R. Linda Trading

23 января 2024 13:11

Oh well, if Trump becomes president again in the US 🇺🇸 election, it will be a lot of fun for traders)

If only to remember how the markets reacted to his tweets and many of his speeches.

— —
One of the few strong manipulators of the markets in one person (the comparison is exaggerated, but still...) 😥

R. Linda Trading

23 января 2024 11:02

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Global trend is neutral, local trend is downward
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There is a perspective to see a movement in the near future in this format:
1) retest of 2024.5 and formation of a false breakdown. This will provoke growth to the liquidity zone, located in the area of trend resistance, i.e. above 2039.4. The liquidity zone is located from 2039.4 to 2045.03. The market may test the resistance and liquidity zone in the format of a false breakdown, after which the fall within the current local channel may continue, because in this case the market may be interested in the area below 2004.4.

Another possible scenario:
2) Retest of 2024.5, formation of a small rebound. The bearish pressure may stop the rebound in the zone of 2028-2032 (without reaching the liquidity zone). After that, the price will return to 2024.5 with a breakout target, which could trigger an impulse where the price could break 2020, 2018, form a consolidation below this area and head further towards 2004

In general, since the price is in sideways movement and is forming consolidation, many possible scenarios can be formed. it is impossible to determine in advance how the price will go.
Our task is to follow the market reaction to the specified zones (levels) and trade within the framework of our trading system.
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R. Linda Trading

23 января 2024 09:23

💡Ideas For EURJPY 🇪🇺🇯🇵
📈 EURJPY → Consolidation. What's next? Growth or decline?
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EURJPY tests resistance and forms a false breakout, but now the price is stuck inside the range and forms consolidation on which the further scenario depends.

On H4 the price tests resistance and forms a false breakdown, after which it forms a range between resistance 161.4 and the downtrend line (blue dotted line). It can be assumed that consolidation will continue until the price goes beyond it. Thus:

• 1) against the backdrop of the rising trend, we have a chance to see a retest of resistance from the previously broken trendline, which could lead to a breakout of 161.4 and further strengthening of the pair.

• 2) As the price has returned to the channel boundaries, the correction may extend all the way to the uptrend support, but after the breakout of the zone: 160.0

Support levels: 160.0
Resistance levels: 161.4

The further scenario at the moment depends more on who wins the market as part of the fight within the consolidation. The bulls should consolidate above 161.4 to continue rising and the bears below 160.0 to continue the correction.
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R. Linda Trading

22 января 2024 17:55

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R. Linda Trading

22 января 2024 15:43

UBS believes gold prices could end the year 10 percent above current levels thanks to a potential decline in interest rates, UBS strategists said, despite a decline in early 2024.

Gold prices could be influenced by factors such as geopolitical instability and market uncertainty - which could increase the attractiveness of bullion as a safe haven asset - and interest rates, which could make high-yield investments more attractive if they rise.
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R. Linda Trading

22 января 2024 10:03

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Retests of global support. Where can it lead to?
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GOLD opens lower on Monday and is testing 2025 for a breakout. Technically, gold is weaker than the dollar as regulators continue to support the index

Gold is in a key consolidation range: 2052 - 2018. Anything can happen in relation to the boundaries, as the market is trying to gather the necessary amount of liquidity by any means. But, if you look closely, you can see that the price is forming a retest of the ascending support line. The chances of the support being broken continue to rise

• The trigger zone is below 2018. A break of this support and the formation of consolidation below this level could finally turn the market around and direct the accumulated potential towards a bearish distribution 📉
• But! Since gold is currently in a range, we have a resistance level, a break of which could give the market an opportunity for growth📈 : this is the 2025-2030 area.

Resistance levels: 2025, 2030, 2035
Support levels: 2018.5, 2016, 2004

Technically, a bearish trend is forming, on d1 price continues to test support for a breakout on the back of a strengthening dollar. I think such preconditions may hint at a possible fall
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#XAUUSD 👑
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R. Linda Trading

21 января 2024 15:02

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R. Linda Trading

21 января 2024 12:10

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Counter-trend correction and a target of 2050
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GOLD looks quite strong and on the background of growing dollar index does not give up its positions much. Consolidation in the range of 2069.8 - 2029.6 continues.

