👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → False breakdown before the news. What to expect?
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GOLD, amid the decline we were waiting for, reaches the target of 2015 and forms a false breakout. But the only thing that is constant is the range. What should we expect from the price at this point?
The dollar stops again and goes into consolidation before another series of news. Today the market is waiting for the CPI.
Gold enjoys a very high interest from the Central Bank and traders are actively trying to buy and contain a possible fall. Thus, the false breakdown provokes the growth and strengthens the prices to the resistance 2064 and the trend line. A false breakdown may be highly likely to be followed by a small correction before further growth. Trading inside the range continues, so it is worth to follow the appropriate strategy. Since we have no actual trend, it is acceptable to sell or buy, but only if there is a strong reversal zone and a signal.
Resistance levels: 2064, trend line, 2037
Support levels: 2018, 2015
Inside the range, the price is moving between the levels. Based on the situation, I expect a false breakdown of the nearest level, correction to support before further growth to the upper boundary of the range.
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Economists haven't been this critical of Fed policy tightness in 13 years - believe the Fed has kept rates too high for too long - BBG survey
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For the trading week from:
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Tuesday's inflation data will give profit seekers a reason to step in and intensify forex trades.
The dollar index staggered early Monday, recouping some of last week's gains. Quiet trading over the past few days has lowered the dollar's valuation against six currencies, with the buck slipping from a three-month high above 104.50 to current market prices floating near the 104.00 mark.
The upcoming inflation data is likely to bring the necessary volatility to forex trading. On Tuesday, profit seekers will analyze the January Consumer Price Index report in the hope that price pressures will ease to an expected 2.9% from 3.4% in December
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Sellers are testing trend support. What could happen?
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GOLD has been testing the local resistance area since the opening of the session and forming a false breakout with subsequent decline, but at the same time a symmetrical triangle is forming on the chart
On D1 the market is still neutral, there is no strong news that would affect the price, but as we can see, gold is testing the global trend support. At the same time, the dollar index continues to form a bullish trend, which is bad for gold.
On H1, we can see the local trend change to a downtrend, but the continuation of the trend is hindered by the support of the symmetrical triangle. We have a chance to catch a breakout of this area. Consolidation of the price below the 2021 area will confirm the market sentiment, ready to decline to 2015-2010.
Resistance levels: 2026.4, trend resistance
Support levels: 2021, 2015, 2010, 2004
The gold market is under selling pressure, buyers are trying to hold this pressure, but against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar, the bulls' strength is starting to wear off. Breakout 2021, then 2015 may trigger strong sell-offs on the background of possible liquidation.
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BTC buyers from the 2021 bull cycle have only just reached breakeven. - CryptoQuant data
The most fearful and impatient may want to close out trades. But most long-term holders are set to hold, follows multiple Glassnode reviews
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → When will the price come out of consolidation?
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The chart above shows the current range. The price has not yet managed to update the local lows, as well as the highs, as evidenced by the neutrality of forces between buyers and sellers. Against the background of the local situation: dollar growth, negative fundamental background for gold, we can determine that in the coming week gold may test flat support before further rebound (or false breakdown), after which the price may continue trading within this range.
The reason for continued consolidation: there is no strong news in the market, the dollar continues to rise as the Fed is not looking to cut rates anytime soon, but buyers are actively trying to contain the declines in gold. The interest in gold is also affected by the interest of the world central banks, as well as the geopolitical crisis, as well as rumors of a banking crisis in the United States.
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Based on the general data, it makes sense to expect one of two scenarios in the market, relative to the mentioned resistance:
1) Without a pullback. Breakthrough of 47281 and price consolidation above the level with subsequent growth.
2) Rollback. Retest of support (0.236 Fibo), or intermediate support, further retest of resistance and breakout of 47281.
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💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Retest 48K. Should we wait for resistance breakout?
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Bitcoin confidently consolidates above 42K, thus forming an intermediate bottom, after which the price tests the currently important resistance 48234, but does not reach it and forms a rebound
Earlier we discussed the importance of the 42K level, which was tested by the flagman for a long time and at some point, when the market calmed down after a huge burst of selling, buyers successfully consolidate above the level, thus marking it as the strongest support at the moment, forming a bottom, strengthening to 44500 with the subsequent break of resistance and growth to the global resistance. This once again proves that the coin has huge interest, excellent fundamentals and technical analysis.
