A bit about advisors and indicators:
Market analysis should be multi-layered. You can't just rely on one indicator, price action, or fundamental indicator alone.
All auxiliary types of analysis have their advantages and disadvantages, but none of them alone will cover the entire market.
For me, since I originally started this way, it is enough to look at a clean chart 😎. But, for high accuracy, I use indicators as a secondary aid.
I advise you to use price action as a priority analysis, and a good indicator or an Expert Advisor as a secondary tool, but you should make decisions about opening trades yourself.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Correction against the background of a bearish trend
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GOLD on Thursday is buying back some of the decline after bouncing off support. The market is under selling pressure and strong ETF selloffs are contributing to the downtrend
Price is testing strong resistance that was broken on inflation related news. But the fall is being redeemed on the back of lower than expected Initial Jobless Claims, the dollar index seems to be forming a small rebound on the strengthening.
Technically, as gold is forming a correction to resistance, this key resistance could be 2004, 2009. A false breakdown and retest of this area could form the potential for further declines, as the generally negative fundamental background for gold remains.
Resistance levels: 2004, 2009
Support levels: 2000, 1998, 1990, 1986
On the background of correction, the price may test the resistance before further decline, as it is the decline that should be considered at the moment on the background of the downtrend
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#XAUUSD 👑
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Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas notes that net outflows from gold ETFs have persisted since the beginning of this year
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The USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵 pair declined in early Thursday trading after data showed Japan's economy unexpectedly slipped into recession. The exchange rate fell to around ¥150.00 after earlier rising to a three-month high above ¥150.80 amid a strengthening U.S. dollar.
On a quarterly basis, the figures were also underwhelming. A 0.1% contraction in the fourth quarter followed a 0.8% contraction in the third quarter. Two consecutive quarters of falling growth technically meet the definition of a recession. And that complicates the expected abandonment of the Bank of Japan's easy money policy as it considers raising rates for the first time since 2007.
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Core Retail Sales - expected 0.2% instead of 0.4% - negative data
Initial Jobless Claims - expected 219K instead of 218K - negative data
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index - Expected -8.0 instead of -10.6 - positive data
Retail Sales - Expected -0.2% instead of 0.6% - non-aggressive data.
In general - analysts are expecting bad US index data, which technically could lead to a decline in the index, after which gold could buy back the decline and strengthen to 2000-2010 levels.
But the market is paying attention to actual data versus expected data.
If the data turns out to be better than expected - positive, the dollar will continue its growth on a predominantly bullish fundamental background.
But, if the data turns out to be worse than expected, the dollar index may pick up a wave of strong sell-offs.
US politics may prevent strong negative readings based on the inflation situation as well as the presidential election race. There is a high probability that the data could turn out to be neutrally bullish for the dollar.
Today is going to be a very fun day for the market )
So much news...
And overall, many of them are strong enough to shake up the market
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Pressure on Powell (the same) from the Biden administration to lower the Fed Funds rate will grow as the election approaches - FOX
Upd:
In the run-up to the election, Biden and Yellen are urging Powell to start cutting rates. But amid high and still-cooling inflation, it's not easy to do so - NYT
After yesterday's inflation report, concern has risen sharply among CEOs and Wall Street that Powell may start cutting rates amid newly rising inflation. The topic could be one of the biggest political stories of the year, given the implications.... - FOX
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Fed's biggest fear is a resumption of rising inflation - like the 1970s - MarketDesk (chart)
U.S. could see a new wave of rising inflation - like the 1970s - JPMorgan
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CPI continued to decline last month, but fell short of analysts' consensus forecast of 2.9%.
EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸 fell early Tuesday, dipping below $1.08 as forex traders reacted to the latest inflation report from the US. Inflation for January came in at 3.1%, higher than the expected 2.9% but below December's 3.4%. Although markets sent well wishes, thoughts and prayers trying to get more evidence that inflation is consistently falling and on track to reach the golden mean of 2%, home prices and rents pushed the main indicator up.