Gold is trading within the descending price channel and on the background of unstable geopolitical situation, the price is trading calmly inside the range. The logical price reaction to a false break of trend support is a technical reversal is formed and we see a counter-trend correction to resistance. On D1 gold is forming a strong resistance zone formed by several highs (2150, 2085, 2070, 2063), on the global timeframe, technically and fundamentally the asset looks promising. The current geopolitical situation is affecting the gold price to the upside, but the market is correlated with the dollar index and as long as the latter is strengthening, gold will still react to it.

Gold may continue to rise at the beginning of the week for several reasons:
•- the attacks on Yemen and the response to US vessels continued over the weekend
•- dollar index closed Friday's session in the correction phase
•- On the hourly timeframe, gold ended Friday's session with the end of the correction in the 2025 area. The price has consolidated above the psychologically and technically important level, respectively, it will favorably affect the price growth.
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R. Linda Trading

20 января 2024 10:29

💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Why might the price drop to 34K before halving?
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BTCUSD has been rising for 124 days without any meaningful correction since September. Within a strongly bullish distribution, the price tested the strongest liquidity zone of 48K and made a false breakout, which is a strong sign for the start of a correction.

Technically, BTC is in a stalemate situation, between two channels, more precisely in the range between 43K and 40K. The consolidation may last an indefinite amount of time, as fundamentally bitcoin is quite strong, and all the selling that is taking place is related to ETFs. The next halving is expected on April 7, 2024. Statistically, the market goes into a significant correction phase before this phenomenon and there is a logic in this - to form more favorable positions before the strong rally that everyone is waiting for.

• At the moment, technically, the price is restrained by the resistance 43118 and the price has chances to rise, but for that the market will have to overcome this resistance and hold the level.

• From below we have the support at 40181, which is a risk and panic zone. When the price approaches this area, many buyers and sellers have adrenaline levels, as some are eager to open trades and others are afraid of reaching the stop-loss.
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R. Linda Trading

19 января 2024 13:33

The dollar index rose today as calm trading led to a 1.5% gain in the value of the dollar in seven days.

The dollar index 💲 is on track to complete a seventh straight day of gains as forex traders calmly bet on the dollar. The US dollar hit a one-month high of 103.70 before slipping to 103.50 amid growing uncertainty over interest rates.

In this context, the buck added about 1.5% in seven days of gains. More importantly, it maintained the late December rally, when the index bounced off a four-month low of 100.60. During that time, traders increased its value by almost 3%.

Across all forex trades, EURUSD hovered near $1.09 early Friday . USDJPY jumped to a new six-week high of ¥148.80 and GBPUSD hovered around $1.26. There is no important news scheduled for today, in such a context it is acceptable to rely only on technical analysis of the charts
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R. Linda Trading

19 января 2024 10:19

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Trading within the descending channel
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GOLD confirms the lower boundary of the channel, forms a false breakdown of 2010 and reverses to form a counter-trend correction

Gold manages to grow on the background of the growing dollar index. Today there is no news that can somehow change the direction. Technically, gold, within the descending range, is heading towards the resistance area of 2042-2048.
On the background of the correction, the price is breaking through MA-50 and the strong level of 2025. Ahead is MA-200 and no less important resistance zone 2035 from which a correction may follow with the aim of retesting 2025

• Thus, within the range we should focus our attention on the area: 2035, MA-200. Breakout of this zone and price consolidation above it will form a potential for further growth to the previously mentioned target: liquidity and resistance zone 2042-2048.
• But if the bears sell the price, forcing a breakout of 2025 and consolidation below the level, then in this case, against the background of a rising dollar, gold may head towards the support area of 2004.

Support levels: 2025, 2029
Resistance levels: MA-200, 2035

As part of the intra-range trading strategy, the price may reach the trend resistance and test 2048. But, still we have a strong dollar and strong sellers in the market. If the price goes back to 2025, we should be ready for further selling
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#XAUUSD 👑
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R. Linda Trading

19 января 2024 09:04

While I'm preparing ideas, here's some interesting crypto news for you 😳:

9 hours ago, a tweet that read "Hello World" was sent from an account named Satoshi 💰
---------
It was previously reported that this account has nothing to do with the real Satoshi Nakamoto and is actually run by Andy Rowe, a puppet of the false Satoshi, Craig Wright.

later, the same account reported that Satoshi Nakamoto's identity will be revealed in 2024 with proof.

R. Linda Trading

18 января 2024 16:39

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R. Linda Trading

18 января 2024 15:35

#NZDUSD Good realization within the script.
Consolidation after a trend breakout determines the approximate potential, and the support level formed by this consolidation determines the trigger point, relative to which the movement can begin.

