R. Linda Trading

05 февраля 2024 09:26

💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → How long will the bearish trend continue?
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EURUSD tested downtrend resistance earlier, bears are keeping the price down and forming a tight stance amid a strengthening Dollar Index

On the high timeframe we see the current bearish trend, within which the price movement will continue until more favorable times. The target in the medium term may become the area of 1.06300 - 1.0450
On H4 we are interested in the support at 1.0780. Since this is a local risk area for sellers, a strong downward impulse may be formed if this area is broken and the price consolidates below it. But, no less important level is 1.0724 from which a rebound may follow, as it is the lower boundary of the range. But another retest of this zone may lead to a breakout and further decline.

Resistance levels: 1.0830, 1.0887
Support levels: 1.0780, 1.0724

In the long term, with a negative fundamental background and bearish trend, the price may continue its decline to the above targets.
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R. Linda Trading

04 февраля 2024 09:23

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Friday sales, price in sideways movement
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GOLD was ready to overcome the resistance of the 2062 range, but Friday's NFP, with sharply unexpected data of 353K ruined the temporary plans of buyers. The dollar is building strong momentum and continues its strengthening trend.

On the 2-week timeframe we see a strong bullish trend, price is trading at its highs and is likely to continue to test the extensive resistance area for a breakout. The reason for this is the high interest in the world during the geopolitical instability, banking crisis, and the huge interest from the world Central Banks, which continue to buy the asset.

Locally, on H1, gold is in the 2064-2016 range. Also, there is a strong support area at 2031 from below, after a false break of which the market is buying back the decline a bit. Technically, gold is strong and quite confidently can defend its positions on the background of the dollar growth, but on the background of panic and imbalance from the support, the Market Maker can form another long-squeeze relative to the lower levels. It is also worth paying attention to the fact that the price is still in the range. It is difficult to trade inside the range, so I advise you to look for strong levels or zones.

Resistance levels: 2057, 2064, 2040
Support levels: 2031, 2020, 2016
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R. Linda Trading

03 февраля 2024 10:03

💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BTCUSD → Consolidation after the rally. What's next?
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BTCUSD is in the uptrend phase, actively and quite confidently holding back all negative news. The price is forming a retest of 43250, realizing price consolidation above the 50-day moving average

The market continues to form an uptrend since the formation of the bottom in the market. At the moment we see the formation of a sideways range 44500 - 40225, which at the moment plays the role of consolidation. Short and long squeezes, shakes relative to the range boundaries indicate a phase of strong accumulation of potential before further movement in one or another direction. Based on the technical and fundamental component, the market seems to be preparing to continue its growth.

The area of 42000 is technically important for the market in the medium and long term, as evidenced by the 2-month sawing (consolidation) of this area, which divides the market plane into two areas (bearish and bullish), but as we see the price is trying to strengthen above this area to form a strong support area before further growth.
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R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 16:16

So, about NFP.
Back to news like Initial Jobless Claims - the number of people who have applied for benefits in the last week. This is the earliest US economic data, but its impact on the market varies from week to week. Accordingly, in our case, a higher than expected reading is negative for the USD.
In fact, in fact, the last two reports have been negative. That is, the market is seeing an increase in unemployment.

NFP is the opposite indicator, which shows the number of new jobs.

Accordingly, if we do not go too deep into the fundamentals, the growth of unemployment reduces the number of jobs.
We should have gotten an NFP in the neighborhood of 160K-190K.

But what exactly could have made the difference:
The presidential race before the US election. Biden is a president with a very low approval rating and his interest at this point is to raise that rating to form adequate competition to the actual candidates. Accordingly, the task of the current president is to create the appearance of a recovering economy, which is what we see - regulators and organizations are trying to paint a pretty picture.
In addition to the above and a number of other nuances, we can conclude that today's NFP is purely manipulative wagering in the current political situation

R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 14:39

In general, this is very unexpected and generally strange.
I will explain a little later why I think today's NFP is inadequate )

R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 14:11

❗️ News ahead!