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A little life hack for traders 🤩
The range on the market is important because inside the boundaries the market forms accumulation of potential for further movement. Accumulated liquidity has a property of moving from consolidation (range) to distribution phase and vice versa. Earlier I told you how to determine how long the distribution will last after the price exits the consolidation: /channel/RLindaTrade/4537
So, let's try to understand how to determine when the price will leave the range:
In a range, technically, price moves from resistance to support and vice versa. Relative to the boundaries, relative to the local levels inside the range, many traps are formed, many incomprehensible meneuvers, because it is important for the market maker to collect the maximum possible liquidity. Roughly, but this is the essence of consolidation, by the way study the post about why it is hard to trade inside the range: /channel/RLindaTrade/4622
So, once the potential is accumulated, the whales are no longer interested in pulling the price to the opposite boundary. The most simple and clear signal is a quick price return to the previously tested boundary - RETEST.
Two upper charts: retest after touching the range boundary
Two lower charts: retest after a false breakdown of the range boundary.
In brief, without too much technical nerdiness:
Price after a test or retest forms a short correction and quickly turns back to the level to test it for a breakout.
BTCUSD 🪙 rose above $46,000 and hit a one-month high, riding a wave of buying just as the Chinese New Year, the Year of the Dragon, is upon us. This time of year is historically favorable for bitcoin. In Mandarin Chinese, the word "dragon" sounds very similar to the word "long," which reinforces crypto traders' conviction to ramp up long bets on the token.
Against this backdrop, BTC hit a session high of $46,500 on Friday. Moreover, it is completing its fourth day of growth, having gained more than 10% in that time. Deals made in early February are lifting other tokens as well. Ethereum ETHUSD is the second largest coin, up about 7% over the past week, floating near the $2,500 per piece mark.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Support retests continue. Weak fundamental background
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GOLD on the background of news on Thursday is declining, but does not reach the local minimum. On the background of the pullback the price also does not reach the local maximum. The range boundaries are narrowing.
Volatility is very low, the price has been standing still for two days, as evidenced by the D1 candlesticks of Wednesday and Thursday. Technically, we can observe a global uptrend, but at the moment we should pay attention to the symmetrical triangle. The price continues to test the trend support. Each new retest of the support forms a weaker and weaker reaction, the price continues to squeeze against the support. Technically, we can assume that the market is preparing to break the lower trend boundary, which can form a volume surge and a strong momentum towards the lower levels, such as 2000. Fundamentally, although we have high interest in the metal, but locally, the fundamental background is weak, as evidenced by this week's news.
Support levels: 2029.7, 2020, 2015 2004
Resistance levels: 2039 - 2942
It is logical to expect a decline based on the current data, from the opening of the US session, the market may test resistance before falling
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#XAUUSD 👑
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But amidst this mess, there are a few technical guesses as to why gold might fall 🙂
Reading the charts is easy enough, the key is to see these nuances that can point you in the right direction 😉
*we are not talking about fundamentals now, just technical analysis
💡 Ideas For GTCUSDT 📈
📈 GTCUSDT → Resistance Retest. Preparation before the breakthrough
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GTCUSDT is testing the trend and consolidation resistance and apparently has a chance to break through this boundary
The coin is forming a bottom at 0.300, after which the consolidation phase continues, but at the same time, relative to the trend resistance the coin is forming a pre-breakout consolidation.
Growing capitalization of altcoins, green cryptocurrency market favorably affect GTC, which can provoke a breakout of the mentioned resistance area.
The break of 1.344 level and price consolidation above this zone will form a bullish potential, which may trigger a bullish distribution after consolidation.
Resistance levels: 1.344, 1.650, 1.915
Support levels: 1.210, 1.060
I expect that the pre-breakout consolidation will favor the breakout of resistance and the price will eventually start to change the bearish trend
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Bitcoin is moving according to the first scenario ;)
Congratulations to those who took the chance and opened a purchase 🎉
Result + 5.75% in a few days 🤑
PS: price updates high and tests 49K 😍
UPD: $50 000 retest ;)
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By the way, I published a post on Friday about how to analyze the market, specifically how to figure out when price will break out of a range.
I think people are too lazy to learn or read on Friday 😅
So, you can start studying the market on Monday 😀
👉 /channel/RLindaTrade/4640
Strange, but some very weak reaction to gold ideas both in the telegram group and in tradingview. (I am not provoking, I was wondering why...) 🤔
Are you no longer interested in gold?
Or are you too lazy to read a lot of text?
I will make a poll later, we will choose: detailed ideas, where you can learn to think, analyze, or just short 1-2 sentences, as many who share their ideas do... 🤨
PS: or is it that the market is standing still and nothing seems to change? 😄
💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → Correction before the fall. The trend is still downward
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EURUSD is forming a counter-trend correction towards the liquidity zone and resistance. The currency pair is forming a bearish trend and may continue falling from the resistance
The currency pair reaches the support at 1.07254 and forms a correction towards the liquidity zone, presumably it is 1.0820 - 1.08215. On the background of a strong bearish trend, which is defined by the strengthening Dollar Index, the euro may continue to lose its positions after the retest of 1.08200. At the moment there are no reasons for the end of the downtrend, as the general fundamental background is the same - the dollar is strong with the confident support of the US regulators. The trend may change on the background of news related to the interest rate, but there is no such news yet.