The deal reaches its goal. Cool! 😎
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R. Linda Trading

18 января 2024 14:55

US - Initial Jobless Claims = 187k (expected 205k / previously 203k)

US - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jan) = -10.6 (expected -7 / previously -10.5 -12.8)

Overall, based on Initial Jobless Claims this is bullish for the USD.

R. Linda Trading

23 января 2024 12:02

The First Take-Profit has been reached🎯💰: +51pips

R. Linda Trading

23 января 2024 10:17

👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Global trend is neutral, local trend is downward
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GOLD continues to stand still, as does the dollar. The market is uncertain due to many different nuances, mainly fundamental and political factors.

On D1 we can see that gold does not have any definite trend at the moment, on H1 there is a downward range, but it plays a mediocre role. Since for now gold is in the range of 2052 (2035) - on top and 2018(2009) - on the bottom, in our case it is better to look for strong support or resistance levels to trade the strategy inside the range.
In the medium term, the further direction will be determined only by the breakthrough of one of the range boundaries, because now it is impossible to say clearly, as a symmetrical triangle is forming globally. Yes, there are prerequisites for both further growth and decline, but we need to wait for actual indications.

Resistance levels: 2035, 2050
Support levels: 2025, 2020, 2018

The moving averages indicate sideways movement, which is what we see. An intra-range trading strategy (from strong levels or range boundaries) is recommended. The global trend is neutral and the local trend is downward.
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R. Linda Trading

22 января 2024 18:34

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R. Linda Trading

22 января 2024 17:02

📈Forex VIP Performance

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R. Linda Trading

22 января 2024 11:52

Note how volatile the sentiment on the dollar index is right now. Stocks, funds and the SP500 are rising amid rumors. futures, gold are standing still and oil is dependent on the current geopolitical conflicts.
I have always said that a trader should be flexible in any situation that is the essence of a professional trader - he should be ready for anything!

- Daly (Fed): market hopes for Fed rate cuts are premature

- traders are now betting the Fed won't start cutting rates until May - RTRS

- BlackRock expects the Fed to start cutting rates in June and cut rates by 0.75% to 1% in 2024

- Fitch expects the Fed, ECB and Bank of England to cut interest rates by 0.75% by the end of 2024

- Bostic (Fed): if the decline in inflation slows, it would be right to keep the rate high for longer
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R. Linda Trading

22 января 2024 08:34

💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 NZDUSD → Another retest of support could yield a breakout
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NZDUSD is testing strong support at 0.6086, but the market is not forming a logical bounce or reversal. The price continues to test the support, which reminds us of the "Flag" pattern, the essence of which is the continuation of the movement

On the daily timeframe I marked the key level 0.61038. A false breakout is formed and there is no logical reaction relative to the level (no growth after a false breakout). Buying power is weakening on the back of the rising dollar. Strong bears are forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the 0.6100 level. The dollar index is strengthening as regulators are further delaying a possible rate cut, which could technically strengthen the index, and that would negatively impact the forex.
The moving averages, reversal pattern, retest and pre-breakout consolidation of 0.6100 - 0.6086 suggests a possible breakout of support and a decline in price towards 0.61000.

Resistance levels: 0.6134, 0.6208
Support levels: 0.6100, 0.6084

I expect that on the background of pre-breakdown consolidation another support retest will be formed, which may break this line and the market will start to form a bearish impulse.
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R. Linda Trading

21 января 2024 14:02

Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction

1) #EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Against the background of the local decline in the dollar, the euro is strengthening. The pair is forming a false breakdown. If the pair consolidates above 1.08926, the growth will begin.

2) #GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Retest of resistance 1.2715. On Friday, the market bought back a small part of the daily decline. A break of resistance will form an impulse.

