An interesting setup is forming, where the market maker may be preparing a burst of activity in the form of an upward movement. (But this is not certain, it's just a rumored thought). A major move is in store for both Bitcoin and the U.S. Stock Market! But! All of this could happen extremely unexpectedly
Bitcoin is forming a consolidation after the news noise around the BTC-ETF and halving, or recession - just small localized events. The chart is forming something generalized between an inverted reversal pattern that could push price far up and a "cup and handle" setup. It is consolidating now, but a breakout beyond 48.5K will give a strong rise.
As for Sp500, it is a reversal pattern, a resistance retest and a pre-breakout formation which, under certain circumstances, may help to break the resistance, which will have a positive impact on the US market and on bitcoin, as there is some correlation between BTC and SP
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💡Ideas For GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
📈 GBPJPY → False breakdown on the background of distribution
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GBPJPY is in the distribution phase after breaking the ascending triangle structure. Against the background of the November 2023 retest, there are not many chances to break 188.3 from the first time
The pound sterling both technically and fundamentally looks stronger than the Japanese yen. On the senior timeframe we see the formation of a sideways movement, which tells us about the neutrality of forces between buyers and sellers. In this case, it is acceptable to use a range trading strategy (trading from the range boundaries).
After breaking through the ascending triangle structure an impulse (distribution) is formed, the price has not yet tested the resistance of 188.3, which plays an important role. There is a high chance that the market will show a false breakout and a small correction. The key point of the correction is a test of the rising support line. If the line is broken, the price may head towards the mentioned target.
Resistance levels: 188.3, 188.66
Support levels: 185.9, 184.3
The most likely scenario is a false breakout followed by a correction to one of the above support lines, as the market currently has no potential for a resistance breakout.
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The GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸 pair took a sharp turn lower in the early UK morning on Tuesday after the latest batch of news came out. The exchange rate dropped roughly 0.6% from $1.2720 to $1.2640 in what is shaping up to be the third consecutive day of declines.
UK wage growth showed a marked slowdown in the three months to November, coming in at a 6.5% annual pace. The figure, measuring the average earnings growth with bonuses, was down from an 8.5% rate in the previous three-month time span.
Wage growth is a closely watched indicator for UK central bankers. A higher reading would signal that inflation is coming back up. In contrast, a lower print suggests that price pressures are easing, further solidifying hopes for interest rate cuts.
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The dominance of ETH vs. BTC continues to grow. The network continues to grow. Token stocks on exchanges continue to decline - Santiment
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ETH is the next favorite for wagering on the spot ETF launch theme
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Despite warnings from Fed speakers, traders continue to bet that the Fed will start cutting rates in March. Such sentiment may be overly optimistic based on history.... Historically, on average, the Fed has tended to ease rates about 6 months after the last rate hike - BBG
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Price returns to the descending range
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GOLD is declining and testing local lows. The market has stopped paying attention to the conflict in the red sea, which is surprising, and focuses its attention on the comments of the Fed representatives, who are quite a lot of speakers and will speak this week.
As for gold, the price is still in a neutral consolidation phase. A breakout of one of the boundaries may determine the outlook and it could be a support breakout. In general, gold is returning to the descending range and testing support levels for the possibility of further decline. Most likely, bears will try to hold their zone, in this case gold may test 2013 within the bearish trend in the nearest future. rlinda. com. And in the medium term, target 1994, where there is a huge pool of liquidity.
Resistance levels: 2024, 2030
Support levels: 2017, 2013, 2010
As the time horizons are determined both technically and fundamentally, gold may test local lows on the back of a rising dollar
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Bitcoin is currently above a significant support level, currently a significant support level is around the $42,000 price level.
From a technical perspective, bitcoin is testing the strength of the 50-day EMA, a level that is widely watched by traders looking for bullish or bearish confirmation. A sustained position above this line is often seen as a bullish signal, while a dip below can indicate a bearish trend.
Looking ahead, the key resistance is the recent high where bitcoin has faced significant selling pressure. If bitcoin holds at current levels and bounces back up, it will need to break this resistance to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. Conversely, if price falls below the 50-day EMA, the next critical support is at the 200-day EMA, a level that has historically been a strong buying zone for long-term investors.
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As for the liquidity zone - I have marked on the chart as a blue zone. This zone of interest now can play an important role for the market maker.
When the trend resistance is broken, the market starts to define for itself the boundaries of a new range, either it is flat, or it is an ascending or descending channel. The upper boundary is defined, but as the lower boundary, the market is going to test the specified liquidity area
The support area may push price away as price heads towards a crossover area that has strength in the market: a previously broken downtrend line and a liquidity area.
We are keeping an eye on the 2037-2033 area.
Here's what I was talking about.
The past idea on ETH was published 1 day before the SEC's decision on BTC. Accordingly, the market is positively looking at Ethereum for further investment as ETH is becoming more attractive to people
The idea in 2 days price reached the said target :)
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A quiet start of this week’s trading unfolded as FX speculators won’t break for the off-day like their stock-trading peers.
The USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵 pair was off to a weak start of the week, continuing its two-day slide that saw the rate drop under the ¥145.00 threshold. The $ was largely out of favor across FX deals last week as market participants were trying to make sense of rising inflation and thinning chances of interest rate cuts
Against that backdrop, light volumes are likely to orchestrate the FX space today as broad markets are taking a break in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Across the most popular pairs, the EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸 was moving sideways near $1.0960 and the GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸 was muted around $1.2750
The quietness of today is expected to spill into the later part of the week. Traders will be parsing a lightweight economic calendar with December’s retail sales data pending release on Wednesday. In concert with the weekly jobless claims and the consumer sentiment index, the slew of data could provide key insights into the FED interest rate timeline
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → How will the news affect the price?
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GOLD is updating a low of 2001.9 and forming a correction in a phase of waiting for news to be released at 13:30 GMT
At 13:30 Initial Jobless Claims will be published - analysts expect that the index may show worse data than in the previous period, and also, it is worth paying attention to Bostic's comments (FOMC), who will speak three times today: 12:30, 16:30, 17:05. The FOMC representatives have been making a lot of speeches this week.
Technically, gold is forming a correction and consolidation in a low-volatility format, which may last until the news is released. It is impossible to determine the data in advance, but there are assumptions that the dollar index will continue its growth, in which case, gold may continue to fall after a retest of resistance. The moving averages indicate the continuation of the bearish trend.
Resistance levels: 2013.7, 2016.8, 2025
Support levels: 2004.5, 1994.7, 1976.2
Technically, gold is in a downtrend and on the backdrop of the news may test resistance to capture liquidity before further declines
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Fidelity considers the current BTC selling to be a short-term phenomenon amid a "hangover" after the launch of spot BTC-ETFs, rather than a trend reversal
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Anthony Scaramucci expects selling pressure to subside within a week
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
1) #EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The price, on the background of the growing dollar breaks the support and continues the downtrend. The target is the support.
2) #GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Consolidation is forming, the policy of Britain is trying to strengthen the pound, but the indes dollar is stronger. A break of the support may send the price to 1.25
3) #USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
Strong momentum and the yen may weaken further in the medium term. The pair is heading towards 149.7
4) #NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Retest of strong support. It is too early to talk about the downtrend, now it is a correction. If the price consolidates below 0.612, the pair may head towards 0.605.
5) #USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
Bullish correction. Support has been broken. The momentum is heading towards 0.8684.
6) #USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - LONG 📈
Similarly, as CHF. the pair breaks the support, the impulse is formed. The target is 1.361.
7) #XAUUSD 👑 - SHORT 📉
Lateral trend (flat). A retest of support is being formed, which may be broken on the background of a strong dollar.
8) #DXY 💲 (Dollar) - LONG 📈
The Feds continue to support the index, although there are rumors of interest rate cuts. Fundamentally, the indices are strong.
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Of the news today, Core Retail Sales at 31:30 gmt is worth waiting for. Analysts expect unchanged data, but Bowman (FOMC) will speak at 14:00 and Williams (FOMC) will speak at 20:00, most likely to comment on the situation around inflation and further interest rate situation. Overall, the regulator is not ready to give up yet and may continue to keep the dollar strong
Читать полностью…💡Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → Fundamentally, the dollar is stronger
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EURUSD is declining and forming an attempt to break trend support. Fundamentally, the DXY is strengthening on the background of the Fed's position, which negatively affects the base currency - EUR
On the high timeframe we see that the dollar continues to strengthen after a long consolidation. The Fed is not going to give up and is trying to insure itself before a possible interest rate cut, which may come in spring-summer 2024. This scenario may strengthen the dollar to local highs, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair.
EURUSD broke 1.088 testing the trend support, technically, the breakout has already occurred, the price may take a small correction and retest the support, after which it may head towards the lower boundary of the range - 1.0756. Consolidation of the price below the trend support will confirm the bearish position, which will be a favorable scenario for sellers.
Support levels: 1.078, 1.0756
Resistance levels: 1.0888, 1.10
Fundamentally, the dollar is stronger than the euro, which will obviously have a negative impact on the currency pair. We expect confirmation of the scenario (consolidation below the support) for further opening of sales.
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸
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NZDUSD on the background of local dollar strengthening breaks the support I was talking about.
So far, the flight is normal.
The market has defined a target for itself in the form of range support at 0.6086. We are waiting for the target to be reached :)
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JPMorgan expects the Fed to set a timetable for winding down the QT (balance sheet reduction) program at its January meeting, which will be confirmed in the minutes of that January FOMC meeting in mid-February. It is expected that a formal agreement to wind down QT will be reached in mid-March, and the start of the winding down program will be launched in early April 2024.
