of volume growth. The price is testing the intermediate level of 2084.5 and forms a false breakdown. The value of the level is big enough, but not enough to turn the market. The 2084 area continues to hold the price, but based on the data on the H1 chart we can assume that gold will test this resistance with the aim of breaking through it, as the distribution phase is not over yet. If the compression to the upper boundary of the consolidation on H1 continues, namely to Friday's high, a breakout and further growth to the next intermediate targets may happen with a high probability.
Support levels: 2079,5, 2069.9, 2065
Resistance levels: 2088.4, 2100
The growth is not over, as the realization of the accumulated potential inside the consolidation is not exhausted yet. There is a possibility of correction, but at the break of 2079.5. But still, I stick to the break of resistance and further growth
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Consolidation above support. A good sign on the background of a possible decline in the dollar. Target -1.09
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
False break of support. Buyers hold the price and are ready for further growth
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - SHORT 📉
False break of support, closing near 149.7. Possible breakout attempt for decline
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
The price does not reach the support and forms a stop. The fall of the dollar can provoke the growth of NZD.
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - SHORT 📉
False breakout and shake up. the market may test 0.882 for a breakout to further decline
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - NEUTRAL
Consolidation movement. It is worth trading carefully, as the Canadian is resisting on the background of the expected decline in the dollar.
#XAUUSD 👑 - LONG 📈
Strong momentum. A break of 2084 will continue the growth. But before that there may be a correction.
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - SHORT 📉
The fundamental weakness is manifested. The price cannot pass through 104.2, a consolidation is forming under the level, which may weaken the dollar.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Distribution phase. When do we reach 2150?
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GOLD is moving out of range. A distribution is being formed. During the trading week the price strengthens by 2.5%, and the closing of the price on Friday gives us prerequisites for further movement
As part of the outlook, gold has quite an interesting path ahead. Interest in the metal is increasing, especially within the framework of the unstable 2023 and early 2024. All of last week was favorable for gold as the US market pulsed with negative economic data. This contributed to the end of the consolidation and the beginning of the distribution. US regulators are not doing a very good job. Inflation is still high, jobless claims are rising, GDP is falling. But what they are confidently doing well is keeping interest rates flat for extended periods of time. 😄
Prolonged consolidation is getting a denouement. Price is moving out of the triangle upward, breaking the range resistance. And the prerequisite for the resistance breakout was volume growth and consolidation formation near the upper boundary of the range. Since we see the distribution on the background of volume growth, and the closing of the daily candle on Friday indicates that the movement is not over, we can assume that the breakout of 2084 will provoke the continuation of growth to 2090, 2100 and further to 2150 - ATH.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Rally stop. When do we reach $69 000 - $70 000?
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The 64K-60K range is being formed. This range plays the role of consolidation while the price is restrained by its borders. On the background of price stoppage after strong growth, GBTC outflows increase again, some resistance area is formed, as well as strong liquidity below the local lows.
While the price is in consolidation, all these areas of liquidity will be liquidated, the price may test the support of 61K, 60K, 59500, as well as 0.236 fibo or even 0.382 fibo. Inside this range, between 64-60K, it is not worth to open trades, the best choice will be strong support areas.
As for selling: Against the backdrop of a strong trend, selling should be treated very carefully. I would recommend waiting for a test of ATH - 69K. Or the formation of strong preconditions to break the support of the current consolidation (59500-60500 lvl). A strong rally is unlikely to break 69K from the first time. The price will either form a deep correction or there will be another consolidation range. But we will discuss this after the retest of the high.
Support levels: 60500, 59600, 57600
Resistance levels: 63300, 63600, 64900
Consiliation is likely to be formed now and this phase should be considered on H1-H4 timeframes. Within the consolidation there may be retests of deeper levels, as well as false breakdowns of strong zones
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Rally stop. When do we reach $69 000 - $70 000?
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BTC is testing 64K on the background of the rally triggered by the huge buying interest and is likely to enter the consolidation phase again. There is a little more than 10% to the global target, when will we reach it?
The prospects for BTC are quite high as BTC-ETF advertising campaigns, trading volumes, records in ETFs, buying interest in both BTC and BTC-ETFs together continue to gain momentum.
BTCUSD is testing 64K quite a bit faster than everyone expected back in January-February. The strong distribution is once again transitioning into consolidation. At the moment, intermediate and global targets are 64900, 67800 and 69000.