The U.S. Federal Reserve got another curveball as policymakers need to decide when to start taper interest rates. The consumer price index is one of the main indicators tracked by the central bank because it is closely linked to the level of interest rates. A higher reading suggests that rates will not be cut soon enough
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → Weak pound on negative fundamental backdrop
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GBPUSD is finally coming out of a long consolidation. Tuesday's news determines the medium-term prospects for the market, and most likely the decline will continue
The target at the moment is 1.25000 - liquidity area and also an important psychological level. The bullish correction is coming to an end and the price is back in the bearish phase. After the inflation report, the markets are now betting that the Fed may start the interest rate cut phase in the summer. @ RLindaTrade. The forex market is plunging into the red corridor on the back of a rising Dollar index.
The currency pair will technically reach 1.2500 in the near term and a correction may follow after a false breakdown.
Resistance levels: 1.2615, 1.2650
Support levels: 1.2520, 1.2500
A break of consolidation support opens a bearish trend. Negative fundamental background will favor it. @ RLindaTrade. The nearest target is 1.25, further correction may follow before the subsequent fall to 1.2380.
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#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸
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That's it, I'm finishing bragging, just a look at Ethereum 🔹 🫡
Very beautiful 😍
Without further ado :)
For the week + 8% or +$350 in value 😈
A few posts about bragging :)))
Did you see how we correctly calculated the downward movement in gold yesterday?))) 💪
A clear breakout of the specified area and a drop of almost +150pips ⚡️. The first target indicated on the chart was reached in a few hours. Awesome)
The British pound 🇬🇧 rose to $1.26, moving away from near 2-month lows hit earlier this month, after U.K. wage growth slowed less than expected in late 2023, suggesting the labor market may need more time to cool, favoring a delayed interest rate cut by the Bank of England.
More important economic data, including inflation and GDP, await the UK this week. Market expectations point to a 0.1% contraction in Q4, which would take the UK into a technical recession.
However, Bank of England Governor Bailey on Monday noted signs of economic recovery, emphasizing that the bank's forecasts point to a "somewhat stronger growth story."
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there is a picture circulating around the net claiming that "Satoshi Nakamoto" can be translated as "Hal Finey"
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Earlier, Bloomberg's chief ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated that he believes the real Satoshi Nakamoto was Hal Finney, who is believed to have been the first to make a transaction with Satoshi and also spoke to him via e-mail in 2009.
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💡Ideas For EURJPY 🇪🇺🇯🇵
📈 EURJPY → A break of resistance will lead to a rise to 164.0
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EURJPY is realizing the potential of rebound from support and forms a retest of resistance. At the moment consolidation is forming above the level, which increases chances for further growth
Globally, the currency pair continues to form a strong bullish trend, having left the previously formed ascending channel, which is currently a strong support area. The price is retesting the resistance at 161.87, after a small correction the chances of breaking through the level are increasing. The weakness of the Japanese Yen is quite clearly shown on the quotations. The price consolidation above 161.4 will allow to overcome 161.870 and continue the growth towards the range resistance - 163.6 and 164.2.
Resistance levels: 161.87
Support levels: 161.4, 160.9
The currency pair continues to strengthen, buyers are quite active. Consolidation above 161.4, breakout of 161.87 and consolidation above this area will form a local bottom for continuation of growth.
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#EURJPY 🇪🇺🇯🇵
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❗️ Coming Soon News - 13:30 GMT
🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims
🇺🇸 USA - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
🇺🇸 USA - Retail Sales
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD - Formation of a bearish channel. Bounce before the fall
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GOLD is moving into a consolidation phase after a phase of strong sell-offs. The probable reason could be the news that the market is waiting for. What can happen in the market?
The general fundamental background for gold is negative, therefore, it is worth considering further prospects downward. Technically, a descending channel is beginning to form on the chart, but the price is already forming a rebound from the trend support, confirming the presence of the channel boundary. As the news is ahead, before the fundamental data update, the gold market may test one of the key resistances to capture liquidity. Such target may be MA-50, 1998, or the boundary of the range 2000-2004. And the target on the background of the bearish trend may be the area of 1980 - 1976
Support levels: 1990
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1998, 2000, 2004
Traders are waiting for the news, analysts are generally expecting bearish numbers, but something tells us that the current US policy will not allow strong bearish data. Technically the trend is bearish and after the rally, the price may test the sellers' liquidity zones before falling further
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETHUSD → Retest 2800. What's next? Growth or pullback?