🇺🇸 USA - Nonfarm Payrolls (January)
🇺🇸 USA - Unemployment (January)
13:30 GMT

R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 11:03

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → How can NFP affect the price of gold?
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GOLD is updating highs but continues to be inside a sideways movement limited by resistance at 2065 and support at 2020. The market is in the waiting phase for NFP

Quite an interesting situation this week. The asset is forming a retest of 2062 resistance on D1, but below is a strong support at 2050-2048, which hides a large pool of liquidity behind it. There is a chance that the price may retest this area before or on the backdrop of the news. In the mid-term, it is expected to rise as we have a chance to see NFP below 216K published in December. Technically, gold is in consolidation between 2058 - 2048, a classic situation where the market does not know what will happen.

The price is restrained by the resistance of the range 2058-2064, if this area is broken, the distribution to 2078-2088 may be formed. And already below 2030 a panic zone is formed, which, from a theoretical point of view, the price can also test in order to get rid of an unnecessary passenger before further movement of the train.

Support levels: 2048.8, 2039.4, 2030
Resistance levels: 2058.3, 2064

Based on the data, we have a high but not 100% chance that NFP may show bearish data for the US market, which could be positive for gold. But! The unpredictability of the news is not canceled!
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R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 09:11

So, is everyone in anticipation of NFP today? Shall we make a vote - prediction - poll? 😉

R. Linda Trading

01 февраля 2024 14:53

Santiment sees a sharp rise in the number of whale transactions in #XRP after a significant correction in the token's exchange rate
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R. Linda Trading

01 февраля 2024 11:32

So, what did Powell say yesterday?)

- The Fed left the rate unchanged at 5.5% for the fourth time.
- The Fed will continue to further reduce the balance sheet as planned.
- The rate is likely already at its peak, and it will likely be appropriate to start lowering it this year. This is the view of almost all FOMC members
- The Fed no longer sees stronger economic growth as a problem for the dcp and believes that weak economic growth is no longer necessarily needed to reduce inflation
- It's too early to say the Fed has achieved a soft landing for the economy

What's most important:
The Fed likely won't cut rates in March as more confidence in a sustained decline in inflation is needed

What does this mean for us as a whole? It means that we continue to wait. The dollar is going to move very hard. It wants to fall, but they are trying to keep it in a certain zone. The market will continue to stand in consolidation
Except for some news that will temporarily set the tone for us.

The market as a whole is already overheated and everyone is waiting for rates to go down.
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R. Linda Trading

01 февраля 2024 09:01

💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → What could free the price from the sideways range?
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GBPUSD is in a flat range condition. The whole market has been standing still lately, which complicates trading due to the lack of safe zones to open trades

Yesterday was an interesting trading day in terms of outlook. The news from FED & FOMC defined a rough medium term outlook for the dollar, so we can use this information. There is just as much important news today.
Technically, the odds are higher for the currency pair to change its trend from a sideways market to a downtrend. This scenario will be able to realize a break of the support at 1.2615, but, within the range, the price may stay for a long time, until a stronger factor appears, which will free the price.

Resistance levels: 1.2784
Support levels: 1.2615

Today's news could also raise the volatility in the market. If the Dollar continues to get support, but the pound will break the area of 1.2615 and the price may head towards our targets.
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R. Linda Trading

31 января 2024 17:05

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R. Linda Trading

31 января 2024 14:03

An interesting story happened to one subscriber recently. He had been trading on Forex with a broker for about a year. I earned, withdrew profits, sometimes there were delays. At some point he started to notice unclear candles on the chart, support took a long time to respond, and at some point the broker simply closed, and accordingly, his money was not returned. When I talked to the subscriber, it turned out that the broker turned out to be a "kitchen".

I will explain about "kitchens" a little later, but now I want to say - check the broker before you choose it. You are trusting him with your money.

One of the interesting and promising ones is Amarkets. They have been around for 17 years and continue to develop all over the world. A few of their tricks:
- You can trade forex, indices, metals, crypto, stocks, commodities
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Only downside, perhaps, is that it's not for Europe or the US.

By the way, they even made special indicators for MT4 and MT5 and share them 🙂

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R. Linda Trading

31 января 2024 12:18

Control the news situation, because the news will come gradually, which will affect the market and prices in the same way.