Strong support zones are the 50-52K zones and the places where strong lines are crossed. Based on market data, a huge amount of BTC was bought here, which makes this area an intermediate market bottom.
Also worth noting is the 59K-60K support, similarly, there has been huge buying in this area, which also identifies this area as an intermediate bottom and strong support.
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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Gold is testing 2088. What happened?
Remember, I told you about the essence of consolidation, the role of this phenomenon in conjunction with the market maker? Well, that's what happened. That's exactly what happened.)
Consolidation is formed not by ordinary traders, but by market managers, i.e. market makers. While the price was in the range, the market maker was gaining liquidity. As soon as the market maker collects the volume he needs, he removes the orders that delimit this range and the price, free, flies up or down. And when resistance is broken, this movement was supported by the worked stop orders of sellers and purchases of those who opened long positions.
Around Wednesday-Thursday we started to get preconditions for resistance breakout. I wrote about it in my ideas and prepared you for it.
I wrote about the strength of the distribution once before. It all depends on how long the consolidation takes to form and how much it narrows.
And the news on Wednesday-Thursday and Friday favorably influenced the distribution.
Here you can see the result of almost 500 points.
The last few days have been getting negative news for the dollar. Which I was still starting to talk about on Wednesday.
The US market has put too many problems on itself and is still not coping well.
It is likely that at the next speech Powell will again talk about a rate hike....
Of Importance:
Analysts expect PMI to be bullish for the dollar.
This is logical, but at this market stage the odds are higher that the data could be worse than expected. This could have a negative impact on the dollar index. But again, against the backdrop of the US president and regulators' policies, the numbers could be better as the objective is to keep the dollar in the current range.
Today we should also pay attention to the FED & FOMC speeches, where most likely the interest rate and inflation issues will be discussed.
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💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 NZDUSD → The bearish trend continues to accompany the price
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NZDUSD is trading inside the descending price channel. A new downward movement is formed on the background of the growing dollar index, the pair is testing the support, the breakthrough of which can give a strong impulse
A descending triangle is forming on W1, which indicates the weakness of the New Zealand dollar. The price cannot break through the trend resistance, and another dxy reversal for growth indicates that nzd will continue to weaken.
On n4 we are interested in the level of 0.60862, relative to which a pre-breakout consolidation is formed, which can move the market into the phase of distribution. Breakout of 0.60862 and price consolidation below the level will be a confirmation that the pair is ready to continue falling to the mentioned targets.
Resistance levels: 0.611, MA-200
Support levels: 0.60862, 0.600
I expect a breakthrough of the specified trigger zone with a subsequent fall towards the specified targets.
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#NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
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US - Initial Jobless Claims = 215k (expected 209k / previously 201k)
US - INFLATION - PCE PRICE INDEX (Jan)
m/m = +0.3% (expected +0.3% / previously +0.2%)
y/y = +2.4% (expected +2.4% / earlier +2.6%)
Overall, this is a bearish scenario for the dollar and a bullish scenario for gold, and the forex market.
We were ready for this 💪. (Read the idea)
As for the expected news.
In general, analysts expect negative news for the dollar, which can be quite positive for gold.
Yesterday we got a negative GDP and it can be a prerequisite that in general the politics in the US is not very good now.
Technically, the dollar is forming a prerequisite for a possible break of 103.7 and a fall. (The long-shadow candle is a shakeout and capture of bullish liquidity before the fall. (theoretically)
As for Initial Jobless Claims, analysts are expecting an increase in claims and that is logical at this stage.
CPI will reflect the formal level of inflation, and as we remember, the past data shows a worsening situation.
Bottom line. A worse-than-expected performance may drop the dollar, while a better-than-expected performance will strengthen it, which will affect the forex and gold prices.
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U.S. national debt increases by $1 trillion about every 100 days - CNBC
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JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon believes the U.S. debt is the "most predictable crisis" in history
CEO of payment service Strike believes it's the US debt problem that will truly send #BTC to the moon
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → Consolidation for continued growth. What's the target?
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EURUSD is forging consolidation within the ascending channel after the breakout of the local trend. This setup may be aimed at further growth towards range resistance.
On D1 we see consolidation forming above the key support at 1.07958. A rather strange paranormal volume was drawn on Thursday, which is difficult to interpret in the current environment. The dollar index also stands still and continues to shrink to the support.