Resistance levels: 1.08215
Support levels: 50-MA, 1.0780, 1.0724
There is an assumption that the correction may end in the trend resistance zone, then, based on TA and fundamental background, the currency pair may continue to decline.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → When will the price come out of consolidation?
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In the coming week, starting on Tuesday, we will start to encounter important news that could affect both the dollar and gold.
Overall, on CPI, the market is expecting neutral to positive data
On Retail Sales and Initial Jobless Claims, the market is expecting negative data for the $, amid an unclear political environment.
But Friday's PPI, if higher than expected, may cheer up the USD index a bit, as well as the SP500.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → When will the price come out of consolidation?
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GOLD closed the trading session with a bearish candlestick on Friday. The asset loses 0.8% for the week, but at the same time it continues to stay inside the range between the strong boundaries of 2067 and 2010
The dollar continues to strengthen, testing support as part of the correction and apparently preparing for further growth, which may temporarily have a negative impact on gold. But, if you look closely, technically, gold, on the background of increased interest feels quite confident and the market is trying not to succumb to strong manipulations on the part of the growing dollar.
On Friday XAU is testing the ascending support again, the session closes below the line, but it is a weak signal within the flat. The 2015 level may influence the sales, but only if this area is broken. At the moment, there are no signs that the market will break 2015.6 in the near future. We need to wait for the retest of this support and see how the price reacts. But based on the fact that 2015.6 is a strong liquidity area, gold will not be able to break this area the first time.
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💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Retest 48K. Should we wait for resistance breakout?
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At the moment we are interested in the resistance 47281. And we are interested in it because this level was formed earlier on D1 and was also tested. Today the price reaches this level and forms a false breakout, but the most important thing is that the daily candlestick closes very close to the level. Based on this we can assume that the consolidation distribution is not over. Buyers are strong, but after the false breakout, from a technical point of view, a pullback is needed.
The pullback could be directed towards 0.236 fibo, 45500, or 0.382 fibo.
The signal that will indicate the market's readiness to break through resistance and growth will be a pre-breakout consolidation at 47281 and whether the retest, which will be slow (slow price approach to the level).
Prospects are excellent at the moment. There is no strong decline amid the rally since last fall. Price is moving from distribution to consolidation and further into distribution, which is a strong pattern indicating huge interest.
Resistance levels: 47281, 48234, trend resistance
Support levels: 0.236 fibo, 45500, 0.382 fibo
The trend is bullish. Friday session closing indicates that the market is ready to continue the growth, but, the formed false breakdown may give a small correction before further growth
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EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸 was quiet early on Friday as forex traders muted their bargaining activity amid the lack of any news. The European currency is trying to break a three-week losing streak as it is on track to break out of this streak in the red.
To do so, the EUR needs to end today's session above the strong $1.0785 level. The recent calmness in the markets can be attributed to the fact that traders are still digesting the latest Federal Reserve meeting held on January 31.
In brief, Fed Chairman Jay Powell said that policymakers will not be in a rush to cut interest rates. Instead, the central bank will continue to monitor incoming data and trace the trajectory of inflation to a sustained decline before lowering borrowing costs. The U.S. dollar strengthened as higher rates imply a more expensive local currency.
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Do you know how to realize that the price is getting ready to move out of the range?) 📈📉
Every market movement has its own preconditions, signals and patterns 👍
💡Ideas For GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
📈 GBPJPY → Level retest, market tries to break the boundary
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GBPJPY is breaking through the 188.3 boundary, formed last year, on the back of another resistance retest. Consolidation of the price above this level will form the potential for further growth
The currency pair was in the phase of sideways movement (flat) for a long time. But, the movement of the last two weeks gives us a premise that this flat may be broken in the near future. Yesterday, the currency pair formed a bullish candlestick that overcame the mentioned flat boundary. The session closes above 188.3 and also at its highs, thus forming a local level - the high of the day - 188.5. A retest of this level is possible in the near future. Our task is to wait for price consolidation above 188.3 - 188.5. This will be a confirmation of the market's readiness to continue the bullish trend. The target in this case will be 190.0 - 191.0.
Resistance levels: 188.3, 188.5
Support levels: 187.38
I expect the trend to continue, the whales are forming a quick retest of 188.3, which signals the possible end of the flat and the market's transition to the distribution phase and bullish trend.
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#GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
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How do you like #XAU on D1?)
It's horrible! What is there to trade here?) 😴
I wonder what your thoughts are on this....