Today's releases are:
13:15 GMT ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
13:30 GMT Employment Cost Index (QoQ)
14:45 GMT Chicago PMI (Jan)
19:00 GMT FOMC Statement
19:00 GMT Fed Interest Rate Decision
19:30 GMT FOMC Press Conference

Overall, strong economic growth in the US reinforces expectations that the Fed will postpone rate cuts until later. Inflation is declining, but not well enough as expected by the Fed. Overall, the market may receive comments and data that may strengthen the USD index, but the unpredictability of the news is not canceled.

Analysts expect:
ADP NonFarm - decrease in the index
Employment Cost Index - decrease in the index
Chicago PMI - improvement
Fed Interest Rate Decision - will remain at the same level.

R. Linda Trading

31 января 2024 09:57

💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → Pre-break consolidation. Lots of news ahead
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EURUSD is forming a trend change amid the strengthening of the DXY. Important news is expected today, which can affect the market in different ways

On D1 we see the formation of a strong accumulation at the dollar index. Earlier and still the dollar index is supported by rather strong comments from the US regulators, which negatively affects the euro. The currency pair in turn breaks strong daily support and is gradually heading downwards. From a technical point of view, the fall may continue as the key area has not yet been tested. On the chart, it is clear that the 1.0700 area is an interesting zone at the moment.

Resistance levels: 1.083, 1.0887
Support levels: 1.082, 1.0724

On H4, support is formed, which restrains the market - 1.082. A breakout and price consolidation below the level could form a bearish momentum that could continue the trend. But, as there is a lot of news today, try to trade safely!
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R. Linda Trading

04 февраля 2024 11:01

Fundamentally, gold is no longer actively reacting to the conflicts in the Middle East, but investors continue to buy the metal as a safe haven.

Last week Powell made it clear that they will cut the interest rate, but not in March, which disappointed investors a bit, but Friday's NFP, which was apparently bogus, formed a strong sell-off at the end of the week (high NFP with high jobless claims...).

In the coming week, we should expect the FED chief to speak, as well as other members of the Federal Reserve. On Thursday, Initial Jobless Claims is worth paying attention to.
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R. Linda Trading

03 февраля 2024 11:04

💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BTCUSD → Consolidation after the rally. What's next?
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Fundamentally, BTC is quite a strong asset:

• GBTC outflows continue but in much smaller volume, net inflows into ETFs are higher than outflows.
• A new problem in the US, which can play into the hands of BTC, is the situation in the US banking sector, the topic again concerns bankruptcies.

In March 2023, the Fed started printing in response to problems in the banking sector, and BTC was perceived as a safe haven. Accordingly, the restart of the Fed's printer will increase interest in BTC, which may favorably affect the crypto asset's capitalization.

Support levels: 42000, 40222, 38500
Resistance levels: 43250, 44500

The trend is bullish, technically the asset is quite strong - this conclusion can be made based on the strong consolidation after the rally. The market is starting to prepare for halving, against this background, the price may test the support zone before further growth. But, based on the overall data, in the medium and long term, the growth of the crypto asset may continue.
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R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 17:18

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R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 14:40

And you guys are doing great overall)))
Were you the one who cranked up the stats in this poll? 😄😄

R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 14:35

ha-ha
It's awful 😡
It's unexpected at all)

353К

R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 12:32

Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of employed persons in the previous month, excluding the agricultural industry

A stronger than expected reading should be positive for the USD.
A lower than expected reading should be a negative for the dollar.

News, by the way, is quite convenient to track in the trading terminal. At AMarkets, you can set up news that you will never miss in your trading

But, the last two Initial Jobless Claims reports (the number of people who applied for unemployment benefits for the first time in the last week) have been negative and the number of such claims has been rising in the background.

Overall, this could have a negative impact on NFP.
Analysts expect 187K instead of 216K (for December). In general, this is already a negative scenario, but the price behavior depends more on the actual data.
If the data will be higher than 187K, the dollar may react by strengthening, and the indicator below 187K, respectively, by falling.
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R. Linda Trading

02 февраля 2024 10:02

💡Ideas For EURJPY 🇪🇺🇯🇵
📈 EURJPY → Trend movement continues
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EURJPY is recovering mainly on the background of the growing euro, which is reacting to the falling dollar. The currency pair has local resistance ahead

On D1 we see a weak uptrend, but, the bullish reaction in the market followed after the retest of the false breakdown of the 50-day moving average and this is quite a positive sign as the market is trying to consolidate above the strong support at 158.0. There is an ascending price channel forming on H4, which also coincides with the global trend in its direction. Hence, it is convenient for us to consider buying on this market. To buy, we should consider a rebound from support or a breakout of resistance. The target in our case is the border of the range 161.4.