A local channel is forming on H1, another retest of 1.07958 or trend support is possible, after which the currency pair may head towards the targets indicated on the chart. There is no news today, so the trading session on Monday may be calm.
Support levels: 1.07958
Resistance levels: 1.08975, 1.1000
I expect the growth to continue within the emerging setup. A change in the local trend is forming within the global flat. Consolidation may form the potential for the continuation of the formation of a bullish impulse.
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Distribution phase. When do we reach 2150?
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Based on the general situation at the moment, we can distinguish two highly probable scenarios.
Since the market is bullish, as evidenced by the previously mentioned facts, we can conclude from the current assumptions: resistance breakout, realization phase, distribution, Friday candle closing, growing volume, that we should look for further growth.
Scenario 1: Consolidation between 2087 and 2078 followed by a squeeze to 2087, breakout and rise to 2100 and 2125
Scenario 2: Correction to 2078, to Fibo 0.236. False breakout, return to the range of 2087 - 2078. Breakout of resistance and growth to ATH
Resistance levels: 2082, 2087
Support levels: 2078, 0.236 fibo, 0.382 fibo
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Regarding ETHEREUM 🔹
Similar situation
After the rally, a consolidation is formed and a weak but pressure from the resistance.
Emphasize on the mentioned levels. The price will trade between them.
A break of 3520 will resume the growth
A break of 3283 may form a correction to 3200-3100.
But a prolonged consolidation of several days to several weeks is likely to occur. There will be a false break of resistance, followed by a false break of support, which will resume the rise to 3520, followed by a break and rise to 3600 and above.
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Would love your support on the link 🙂
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/yirZ2KY5-BITCOIN-Rally-stop-When-do-we-reach-69-000-70-000/
Thank you all 🫶
It's been an interesting week. Time to rest as it's already the end of Friday.
Have a wonderful weekend everyone. Tomorrow I will review the cryptocurrency market, and on Sunday we will talk about gold.
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Please check your e-mail you have indicated.
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That's the news. Still, the data makes sense.
The US market is getting a bit worse due to inflation, bad GDP and so on.....
👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Retest of 2050. Can the price go even higher?
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GOLD is breaking through strong resistance and testing the 2050 area, favorably influenced by the fundamental background from Thursday. The market is trying to move into a bullish phase, but globally the price is held back by a huge sideways flat
On H4 we see the price trying to form a consolidation above the previously broken trend lines of resistance. Support at 2041 is now playing an important role. Since the opening of the session on Friday, gold tested this area with a false breakdown, after which a bullish impulse was formed and XAU is already testing the resistance 2048. A break of this area will confirm the price going beyond the correction, which may help the upside to 2057-2060. But, a correction from 2048 is possible before a further rise to the above targets, and we should also pay attention to today's news. It is necessary to watch the price reaction to this zone.
Resistance Levels: 2047.8 - 2049, 2057
Support levels: 2044, 2041
I expect the growth to continue, because both technically and fundamentally, the market is pointing to it now. But, there may be a fall in the price if the structure of 2044-2041 is broken. In this case, the price may head towards the channel support
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Friends, thank you for participating in the contest
We are currently analyzing the conditions and your answers.
The list of winners is almost defined and soon we will start contacting you and sending prizes 🌟
I will not send names, contacts or anything else as a sign of confirmation to the group, as this is confidential information (usernames (ID) and e-mail addresses).
I will post feedback from the winners if they wish to leave it 👍
For the Fed, the fight against inflation is not over. The Fed's favorite inflation measure, Core PCE - BBG, is expected to rise in January.
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Here's the thing about that kind of range. And it doesn't just apply to gold, it applies to everything: forex, crypto, and stocks. Everywhere.
A contraction, consolidation, flat, range is formed on the chart. Call it whatever you want.
Inside the boundaries, the market maker forms a position and gains liquidity before further movement in one direction or another.
We as traders can be guided by the preconditions that appear on the chart. I have pointed out some of the most understandable ones in the idea.
But the only problem in this case is this: UNTIL THE MARKETMARKER GAINS THE POSITION HE WANTS, AND UNTIL THE OPPORTUNE MOMENT COMES (any reason, news, position gained or some insider), HE WILL NOT RELEASE THE PRICE OUTSIDE THE BOUNDARIES, EVEN IF THERE ARE PRECONDITIONS FOR IT.
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