3) #USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
In general, the target has not been reached yet. A small correction may follow before further growth. Target 149.7

4) #NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
Consolidation below 0.612, but the bulls do not let the price down.Consolidation is formed before a false breakdown.False breakdown of 0.612 may form an impulse to 0.620

5) #USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
Resistance retest.After the false breakdown there is no fall, the price will form a pre-breakdown consolidation.Breakout of 0.8684 will give impulse to 0.8800

6) #USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - SHORT 📉
False break of resistance.The fall may continue to 1.33

7) #XAUUSD 👑 - LONG 📈
Gold is forming a false support breakdown.On the background of today's analysis we expect growth

8) #DXY 💲 (Dollar) - SHORT 📉
False breakdown of resistance.Consolidation and closing of Friday session below the level may be the beginning of correction.
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R. Linda Trading

20 января 2024 12:02

💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Why might the price drop to 34K before halving?
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Within the current situation, we have two scenarios:

• 1) Shortsqueeze in the format of a false breakout relative to 0.382 fibo, rise, breakout of 43118, consolidation above the level and subsequent rise to 50K, but at the moment, for the reasons I stated above, this scenario doesn't have much of a chance

• 2) Breakout of 0.382 fibo, the market gets rid of unnecessary passengers (knock out stoplosses), then - the key fibo area in the medium term - 0.618 fibo. Test of the area may occur in February - March and become a strong support before further growth after halving.

Support levels: 40181
Resistance levels: 43118

Fundamentally the flagman is doing quite well, but technically there are reasons why the market should lower the price before the growth
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R. Linda Trading

19 января 2024 14:03

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R. Linda Trading

19 января 2024 12:05

EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸 Upd:

Let's consider the currency pair within the medium-term perspective.
Fundamentally, the dollar is tightly controlled by the Fed and the regulator does not allow a strong fall of the index so far, therefore, before a possible reduction in interest rates, the index may still grow, this will negatively affect the currency pair in the long run

Technically: After forging the local counter-trend high, a fall to 1.08926 is formed, where a "flag" pattern is formed, which implies further decline.
Now the market stands still for 3 days and consolidates between 1.08926 and 1.08617.
Two scenarios are possible at the moment:

1) 📈Rollback and slight growth. But provided that the price goes beyond 1.08926 and forms a consolidation above the level. The currency pair may head towards the liquidity zone located in the 1.1000 area

2) 📉 I am more sticking to the fact that the price may continue to fall. It is worth paying attention to the level of 1.0860. A breakout and consolidation of the price below this level will activate the potential that will send the bearish wave and the price towards 1.07593
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R. Linda Trading

19 января 2024 09:41

💡Ideas For AUDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 AUDUSD → Change of mood and retest of a strong level
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AUDUSD broke the uptrend earlier and is testing the strong historical level of 0.65800. Against the backdrop of a rising DXY, the Aussie could lose ground and head towards downside targets

The dollar is strengthening and may show growth for the second week in a row thanks to the signs of stability of the American economy and cautious comments of central bankers' representatives on rate cuts, the index is seeing a clear recovery phase, which negatively affects the currency pair.
Technically, AUDUSD breaks the level of 0.65800 and tests it as resistance. There are 2 scenarios that can develop in relation to the level: the first one includes the continuation of the correction if the price breaks 0.65800 and consolidates above it. The target will be the resistance at 0.6666. And the second scenario is the bears' task to hold this level against the background of changing market sentiment. From 0.65800 a decline to 0.6523 is possible with the subsequent breakout and fall to 0.6352. Moving averages show a downward signal.

Resistance levels: 0.65800
Support levels: 0.6523

The trend is changing, bears are more serious, which may affect the pair's pricing. With greater probability I am waiting for the realization of the second scenario.
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#AUDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
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R. Linda Trading

18 января 2024 17:03

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R. Linda Trading

18 января 2024 16:04

GOLD returns to the range after a false breakdown and forms several technical prerequisites for further decline
Also, yesterday's fundamental background confirms our idea and we see a gorgeous realization.

As a result, we got a safe entry point on the chart, as well as a good result of +220 pips 🥳
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R. Linda Trading

18 января 2024 15:35

#NZDUSD Close now with +86 pips 👍

R. Linda Trading

18 января 2024 14:02

The exchange rate is showing signs of weakness as the US dollar is fashionable again amid quiet trading and no major news on deck

The EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸 pair slipped to start Wednesday trading as FX speculators kept building their dollar holdings amid quiet trading. The exchange rate brushed off $1.0860 before rebounding moderately to hover near $1.0880. More importantly, the 200-day moving average came into play

Against that backdrop, the dollar was making progress against other currencies, too. The USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵 pair shot up to levels near ¥148.00 as Japan continues to maintain its monetary policy unchanged despite GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸 nosedived under $1.26 after UK wage growth came in relatively low but UK inflation data, released this morning, showed consumer prices jumped 4.0% in December
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