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BofA said in early January that it expects the Fed to announce the start of the gradual winding down of "quantitative tightening" (QT) in March, which would coincide with the first 0.25% rate cut
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Correction to previously broken trend resistance
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GOLD is declining. Bulls failed to hold the 2050 area, but most likely there is a reason for that: the liquidity zone is near the previously broken resistance, and the geopolitical situation is complicated by additional Fed comments
The dollar index consolidated below 102.6 for a long time and it was logical to realize that the market was unable to go up, until the Fed commented again: "rates should be kept at a high level for some time, it is premature to talk about the beginning of the Fed's rate cut in March". This is logical against the backdrop of the red sea crisis, which is also very much affecting inflation in the world.
BUT. It should be understood that this conflict directly affects the pricing of gold. High probability of appreciation of the asset.
Technically, gold is declining towards the previously broken trend resistance. rlinda. com, The market may be interested in support at 2038.9 - 2032. A false breakdown could form a liquidity grab and a bullish momentum.
Resistance levels: 2050, 2064
Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.5 fibo (2038.9), 0.618 fibo
The growth of gold, as a security asset amid the crisis, may continue after the market retests the previously broken trend resistance
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETH → Strong both fundamentally and technically
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ETH reacted more violently than BTC to the long-awaited btc-etf news. But why? The price tested the high at 2717 and formed a false breakout, leading to a correction amid bitcoin's decline
ETH technically looks stronger than bitcoin. We can judge from the chart and strong bullish momentum and not a big pullback. The reason for this is the expectation of bids for the spot ETH-ETF. The chances that these applications will be approved by the SEC have increased after their extreme positive decision towards the flagship cryptocurrency market.
Technically, ETH is forming a false breakout of 2650 resistance and forming a correction. Since the price is trading within the ascending price channel, the target in our case could be the support area: 0.5 fibo (2447 level), or even 0.618 fibo (2383 area). The moving averages on W1 indicate a strong accumulation that may move into the distribution phase.
Resistance levels: 2650, 2540, 2586
Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.5 fibo, 0.618 fibo
Fundamentally and technically, ETH looks good to continue to grow in the medium term, which may start after the retest of the support area
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#ETHUSD 🔷
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And so, let's take a look at Bitcoin.
Overall, both fundamentally and technically bitcoin is doing great. After active growth and false breakdown of strong resistance 48250 a correction is formed and it is quite a logical scenario.
On the weekly timeframe it is worth paying attention to the level of 42K. Consolidation after a false breakout above this level will form a bullish potential
On the daily timeframe I have marked the key zones at the moment. But, 40181 and 0.382 fibo are important now. This is the panic and risk zone. When the price goes beyond the level, panic will set in the market. A trap in the form of a false breakdown or a further correction to 38K, 0.5 fibo or even 0.618 fibo after a prolonged rise may follow.
The price will have to overcome the 44500 area for the growth to intensify. Then only 52K
As for the sell the news scenario:
Santiment notes that the optimism level in BTC is still very high, even despite last Friday's sell-off... and believes that FOMO levels should still decline....
The founder of SkyBridge Capital said that the current sell-off in BTC is due in part to selling pressure in Grayscale's spot BTC-ETF and selling of the FTX position, and that he expects the selling pressure to be gone in the next 6-8 trading days.
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📈Forex VIP Performance
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Total result 76pips ⚡
🗣You could earn in a week if:
Trade 0.1 lot: 76$
Trade 1 lot: 760$
〰️ 〰️ 〰️
🔸Aug14-Aug18 Profit +120p ✅
🔸Aug21-Aug25 Profit +615p ✅
🔸Aug28-Sep01 Profit +415p ✅
🔸Sep4-Sep08 Profit +490p ✅
🔸Sep11-Sep15 Profit +414p ✅
🔸Sep18-Sep22 Profit +335p ✅
🔸Sep25-Sep30 Profit +485p ✅
🔸Oct02-Oct06 Profit +395p ✅
🔸Oct09-Oct13 Profit +435p ✅
🔸Oct16-Oct20 Profit +285p ✅
🔸Oct23-Oct27 Profit +151p ✅
🔸Oct30-Nov03 Profit +165p ✅
🔸Nov06-Nov10 Profit +180p ✅
🔸Nov13-Nov17 Profit +390p ✅
🔸Nov20-Nov24 Profit +362p ✅
🔸Nov27-Dec01 Profit +520p ✅
🔸Dec04-Dec08 Profit +443p ✅
🔸Dec12-Dec15 Profit +476p ✅
🔸Jan02-Jan05 Profit +400p ✅
〰️〰️〰️
🟡 How do I join the VIP🔅
👍Performance & feedback✅
〰️〰️〰️
💬 My Contact - Ask Linda✅️
⚡ Join the VIP channel 🟢
💻 Web - RLinda.com ✅
Pretty interesting results. I did the same polls earlier, bitcoin wasn't even in the top 4-5
Have you switched to trading cryptocurrencies now? 🤪