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ETH is forming a gorgeous rally after breaking through the consolidation resistance of 2838. There was an idea where I pointed out the importance of this area. The coin is up almost +19%
Technically, the price is currently forming a trend retest and is at its highs. High interest in etherum as well as strong fundamentals play a favorable role for further strengthening of the pair. The main fundamental frontier is ETH-ETF, analysts are waiting for approval in summer, but so far it is only a rumor.
Technically, after the rally, the price can form a false break of trend resistance and 2788.8 and form a correction to the risk area - 0.236 fibo or 2644 before further growth. But the market is so strong that consolidation above 2788.8 may form a local bottom, which will favor further growth to the above targets.
Support levels: trend, 0.236 fibo, 2644
Resistance levels: 2788.8, 2952, 3275
A strong bullish trend may form a stop or a small correction before further growth. Technically and fundamentally everything is predisposed to the trend continuation.
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#ETHUSD 🔷
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Steven Nerayoff, a former Ethereum advisor, has made serious allegations against Gary Gensler (SEC), accusing him of hidden involvement in ETH amid pending approval of spot ETH-ETFs
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in 2021, lawyer John E. Deaton uncovered many interesting facts in favor of SEC corruption, indicating that the then head of SEC promoted ETH and mothballed XRP, which in 2018 was the number 2 coin after BTC
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The cryptocurrency market's flagship has crossed 50K for the first time since December 2021 as new speculators moved into accumulation mode.
#BTCUSD gave the cryptocurrency community another dose of hope that the asset could update ATH this year with just $20K left to go, as well as an adrenaline rush as its price climbed above $50,000 for the first time since December 2021. From the 42K area, where strong support lurks, BTC rose 21%, rising to $51K.
Newly launched spot bitcoin ETFs saw $1.1 billion in net inflows last week, or the difference between total assets entered and exited. The excitement on Wall Street about bitcoin has spilled over into the broader crypto space. The entire digital asset market added more than 2% to its valuation, reaching $1.9 trillion dollars
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → News takes price out of uptrend and consolidation
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GOLD is leaving the range. It happened. Tuesday's news defines the medium-term outlook for the market and, amid selling pressure, the price reaches targets below 2000
Today we have no news, the fundamental background remains the same - negative for gold. The chart above clearly shows that the price is coming out of the consolidation phase and the uptrend. The strong support area is broken, and the closing of the daily candle on Tuesday defines the local boundary at 1990, if it is broken, the decline will continue.
Actual targets at the moment are 1980 - 1976. @ RLindaTrade. A strong enough liquidity zone that beckons this wave of momentum.
After the inflation report, the dollar continues to rise, and the markets are now betting that the Fed will not cut rates before June, which is a negative leverage for the forex, including the XAU.
Resistance levels: 1993, 1997, 2000, 2004
Support levels: 1990, 1980, 1976
1990 plays a key role. There may be a correction or multiple retests before the breakout. But a pre-breakout consolidation or consolidation below 1990 may start further sell-offs towards 1980
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#XAUUSD 👑
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No news in the market today
General fundamental background has been maintained since yesterday's day
We can exhale 😳
But, the market is never calm, something unpredictable can shake it up 🤪
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And bitcoin 💰?)
On February 3, I said to target growth from 42K - /channel/RLindaTrade/4599
What happened?
Consolidation above 42K and in a week and a half the price reaches +50K!!!
+8000 dollars in price in 2 weeks. Wow 🤪
That's almost 19%. A classy and clean move :) 😎
The following important news is published today:
Core CPI (MoM) - expected 0.3% previously 0.3%
Core CPI (YoY) - expected 3.7% instead of 3.9%.
CPI (YoY) - expected 2.9% previously 3.4%
CPI (MoM) - expected 0.2% previously 0.3%
In general, analysts expect a decline in the index, i.e. bearish data, which may put pressure on the dollar. Accordingly, gold may continue to grow towards the target. And forex currencies will either remain in consolidation waiting for more important news or form a correction.
However, the market reacts to the actual data. If the figures are lower than expected data, gold and currencies may rise, and accordingly, if the figures are higher than expected, which is a favorable scenario for the dollar, then in this case gold as well as the currencies of countries will continue to correct downward.
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