Support levels: 158.6, 159,25
Resistance levels: 160.0, descending resistance.

The currency pair may continue the recovery stage. The breakout of the nearest resistance will only accelerate the distribution after the correction.
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R. Linda Trading

01 февраля 2024 16:33

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R. Linda Trading

01 февраля 2024 13:47

Also not insignificant news ahead of spotty NonFarm Payrolls. It is worth paying attention to the indicators of the following news:

- 13:30 GMT - Initial Jobless Claims (pending data at the same level)
- 13:30 GMT - Nonfarm Productivity (bullish)
- 14:45 GMT - S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Analysts expect bullish data).
- 15:00 GMT - ISM Manufacturing Employment
- 15:00 GMT - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Analysts expect bearish data)
- 15:00 GMT - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Analysts expect bullish data)
- 21:30 GMT - Fed's Balance Sheet (Balance Sheet may decline)

The more the actual data differs from the expected data, the stronger the market reaction will be).
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R. Linda Trading

01 февраля 2024 10:08

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The sideways movement continues. What's going on?
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GOLD continues to be in global and local sideways movement, which is already annoying. The difficulty of trading lies in the fact that it is more difficult to identify strong zones to enter positions than in a trending market. It is allowed to trade from strong borders or zones, otherwise the market will simply tear up

Technically, gold continues to push up to the 2048 resistance. After the false breakdown, there is no fall and we see that the price is slowly but approaching the boundary, but at the same time volumes continue to decline. Or, hidden accumulation of potential is formed and if the price continues slow approach to 2048.7 in the future, the level may be broken soon. But it is too early to say about it. The price makes a false breakdown of 2048.8 and on the retest makes it clear that bears are not letting up yet. On the background of the news, the price may head towards trend support, either from 2048.8 (after another retest), or after a break of 2040, as there are no local reasons for growth beyond 2048.8 at the moment.

Support levels: 2039.4, 2030.9, 2020.8
Resistance levels: 2048.8, 2058.3

There are still some important news ahead, most likely the market will not change much, except for some highly volatile movements, but in general the price will remain in a range, probably until tomorrow's NFP
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R. Linda Trading

31 января 2024 19:40

🗣News ahead!

🇺🇸 USA - FOMC meeting - 19:00 GMT
🇺🇸 USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision - 19:00 GMT
🇺🇸 USA - FOMC Press Conf - 19:30 GMT

PS: the Fed will leave the rate at 5.5%, but may signal the possibility of a rate cut. But it's not certain!

R. Linda Trading

31 января 2024 15:46

The news so far is not good for the DOLLAR.
Let's see what Powell has to say tonight

Careful, there could be a short squeeze ;)

R. Linda Trading

31 января 2024 13:52

Fed to leave rate unchanged at today's meeting, but will start considering a rate cut - analysts - BBG survey

Consumer confidence in the US economy rose to its highest since 2021, amid expectations of monetary easing and a soft landing - BBG
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R. Linda Trading

31 января 2024 11:26

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Traders are panicking. Growth amid low volumes
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GOLD has been trading in a very narrow range lately with low volatility, while the dollar index is standing still. Something very turbulent is coming

A stalemate and confusing situation is forming on D1. On the background of retests of resistance areas and attempts to break the upper trend boundaries, trading volumes are decreasing in the market. Technically, the price is gradually pushing towards the resistance at 2039.4 to break it. After a false breakout, there is no fall and the price is testing this level again. Volumes are falling at this time. There is strong news ahead. In the mid term, traders are waiting for news that could weaken gold. But amid the initial reaction, the XAU price may test the resistances. And after stabilization of the situation, the fall (which is waiting for the market, judging by the volumes) may continue.

Resistance levels: 2039.4, 2048, 2058
Support levels: 2033, 2029, 2020

There is news ahead, which will come gradually. The strength of the news is high. Technically, gold may strengthen temporarily, but fundamentally and on the background of weak purchasing power, the price may fall in the future. Everything is determined by the actual fundamental background.
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R. Linda Trading

30 января 2024 17:33

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